Arrive AI Inc.

ARAI
About the company

Arrive AI Inc., a technology company, designs and implements a commercially viable smart mailbox and platform system in the United States. It offers an ALM network of Arrive Points smart lockers and mini-cross-docks for secure and asynchronous exchange points, which connect drones, robots, delivery providers, retailers, and consumers. The company was formerly known as Arrive Technology Inc.

Country: United StatesPrice: $2.25Market Cap: $3.2M

Investment snapshot

6%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

1

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 13

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

—

No comparable estimates

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILNot rankedPASSFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

TTM ended 2026-06-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-08-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-15

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30 · TTM ended 2026-06-30

Latest source filing: 2026-08-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-15

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-15

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-06-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-08-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30

Latest source filing: 2026-08-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-15

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30

Latest source filing: 2026-08-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-04-15

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-06-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-08-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-05-01–2026-11-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30

Latest source filing: 2026-08-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-04-15

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-06-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30 · Price history 2025-05-01–2026-11-01 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-08-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-15

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30

Latest source filing: 2026-08-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-06-30 · Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-05-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-08-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Profitability0% pass✓ 2✗ 33▾

      No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

      Positive EPS (10 years)0/3 years positive
      ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)0/3 years positive
      ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-518.1%
      ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)
      ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy$-12.8M
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
      ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE-561.3%
      ✗Lynch> 15%
      EBIT / Enterprise ValueN/A (EV <= 0)
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=N/A (EV <= 0), ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Net Income / Total Assets-117.34%
      ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY-459.40% -> -117.34% (delta: +342.06%)
      ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-75.50%, ROA=-117.34%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Gross Margin Change YoY
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue-51016.1%
      ✗Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-561.3%
      ✗Dreman> 12%
      Margin of SafetyP/B=31.1x
      ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
      Return on Equity-518.1% (3-yr avg)
      ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency0/2 years positive
      ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Operating Income / Revenue
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity-561.3%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend
      ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      Net income / market capitalization-825.28%; #6029/6340 (top 95.1%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Gross profit / total assets
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / positive book equity-561.34%; #5090/5226 (top 97.4%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years
      ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
    • Valuation0% pass✓ 2✗ 26▾

      No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

      Price / 3-yr avg EPS
      ✗Graham<= 15x
      Price-to-Book Ratio31.1x
      ✗Graham<= 1.5x
      P/E x P/B
      ✗Graham<= 22.5
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      EBIT / Enterprise ValueN/A (EV <= 0)
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=N/A (EV <= 0), ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Price / EPS
      ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
      Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      Price / Book Value per Share31.1x
      ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
      Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-17.2%
      ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-271.4%
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=31.1x
      ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Price vs. Trailing Low1860% of trailing low ($0.12)
      ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      Net income / market capitalization-825.28%; #6029/6340 (top 95.1%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Positive book equity / market capitalization+1.4702; #943/6449 (top 14.6%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Price / Diluted EPS
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
      ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Price / Tangible Book Value per Share34.94x
      ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Book Value per Share Change
      ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Revenue / market capitalization+0.0162; #4793/5247 (top 91.3%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-271.38%; #4259/4519 (top 94.2%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+177.78%; #171/6202 (top 2.8%)
      ✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Cash Flow0% pass✓ 1✗ 11▾

      No clean pass — all 10 investors flag at least one cash flow criterion

      Free Cash Flow Proxy$-12.8M
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      FCF Positive and Growing$-8.7M
      ✗LynchPositive and growing
      Operating Cash Flow$-8.3M
      ✗PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-75.50%, ROA=-117.34%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-271.4%
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      FCF Positive0/2 years FCF positive
      ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
      (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap-11.4%
      ✗Ackman>= 4%
      Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency0/2 years positive
      ✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$-8.7M
      ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-271.38%; #4259/4519 (top 94.2%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Growth0% pass✓ 1✗ 12▾

      No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)
      ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
      EPS Growth Direction
      ✗DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      Positive Net Income Frequency0/2 years positive
      ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      3yr Median Revenue Growth
      ✗Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency0/1 years with positive EPS growth
      ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR
      ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    • Efficiency0% pass✓ 1✗ 10▾

      No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one efficiency criterion

      Current Ratio0.92
      ✗Graham>= 2.0
      ROIC (3-5 yr avg)
      ✗Buffett> 10%
      ROIC - WACC
      ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
      EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)N/A (invested capital <= 0)
      ✗Greenblatt> 25%
      Current Ratio Change YoY0.31 -> 0.34
      ✓PiotroskiIncreased YoY
      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.92
      ✗Dreman> 1.5
      Return on Invested Capital
      ✗Munger> 15%
      ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=unavailable; FY2025: ROIC=unavailable
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
      Reinvestment Rate x ROIC
      ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROIC (5-year)
      ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
    • Verdicts7% pass✓ 1✗ 13▾

      Split decision: 13 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL · 1 PASS

