INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC /NEW/

IHG

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC owns, manages, franchises, and leases hotels in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates hotels under the Six Senses, Regent, InterContinental Hotels & Resorts, Vignette Collection, Kimpton Hotel, Hotel Indigo, voco, Ruby, HUALUXE, Crowne Plaza, Iberostar Beachfront Resorts, EVEN Hotels, Holiday Inn Express, Holiday Inn, Garner, avid hotels, Atwell Suites, Staybridge Suites, IHG, Holiday Inn Club Vacations, and Candlewood Suites brand names. The company also provides IHG Rewards loyalty program.

About the company

Country: United StatesPrice: $179.93Market Cap: $26.2B

Investment snapshot

35%positive consensus

Scored 1d ago

Positive

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

3 / 8

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$59.25

-67.1% vs price

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

5 of 8 pass — Graham, Piotroski and Dreman object

Key risk

No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

Framework analysis

Verdict	Meaning
BUY	Positive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASS	The company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRAL	Neither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAIL	The company does not clear the framework's requirements.
Ranked	Ranked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

Metric	Graham Defensive Value	Buffett Quality Compounder	Lynch GARP	Greenblatt Magic Formula	Piotroski F-Score	Dreman Contrarian Value	Munger Quality Focus	Pabrai Dhandho Framework	Akre Three-Legged Stool	Marks Risk-Aware Value	Ackman Activist Value	Templeton Global Bargain Hunter	Sleep Scale Economies Shared	Asness Systematic Factors	Neff Low-P/E Total Return	Schloss Asset-Value Discipline	O'Shaughnessy Systematic Factor Composite
Verdict	FAIL	FAIL	FAIL	BUY · Rank #543 (Top 17.5%)	NEUTRAL	FAIL	PASS	FAIL	PASS	FAIL	PASS	PASS	BUY	NEUTRAL	NEUTRAL	FAIL	FAIL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)	N/A				N/A				N/A	N/A			N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Margin of Safety	N/A	-349.7%	-47.9%	-240.5%	N/A	-174.1%	-99.1%	-416.7%	N/A	N/A	-79.2%	-260.5%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Financial Basis	Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

Efficiency63% pass✓ 8✗ 3▾
5 of 8 pass — Graham, Piotroski and Dreman object
Current Ratio0.98
✗Graham>= 2.0
ROIC (3-5 yr avg)73.5%
✓Buffett> 10%
ROIC - WACC+63.5%
✓BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)303.3%
✓Greenblatt> 25%
Current Ratio Change YoY0.97 -> 0.98
✓PiotroskiIncreased YoY
Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY1.04x -> 0.97x
✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.98
✗Dreman> 1.5
Return on Invested Capital64.8%
✓Munger> 15%
ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=69.3%; FY2024: ROIC=85.5%; FY2025: ROIC=64.8%
✓AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
Reinvestment Rate x ROIC41.7% (RR=64% x ROIC=64.8%)
✓AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
ROIC (5-year)5/5 years above 12% (latest 64.8%)
✓SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years

