ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES CORP.
AQNInvestment snapshot
Positive
2
BUY / PASS
Neutral / negative
3 / 11
NEUTRAL / FAIL
Median fair value
$4.86
-13.2% vs price
Models with upside
0 / 17
Positive margin of safety
Key risk
All 12 investors flag AQN's debt & leverage
Framework analysis
| Verdict | Meaning |
|---|---|
| BUY | Positive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met. |
| PASS | The company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state. |
| NEUTRAL | Neither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position. |
| FAIL | The company does not clear the framework's requirements. |
| Ranked | Ranked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL. |
Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.
| Metric | Graham Defensive Value | Buffett Quality Compounder | Lynch GARP | Greenblatt Magic Formula | Piotroski F-Score | Dreman Contrarian Value | Munger Quality Focus | Pabrai Dhandho Framework | Akre Three-Legged Stool | Marks Risk-Aware Value | Ackman Activist Value | Templeton Global Bargain Hunter | Sleep Scale Economies Shared | Asness Systematic Factors | Neff Low-P/E Total Return | Schloss Asset-Value Discipline | O'Shaughnessy Systematic Factor Composite |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdict | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL · Rank #1553 (Top 50.1%) | NEUTRAL | PASS | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | PASS | NEUTRAL | NEUTRAL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL |
| Score | |||||||||||||||||
| Analysis | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… |
| Intrinsic Value (annual) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |||||
| Margin of Safety | -2.4% | -101.4% | N/A | -15.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | -636.8% | -0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Financial Basis | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-03-06 Score computed: 2026-11-14 |
Where It Passes
Where It Falls Short
- Debt & Leverage0% pass✗ 15▾
All 12 investors flag AQN's debt & leverage
LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $6.2B vs NCA $5.2M✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current AssetsDebt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 1.41, IC: 1.8x✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5xTotal Debt / Equity1.41✗Lynch< 0.33Cash - Long-term Debt$-6.1B✗LynchPositive preferredLT Debt / Total Assets Change36.59% -> 43.64%✗PiotroskiDecreased YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities1.00✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity1.41✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00xDebt Levels1.41✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=1.8x, D/EBITDA=7.2x✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4xTotal Debt / Shareholders Equity1.41✗Ackman<= 1.0Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-1.4076; #3539/4210 (top 84.1%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section - Valuation0% pass✓ 6✗ 22▾
No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion
Price / Book Value per Share0.9x✓Dreman< 1.2x✓Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)Price / 3-yr avg EPS✗Graham<= 15xPrice-to-Book Ratio0.9x✓Graham<= 1.5xP/E x P/B✗Graham<= 22.5Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 25.5x (growth N/A)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)EBIT / Enterprise Value4.7%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=4.7%, ROC=5.0%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Price / EPS25.5x✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)Price / (CFO / Shares)7.2x✓Dreman< 8xValuation ReasonablenessP/E=25.5x, OE Yield=-4.4%✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%P/E or FCF YieldP/E=25.5x, FCF Yield=-4.1%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=25.5x, P/B=0.9x✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePrice / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)✗Ackman<= 25Price vs. Trailing Low126% of trailing low ($4.44)✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)Net income / market capitalization+4.19%; #1948/6340 (top 30.7%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionPositive book equity / market capitalization+1.0764; #1353/6449 (top 21.0%)✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionPrice / Diluted EPS25.5x✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)(EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E-1.02✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)Price / Tangible Book Value per Share1.40x✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)Book Value per Share Change-30.7%✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)Revenue / market capitalization+0.5644; #2464/5247 (top 47.0%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-4.14%; #2909/4519 (top 64.4%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionTrailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-4.92%; #3126/6202 (top 50.4%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section - Valuation models0% pass✗ 5▾
AQN overvalued: all 5 models price fair value below $5.60 (median $4.86)
Graham fair value$5.47✗Graham-2.4% margin vs $5.60Buffett fair value$2.78✗Buffett-101.4% margin vs $5.60Greenblatt fair value$4.86✗Greenblatt-15.2% margin vs $5.60Pabrai fair value$0.76✗Pabrai-636.8% margin vs $5.60Akre fair value$5.56✗Akre-0.7% margin vs $5.60 - Efficiency13% pass✓ 2✗ 9▾
7 of 8 flag AQN's efficiency — Graham, Buffett, Greenblatt +4 more
