HITACHI LTD

HTHIY
About the company

Hitachi, Ltd. provides digital system and services, green energy and mobility, and connective industry solutions in Japan and internationally. It operates through Digital Systems & Services, Green Energy & Mobility, Connective Industries, and Others segments. The company offers system integration, consulting, cloud services, storage, servers, software, and ATMs; finance solutions, social infrastructure information systems, public IT solutions, industrial internet of things, digital engineering, control system, and cloud services; and IT products, such as data management and storage.

Country: JapanPrice: $30.83Market Cap: $137.0B

Investment snapshot

6%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

1

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 13

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$10.04

-67.4% vs price

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

6 of 10 pass — Buffett, Dreman, Pabrai +1 more object

Key risk

No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILFAIL · Rank #1428 (Top 46.1%)NEUTRALFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of Safety-330.6%N/AN/A-1264.2%N/AN/A-137.3%N/AN/AN/A-138.6%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2010

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2010

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2010

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2010

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2010

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2010 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2010

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2010

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2010 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2010 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2010 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2010 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2010 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2010 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2010

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2010

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2010 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2011-07-21

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Cash Flow60% pass✓ 8✗ 4▾

    6 of 10 pass — Buffett, Dreman, Pabrai +1 more object

    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing$7.1B
    ✓LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$10.1B
    ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=9.16%, ROA=2.60%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)13.8x
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF YieldP/E=51.9x, FCF Yield=5.2%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive4/4 years FCF positive
    ✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap5.1%
    ✓Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per Share19.7x
    ✓Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency4/4 years positive
    ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$7.1B
    ✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+5.15%; #1554/4519 (top 34.4%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

Where It Falls Short

  • Growth0% pass✓ 1✗ 12▾

    No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 51.9x (growth N/A)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: 23.5% vs Rev: 16.8%
    ✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
    EPS Growth Direction$-0.18 (2007) -> $0.59 (2010)
    ✓DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR
    ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency1/4 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth-5.1%
    ✗Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency2/3 years with positive EPS growth
    ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR
    ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Efficiency0% pass✓ 1✗ 10▾

    No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one efficiency criterion

    Current Ratio1.20
    ✗Graham>= 2.0
    ROIC (3-5 yr avg)
    ✗Buffett> 10%
    ROIC - WACC
    ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
    EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)16.9%
    ✗Greenblatt> 25%
    Current Ratio Change YoY1.21 -> 1.20
    ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY1.00x -> 1.01x
    ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.20
    ✗Dreman> 1.5
    Return on Invested Capital
    ✗Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2008: ROIC=unavailable; FY2009: ROIC=unavailable; FY2010: ROIC=unavailable
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROIC
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)
    ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
  • Valuation models0% pass✗ 4▾

    HTHIY overvalued: all 4 models price fair value below $30.83 (median $10.04)

    Graham fair value$7.16
    ✗Graham-330.6% margin vs $30.83
    Greenblatt fair value$2.26
    ✗Greenblatt-1264.2% margin vs $30.83
    Munger fair value$12.99
    ✗Munger-137.3% margin vs $30.83
    Ackman fair value$12.92
    ✗Ackman-138.6% margin vs $30.83
  • Profitability6% pass✓ 8✗ 27▾

    15 of 16 flag HTHIY's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +12 more

    Positive EPS (10 years)1/5 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)1/5 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-17.1%
    ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)
    ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 51.9x (growth N/A)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE16.6%
    ✓Lynch> 15%
    EBIT / Enterprise Value3.7%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=3.7%, ROC=16.9%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Net Income / Total Assets2.60%
    ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY-1.19% -> 2.60% (delta: +3.79%)
    ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=9.16%, ROA=2.60%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Gross Margin Change YoY23.6% -> 25.2%
    ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue4.6%
    ✗Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity16.6%
    ✓Dreman> 12%
    Margin of SafetyP/E=51.9x, P/B=8.0x
    ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    Return on Equity-22.2% (3-yr avg)
    ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency1/4 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity16.6%
    ✓Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend
    ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Net income / market capitalization+2.10%; #2702/6340 (top 42.6%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Gross profit / total assets+25.57%; #1680/3702 (top 45.4%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity+16.59%; #1022/5226 (top 19.6%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0455; #2452/5884 (top 41.7%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years
    ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Verdicts7% pass✓ 1✗ 14▾

    Split decision: 13 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL · 1 PASS

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)✗BuffettFAIL (0/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)✗GreenblattRank #1428•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 7)✗DremanFAIL (3/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (1/5)✓AckmanPASS (4/9)✗TempletonFAIL (2/8)✗SleepFAIL (2/6)✗AsnessFAIL (Rank #1548/2370 (Top 65.3%))✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (1/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
  • Debt & Leverage8% pass✓ 1✗ 14▾

    11 of 12 flag HTHIY's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +8 more

    LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $15.6B vs NCA $9.8B
    ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 1.14, IC: 18.4x
    ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity1.14
    ✗Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt$-9.0B
    ✗LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change17.98% -> 14.16%
    ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.20
    ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity1.14
    ✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Debt Levels1.14
    ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=18.4x, D/EBITDA=N/A (D&A unavailable)
    ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity1.14
    ✗Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-1.1380; #3353/4210 (top 79.6%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
  • Valuation8% pass✓ 1✗ 27▾

    12 of 13 flag HTHIY's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more

    Price / 3-yr avg EPS
    ✗Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Book Ratio8.0x
    ✗Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/B
    ✗Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 51.9x (growth N/A)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    EBIT / Enterprise Value3.7%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=3.7%, ROC=16.9%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Price / EPS51.9x
    ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)13.8x
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    Price / Book Value per Share8.0x
    ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=51.9x
    ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF YieldP/E=51.9x, FCF Yield=5.2%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=51.9x, P/B=8.0x
    ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per Share19.7x
    ✓Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low131% of trailing low ($23.45)
    ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Net income / market capitalization+2.10%; #2702/6340 (top 42.6%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.1264; #4598/6449 (top 71.3%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS51.9x
    ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share12.70x
    ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change
    ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization+0.8178; #2011/5247 (top 38.3%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+5.15%; #1554/4519 (top 34.4%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-4.99%; #3134/6202 (top 50.5%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2010. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Construction
SIC Sector: Heavy Construction
Size: Large Cap($137.0B)
Revenue: $112.0B+16.8% YoY
Net Income: $2.9B+351.2% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin--
Return on Equity16.6%
Debt / Equity1.14
Current Ratio1.20
EPS (Diluted)$0.59
Buybacks (1y)$2.2M
Buybacks (2y)$3.4M
Shares Retired−1.0% / −34.1% 2y

Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2010

Issued 1.0% of shares last year, 34.1% issued over two.

Buybacks
$2.2M
Dividends
$270.2M

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

MetricFY 2010
Sources
  • 20-F/A · 2011-07-21
FY 2009
Sources
  • 20-F/A · 2011-07-21
FY 2008
Sources
  • 20-F/A · 2011-07-21
FY 2007
Sources
  • 20-F · 2010-06-29
FY 2006
Sources
  • 20-F · 2010-06-29
Market Cap$137.0Bcurrent$30.4Best.$20.1Best.----
Revenue$112.0B↑17%$95.9B↓5%$101.0B↓10%$112.4B--
Operating Income----------
Net Income$2.9B↑351%-$1.1B↑86%-$8.0B↓1267%-$582.1M--
EPS (Diluted)$0.59↑290%$-0.31↑87%$-2.39↓1245%$-0.18--
Gross Margin25.2%↑7%23.6%↑8%21.8%21.8%—
Operating Margin—————
ROE16.6%↑299%-8.3%↑89%-75.0%↓4174%-1.8%—
Total Debt$19.7B↓4%$20.5B↑11%$18.4B----
Shareholders' Equity$17.3B↑26%$13.7B↑29%$10.6B↓68%$33.2B↑11%$29.8B
Current Ratio1.20↓1%1.21↑11%1.10——
Debt / Equity1.14↓24%1.49↓14%1.73——
Operating Cash Flow$10.1B↑19%$8.5B↑51%$5.6B↓29%$7.9B--
Free Cash Flow$7.1B↑29%$5.5B↑296%$1.4B↓57%$3.2B--

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Construction

HTHIY vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$112.0BTop 25%
Net Income$2.9BTop 25%
ROE16.6%Median
D/E1.14Bottom 25%
Op. Margin—
Curr. Ratio1.20Median
CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
QUANTA SERVICES, INC.PWR$90.7B$602.01$28.5B$1.0B11.5%0.675.7%1.141/91/93/71/3F-Score 53/11
HORTON D R INC /DE/DHI$39.5B$145.55$34.3B$3.6B14.8%0.25——4/92/94/70/3F-Score 44/11
EMCOR Group, Inc.EME$28.9B$659.36$17.0B$1.3B34.6%0.0010.1%1.223/96/96/71/3F-Score 76/11
PULTEGROUP INC/MI/PHM$23.4B$127.01$17.3B$2.2B17.1%———3/92/95/71/3F-Score 35/11
JACOBS SOLUTIONS INC.J$18.7B$158.23$12.0B$289.3M7.9%0.617.2%1.303/91/92/71/3F-Score 71/11
MASTEC INCMTZ$14.7B$182.78$14.3B$399.0M12.2%0.72—1.321/91/92/71/3F-Score 83/11
Toll Brothers, Inc.TOL$13.6B$147.85$11.0B$1.3B16.3%0.1115.7%—3/94/95/71/3F-Score 47/11
STERLING INFRASTRUCTURE, INC.STRL$8.9B$292.39$2.5B$290.2M26.2%0.2616.3%1.011/95/97/71/3F-Score 53/11