      Overall verdict
      ✗GrahamFAIL (0/9)✗BuffettFAIL (0/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)•GreenblattNot ranked✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 4)✗DremanFAIL (1/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (0/5)✗AckmanFAIL (1/9)✗TempletonFAIL (2/8)✗SleepFAIL (0/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (0/6)✗SchlossFAIL (1/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
    • Debt & Leverage50% pass✓ 9✗ 6▾

      6 of 12 pass — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +3 more object

      LT Debt vs Net Current Assets
      ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
      Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.00, IC: -188.9x
      ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
      Total Debt / Equity0.01
      ✓Lynch< 0.33
      Cash - Long-term Debt
      ✗LynchPositive preferred
      LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%
      ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.92
      ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.01
      ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
      Debt Levels0.01
      ✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
      Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-188.9x, D/EBITDA=N/A
      ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
      Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.01
      ✓Ackman<= 1.0
      Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.0098; #613/4210 (top 14.6%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

    Business & financials

    Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

    Company Profile

    Industry: Business Services
    Size: Micro Cap($3.2M)
    Revenue: $113250.00
    Net Income: $12.8M-182.7% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin--
    Return on Equity-518.1%
    Debt / Equity0.00
    Current Ratio0.34
    EPS (Diluted)$-0.40
    Buybacks (1y)$74.7K
    Shares Retired−17.5%

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2025

    Issued 17.5% of shares last year.

    Buybacks
    $74.7K
    Dividends
    —

    Company Financials

    Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

    TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

    The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.

    MetricTTM · 2026-09-30

    2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: revenue, net income, pre tax income, operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, buybacks, capex.

    Q3 FY 2026

    2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex.

    Q2 FY 2026

    2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex.

    Q1 FY 2026

    2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31

    Sources
    FY 2025
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2026-04-15
    FY 2024
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2026-04-15
    FY 2023
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2026-04-15
    Market Cap$3.2Mcurrent------$63.6Mest.$170.1Mest.--
    Revenue$84.4K$39.7K↑433%$14.7K↓84%$14.9K$113.3K----
    Operating Income--------------
    Net Income-$28.0M-$3.7M↓64%-$14.1M↓200%-$6.4M↓222%-$12.8M↓183%-$4.5M--
    EPS (Diluted)--$-3.37↓4714%$-0.28↓87%$-0.18↓157%$-0.40↓150%$-0.16--
    Gross Margin———————
    Operating Margin———————
    ROE-1275.2%———-518.1%↓212%461.6%—
    Total Debt$41.9K$41.9K↑229%$46.7K↑213%$8.3K↓51%$10.6K↓45%$19.1K--
    Shareholders' Equity$2.2M$2.2M↓53%$4.7M↑36%$2.6M↓57%$2.5M↑352%-$983.2K↓106%-$477.8K
    Current Ratio0.450.45↓76%0.92↓43%0.78↓80%0.34↑9%0.31—
    Debt / Equity0.020.02↑604%0.01↑129%0.00↑13%0.00↑122%-0.02—
    Operating Cash Flow-$12.9M-$3.5M↓179%-$3.3M↓2%-$2.9M↓436%-$8.3M↓261%-$2.3M--
    Free Cash Flow---$3.6M-$3.5M-$3.2M-$8.7M↓276%-$2.3M--

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Business Services

    ARAI vs Peers — Financial Grading

    Revenue$113250.00Bottom 25%
    Net Income$12.8MMedian
    ROE-518.1%Bottom 25%
    D/E0.00Top 25%
    Op. Margin—
    Curr. Ratio0.34Bottom 25%
    CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
    AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING INCADP$122.3B$309.93$21.9B$4.4B73.2%0.8224.2%1.054/95/93/70/3F-Score 65/11
    ELECTRONIC ARTS INC.EA$52.9B$209.70$7.5B$887.0M13.1%0.2215.4%1.051/94/94/70/3F-Score 66/11
    Rubrik, Inc.RBRK$22.6B$109.88$1.3B$348.8M67.1%—-26.2%1.691/90/92/70/3F-Score 62/11
    AECOMACM$9.1B$70.50$16.1B$561.8M22.5%1.096.4%1.141/93/93/71/3F-Score 82/11
    COMMVAULT SYSTEMS INCCVLT$6.2B$152.07$1.2B$70.7M942.8%—6.3%1.951/92/94/70/3F-Score 66/11
    WPP plcWPP$6.0B$27.79$18.2B$289.5M-8.5%1.942.8%0.891/92/91/70/3F-Score 32/11
    VARONIS SYSTEMS INCVRNS$5.6B$48.94$623.5M$129.3M-21.6%0.76-23.5%1.971/90/91/70/3F-Score 51/11
    ROBERT HALF INC.RHI$4.3B$42.00$5.4B$133.0M10.4%—1.4%1.532/95/91/70/3F-Score 52/11