Current Ratio1.00✗Graham>= 2.0ROIC (3-5 yr avg)3.0%✗Buffett> 10%ROIC - WACC-7.0%✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)5.0%✗Greenblatt> 25%Current Ratio Change YoY0.76 -> 1.00✓PiotroskiIncreased YoYRevenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.14x -> 0.17x✓PiotroskiImproved YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities1.00✗Dreman> 1.5Return on Invested Capital3.6%✗Munger> 15%ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=2.9%; FY2024: ROIC=3.1%; FY2025: ROIC=3.6%✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in eachReinvestment Rate x ROIC0.0% (RR=0% x ROIC=3.6%)✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%ROIC (5-year)0/5 years above 12% (latest 3.6%)✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years - Verdicts14% pass✓ 2✗ 12▾
Split decision: 11 FAIL · 3 NEUTRAL · 2 PASS
Overall verdict✗GrahamFAIL (3/9)✗BuffettFAIL (2/9)✗LynchFAIL (1/7)✗GreenblattRank #1553•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 6)✓DremanPASS (5/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (1/3)✗AkreFAIL (0/6)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)✗AckmanFAIL (3/9)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)•SleepNEUTRAL (4/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (2/7)✗OshaughnessyFAIL (Rank #532/963 (Top 55.2%)) - Profitability19% pass✓ 12✗ 23▾
13 of 16 flag AQN's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +10 more
Positive EPS (10 years)14/17 years positive✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 yearsEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growthNet Income Positive (10+ years)14/17 years positive✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ yearsROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-4.9%✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)Operating Margin (10-yr trend)20.7% (latest)✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 yearsFree Cash Flow Proxy$180.8M✓BuffettPositive and growingEarnings Variance (10-yr CoV)✗BuffettCoV < 0.3Retained Earnings Effectiveness✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value createdBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 25.5x (growth N/A)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR-30.6%✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passROE3.9%✗Lynch> 15%EBIT / Enterprise Value4.7%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=4.7%, ROC=5.0%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Net Income / Total Assets1.28%✓PiotroskiROA > 0ROA Change YoY-8.14% -> 1.28% (delta: +9.42%)✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=4.20%, ROA=1.28%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAGross Margin Change YoY✗PiotroskiImproved YoYPre-Tax Income / Revenue8.7%✓Dreman>= 8%Net Income / Shareholders' Equity3.9%✗Dreman> 12%Margin of SafetyP/E=25.5x, P/B=0.9x✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15Return on Equity-8.3% (3-yr avg)✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePositive Net Income Frequency14/16 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsOperating Income / Revenue20.7%✓Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Shareholders Equity3.9%✗Ackman>= 15%5-Year EPS CAGR-30.6% CAGR over 5 years✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Operating Margin Trend19.4% (2023) -> 20.7% (2025)✓TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 yearsRevenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin 19.4% -> 20.7%✓SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holdingNet income / market capitalization+4.19%; #1948/6340 (top 30.7%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionGross profit / total assets✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNet income / positive book equity+3.90%; #2576/5226 (top 49.3%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNegative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0357; #2130/5884 (top 36.2%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR-30.6% over 5 years✗Neff7%-20% annualizedPositive Diluted-EPS Years8/10 years positive✓Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule) - Growth25% pass✓ 4✗ 9▾
6 of 8 flag AQN's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +3 more
EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growthBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 25.5x (growth N/A)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR-30.6%✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passInventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growthEPS Growth Direction✗DremanPositive over recent yearsEPS CAGR✗Dreman> 5% annualizedPositive Net Income Frequency14/16 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years3yr Median Revenue Growth-3.5%✗Ackman>= 5%Positive EPS Growth Frequency2/5 years with positive EPS growth✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years5-Year EPS CAGR-30.6% CAGR over 5 years✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin 19.4% -> 20.7%✓SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding5-year Revenue CAGR7.7%✓SleepCAGR > 7%3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR-30.6% over 5 years✗Neff7%-20% annualized - Cash Flow40% pass✓ 5✗ 7▾
6 of 10 flag AQN's cash flow — Lynch, Pabrai, Marks +3 more
Free Cash Flow Proxy$180.8M✓BuffettPositive and growingFCF Positive and Growing$-178.3M✗LynchPositive and growingOperating Cash Flow$593.6M✓PiotroskiCFO > 0(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=4.20%, ROA=1.28%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAPrice / (CFO / Shares)7.2x✓Dreman< 8xP/E or FCF YieldP/E=25.5x, FCF Yield=-4.1%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%FCF Positive5/16 years FCF positive✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap-4.1%✗Ackman>= 4%Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)✗Ackman<= 25Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency16/16 years positive✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available yearsOperating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$-178.3M✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-4.14%; #2909/4519 (top 64.4%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Business & financials
Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.
