DIAGEO PLC

DEO
About the company

Diageo plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, and distribution of alcoholic beverages in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Latin America and Caribbean, and Africa. It offers beer, scotch, gin, vodka, rum, liqueur, raki, wine, Irish and Canadian whisky, US and Indian whisky, Chinese whisky, cachaça, tequila, brandy, and Chinese white spirit beverages.

Country: United KingdomPrice: $101.59Market Cap: $56.6B

Investment snapshot

29%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

5

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 9

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$19.76

-80.5% vs price

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

No clean pass — all 12 investors flag at least one debt & leverage criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILPASSFAILFAIL · Rank #1010 (Top 32.6%)PASSPASSFAILFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILPASSFAILFAILNEUTRALNEUTRAL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of Safety-875.9%N/A-1187.6%-479.9%N/A-318.2%N/A-1126.9%-106.9%-361.8%N/A-316.9%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-08-14

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Debt & Leverage0% pass✓ 2✗ 13▾

      No clean pass — all 12 investors flag at least one debt & leverage criterion

      LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $20.8B vs NCA $6.8B
      ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
      Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 2.14, IC: 3.8x
      ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
      Total Debt / Equity2.14
      ✗Lynch< 0.33
      Cash - Long-term Debt$-18.6B
      ✗LynchPositive preferred
      LT Debt / Total Assets Change40.94% -> 42.21%
      ✗PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.63
      ✓Dreman> 1.5✓SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity2.14
      ✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
      Debt Levels2.14
      ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
      Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=3.8x, D/EBITDA=N/A (D&A unavailable)
      ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
      Total Debt / Shareholders Equity2.14
      ✗Ackman<= 1.0
      Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-2.1414; #3811/4210 (top 90.5%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    • Valuation0% pass✓ 2✗ 26▾

      No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

      Net income / market capitalization+4.49%; #1846/6340 (top 29.1%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Price / 3-yr avg EPS62.7x
      ✗Graham<= 15x
      Price-to-Book Ratio22.3x
      ✗Graham<= 1.5x
      P/E x P/B1,397.6
      ✗Graham<= 22.5
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)12.87
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      EBIT / Enterprise Value5.5%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=5.5%, ROC=25.4%
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Price / EPS96.1x
      ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
      Price / (CFO / Shares)57.5x
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      Price / Book Value per Share22.3x
      ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
      Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=96.1x
      ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      P/E or FCF YieldP/E=96.1x
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=96.1x, P/B=22.3x
      ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-318.2% (IV=$24.29 vs Price=$101.59)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Price / FCF per Share
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Price vs. Trailing Low136% of trailing low ($74.45)
      ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.1960; #4206/6449 (top 65.2%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Price / Diluted EPS96.1x
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E0.09
      ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Price / Tangible Book Value per Share30.35x
      ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Book Value per Share Change+40.1%
      ✓SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Revenue / market capitalization+0.4943; #2644/5247 (top 50.4%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+23.20%; #1218/6202 (top 19.6%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Valuation models0% pass✗ 8▾

      DEO overvalued: all 8 models price fair value below $101.59 (median $19.76)

      Graham fair value$10.41
      ✗Graham-875.9% margin vs $101.59
      Lynch fair value$7.89
      ✗Lynch-1187.6% margin vs $101.59
      Greenblatt fair value$17.52
      ✗Greenblatt-479.9% margin vs $101.59
      Dreman fair value$24.29
      ✗Dreman-318.2% margin vs $101.59
      Pabrai fair value$8.28
      ✗Pabrai-1126.9% margin vs $101.59
      Akre fair value$49.11
      ✗Akre-106.9% margin vs $101.59
      Marks fair value$22.00
      ✗Marks-361.8% margin vs $101.59
      Templeton fair value$24.37
      ✗Templeton-316.9% margin vs $101.59
    • Cash Flow20% pass✓ 3✗ 9▾

      8 of 10 flag DEO's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Dreman +5 more

      Free Cash Flow Proxy
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      FCF Positive and Growing
      ✗LynchPositive and growing
      Operating Cash Flow$4.3B
      ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=8.71%, ROA=5.15%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Price / (CFO / Shares)57.5x
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      P/E or FCF YieldP/E=96.1x
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      FCF Positive
      ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
      (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap
      ✗Ackman>= 4%
      Price / FCF per Share
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency10/10 years positive
      ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures
      ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Profitability31% pass✓ 18✗ 17▾

      11 of 16 flag DEO's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +8 more

      Net income / market capitalization+4.49%; #1846/6340 (top 29.1%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Positive EPS (10 years)10/11 years positive
      ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)25.9%
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)10/11 years positive
      ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)38.8%
      ✓Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)15.5% (latest)
      ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)0.25
      ✓BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)12.87
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR7.5%
      ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE22.9%
      ✓Lynch> 15%
      EBIT / Enterprise Value5.5%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=5.5%, ROC=25.4%
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Net Income / Total Assets5.15%
      ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY9.16% -> 5.15% (delta: -4.02%)
      ✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=8.71%, ROA=5.15%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Gross Margin Change YoY43.7% -> 43.5%
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue12.6%
      ✓Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity22.9%
      ✓Dreman> 12%
      Margin of SafetyP/E=96.1x, P/B=22.3x
      ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
      Return on Equity37.5% (3-yr avg)
      ✓AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-318.2% (IV=$24.29 vs Price=$101.59)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency10/10 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Operating Income / Revenue15.5%
      ✓Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity22.9%
      ✓Ackman>= 15%
      5-Year EPS CAGR7.5% CAGR over 5 years
      ✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend19.7% (2022) -> 15.5% (2024)
      ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 43.4% -> 43.5%, operating margin 19.7% -> 15.5%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      Gross profit / total assets+24.68%; #1747/3702 (top 47.2%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / positive book equity+22.89%; #681/5226 (top 13.0%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0181; #1335/5884 (top 22.7%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR7.5% over 5 years
      ✓Neff7%-20% annualized
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years10/10 years positive
      ✓Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
    • Verdicts33% pass✓ 5✗ 10▾

