Grande Group Ltd/HK

GRAN
About the company

Grande Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides corporate finance advisory services in Hong Kong and Chinese Mainland. It offers IPO sponsorship; referral; underwriting, placing, and securities brokerage services; executive training and corporate finance consulting services; and general advisory, independent financial, and compliance advisory services.

Country: Hong KongPrice: $1.15Market Cap: $28.7M

Investment snapshot

6%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

1

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 13

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$1.05

-8.7% vs price

Models with upside

1 / 16

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILPASSNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/AN/A-53.3%N/AN/A+64.2%-9.5%N/A-9.5%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-07-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-07-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-07-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-07-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Profitability0% pass✓ 4✗ 31▾

      No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

      Return on Equity-47.9%
      ✗Munger> 15%✓AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Positive EPS (10 years)3/5 years positive
      ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)3/5 years positive
      ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)57.3%
      ✓Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)-183.0% (latest)
      ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
      ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE-47.9%
      ✗Lynch> 15%
      Net Income / Total Assets-26.67%
      ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY34.59% -> -26.67% (delta: -61.26%)
      ✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-5.64%, ROA=-26.67%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue-200.6%
      ✗Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-47.9%
      ✗Dreman> 12%
      Margin of Safety
      ✗PabraiP/TBV < 1.5 or P/E < 15
      ROE (high and growing)FY2023: ROE=143.1%; FY2024: ROE=76.9%; FY2025: ROE=-47.9%
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROE > 15% in each
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-53.3% (IV=$0.75 vs Price=$1.15)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency3/4 years positive
      ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Operating Income / Revenue-183.0%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity-47.9%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend46.9% (2023) -> -183.0% (2025)
      ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 66.5% -> 88.6%, operating margin 46.9% -> -183.0%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      ROE (5-year)2/3 years above 12% (latest -47.9%)
      ✓SleepROE > 12% in a majority of years
      Net income / market capitalization-12.09%; #4265/6340 (top 67.3%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Gross profit / total assets+12.29%; #2631/3702 (top 71.1%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / positive book equity-47.90%; #4186/5226 (top 80.1%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.3129; #4635/5884 (top 78.8%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years
      ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
    • Valuation0% pass✓ 1✗ 25▾

      No clean pass — all 12 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

      Price / 3-yr avg EPS23.0x
      ✗Graham<= 15x
      Price-to-Tangible-Book Ratio
      ✗Graham<= 1.5x
      P/E x P/TBV
      ✗Graham<= 22.5
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      Price / EPS
      ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
      Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      Price / Tangible Book Value per ShareN/A (negative TBVPS)
      ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Valuation Reasonableness
      ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      P/E or FCF Yield
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=3.9x
      ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-53.3% (IV=$0.75 vs Price=$1.15)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Price / FCF per Share
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Price vs. Trailing Low111% of trailing low ($1.04)
      ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      Price / Book Value per Share3.9x
      ✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
      Net income / market capitalization-12.09%; #4265/6340 (top 67.3%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.2524; #3910/6449 (top 60.6%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Price / Diluted EPS
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
      ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Book Value per Share Change
      ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Revenue / market capitalization+0.0629; #4502/5247 (top 85.8%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+9.00%; #1913/6202 (top 30.8%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Growth0% pass✗ 12▾

      All 8 investors flag GRAN's growth

      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      EPS Growth Direction$0.13 (2022) -> $-0.14 (2025)
      ✗DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR-8.0% CAGR over 2 years
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      Positive Net Income Frequency3/4 years positive
      ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      3yr Median Revenue Growth-4.2%
      ✗Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency1/3 years with positive EPS growth
      ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 66.5% -> 88.6%, operating margin 46.9% -> -183.0%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR
      ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    • Verdicts7% pass✓ 1✗ 13▾

      Split decision: 13 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL · 1 PASS

      Overall verdict
      ✗GrahamFAIL (0/7)✗BuffettFAIL (1/6)✗LynchFAIL (0/4)✗PiotroskiFAIL (F-Score 2)✗DremanFAIL (0/9)✗MungerFAIL (0/3)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/5)✗MarksFAIL (1/4)✗AckmanFAIL (0/8)✗TempletonFAIL (2/8)✓SleepPASS (3/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (0/6)✗SchlossFAIL (0/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
    • Cash Flow20% pass✓ 3✗ 9▾

      8 of 10 flag GRAN's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Piotroski +5 more

      Free Cash Flow Proxy
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      FCF Positive and Growing$0.7M
      ✗LynchPositive and growing
      Operating Cash Flow$-0.7M
      ✗PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-5.64%, ROA=-26.67%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      P/E or FCF Yield
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      FCF Positive1/1 years FCF positive
      ✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
      (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap
      ✗Ackman>= 4%
      Price / FCF per Share
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency3/4 years positive
      ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures
      ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Debt & Leverage25% pass✓ 1✗ 4▾

