agilon health, inc.

AGL
About the company

agilon health, inc. provides healthcare services for seniors through primary care physicians in the communities of the United States. It offers a platform that manages the total healthcare needs of the patients by subscription-like per-member per-month. The company was formerly known as Agilon Health Topco, Inc. and changed its name to agilon health, inc. in March 2021.

Country: United StatesPrice: $115.66Market Cap: $1.9B

Investment snapshot

6%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

1

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 13

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

—

No comparable estimates

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

7 of 12 pass — Buffett, Dreman, Marks +2 more object

Key risk

No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILFAIL · Rank #2658 (Top 85.8%)FAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-11-04

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-04

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 vs 2025-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-04

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-04

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-25

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-04

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-04

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-25

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-04

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-11-04

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-04

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-04

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-02-25

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-11-04

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-04

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-04

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-04

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Debt & Leverage58% pass✓ 10✗ 5▾

    7 of 12 pass — Buffett, Dreman, Marks +2 more object

    LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $15.5M vs NCA $166.5M
    ✓GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.11, IC: -22.4x
    ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity0.11
    ✓Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt$158.9M
    ✓LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change2.01% -> 1.24%
    ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.13
    ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.11
    ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Debt Levels0.11
    ✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-22.4x, D/EBITDA=N/A
    ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.11
    ✓Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.1087; #1320/4210 (top 31.4%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

Where It Falls Short

  • Profitability0% pass✓ 2✗ 33▾

    No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

    Positive EPS (10 years)0/8 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)0/8 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-90.2%
    ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)-7.8% (latest)
    ✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy$-376.0M
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE-31.0%
    ✗Lynch> 15%
    EBIT / Enterprise Value-8.6%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-8.6%, ROC=-494.5%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Net Income / Total Assets-30.78%
    ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY-15.00% -> -30.78% (delta: -15.78%)
    ✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-8.32%, ROA=-30.78%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Gross Margin Change YoY
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue-1.7%
    ✗Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-31.0%
    ✗Dreman> 12%
    Margin of SafetyP/B=378.6x
    ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    Return on Equity-134.6% (3-yr avg)
    ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic Value
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency0/7 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue-2.6%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity-31.0%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend-5.4% (2023) -> -7.8% (2025)
    ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin -5.4% -> -7.8%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Net income / market capitalization-4.48%; #3828/6340 (top 60.4%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Gross profit / total assets
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity-31.01%; #3921/5226 (top 75.0%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0866; #3301/5884 (top 56.1%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years
    ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Valuation0% pass✓ 1✗ 27▾

    No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

    Price / 3-yr avg EPS
    ✗Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Book Ratio378.6x
    ✗Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/B
    ✗Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    EBIT / Enterprise Value-8.6%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-8.6%, ROC=-494.5%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Price / EPS
    ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    Price / Book Value per Share378.6x
    ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-0.8%
    ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-6.1%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=378.6x
    ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic Value
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low1462% of trailing low ($7.91)
    ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Net income / market capitalization-4.48%; #3828/6340 (top 60.4%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.1446; #4503/6449 (top 69.8%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS
    ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share786.50x
    ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change
    ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization+3.0908; #788/5247 (top 15.0%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-0.88%; #2652/4519 (top 58.7%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+508.10%; #80/6202 (top 1.3%)
    ✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Cash Flow0% pass✓ 1✗ 11▾

    No clean pass — all 10 investors flag at least one cash flow criterion

    Free Cash Flow Proxy$-376.0M
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing$-17.0M
    ✗LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$-105.8M
    ✗PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-8.32%, ROA=-30.78%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-6.1%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive0/7 years FCF positive
    ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap-0.0%
    ✗Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency0/7 years positive
    ✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$-17.0M
    ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-0.88%; #2652/4519 (top 58.7%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Growth0% pass✓ 3✗ 10▾

    No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)
    ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
    EPS Growth Direction
    ✗DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR
    ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency0/7 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth40.4%
    ✓Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency
    ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin -5.4% -> -7.8%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR37.2%
    ✓SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Efficiency0% pass✓ 1✗ 10▾

    No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one efficiency criterion

    Current Ratio1.13
    ✗Graham>= 2.0
    ROIC (3-5 yr avg)-102.6%
    ✗Buffett> 10%
    ROIC - WACC-112.6%
    ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
    EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)-494.5%
    ✗Greenblatt> 25%
    Current Ratio Change YoY1.27 -> 1.02
    ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY3.50x -> 4.67x
    ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.13
    ✗Dreman> 1.5
    Return on Invested Capital-39.1%
    ✗Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=-26.2%; FY2024: ROIC=-45.6%; FY2025: ROIC=-226.3%
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)0/5 years above 12% (latest -226.3%)
    ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
  • Verdicts7% pass✓ 1✗ 14▾

    Split decision: 13 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL · 1 PASS

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (2/9)✗BuffettFAIL (1/9)✗LynchFAIL (3/7)✗GreenblattRank #2658✗PiotroskiFAIL (F-Score 3)✗DremanFAIL (2/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (2/6)✗MarksFAIL (0/5)✓AckmanPASS (4/9)✗TempletonFAIL (2/8)✗SleepFAIL (2/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (1/6)✗SchlossFAIL (1/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Healthcare
SIC Sector: Health Services
Size: Small Cap($1.9B)
Revenue: $5.9B-2.1% YoY
Net Income: $391.3M-50.4% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin-7.8%
Return on Equity-308.8%
Debt / Equity0.28
Current Ratio1.02
Buybacks (1y)$0
Buybacks (2y)$0
Shares Retired−0.6% / −1.3% 2y

Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2025

Issued 0.6% of shares last year, 1.3% issued over two.

