ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES CORP.

AQN
Country: CanadaPrice: $5.60Market Cap: $4.3B

Investment snapshot

12%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

2

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

3 / 11

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$4.86

-13.2% vs price

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

All 12 investors flag AQN's debt & leverage

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILFAIL · Rank #1553 (Top 50.1%)NEUTRALPASSFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILPASSNEUTRALNEUTRALFAILFAILFAIL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of Safety-2.4%-101.4%N/A-15.2%N/AN/AN/A-636.8%-0.7%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-06

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Debt & Leverage0% pass✗ 15▾

      All 12 investors flag AQN's debt & leverage

      LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $6.2B vs NCA $5.2M
      ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
      Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 1.41, IC: 1.8x
      ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
      Total Debt / Equity1.41
      ✗Lynch< 0.33
      Cash - Long-term Debt$-6.1B
      ✗LynchPositive preferred
      LT Debt / Total Assets Change36.59% -> 43.64%
      ✗PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.00
      ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity1.41
      ✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
      Debt Levels1.41
      ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
      Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=1.8x, D/EBITDA=7.2x
      ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
      Total Debt / Shareholders Equity1.41
      ✗Ackman<= 1.0
      Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-1.4076; #3539/4210 (top 84.1%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    • Valuation0% pass✓ 6✗ 22▾

      No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

      Price / Book Value per Share0.9x
      ✓Dreman< 1.2x✓Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
      Price / 3-yr avg EPS
      ✗Graham<= 15x
      Price-to-Book Ratio0.9x
      ✓Graham<= 1.5x
      P/E x P/B
      ✗Graham<= 22.5
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 25.5x (growth N/A)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      EBIT / Enterprise Value4.7%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=4.7%, ROC=5.0%
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Price / EPS25.5x
      ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
      Price / (CFO / Shares)7.2x
      ✓Dreman< 8x
      Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=25.5x, OE Yield=-4.4%
      ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      P/E or FCF YieldP/E=25.5x, FCF Yield=-4.1%
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=25.5x, P/B=0.9x
      ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Price vs. Trailing Low126% of trailing low ($4.44)
      ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      Net income / market capitalization+4.19%; #1948/6340 (top 30.7%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Positive book equity / market capitalization+1.0764; #1353/6449 (top 21.0%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Price / Diluted EPS25.5x
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E-1.02
      ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Price / Tangible Book Value per Share1.40x
      ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Book Value per Share Change-30.7%
      ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Revenue / market capitalization+0.5644; #2464/5247 (top 47.0%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-4.14%; #2909/4519 (top 64.4%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-4.92%; #3126/6202 (top 50.4%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Valuation models0% pass✗ 5▾

      AQN overvalued: all 5 models price fair value below $5.60 (median $4.86)

      Graham fair value$5.47
      ✗Graham-2.4% margin vs $5.60
      Buffett fair value$2.78
      ✗Buffett-101.4% margin vs $5.60
      Greenblatt fair value$4.86
      ✗Greenblatt-15.2% margin vs $5.60
      Pabrai fair value$0.76
      ✗Pabrai-636.8% margin vs $5.60
      Akre fair value$5.56
      ✗Akre-0.7% margin vs $5.60
    • Efficiency13% pass✓ 2✗ 9▾

      7 of 8 flag AQN's efficiency — Graham, Buffett, Greenblatt +4 more

      Current Ratio1.00
      ✗Graham>= 2.0
      ROIC (3-5 yr avg)3.0%
      ✗Buffett> 10%
      ROIC - WACC-7.0%
      ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
      EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)5.0%
      ✗Greenblatt> 25%
      Current Ratio Change YoY0.76 -> 1.00
      ✓PiotroskiIncreased YoY
      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.14x -> 0.17x
      ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.00
      ✗Dreman> 1.5
      Return on Invested Capital3.6%
      ✗Munger> 15%
      ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=2.9%; FY2024: ROIC=3.1%; FY2025: ROIC=3.6%
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
      Reinvestment Rate x ROIC0.0% (RR=0% x ROIC=3.6%)
      ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROIC (5-year)0/5 years above 12% (latest 3.6%)
      ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
    • Verdicts14% pass✓ 2✗ 12▾

