Avidia Bancorp, Inc.

AVBC
About the company

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Avidia Bank that provides various financial services to individual and corporate customers. The company offers savings and checking, certificates of deposit, individual retirement, money market, demand deposit, and interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing checking accounts.

Country: United StatesPrice: $22.53Market Cap: $405.2M

Investment snapshot

6%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

1

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 13

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$13.10

-41.9% vs price

Models with upside

0 / 16

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

3 of 4 pass — Schloss objects

Key risk

All 8 investors flag AVBC's growth

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A-84.8%N/A-60.8%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-08-01–2026-11-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-08-01–2026-11-01 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-08-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Debt & Leverage75% pass✓ 4✗ 1▾

    3 of 4 pass — Schloss objects

    LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%
    ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.08
    ✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.0761; #1168/4210 (top 27.7%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities
    ✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
  • Cash Flow60% pass✓ 8✗ 4▾

    6 of 10 pass — Buffett, Dreman, Pabrai +1 more object

    Free Cash Flow Proxy$-3.3M
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing$24.1M
    ✓LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$28.4M
    ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=1.00%, ROA=-0.12%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)15.9x
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=5.9%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive2/2 years FCF positive
    ✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap9.8%
    ✓Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per Share18.8x
    ✓Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency2/2 years positive
    ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$44.4M
    ✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+10.96%; #657/4519 (top 14.5%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

Where It Falls Short

  • Growth0% pass✗ 12▾

    All 8 investors flag AVBC's growth

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    EPS Growth Direction
    ✗DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR
    ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency1/2 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth
    ✗Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency
    ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR
    ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Efficiency0% pass✗ 3▾

    All 3 investors flag AVBC's efficiency

    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Reinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROE (5-year)0/2 years above 12% (latest -0.9%)
    ✗SleepROE > 12% in a majority of years
  • Valuation models0% pass✗ 2▾

    AVBC overvalued: all 2 models price fair value below $22.53 (median $13.10)

    Munger fair value$12.19
    ✗Munger-84.8% margin vs $22.53
    Akre fair value$14.01
    ✗Akre-60.8% margin vs $22.53
  • Profitability6% pass✓ 3✗ 32▾

    15 of 16 flag AVBC's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +12 more

    Net income / market capitalization+6.69%; #1244/6340 (top 19.6%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive EPS (10 years)0/3 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)1/3 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)2.5%
    ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)
    ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy$-3.3M
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE7.4%
    ✗Lynch> 15%
    Net Income / Total Assets-0.12%
    ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY0.43% -> -0.12% (delta: -0.55%)
    ✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=1.00%, ROA=-0.12%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue
    ✗Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity7.4%
    ✗Dreman> 12%
    Return on Equity7.4%
    ✗Munger> 15%✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Margin of SafetyP/TBV=1.2x
    ✓PabraiP/TBV < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    ROE (high and growing)FY2023: ROE=unavailable; FY2024: ROE=5.9%; FY2025: ROE=-0.9%
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROE > 15% in each
    Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency1/2 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity7.4%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend
    ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    ROE (5-year)0/2 years above 12% (latest -0.9%)
    ✗SleepROE > 12% in a majority of years
    Gross profit / total assets
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity+7.39%; #2179/5226 (top 41.7%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years
    ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Verdicts7% pass✓ 1✗ 13▾

    Split decision: 13 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL · 1 PASS

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (1/7)✗BuffettFAIL (0/6)✗LynchFAIL (1/4)✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 3)✗DremanFAIL (0/9)✗MungerFAIL (1/3)✗PabraiFAIL (1/3)✗AkreFAIL (0/5)✗MarksFAIL (2/4)✗AckmanFAIL (2/8)✗TempletonFAIL (3/8)✗SleepFAIL (1/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (1/6)✗SchlossFAIL (1/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
  • Valuation17% pass✓ 6✗ 20▾