      Split decision: 9 FAIL · 5 PASS · 2 NEUTRAL

      Overall verdict
      ✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)✓BuffettPASS (4/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)✗GreenblattRank #1010✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 4)✓DremanPASS (5/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (1/5)✓AckmanPASS (5/9)✗TempletonFAIL (3/8)✓SleepPASS (3/6)✗AsnessFAIL (Rank #1149/2370 (Top 48.5%))✗NeffFAIL (3/6)•SchlossNEUTRAL (4/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
    • Growth38% pass✓ 5✗ 8▾

      5 of 8 flag DEO's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +2 more

      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)25.9%
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)12.87
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR7.5%
      ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: 9.7% vs Rev: 0.3%
      ✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
      EPS Growth Direction$1.20 (2015) -> $1.06 (2024)
      ✗DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR-1.4% CAGR over 9 years
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      Positive Net Income Frequency10/10 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      3yr Median Revenue Growth0.3%
      ✗Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency3/5 years with positive EPS growth
      ✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      5-Year EPS CAGR7.5% CAGR over 5 years
      ✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 43.4% -> 43.5%, operating margin 19.7% -> 15.5%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR5.1%
      ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR7.5% over 5 years
      ✓Neff7%-20% annualized
    • Efficiency50% pass✓ 6✗ 5▾

      4 of 8 pass — Graham, Piotroski, Munger +1 more object

      Current Ratio1.63
      ✗Graham>= 2.0
      ROIC (3-5 yr avg)14.8%
      ✓Buffett> 10%
      ROIC - WACC+4.8%
      ✓BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
      EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)25.4%
      ✓Greenblatt> 25%
      Current Ratio Change YoY1.53 -> 1.63
      ✓PiotroskiIncreased YoY
      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.61x -> 0.57x
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.63
      ✓Dreman> 1.5
      Return on Invested Capital9.8%
      ✗Munger> 15%
      ROIC (high and growing)FY2022: ROIC=15.0%; FY2023: ROIC=15.0%; FY2024: ROIC=9.8%
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
      Reinvestment Rate x ROIC0.4% (RR=4% x ROIC=9.8%)
      ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROIC (5-year)4/5 years above 12% (latest 9.8%)
      ✓SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years

    Business & financials

    Financial snapshot: annual FY 2024. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

    Company Profile

    Industry: Beer & Liquor
    SIC Sector: Food Products
    Size: Large Cap($56.6B)
    Revenue: $28.0B+0.3% YoY
    Net Income: $2.5B-39.1% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin15.5%
    Return on Equity22.9%
    Debt / Equity2.14
    Current Ratio1.63
    EPS (Diluted)$1.06−38.8% 1y
    Shares Retired−0.0% / 1.1% 2y

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2024

    Issued 0.0% of shares last year, 1.1% over two.

    Buybacks
    —
    Dividends
    $2.4B

    What drove EPS

    A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

    FY21
    8.0% = 10.0% + −1.8%
    FY22
    22.4% = 17.3% + 4.3%
    FY23
    −16.7% = −12.3% + −5.0%
    FY24
    −38.8% = −39.1% + 0.4%
    Earnings Fewer shares More shares

    The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.

    Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

    Company Financials

    Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

    TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

    MetricFY 2024
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2025-08-14
    FY 2023
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2024-08-01
    FY 2022
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2023-08-03
    FY 2021
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2022-08-04
    FY 2020
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2022-08-04
    Market Cap$56.6Bcurrent$323.9Best.$391.9Best.$449.7Best.$354.1Best.
    Revenue$28.0B$27.9B↓6%$29.7B↑9%$27.2B↑3%$26.5B
    Operating Income$4.3B↓28%$6.0B↑3%$5.8B↑9%$5.3B↑4%$5.2B
    Net Income$2.5B↓39%$4.2B↓12%$4.8B↑17%$4.0B↑10%$3.7B
    EPS (Diluted)$1.06↓39%$1.73↓17%$2.07↑22%$1.69↑8%$1.57
    Gross Margin43.5%43.7%↑1%43.4%↑3%42.2%↑5%40.2%
    Operating Margin15.5%↓28%21.5%↑9%19.7%19.6%↑1%19.5%
    ROE22.9%↓45%41.5%↓14%48.1%↑12%42.8%↑11%38.6%
    Total Debt$23.7B↑10%$21.5B↑3%$20.8B↑7%$19.4B↓5%$20.4B
    Shareholders' Equity$11.1B↑11%$10.0B↑2%$9.9B↑4%$9.5B↓1%$9.5B
    Current Ratio1.63↑7%1.53↓6%1.63↑6%1.53↓4%1.60
    Debt / Equity2.142.14↑2%2.11↑3%2.05↓4%2.14
    Operating Cash Flow$4.3B↑5%$4.1B↑8%$3.8B↓20%$4.8B↓6%$5.1B
    Free Cash Flow----------

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Beer & Liquor

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    Net Income$2.5BMedian
    ROE22.9%Top 25%
    D/E2.14Bottom 25%
    Op. Margin15.5%Bottom 25%
    Curr. Ratio1.63Top 25%
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