Hydro One Ltd

HRNNF
About the company

Hydro One Limited operates as an electricity transmission and distribution company in Ontario. It operates through three segments: Transmission, Distribution, and Other. The company owns and operates approximately 30,000 circuit kilometers of high-voltage transmission lines and approximately 126,000 circuit kilometers primary low-voltage distribution lines.

Country: CanadaPrice: $40.04Market Cap: $24.0B

Investment snapshot

24%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

4

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 10

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$20.67

-48.4% vs price

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

All 12 investors flag HRNNF's debt & leverage

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILFAIL · Rank #1528 (Top 49.3%)PASSFAILPASSFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILPASSNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of Safety-68.6%-106.3%N/A-107.4%N/A-84.8%N/A-1554.5%-83.8%N/AN/A-93.7%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-10-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-10-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-10-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-02-13

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Debt & Leverage0% pass✗ 15▾

      All 12 investors flag HRNNF's debt & leverage

      LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $13.2B vs NCA $-1.0B
      ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
      Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 1.50, IC: 0.2x
      ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
      Total Debt / Equity1.50
      ✗Lynch< 0.33
      Cash - Long-term Debt$-12.8B
      ✗LynchPositive preferred
      LT Debt / Total Assets Change44.52% -> 45.61%
      ✗PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.61
      ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity1.50
      ✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
      Debt Levels1.50
      ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
      Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=0.2x, D/EBITDA=5.9x
      ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
      Total Debt / Shareholders Equity1.50
      ✗Ackman<= 1.0
      Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-1.5036; #3595/4210 (top 85.4%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    • Efficiency0% pass✓ 1✗ 10▾

      No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one efficiency criterion

      Current Ratio0.61
      ✗Graham>= 2.0
      ROIC (3-5 yr avg)5.5%
      ✗Buffett> 10%
      ROIC - WACC-4.5%
      ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
      EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)7.4%
      ✗Greenblatt> 25%
      Current Ratio Change YoY0.60 -> 0.61
      ✓PiotroskiIncreased YoY
      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.23x -> 0.23x
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.61
      ✗Dreman> 1.5
      Return on Invested Capital5.6%
      ✗Munger> 15%
      ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=5.4%; FY2024: ROIC=5.3%; FY2025: ROIC=5.6%
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
      Reinvestment Rate x ROIC2.3% (RR=42% x ROIC=5.6%)
      ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROIC (5-year)0/5 years above 12% (latest 5.6%)
      ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
    • Valuation models0% pass✗ 7▾

      HRNNF overvalued: all 7 models price fair value below $40.04 (median $20.67)

      Graham fair value$23.75
      ✗Graham-68.6% margin vs $40.04
      Buffett fair value$19.41
      ✗Buffett-106.3% margin vs $40.04
      Greenblatt fair value$19.31
      ✗Greenblatt-107.4% margin vs $40.04
      Dreman fair value$21.67
      ✗Dreman-84.8% margin vs $40.04
      Pabrai fair value$2.42
      ✗Pabrai-1554.5% margin vs $40.04
      Akre fair value$21.78
      ✗Akre-83.8% margin vs $40.04
      Templeton fair value$20.67
      ✗Templeton-93.7% margin vs $40.04
    • Valuation8% pass✓ 2✗ 26▾

      12 of 13 flag HRNNF's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more

      Price / 3-yr avg EPS27.7x
      ✗Graham<= 15x
      Price-to-Book Ratio2.6x
      ✗Graham<= 1.5x
      P/E x P/B72.10
      ✗Graham<= 22.5
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 24.6x (growth N/A)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      EBIT / Enterprise Value4.4%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=4.4%, ROC=7.4%
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Price / EPS24.6x
      ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
      Price / (CFO / Shares)12.2x
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      Price / Book Value per Share2.6x
      ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
      Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=24.6x, OE Yield=-2.0%
      ✓MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      P/E or FCF YieldP/E=24.6x, FCF Yield=-0.8%
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=24.6x, P/B=2.6x
      ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-84.7% (IV=$21.67 vs Price=$40.04)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Price vs. Trailing Low
      ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      Net income / market capitalization+4.10%; #1976/6340 (top 31.2%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.3844; #3340/6449 (top 51.8%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Price / Diluted EPS24.6x
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E-0.18
      ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Price / Tangible Book Value per Share2.83x
      ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Book Value per Share Change+11.4%
      ✓SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Revenue / market capitalization+0.2748; #3445/5247 (top 65.7%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-0.84%; #2648/4519 (top 58.6%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Profitability13% pass✓ 12✗ 23▾