      Split decision: 11 FAIL · 3 NEUTRAL · 2 PASS

      Overall verdict
      ✗GrahamFAIL (3/9)✗BuffettFAIL (2/9)✗LynchFAIL (1/7)✗GreenblattRank #1553•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 6)✓DremanPASS (5/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (1/3)✗AkreFAIL (0/6)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)✗AckmanFAIL (3/9)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)•SleepNEUTRAL (4/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (2/7)✗OshaughnessyFAIL (Rank #532/963 (Top 55.2%))
    • Profitability19% pass✓ 12✗ 23▾

      13 of 16 flag AQN's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +10 more

      Positive EPS (10 years)14/17 years positive
      ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)14/17 years positive
      ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-4.9%
      ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)20.7% (latest)
      ✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy$180.8M
      ✓BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
      ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 25.5x (growth N/A)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR-30.6%
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE3.9%
      ✗Lynch> 15%
      EBIT / Enterprise Value4.7%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=4.7%, ROC=5.0%
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Net Income / Total Assets1.28%
      ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY-8.14% -> 1.28% (delta: +9.42%)
      ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=4.20%, ROA=1.28%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Gross Margin Change YoY
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue8.7%
      ✓Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity3.9%
      ✗Dreman> 12%
      Margin of SafetyP/E=25.5x, P/B=0.9x
      ✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
      Return on Equity-8.3% (3-yr avg)
      ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency14/16 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Operating Income / Revenue20.7%
      ✓Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity3.9%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      5-Year EPS CAGR-30.6% CAGR over 5 years
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend19.4% (2023) -> 20.7% (2025)
      ✓TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin 19.4% -> 20.7%
      ✓SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      Net income / market capitalization+4.19%; #1948/6340 (top 30.7%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Gross profit / total assets
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / positive book equity+3.90%; #2576/5226 (top 49.3%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0357; #2130/5884 (top 36.2%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR-30.6% over 5 years
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years8/10 years positive
      ✓Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
    • Growth25% pass✓ 4✗ 9▾

      6 of 8 flag AQN's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +3 more

      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 25.5x (growth N/A)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR-30.6%
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)
      ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
      EPS Growth Direction
      ✗DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      Positive Net Income Frequency14/16 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      3yr Median Revenue Growth-3.5%
      ✗Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency2/5 years with positive EPS growth
      ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      5-Year EPS CAGR-30.6% CAGR over 5 years
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin 19.4% -> 20.7%
      ✓SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR7.7%
      ✓SleepCAGR > 7%
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR-30.6% over 5 years
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    • Cash Flow40% pass✓ 5✗ 7▾

      6 of 10 flag AQN's cash flow — Lynch, Pabrai, Marks +3 more

      Free Cash Flow Proxy$180.8M
      ✓BuffettPositive and growing
      FCF Positive and Growing$-178.3M
      ✗LynchPositive and growing
      Operating Cash Flow$593.6M
      ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=4.20%, ROA=1.28%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Price / (CFO / Shares)7.2x
      ✓Dreman< 8x
      P/E or FCF YieldP/E=25.5x, FCF Yield=-4.1%
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      FCF Positive5/16 years FCF positive
      ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
      (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap-4.1%
      ✗Ackman>= 4%
      Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency16/16 years positive
      ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$-178.3M
      ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-4.14%; #2909/4519 (top 64.4%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

    Business & financials

    Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

    Company Profile

    Industry: Utilities
    SIC Sector: Electric, Gas & Sanitary Services
    Size: Mid Cap($4.3B)
    Revenue: $2.4B+4.9% YoY
    Net Income: $180.8M+113.1% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin20.7%
    Return on Equity3.9%
    Debt / Equity1.41
    Current Ratio1.00
    EPS (Diluted)$0.22
    Shares Retired−0.1% / −11.5% 2y

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2025

    Issued 0.1% of shares last year, 11.5% issued over two.

