HITACHI LTD
HTHIYAbout the company
Hitachi, Ltd. provides digital system and services, green energy and mobility, and connective industry solutions in Japan and internationally. It operates through Digital Systems & Services, Green Energy & Mobility, Connective Industries, and Others segments. The company offers system integration, consulting, cloud services, storage, servers, software, and ATMs; finance solutions, social infrastructure information systems, public IT solutions, industrial internet of things, digital engineering, control system, and cloud services; and IT products, such as data management and storage.
Investment snapshot
Positive
1
BUY / PASS
Neutral / negative
2 / 13
NEUTRAL / FAIL
Median fair value
$10.04
-67.4% vs price
Models with upside
0 / 17
Positive margin of safety
Strongest signal
6 of 10 pass — Buffett, Dreman, Pabrai +1 more object
Key risk
No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion
Framework analysis
| Verdict | Meaning |
|---|---|
| BUY | Positive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met. |
| PASS | The company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state. |
| NEUTRAL | Neither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position. |
| FAIL | The company does not clear the framework's requirements. |
| Ranked | Ranked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL. |
Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.
| Metric | Graham Defensive Value | Buffett Quality Compounder | Lynch GARP | Greenblatt Magic Formula | Piotroski F-Score | Dreman Contrarian Value | Munger Quality Focus | Pabrai Dhandho Framework | Akre Three-Legged Stool | Marks Risk-Aware Value | Ackman Activist Value | Templeton Global Bargain Hunter | Sleep Scale Economies Shared | Asness Systematic Factors | Neff Low-P/E Total Return | Schloss Asset-Value Discipline | O'Shaughnessy Systematic Factor Composite |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdict | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL · Rank #1428 (Top 46.1%) | NEUTRAL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | PASS | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | NEUTRAL |
| Score | |||||||||||||||||
| Analysis | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… |
| Intrinsic Value (annual) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | ||||
| Margin of Safety | -330.6% | N/A | N/A | -1264.2% | N/A | N/A | -137.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | -138.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Financial Basis | Annual history · FY 2010 Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2010 Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2010 Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2010 Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2010 Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2010 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2010 Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2010 Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2010 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2010 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2010 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2010 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2010 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2010 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2010 Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2010 Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2010 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2011-07-21 Score computed: 2026-11-14 |
Where It Passes
- Cash Flow60% pass✓ 8✗ 4▾
6 of 10 pass — Buffett, Dreman, Pabrai +1 more object
Free Cash Flow Proxy✗BuffettPositive and growingFCF Positive and Growing$7.1B✓LynchPositive and growingOperating Cash Flow$10.1B✓PiotroskiCFO > 0(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=9.16%, ROA=2.60%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAPrice / (CFO / Shares)13.8x✗Dreman< 8xP/E or FCF YieldP/E=51.9x, FCF Yield=5.2%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%FCF Positive4/4 years FCF positive✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap5.1%✓Ackman>= 4%Price / FCF per Share19.7x✓Ackman<= 25Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency4/4 years positive✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available yearsOperating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$7.1B✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+5.15%; #1554/4519 (top 34.4%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Where It Falls Short
- Growth0% pass✓ 1✗ 12▾
No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion
EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growthBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 51.9x (growth N/A)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passInventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: 23.5% vs Rev: 16.8%✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growthEPS Growth Direction$-0.18 (2007) -> $0.59 (2010)✓DremanPositive over recent yearsEPS CAGR✗Dreman> 5% annualizedPositive Net Income Frequency1/4 years positive✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years3yr Median Revenue Growth-5.1%✗Ackman>= 5%Positive EPS Growth Frequency2/3 years with positive EPS growth✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years5-Year EPS CAGR✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding5-year Revenue CAGR✗SleepCAGR > 7%3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR✗Neff7%-20% annualized - Efficiency0% pass✓ 1✗ 10▾
No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one efficiency criterion
Current Ratio1.20✗Graham>= 2.0ROIC (3-5 yr avg)✗Buffett> 10%ROIC - WACC✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)16.9%✗Greenblatt> 25%Current Ratio Change YoY1.21 -> 1.20✗PiotroskiIncreased YoYRevenue / Total Assets Change YoY1.00x -> 1.01x✓PiotroskiImproved YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities1.20✗Dreman> 1.5Return on Invested Capital✗Munger> 15%ROIC (high and growing)FY2008: ROIC=unavailable; FY2009: ROIC=unavailable; FY2010: ROIC=unavailable✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in eachReinvestment Rate x ROIC✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%ROIC (5-year)✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years - Valuation models0% pass✗ 4▾
HTHIY overvalued: all 4 models price fair value below $30.83 (median $10.04)