      14 of 16 flag HRNNF's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +11 more

      Positive EPS (10 years)8/10 years positive
      ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)8/10 years positive
      ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)9.6%
      ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)24.8% (latest)
      ✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy$985.1M
      ✓BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
      ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 24.6x (growth N/A)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR-6.8%
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE10.7%
      ✗Lynch> 15%
      EBIT / Enterprise Value4.4%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=4.4%, ROC=7.4%
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Net Income / Total Assets3.40%
      ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY3.18% -> 3.40% (delta: +0.22%)
      ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=6.79%, ROA=3.40%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Gross Margin Change YoY51.2% -> 50.4%
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue17.3%
      ✓Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity10.7%
      ✗Dreman> 12%
      Margin of SafetyP/E=24.6x, P/B=2.6x
      ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
      Return on Equity9.9% (3-yr avg)
      ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-84.7% (IV=$21.67 vs Price=$40.04)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency8/9 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Operating Income / Revenue24.8%
      ✓Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity10.7%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      5-Year EPS CAGR-6.8% CAGR over 5 years
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend23.5% (2023) -> 24.8% (2025)
      ✓TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 53.4% -> 50.4%, operating margin 23.5% -> 24.8%
      ✓SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      Net income / market capitalization+4.10%; #1976/6340 (top 31.2%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Gross profit / total assets+11.48%; #2705/3702 (top 73.1%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / positive book equity+10.67%; #1707/5226 (top 32.7%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0009; #57/5884 (top 1.0%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR-6.8% over 5 years
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years8/9 years positive
      ✓Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
    • Growth13% pass✓ 4✗ 9▾

      7 of 8 flag HRNNF's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +4 more

      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 24.6x (growth N/A)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR-6.8%
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)
      ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
      EPS Growth Direction
      ✗DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      Positive Net Income Frequency8/9 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      3yr Median Revenue Growth3.3%
      ✗Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency3/5 years with positive EPS growth
      ✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      5-Year EPS CAGR-6.8% CAGR over 5 years
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 53.4% -> 50.4%, operating margin 23.5% -> 24.8%
      ✓SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR2.9%
      ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR-6.8% over 5 years
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    • Verdicts27% pass✓ 4✗ 11▾

      Split decision: 10 FAIL · 4 PASS · 2 NEUTRAL

      Overall verdict
      ✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)✗BuffettFAIL (2/9)✗LynchFAIL (1/7)✗GreenblattRank #1528✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 5)✗DremanFAIL (2/11)✓MungerPASS (2/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (0/6)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)✓AckmanPASS (4/9)✗TempletonFAIL (3/8)✓SleepPASS (3/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (3/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
    • Cash Flow40% pass✓ 5✗ 7▾

      6 of 10 flag HRNNF's cash flow — Lynch, Dreman, Pabrai +3 more

      Free Cash Flow Proxy$985.1M
      ✓BuffettPositive and growing
      FCF Positive and Growing$-200.8M
      ✗LynchPositive and growing
      Operating Cash Flow$2.0B
      ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=6.79%, ROA=3.40%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Price / (CFO / Shares)12.2x
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      P/E or FCF YieldP/E=24.6x, FCF Yield=-0.8%
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      FCF Positive7/9 years FCF positive
      ✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
      (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap-0.8%
      ✗Ackman>= 4%
      Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency9/9 years positive
      ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$-200.8M
      ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-0.84%; #2648/4519 (top 58.6%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

    Business & financials

    Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

    Company Profile

    Industry: Utilities
    SIC Sector: Electric, Gas & Sanitary Services
    Size: Large Cap($24.0B)
    Revenue: $6.6B+11.7% YoY
    Net Income: $985.1M+21.3% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin24.8%
    Return on Equity10.7%
    Debt / Equity1.50
    Current Ratio0.61
    EPS (Diluted)$1.63+21.7% 1y
    Shares Retired−0.1% / −0.1% 2y

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2025

    Issued 0.1% of shares last year, 0.1% issued over two.