Where It Falls Short

Valuation0% pass✓ 1✗ 27▾
No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion
Price / 3-yr avg EPS41.1x
✗Graham<= 15x
Price-to-Book Ratio
✗Graham<= 1.5x
P/E x P/B
✗Graham<= 22.5
Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)1.04
✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
EBIT / Enterprise Value4.0%
✗Greenblatt> 10%
Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=4.0%, ROC=303.3%
✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
Price / EPS37.0x
✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
Price / (CFO / Shares)33.0x
✗Dreman< 8x
Price / Book Value per ShareN/A (negative BVPS)
✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=37.0x, OE Yield=2.7%
✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
P/E or FCF YieldP/E=37.0x, FCF Yield=3.3%
✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=37.0x
✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
Discount to Intrinsic Value-174.1% (IV=$65.65 vs Price=$179.93)
✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
Price / FCF per Share34.1x
✗Ackman<= 25
Price vs. Trailing Low167% of trailing low ($107.89)
✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
Net income / market capitalization+2.90%; #2409/6340 (top 38.0%)
✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Positive book equity / market capitalization-0.1048; #5721/6449 (top 88.7%)
✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Price / Diluted EPS37.0x
✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
(EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E0.98
✓Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
Price / Tangible Book Value per ShareN/A (non-positive TBVPS)
✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
Book Value per Share Change
✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
Revenue / market capitalization+0.1983; #3797/5247 (top 72.4%)
✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+3.33%; #1977/4519 (top 43.7%)
✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+16.17%; #1546/6202 (top 24.9%)
✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Valuation models0% pass✗ 8▾
IHG overvalued: all 8 models price fair value below $179.93 (median $59.25)
Buffett fair value$40.01
✗Buffett-349.7% margin vs $179.93
Lynch fair value$121.62
✗Lynch-47.9% margin vs $179.93
Greenblatt fair value$52.84
✗Greenblatt-240.5% margin vs $179.93
Dreman fair value$65.65
✗Dreman-174.1% margin vs $179.93
Munger fair value$90.36
✗Munger-99.1% margin vs $179.93
Pabrai fair value$34.82
✗Pabrai-416.7% margin vs $179.93
Ackman fair value$100.40
✗Ackman-79.2% margin vs $179.93
Templeton fair value$49.91
✗Templeton-260.5% margin vs $179.93
Debt & Leverage8% pass✓ 1✗ 14▾
11 of 12 flag IHG's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +8 more
LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $3.7B vs NCA $-51.0M
✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: N/A (negative equity), IC: 5.9x
✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
Total Debt / EquityN/A (negative equity)
✗Lynch< 0.33
Cash - Long-term Debt$-3.5B
✗LynchPositive preferred
LT Debt / Total Assets Change60.57% -> 69.65%
✗PiotroskiDecreased YoY
Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.98
✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity
✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
Debt LevelsN/A (non-positive equity)
✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=5.9x, D/EBITDA=3.3x
✓MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
Total Debt / Shareholders Equity
✗Ackman<= 1.0
Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)
✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Profitability19% pass✓ 12✗ 23▾
13 of 16 flag IHG's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +10 more
Positive EPS (10 years)10/12 years positive
✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
✗Graham>= 33% growth
Net Income Positive (10+ years)10/12 years positive
✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)
✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
Operating Margin (10-yr trend)23.1% (latest)
✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
Free Cash Flow Proxy$797.0M
✗BuffettPositive and growing
Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
Retained Earnings Effectiveness
✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)1.04
✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
3-5 Year EPS CAGR35.4%
✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
ROEN/A (negative equity)
✗Lynch> 15%
EBIT / Enterprise Value4.0%
✗Greenblatt> 10%
Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=4.0%, ROC=303.3%
✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
Net Income / Total Assets14.18%
✓PiotroskiROA > 0
ROA Change YoY13.23% -> 14.18% (delta: +0.95%)
✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=16.80%, ROA=14.18%
✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
Gross Margin Change YoY84.9% -> 85.3%
✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
Pre-Tax Income / Revenue20.7%
✓Dreman>= 8%
Net Income / Shareholders' Equity
✗Dreman> 12%
Margin of SafetyP/E=37.0x
✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
Return on Equity
✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
Discount to Intrinsic Value-174.1% (IV=$65.65 vs Price=$179.93)
✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
Positive Net Income Frequency10/11 years positive
✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
Operating Income / Revenue23.1%
✓Ackman>= 15%
Net Income / Shareholders Equity
✗Ackman>= 15%
5-Year EPS CAGR35.4% CAGR over 4 years
✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
Operating Margin Trend23.1% (2023) -> 23.1% (2025)
✓TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 84.0% -> 85.3%, operating margin 23.1% -> 23.1%
✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
Net income / market capitalization+2.90%; #2409/6340 (top 38.0%)
✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Gross profit / total assets+82.79%; #231/3702 (top 6.2%)
✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Net income / positive book equity
✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0369; #2172/5884 (top 36.9%)
✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR35.4% over 4 years
✗Neff7%-20% annualized
Positive Diluted-EPS Years9/10 years positive
✓Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
Growth38% pass✓ 6✗ 7▾
5 of 8 flag IHG's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +2 more
EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
✗Graham>= 33% growth
Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)1.04
✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
3-5 Year EPS CAGR35.4%
✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: 25.0% vs Rev: 5.4%
✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
EPS Growth Direction
✗DremanPositive over recent years
EPS CAGR
✗Dreman> 5% annualized
Positive Net Income Frequency10/11 years positive
✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
3yr Median Revenue Growth6.5%
✓Ackman>= 5%
Positive EPS Growth Frequency4/5 years with positive EPS growth
✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
5-Year EPS CAGR35.4% CAGR over 4 years
✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 84.0% -> 85.3%, operating margin 23.1% -> 23.1%
✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
5-year Revenue CAGR16.7%
✓SleepCAGR > 7%
3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR35.4% over 4 years
✗Neff7%-20% annualized
Verdicts43% pass✓ 6✗ 8▾
Split decision: 8 FAIL · 4 PASS · 3 NEUTRAL · 1 BUY
Overall verdict
✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)✗BuffettFAIL (2/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)✓GreenblattRank #543•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 7)✗DremanFAIL (2/11)✓MungerPASS (2/4)✗PabraiFAIL (1/3)✓AkrePASS (3/6)✗MarksFAIL (3/5)✓AckmanPASS (5/9)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)✓SleepBUY (5/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)•NeffNEUTRAL (4/6)✗SchlossFAIL (2/7)✗OshaughnessyFAIL (Rank #734/963 (Top 76.2%))
Cash Flow50% pass✓ 6✗ 6▾
5 of 10 pass — Buffett, Dreman, Pabrai +2 more object
Free Cash Flow Proxy$797.0M
✗BuffettPositive and growing
FCF Positive and Growing$870.0M
✓LynchPositive and growing
Operating Cash Flow$898.0M
✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=16.80%, ROA=14.18%
✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
Price / (CFO / Shares)33.0x
✗Dreman< 8x
P/E or FCF YieldP/E=37.0x, FCF Yield=3.3%
✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
FCF Positive11/11 years FCF positive
✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap2.9%
✗Ackman>= 4%
Price / FCF per Share34.1x
✗Ackman<= 25
Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency11/11 years positive
✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$870.0M
✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+3.33%; #1977/4519 (top 43.7%)
✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Restaurants, Hotels, Motels