Graham fair value$7.16✗Graham-330.6% margin vs $30.83Greenblatt fair value$2.26✗Greenblatt-1264.2% margin vs $30.83Munger fair value$12.99✗Munger-137.3% margin vs $30.83Ackman fair value$12.92✗Ackman-138.6% margin vs $30.83 - Profitability6% pass✓ 8✗ 27▾
15 of 16 flag HTHIY's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +12 more
Positive EPS (10 years)1/5 years positive✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 yearsEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growthNet Income Positive (10+ years)1/5 years positive✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ yearsROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-17.1%✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)Operating Margin (10-yr trend)✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 yearsFree Cash Flow Proxy✗BuffettPositive and growingEarnings Variance (10-yr CoV)✗BuffettCoV < 0.3Retained Earnings Effectiveness✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value createdBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 51.9x (growth N/A)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passROE16.6%✓Lynch> 15%EBIT / Enterprise Value3.7%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=3.7%, ROC=16.9%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Net Income / Total Assets2.60%✓PiotroskiROA > 0ROA Change YoY-1.19% -> 2.60% (delta: +3.79%)✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=9.16%, ROA=2.60%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAGross Margin Change YoY23.6% -> 25.2%✓PiotroskiImproved YoYPre-Tax Income / Revenue4.6%✗Dreman>= 8%Net Income / Shareholders' Equity16.6%✓Dreman> 12%Margin of SafetyP/E=51.9x, P/B=8.0x✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15Return on Equity-22.2% (3-yr avg)✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePositive Net Income Frequency1/4 years positive✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsOperating Income / Revenue✗Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Shareholders Equity16.6%✓Ackman>= 15%5-Year EPS CAGR✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Operating Margin Trend✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 yearsRevenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holdingNet income / market capitalization+2.10%; #2702/6340 (top 42.6%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionGross profit / total assets+25.57%; #1680/3702 (top 45.4%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNet income / positive book equity+16.59%; #1022/5226 (top 19.6%)✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNegative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0455; #2452/5884 (top 41.7%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR✗Neff7%-20% annualizedPositive Diluted-EPS Years✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule) - Verdicts7% pass✓ 1✗ 14▾
Split decision: 13 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL · 1 PASS
Overall verdict✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)✗BuffettFAIL (0/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)✗GreenblattRank #1428•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 7)✗DremanFAIL (3/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (1/5)✓AckmanPASS (4/9)✗TempletonFAIL (2/8)✗SleepFAIL (2/6)✗AsnessFAIL (Rank #1548/2370 (Top 65.3%))✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (1/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked) - Debt & Leverage8% pass✓ 1✗ 14▾
11 of 12 flag HTHIY's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +8 more
LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $15.6B vs NCA $9.8B✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current AssetsDebt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 1.14, IC: 18.4x✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5xTotal Debt / Equity1.14✗Lynch< 0.33Cash - Long-term Debt$-9.0B✗LynchPositive preferredLT Debt / Total Assets Change17.98% -> 14.16%✓PiotroskiDecreased YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities1.20✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity1.14✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00xDebt Levels1.14✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=18.4x, D/EBITDA=N/A (D&A unavailable)✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4xTotal Debt / Shareholders Equity1.14✗Ackman<= 1.0Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-1.1380; #3353/4210 (top 79.6%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section - Valuation8% pass✓ 1✗ 27▾
12 of 13 flag HTHIY's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more
Price / 3-yr avg EPS✗Graham<= 15xPrice-to-Book Ratio8.0x✗Graham<= 1.5xP/E x P/B✗Graham<= 22.5Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 51.9x (growth N/A)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)EBIT / Enterprise Value3.7%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=3.7%, ROC=16.9%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Price / EPS51.9x✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)Price / (CFO / Shares)13.8x✗Dreman< 8xPrice / Book Value per Share8.0x✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=51.9x✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%P/E or FCF YieldP/E=51.9x, FCF Yield=5.2%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=51.9x, P/B=8.0x✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePrice / FCF per Share19.7x✓Ackman<= 25Price vs. Trailing Low131% of trailing low ($23.45)✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)Net income / market capitalization+2.10%; #2702/6340 (top 42.6%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionPositive book equity / market capitalization+0.1264; #4598/6449 (top 71.3%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionPrice / Diluted EPS51.9x✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)(EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)Price / Tangible Book Value per Share12.70x✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)Book Value per Share Change✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)Revenue / market capitalization+0.8178; #2011/5247 (top 38.3%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+5.15%; #1554/4519 (top 34.4%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionTrailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-4.99%; #3134/6202 (top 50.5%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Business & financials
Financial snapshot: annual FY 2010. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.