Buybacks
$0
Dividends
—

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.

MetricTTM · 2026-09-30

2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: revenue, net income, operating income, ebit, pre tax income, interest expense, operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex.

Q3 FY 2026

2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex.

Q2 FY 2026

2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex.

Q1 FY 2026

2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31

Sources
FY 2025
Sources
  • 10-K · 2026-02-25
FY 2024
Sources
  • 10-K · 2025-02-25
FY 2023
Sources
  • 10-K · 2024-02-27
FY 2022
Sources
  • 10-K · 2023-03-01
FY 2021
Sources
  • 10-K · 2022-03-03
Market Cap$1.9Bcurrent------$8.6Best.$34.4Best.$60.3Best.$224.7Best.$166.3Best.
Revenue$6.0B↑2%$1.5B↑6%$1.5B↑7%$1.4B↓7%$5.9B↓2%$6.1B↑40%$4.3B↑81%$2.4B↑57%$1.5B
Operating Income-$153.9M↑59%$24.1M↑118%$11.8M↑110%$4.0M↑118%-$463.2M↓59%-$292.1M↓26%-$232.1M↓120%-$105.4M↑72%-$372.2M
Net Income-$87.1M↑72%$34.9M↑132%$18.0M↑117%$48.9M↑304%-$391.3M↓50%-$260.2M↑1%-$262.6M↓146%-$106.6M↑74%-$406.5M
EPS (Diluted)--$1.97$1.04$2.94----------
Gross Margin—————————
Operating Margin-2.6%↑60%1.6%↑117%0.8%↑109%0.3%↑120%-7.8%↓62%-4.8%↑10%-5.4%↓22%-4.4%↑82%-24.5%
ROE-31.0%↑69%———-308.8%↓459%-55.2%↓39%-39.7%↓288%-10.2%↑73%-37.2%
Total Debt$30.5M↓13%$30.5M↓13%$30.3M↓13%$30.0M↓14%$35.0M$34.9M↓9%$38.6M↓11%$43.5M↓10%$48.4M
Shareholders' Equity$280.9M↓8%$280.9M↓8%$227.5M↓44%$181.4M↓64%$126.7M↓73%$471.0M↓29%$661.8M↓36%$1.0B↓5%$1.1B
Current Ratio1.13↑5%1.13↑5%1.08↓7%1.04↓14%1.02↓19%1.27↓16%1.51↓44%2.71↓29%3.83
Debt / Equity0.11↓5%0.11↓5%0.13↑56%0.17↑137%0.28↑273%0.07↑27%0.06↑40%0.04↓6%0.04
Operating Cash Flow-$4.2M↑94%$49.9M↑375%-$57.3M↓63%$23.7M↑174%-$105.8M↓83%-$57.8M↑63%-$156.2M↓19%-$130.8M↑12%-$148.2M
Free Cash Flow-$17.0M↑79%$46.6M↑319%-$60.7M↓58%$20.6M↑158%-$119.0M↓68%-$71.0M↑59%-$172.0M↓18%-$146.2M↑5%-$154.7M

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Healthcare

AGL vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$5.9BMedian
Net Income$391.3MBottom 25%
ROE-308.8%Bottom 25%
D/E0.28Median
Op. Margin-7.8%Bottom 25%
Curr. Ratio1.02Bottom 25%
CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
HCA Healthcare, Inc.HCA$104.2B$499.05$75.6B$6.8B-112.6%-7.7113.0%0.971/95/93/71/3F-Score 64/11
TENET HEALTHCARE CORPTHC$22.8B$286.03$21.3B$2.4B56.1%3.1216.5%1.761/94/93/73/3F-Score 65/11
Guardant Health, Inc.GH$20.5B$151.70$982.0M$416.3M419.2%-15.14-44.5%4.842/91/91/70/3F-Score 52/11
EXACT SCIENCES CORPEXAS$20.0B$104.91$3.2B$207.9M-8.7%0.00-6.4%2.432/91/93/70/3F-Score 73/11
Fresenius Medical Care AGFMS$11.4B$22.03$23.1B$1.1B7.4%0.819.3%1.265/92/91/70/3F-Score 85/11
UNIVERSAL HEALTH SERVICES INCUHS$11.2B$194.07$17.4B$1.5B20.5%0.6511.5%1.054/96/95/71/3F-Score 76/11
DAVITA INC.DVA$11.0B$174.56$13.6B$746.8M-114.7%-15.7815.0%1.291/94/92/71/3F-Score 73/11
CHEMED CORPCHE$7.1B$548.20$2.5B$265.2M27.1%—13.4%1.054/97/93/71/3F-Score 66/11