GRUPO TMM SAB

GTMAY
About the company

Grupo TMM, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a logistics and transportation company in Mexico.

Country: MexicoPrice: $3.15Market Cap: $110.0M

Investment snapshot

18%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

3

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

1 / 12

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$0.28

-91.1% vs price

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILFAIL · Rank #1093 (Top 35.3%)BUYFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILBUYFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/A-200.0%N/AN/AN/AN/A-80.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-10-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Growth0% pass✓ 2✗ 11▾

      No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: -36.6% vs Rev: 18.2%
      ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
      EPS Growth Direction
      ✗DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      Positive Net Income Frequency6/10 years positive
      ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      3yr Median Revenue Growth18.2%
      ✓Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency
      ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 2.5% -> 8.9%, operating margin 1.9% -> 12.1%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR1.7%
      ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    • Valuation models0% pass✗ 2▾

      GTMAY overvalued: all 2 models price fair value below $3.15 (median $0.28)

      Greenblatt fair value$0.21
      ✗Greenblatt-200.0% margin vs $3.15
      Akre fair value$0.35
      ✗Akre-80.0% margin vs $3.15
    • Valuation8% pass✓ 7✗ 21▾

      12 of 13 flag GTMAY's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more

      Price / Book Value per Share1.1x
      ✓Dreman< 1.2x✓Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
      Net income / market capitalization+5.05%; #1677/6340 (top 26.5%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Price / 3-yr avg EPS
      ✗Graham<= 15x
      Price-to-Book Ratio1.1x
      ✓Graham<= 1.5x
      P/E x P/B
      ✗Graham<= 22.5
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      EBIT / Enterprise Value8.4%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=8.4%, ROC=9.2%
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Price / EPS
      ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
      Price / (CFO / Shares)9.4x
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      Valuation Reasonableness
      ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-10.1%
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=1.1x
      ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic Value
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Price vs. Trailing Low420% of trailing low ($0.15)
      ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.9166; #1648/6449 (top 25.6%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Price / Diluted EPS
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
      ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Price / Tangible Book Value per Share1.18x
      ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Book Value per Share Change
      ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Revenue / market capitalization+0.7729; #2088/5247 (top 39.8%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-10.09%; #3237/4519 (top 71.6%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+162.50%; #189/6202 (top 3.0%)
      ✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Profitability13% pass✓ 7✗ 28▾

      14 of 16 flag GTMAY's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +11 more

      Net income / market capitalization+5.05%; #1677/6340 (top 26.5%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Positive EPS (10 years)0/11 years positive
      ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)6/11 years positive
      ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-5.0%
      ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)12.1% (latest)
      ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy$-21.4M
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
      ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE5.5%
      ✗Lynch> 15%
      EBIT / Enterprise Value8.4%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=8.4%, ROC=9.2%
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Net Income / Total Assets2.87%
      ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY0.62% -> 2.87% (delta: +2.25%)
      ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=6.03%, ROA=2.87%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Gross Margin Change YoY-2.4% -> 8.9%
      ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue6.5%
      ✗Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity5.5%
      ✗Dreman> 12%
      Margin of SafetyP/B=1.1x
      ✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
      Return on Equity2.2% (3-yr avg)
      ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Discount to Intrinsic Value
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency6/10 years positive
      ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Operating Income / Revenue12.1%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity5.5%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend1.9% (2022) -> 12.1% (2024)
      ✓TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 2.5% -> 8.9%, operating margin 1.9% -> 12.1%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      Gross profit / total assets+3.92%; #3161/3702 (top 85.4%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / positive book equity+5.51%; #2401/5226 (top 45.9%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0482; #2534/5884 (top 43.1%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years
      ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
    • Efficiency13% pass✓ 2✗ 9▾

      7 of 8 flag GTMAY's efficiency — Graham, Buffett, Greenblatt +4 more

      Current Ratio1.12
      ✗Graham>= 2.0
      ROIC (3-5 yr avg)-2.0%
      ✗Buffett> 10%
      ROIC - WACC-12.0%
      ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
      EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)9.2%
      ✗Greenblatt> 25%
      Current Ratio Change YoY0.91 -> 1.12
      ✓PiotroskiIncreased YoY
      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.37x -> 0.44x
      ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.12
      ✗Dreman> 1.5
      Return on Invested Capital6.6%
      ✗Munger> 15%
      ROIC (high and growing)FY2022: ROIC=1.4%; FY2023: ROIC=1.4%; FY2024: ROIC=6.6%
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
      Reinvestment Rate x ROIC6.6% (RR=100% x ROIC=6.6%)
      ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROIC (5-year)0/5 years above 12% (latest 6.6%)
      ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
    • Verdicts19% pass✓ 3✗ 13▾

      Split decision: 12 FAIL · 2 BUY · 1 PASS · 1 NEUTRAL

      Overall verdict
      ✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)✗BuffettFAIL (1/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)✗GreenblattRank #1093✓PiotroskiBUY (F-Score 8)✗DremanFAIL (2/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (1/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (1/5)✗AckmanFAIL (3/9)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)✗SleepFAIL (2/6)✓AsnessBUY (Rank #338/2370 (Top 14.3%))✗NeffFAIL (1/6)✗SchlossFAIL (1/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
    • Cash Flow20% pass✓ 3✗ 9▾