      3 of 4 flag GRAN's debt & leverage — Templeton, Asness and Schloss

      LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%
      ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity
      ✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
      Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.54x
      ✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    • Valuation models25% pass✓ 1✗ 3▾

      Models split on GRAN at $1.15 — fair values range $0.75–$3.21

      Dreman fair value$0.75
      ✗Dreman-53.3% margin vs $1.15
      Akre fair value$3.21
      ✓Akre+64.2% margin vs $1.15
      Marks fair value$1.05
      ✗Marks-9.5% margin vs $1.15
      Templeton fair value$1.05
      ✗Templeton-9.5% margin vs $1.15
    • Efficiency33% pass✓ 1✗ 2▾

      2 of 3 flag GRAN's efficiency — Piotroski and Akre

      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.93x -> 0.14x
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Reinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)
      ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROE (5-year)2/3 years above 12% (latest -47.9%)
      ✓SleepROE > 12% in a majority of years

    Business & financials

    Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

    Company Profile

    Industry: Banking
    SIC Sector: Credit Institutions
    Size: Micro Cap($28.7M)
    Revenue: $1.8M-58.3% YoY
    Net Income: $3.5M-314.6% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin-183.0%
    Return on Equity-47.9%
    Debt / Equity--
    Current Ratio0.54
    EPS (Diluted)$-0.14−38.9% 1y
    Shares Retired−65.9% / −143.5% 2y
    Sector-adjusted criteria: Bank

    Leverage is a bank’s business model and current accounts don’t exist on its balance sheet, so debt and liquidity tests are omitted and tangible book value and ROE replace their industrial analogs.

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2025

    Issued 65.9% of shares last year, 143.5% issued over two.

    Buybacks
    —
    Dividends
    —

    What drove EPS

    A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

    FY23
    38.5% = 40.6% + −1.5%
    FY24
    −38.9% = −9.9% + −32.1%
    Earnings Fewer shares More shares

    The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.

    Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

    Company Financials

    Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

    TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

    MetricFY 2025
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2026-07-31
    FY 2024
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2025-07-31
    FY 2023
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2025-07-31
    FY 2022
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2025-07-31
    FY 2021
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2025-07-31
    Market Cap$28.7Mcurrent$67.1Mest.------
    Revenue$1.8M↓58%$4.3M↓4%$4.5M↑17%$3.9M--
    Operating Income-$3.3M↓274%$1.9M↓10%$2.1M↑48%$1.4M--
    Net Income-$3.5M↓315%$1.6M↓10%$1.8M↑41%$1.3M--
    EPS (Diluted)$-0.14↓227%$0.11↓39%$0.18↑38%$0.13--
    Gross Margin88.6%↑16%76.5%↑15%66.5%↑11%60.0%—
    Operating Margin-183.0%↓518%43.8%↓7%46.9%↑27%37.0%—
    ROE-47.9%↓162%76.9%↓46%143.1%↑161%-236.4%—
    Total Debt----------
    Shareholders' Equity$7.3M↑244%$2.1M↑68%$1.3M↑332%-$541.2K↑70%-$1.8M
    Current Ratio0.54↓60%1.36↑6%1.28——
    Debt / Equity—————
    Operating Cash Flow-$734.2K↓192%$794.1K↓31%$1.2M↑406%$229.0K--
    Free Cash Flow--$655.0K------

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Banking

    GRAN vs Peers — Financial Grading

    Revenue$1.8MBottom 25%
    Net Income$3.5MBottom 25%
    ROE-47.9%Bottom 25%
    D/E—
    Op. Margin-183.0%Bottom 25%
    Curr. Ratio0.54
    CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchPiotroskiDreman
    MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP INCMUFG$245.7B$21.83$74.2B$10.8B8.8%1.1219.9%—2/71/61/4F-Score 53/9
    AMERICAN EXPRESS COAXP$215.0B$320.60$41.3B$10.8B32.4%1.68——2/73/63/4F-Score 43/9
    Banco Santander, S.A.SAN$175.9B$12.21—$16.6B12.5%0.02——2/71/62/4F-Score 45/9
    BARCLAYS BANK PLCATMP$82.1B$35.04$13.1B$6.3B7.5%0.01——2/71/60/4F-Score 74/9
    BARCLAYS PLCBCS$76.0B$22.87$15.0B$9.7B9.2%0.02——1/70/60/4F-Score 72/9
    FIRST CITIZENS BANCSHARES INC /DE/FCNCA$25.7B$2324.25$9.5B$2.2B9.9%1.62——5/73/61/4F-Score 52/9
    KEYCORP /NEW/KEY$22.7B$21.46$7.5B$1.8B9.0%0.49——2/71/61/4F-Score 64/9
    WEBSTER FINANCIAL CORPWBS$12.6B$77.57$2.9B$1.0B10.6%0.0850.7%—2/71/61/4F-Score 72/9