Company Profile
Financial Snapshot
Shareholder Return
Fiscal 2025
Issued 0.1% of shares last year, 11.5% issued over two.
- Buybacks
- —
- Dividends
- $201.3M
Company Financials
Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years
TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.
| Metric | FY 2025Sources
| FY 2024Sources
| FY 2023Sources
| FY 2022Sources
| FY 2021Sources
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.3Bcurrent | $3.4Best. | $3.7Best. | $4.2Best. | $7.6Best. |
| Revenue | $2.4B↑5% | $2.3B↓4% | $2.4B↓13% | $2.8B↑22% | $2.3B |
| Operating Income | $504.7M↑13% | $446.1M↓5% | $467.3M↑16% | $402.0M↓3% | $413.1M |
| Net Income | $180.8M↑113% | -$1.4B↓4914% | $28.7M↑114% | -$212.0M↓180% | $264.9M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.22↑112% | $-1.90↓6433% | $0.03↑109% | $-0.33↓180% | $0.41 |
| Gross Margin | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating Margin | 20.7%↑8% | 19.2%↓1% | 19.4%↑34% | 14.5%↓20% | 18.2% |
| ROE | 3.9%↑113% | -29.3%↓5254% | 0.6%↑114% | -4.1%↓190% | 4.5% |
| Total Debt | $6.5B↓2% | $6.7B↓11% | $7.5B | $7.5B↑21% | $6.2B |
| Shareholders' Equity | $4.6B↓1% | $4.7B↓7% | $5.0B↓3% | $5.2B↓11% | $5.9B |
| Current Ratio | 1.00↑32% | 0.76↑20% | 0.63↓11% | 0.71↑4% | 0.69 |
| Debt / Equity | 1.41↓1% | 1.42↓4% | 1.49↑3% | 1.44↑36% | 1.06 |
| Operating Cash Flow | $593.6M↑23% | $481.7M↓23% | $628.0M↑1% | $619.1M↑293% | $157.5M |
| Free Cash Flow | -$178.3M↑54% | -$390.7M↑2% | -$398.1M↑15% | -$469.9M↑60% | -$1.2B |
Score history
Historical Score Timeline
Industry peers
Industry Peers
Similar companies in Utilities
AQN vs Peers — Financial Grading
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Revenue | Net Income | ROE | D/E | Op. Margin | Curr. Ratio | Graham | Buffett | Lynch | Greenblatt | Piotroski | Dreman |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOUTHERN COSO | $109.0B | $93.59 | $29.6B | $4.3B | 12.1% | 2.00 | 24.7% | 0.65 | 2/9 | 2/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 5 | 3/11 |
| AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER CO INCAEP | $70.3B | $129.18 | $21.9B | $3.7B | 11.9% | 1.52 | 24.3% | 0.45 | 4/9 | 3/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 5 | 3/11 |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc.LNG | $63.0B | $308.75 | $20.0B | $5.3B | 67.3% | 2.88 | 45.6% | 0.94 | 2/9 | 4/9 | 4/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 8 | 3/11 |
| DOMINION ENERGY, INCD | $59.5B | $67.66 | $16.5B | $3.0B | 10.3% | 1.60 | 26.7% | 0.77 | 2/9 | 0/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 | 3/11 |
| ATMOS ENERGY CORPATO | $29.8B | $176.30 | $4.7B | $1.2B | 8.8% | 0.66 | 33.2% | 0.77 | 3/9 | 3/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 | 3/11 |
| EVERSOURCE ENERGYES | $27.0B | $71.73 | $13.5B | $1.7B | 10.5% | 1.75 | 22.1% | 0.65 | 2/9 | 2/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 | 4/11 |
| PPL CorpPPL | $26.9B | $35.67 | $9.0B | $1.2B | 7.9% | 1.27 | 23.5% | 0.86 | 2/9 | 0/9 | 0/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 5 | 2/11 |
| ALLIANT ENERGY CORPLNT | $19.0B | $73.43 | $4.4B | $810.0M | 11.0% | 1.64 | 23.5% | 0.80 | 2/9 | 2/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 | 2/11 |