    Buybacks
    —
    Dividends
    $575.4M

    What drove EPS

    A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

    FY22
    2.2% = 2.3% + −0.0%
    FY23
    5.9% = 5.9% + 0.0%
    FY24
    −2.2% = −1.8% + −0.4%
    FY25
    21.7% = 21.3% + 0.3%
    Earnings Fewer shares More shares

    Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

    Company Financials

    Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

    TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

    MetricFY 2025
    Sources
    • 40-F · 2026-02-13
    FY 2024
    Sources
    • 40-F · 2025-02-20
    FY 2023
    Sources
    • 40-F · 2024-02-13
    FY 2022
    Sources
    • 40-F · 2023-02-14
    FY 2021
    Sources
    • 40-F · 2022-02-25
    Market Cap$24.0Bcurrent$22.0Best.------
    Revenue$6.6B↑12%$5.9B$5.9B↑3%$5.7B↑1%$5.7B
    Operating Income$1.6B↑19%$1.4B↓2%$1.4B↑3%$1.4B↑7%$1.3B
    Net Income$985.1M↑21%$811.9M↓2%$826.9M↑6%$780.7M↑2%$763.5M
    EPS (Diluted)$1.63↑22%$1.34↓2%$1.37↑6%$1.29↑2%$1.26
    Gross Margin50.4%↓2%51.2%↓4%53.4%↑3%52.1%↑3%50.5%
    Operating Margin24.8%↑7%23.2%↓1%23.5%23.5%↑6%22.3%
    ROE10.7%↑11%9.6%↑3%9.4%9.4%↑5%8.9%
    Total Debt$13.9B↑14%$12.2B↑5%$11.6B↑15%$10.2B↓5%$10.7B
    Shareholders' Equity$9.2B↑10%$8.4B↓5%$8.8B↑6%$8.3B↓2%$8.5B
    Current Ratio0.610.60↑21%0.50↓2%0.51↓17%0.61
    Debt / Equity1.50↑4%1.45↑10%1.32↑8%1.22↓3%1.25
    Operating Cash Flow$2.0B↑11%$1.8B↓3%$1.8B↑9%$1.7B↓1%$1.7B
    Free Cash Flow-$200.8M↓55%-$129.6M↓356%$50.6M↓77%$216.9M↑25%$173.4M

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Utilities

    HRNNF vs Peers — Financial Grading

    Revenue$6.6BBottom 25%
    Net Income$985.1MBottom 25%
    ROE10.7%Median
    D/E1.50Top 25%
    Op. Margin24.8%Median
    Curr. Ratio0.61Bottom 25%
    CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
    SOUTHERN COSO$109.0B$93.59$29.6B$4.3B12.1%2.0024.7%0.652/92/92/70/3F-Score 53/11
    AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER CO INCAEP$70.3B$129.18$21.9B$3.7B11.9%1.5224.3%0.454/93/92/70/3F-Score 53/11
    Cheniere Energy, Inc.LNG$63.0B$308.75$20.0B$5.3B67.3%2.8845.6%0.942/94/94/70/3F-Score 83/11
    DOMINION ENERGY, INCD$59.5B$67.66$16.5B$3.0B10.3%1.6026.7%0.772/90/91/70/3F-Score 63/11
    ATMOS ENERGY CORPATO$29.8B$176.30$4.7B$1.2B8.8%0.6633.2%0.773/93/92/70/3F-Score 63/11
    EVERSOURCE ENERGYES$27.0B$71.73$13.5B$1.7B10.5%1.7522.1%0.652/92/92/70/3F-Score 64/11
    PPL CorpPPL$26.9B$35.67$9.0B$1.2B7.9%1.2723.5%0.862/90/90/70/3F-Score 52/11
    ALLIANT ENERGY CORPLNT$19.0B$73.43$4.4B$810.0M11.0%1.6423.5%0.802/92/92/70/3F-Score 62/11