    10 of 12 flag AVBC's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +7 more

    Price / Book Value per Share1.2x
    ✓Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Net income / market capitalization+6.69%; #1244/6340 (top 19.6%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Price / 3-yr avg EPS
    ✗Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Tangible-Book Ratio1.2x
    ✓Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/TBV
    ✗Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    Price / EPS
    ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)15.9x
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share1.2x
    ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-1.1%
    ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=5.9%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=1.2x
    ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per Share18.8x
    ✓Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low152% of trailing low ($14.87)
    ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.9046; #1673/6449 (top 25.9%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS
    ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Book Value per Share Change
    ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+10.96%; #657/4519 (top 14.5%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+10.23%; #1846/6202 (top 29.8%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Banking
Size: Small Cap($405.2M)
Revenue: N/A
Net Income: $3.3M-128.6% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin--
Return on Equity-0.9%
Debt / Equity0.07
Current Ratio--
EPS (Diluted)$-0.18
Sector-adjusted criteria: Bank

Leverage is a bank’s business model and current accounts don’t exist on its balance sheet, so debt and liquidity tests are omitted and tangible book value and ROE replace their industrial analogs.

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.

MetricTTM · 2026-09-30

2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: net income, pre tax income, operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex, dividends paid, re sale gains.

Q3 FY 2026

2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex, dividends paid, re sale gains.

Q2 FY 2026

2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex, dividends paid, re sale gains.

Q1 FY 2026

2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31

Sources
FY 2025
Sources
  • 10-K · 2026-03-27
FY 2024
Sources
  • 10-K · 2026-03-27
FY 2023
Sources
  • 10-K · 2026-03-27
Market Cap$405.2Mcurrent------$368.2Mest.----
Revenue--------------
Operating Income--------------
Net Income$27.1M$8.6M↑1048%$7.2M↑85%$6.0M↑152%-$3.3M↓129%$11.5M--
EPS (Diluted)--$0.47↑1040%$0.39$0.32$-0.18----
Gross Margin———————
Operating Margin———————
ROE7.4%———-0.9%↓115%5.9%—
Total Debt$27.9M$27.9M$27.9M↑1%$27.9M$27.8M$27.7M--
Shareholders' Equity$366.6M$366.6M↓1%$389.5M↑103%$383.5M↑106%$379.0M↑96%$193.8M↑7%$180.8M
Current Ratio———————
Debt / Equity0.080.08↑2%0.07↓51%0.07↓51%0.07↓49%0.14—
Operating Cash Flow$47.4M$20.1M↓17%$10.1M↑531%$8.4M↑476%$28.4M↑22%$23.2M--
Free Cash Flow$44.4M$19.5M↓16%$9.2M↑378%$7.7M↑299%$24.1M↑18%$20.4M--

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Banking

AVBC vs Peers — Financial Grading

RevenueN/A
Net Income$3.3MBottom 25%
ROE-0.9%Bottom 25%
D/E0.07Median
Op. Margin—
Curr. Ratio—
CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchPiotroskiDreman
MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP INCMUFG$245.7B$21.83$74.2B$10.8B8.8%1.1219.9%—2/71/61/4F-Score 53/9
AMERICAN EXPRESS COAXP$215.0B$320.60$41.3B$10.8B32.4%1.68——2/73/63/4F-Score 43/9
Banco Santander, S.A.SAN$175.9B$12.21—$16.6B12.5%0.02——2/71/62/4F-Score 45/9
BARCLAYS BANK PLCATMP$82.1B$35.04$13.1B$6.3B7.5%0.01——2/71/60/4F-Score 74/9
BARCLAYS PLCBCS$76.0B$22.87$15.0B$9.7B9.2%0.02——1/70/60/4F-Score 72/9
FIRST CITIZENS BANCSHARES INC /DE/FCNCA$25.7B$2324.25$9.5B$2.2B9.9%1.62——5/73/61/4F-Score 52/9
KEYCORP /NEW/KEY$22.7B$21.46$7.5B$1.8B9.0%0.49——2/71/61/4F-Score 64/9
WEBSTER FINANCIAL CORPWBS$12.6B$77.57$2.9B$1.0B10.6%0.0850.7%—2/71/61/4F-Score 72/9