Company Profile
Financial Snapshot
Shareholder Return
Fiscal 2010
Issued 1.0% of shares last year, 34.1% issued over two.
- Buybacks
- $2.2M
- Dividends
- $270.2M
Company Financials
Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years
TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.
| Metric | FY 2010Sources
| FY 2009Sources
| FY 2008Sources
| FY 2007Sources
| FY 2006Sources
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $137.0Bcurrent | $30.4Best. | $20.1Best. | -- | -- |
| Revenue | $112.0B↑17% | $95.9B↓5% | $101.0B↓10% | $112.4B | -- |
| Operating Income | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Net Income | $2.9B↑351% | -$1.1B↑86% | -$8.0B↓1267% | -$582.1M | -- |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.59↑290% | $-0.31↑87% | $-2.39↓1245% | $-0.18 | -- |
| Gross Margin | 25.2%↑7% | 23.6%↑8% | 21.8% | 21.8% | — |
| Operating Margin | — | — | — | — | — |
| ROE | 16.6%↑299% | -8.3%↑89% | -75.0%↓4174% | -1.8% | — |
| Total Debt | $19.7B↓4% | $20.5B↑11% | $18.4B | -- | -- |
| Shareholders' Equity | $17.3B↑26% | $13.7B↑29% | $10.6B↓68% | $33.2B↑11% | $29.8B |
| Current Ratio | 1.20↓1% | 1.21↑11% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Debt / Equity | 1.14↓24% | 1.49↓14% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Operating Cash Flow | $10.1B↑19% | $8.5B↑51% | $5.6B↓29% | $7.9B | -- |
| Free Cash Flow | $7.1B↑29% | $5.5B↑296% | $1.4B↓57% | $3.2B | -- |
Score history
Historical Score Timeline
Industry peers
Industry Peers
Similar companies in Construction
HTHIY vs Peers — Financial Grading
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Revenue | Net Income | ROE | D/E | Op. Margin | Curr. Ratio | Graham | Buffett | Lynch | Greenblatt | Piotroski | Dreman |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QUANTA SERVICES, INC.PWR | $90.7B | $602.01 | $28.5B | $1.0B | 11.5% | 0.67 | 5.7% | 1.14 | 1/9 | 1/9 | 3/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 5 | 3/11 |
| HORTON D R INC /DE/DHI | $39.5B | $145.55 | $34.3B | $3.6B | 14.8% | 0.25 | — | — | 4/9 | 2/9 | 4/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 | 4/11 |
| EMCOR Group, Inc.EME | $28.9B | $659.36 | $17.0B | $1.3B | 34.6% | 0.00 | 10.1% | 1.22 | 3/9 | 6/9 | 6/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 7 | 6/11 |
| PULTEGROUP INC/MI/PHM | $23.4B | $127.01 | $17.3B | $2.2B | 17.1% | — | — | — | 3/9 | 2/9 | 5/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 3 | 5/11 |
| JACOBS SOLUTIONS INC.J | $18.7B | $158.23 | $12.0B | $289.3M | 7.9% | 0.61 | 7.2% | 1.30 | 3/9 | 1/9 | 2/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 7 | 1/11 |
| MASTEC INCMTZ | $14.7B | $182.78 | $14.3B | $399.0M | 12.2% | 0.72 | — | 1.32 | 1/9 | 1/9 | 2/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 8 | 3/11 |
| Toll Brothers, Inc.TOL | $13.6B | $147.85 | $11.0B | $1.3B | 16.3% | 0.11 | 15.7% | — | 3/9 | 4/9 | 5/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 4 | 7/11 |
| STERLING INFRASTRUCTURE, INC.STRL | $8.9B | $292.39 | $2.5B | $290.2M | 26.2% | 0.26 | 16.3% | 1.01 | 1/9 | 5/9 | 7/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 5 | 3/11 |