      8 of 10 flag GTMAY's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Dreman +5 more

      Free Cash Flow Proxy$-21.4M
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      FCF Positive and Growing$-11.1M
      ✗LynchPositive and growing
      Operating Cash Flow$11.7M
      ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=6.03%, ROA=2.87%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Price / (CFO / Shares)9.4x
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-10.1%
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      FCF Positive4/10 years FCF positive
      ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
      (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap-10.1%
      ✗Ackman>= 4%
      Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency7/10 years positive
      ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$-11.1M
      ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-10.09%; #3237/4519 (top 71.6%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Debt & Leverage42% pass✓ 8✗ 7▾

      7 of 12 flag GTMAY's debt & leverage — Graham, Lynch, Piotroski +4 more

      LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $18.2M vs NCA $7.0M
      ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
      Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.23, IC: 15.3x
      ✓BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
      Total Debt / Equity0.23
      ✓Lynch< 0.33
      Cash - Long-term Debt$-8.1M
      ✗LynchPositive preferred
      LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.38% -> 9.39%
      ✗PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.12
      ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.23
      ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
      Debt Levels0.23
      ✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
      Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=15.3x, D/EBITDA=N/A (D&A unavailable)
      ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
      Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.23
      ✓Ackman<= 1.0
      Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.2294; #1788/4210 (top 42.5%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

    Business & financials

    Financial snapshot: annual FY 2024. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

    Company Profile

    Industry: Transportation
    SIC Sector: Water Transportation
    Size: Micro Cap($110.0M)
    Revenue: $85.0M+18.2% YoY
    Net Income: $5.5M+365.9% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin12.1%
    Return on Equity5.5%
    Debt / Equity0.23
    Current Ratio1.12
    Shares Retired0.0%

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2024

    Retired 0.0% of shares last year.

    Buybacks
    —
    Dividends
    —

    Company Financials

    Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

    TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

    MetricFY 2024
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2025-10-23
    FY 2023
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2024-08-01
    FY 2022
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2023-05-16
    FY 2021
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2022-05-25
    FY 2020
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2021-05-17
    Market Cap$110.0Mcurrent$97.7Mest.$65.4Mest.$69.5Mest.$87.9Mest.
    Revenue$85.0M↑18%$71.9M↓17%$86.5M↑31%$66.1M↑9%$60.5M
    Operating Income$10.3M↑376%$2.2M↑30%$1.7M↑116%-$10.3M↑38%-$16.5M
    Net Income$5.5M↑366%$1.2M↑555%$182.0K↑102%-$11.9M↑41%-$20.0M
    EPS (Diluted)----------
    Gross Margin8.9%↑473%-2.4%↓194%2.5%↑185%-3.0%↑49%-5.9%
    Operating Margin12.1%↑303%3.0%↑56%1.9%↑112%-15.5%↑43%-27.3%
    ROE5.5%↑431%1.0%↑418%0.2%↑101%-13.6%↑25%-18.0%
    Total Debt$23.1M↑412%$4.5M↑30%$3.5M↓42%$6.0M↓35%$9.2M
    Shareholders' Equity$100.8M↓12%$114.8M↑26%$90.9M↑4%$87.2M↓21%$110.9M
    Current Ratio1.12↑23%0.91↓14%1.05↓4%1.10↑43%0.77
    Debt / Equity0.23↑483%0.04↑3%0.04↓45%0.07↓17%0.08
    Operating Cash Flow$11.7M↑122%$5.2M↓52%$10.9M↑386%-$3.8M↑64%-$10.7M
    Free Cash Flow-$11.1M↓344%-$2.5M↓126%$9.6M↑228%-$7.5M↑38%-$12.1M

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Transportation

    GTMAY vs Peers — Financial Grading

    Revenue$85.0MBottom 25%
    Net Income$5.5MBottom 25%
    ROE5.5%Bottom 25%
    D/E0.23Top 25%
    Op. Margin12.1%Bottom 25%
    Curr. Ratio1.12Median
    CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
    UNION PACIFIC CORPUNP$179.7B$302.44$24.5B$7.1B38.7%1.7240.2%0.912/94/94/70/3F-Score 73/11
    CSX CORPCSX$95.9B$52.05$14.1B$2.9B22.0%1.4332.1%0.812/94/93/70/3F-Score 53/11
    ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTDRCL$86.5B$323.27$17.9B$4.3B42.5%2.1327.4%0.181/91/91/70/3F-Score 73/11
    CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY COCNI$76.3B$127.18————————————
    NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORPNSC$73.6B$327.88$12.2B$2.9B18.5%1.1035.8%0.853/96/93/70/3F-Score 65/11
    MPLX LPMPLX$58.0B$57.25$13.0B$5.0B34.6%1.7945.7%1.232/94/94/71/3F-Score 68/11
    Carnival Corp Ltd.CCL$39.3B$29.23$26.6B$2.8B22.5%2.1716.8%0.321/91/92/70/3F-Score 74/11
    OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE, INC.ODFL$36.0B$174.54$5.5B$1.0B23.7%0.0124.8%1.443/97/95/71/3F-Score 65/11