    Buybacks
    —
    Dividends
    $201.3M

    Company Financials

    Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

    TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

    MetricFY 2025
    Sources
    • 40-F · 2026-03-06
    FY 2024
    Sources
    • 40-F · 2025-03-07
    FY 2023
    Sources
    • 40-F · 2024-03-08
    FY 2022
    Sources
    • 40-F · 2023-03-17
    FY 2021
    Sources
    • 40-F · 2022-03-04
    Market Cap$4.3Bcurrent$3.4Best.$3.7Best.$4.2Best.$7.6Best.
    Revenue$2.4B↑5%$2.3B↓4%$2.4B↓13%$2.8B↑22%$2.3B
    Operating Income$504.7M↑13%$446.1M↓5%$467.3M↑16%$402.0M↓3%$413.1M
    Net Income$180.8M↑113%-$1.4B↓4914%$28.7M↑114%-$212.0M↓180%$264.9M
    EPS (Diluted)$0.22↑112%$-1.90↓6433%$0.03↑109%$-0.33↓180%$0.41
    Gross Margin—————
    Operating Margin20.7%↑8%19.2%↓1%19.4%↑34%14.5%↓20%18.2%
    ROE3.9%↑113%-29.3%↓5254%0.6%↑114%-4.1%↓190%4.5%
    Total Debt$6.5B↓2%$6.7B↓11%$7.5B$7.5B↑21%$6.2B
    Shareholders' Equity$4.6B↓1%$4.7B↓7%$5.0B↓3%$5.2B↓11%$5.9B
    Current Ratio1.00↑32%0.76↑20%0.63↓11%0.71↑4%0.69
    Debt / Equity1.41↓1%1.42↓4%1.49↑3%1.44↑36%1.06
    Operating Cash Flow$593.6M↑23%$481.7M↓23%$628.0M↑1%$619.1M↑293%$157.5M
    Free Cash Flow-$178.3M↑54%-$390.7M↑2%-$398.1M↑15%-$469.9M↑60%-$1.2B

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Utilities

    AQN vs Peers — Financial Grading

    Revenue$2.4BBottom 25%
    Net Income$180.8MBottom 25%
    ROE3.9%Bottom 25%
    D/E1.41Top 25%
    Op. Margin20.7%Bottom 25%
    Curr. Ratio1.00Top 25%
    CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
    SOUTHERN COSO$109.0B$93.59$29.6B$4.3B12.1%2.0024.7%0.652/92/92/70/3F-Score 53/11
    AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER CO INCAEP$70.3B$129.18$21.9B$3.7B11.9%1.5224.3%0.454/93/92/70/3F-Score 53/11
    Cheniere Energy, Inc.LNG$63.0B$308.75$20.0B$5.3B67.3%2.8845.6%0.942/94/94/70/3F-Score 83/11
    DOMINION ENERGY, INCD$59.5B$67.66$16.5B$3.0B10.3%1.6026.7%0.772/90/91/70/3F-Score 63/11
    ATMOS ENERGY CORPATO$29.8B$176.30$4.7B$1.2B8.8%0.6633.2%0.773/93/92/70/3F-Score 63/11
    EVERSOURCE ENERGYES$27.0B$71.73$13.5B$1.7B10.5%1.7522.1%0.652/92/92/70/3F-Score 64/11
    PPL CorpPPL$26.9B$35.67$9.0B$1.2B7.9%1.2723.5%0.862/90/90/70/3F-Score 52/11
    ALLIANT ENERGY CORPLNT$19.0B$73.43$4.4B$810.0M11.0%1.6423.5%0.802/92/92/70/3F-Score 62/11