SIC Sector: Hotels & Lodging

Size: Large Cap($26.2B)

Revenue: $5.2B+5.4% YoY

Net Income: $758.0M+20.7% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin23.1%

Return on Equity-27.7%

Debt / Equity-1.53

Current Ratio0.98

EPS (Diluted)$4.87+26.3% 1y

Buybacks (1y)$897.0M

Buybacks (2y)$1.7B

Shares Retired0.0% / 4.4% 2y

Similar Companies

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Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2025

Retired 0.0% of shares last year, 4.4% over two.

Buybacks: $897.0M
Dividends: $270.0M

What drove EPS

A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

FY22

42.5% = 41.0% + 1.1%

FY23

114.2% = 100.0% + 7.1%

FY24

−12.7% = −16.3% + 4.3%

FY25

26.3% = 20.7% + 4.6%

Earnings Fewer shares More shares

The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.

Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

Metric	FY 2025 Sources 20-F · 2026-02-26	FY 2024 Sources 20-F · 2025-02-27	FY 2023 Sources 20-F · 2024-02-29	FY 2022 Sources 20-F · 2023-03-02	FY 2021 Sources 20-F · 2022-03-03
Market Cap	$26.2Bcurrent	$22.2Best.	$15.6Best.	$12.1Best.	$11.4Best.
Revenue	$5.2B↑5%	$4.9B↑6%	$4.6B↑19%	$3.9B↑34%	$2.9B
Operating Income	$1.2B↑15%	$1.0B↓2%	$1.1B↑70%	$628.0M↑27%	$494.0M
Net Income	$758.0M↑21%	$628.0M↓16%	$750.0M↑100%	$375.0M↑41%	$266.0M
EPS (Diluted)	$4.87↑26%	$3.85↓13%	$4.41↑114%	$2.06↑42%	$1.45
Gross Margin	85.3%	84.9%↑1%	84.0%↑1%	83.4%	83.3%
Operating Margin	23.1%↑9%	21.1%↓8%	23.1%↑43%	16.1%↓5%	17.0%
ROE	-27.7%↓2%	-27.2%↑29%	-38.5%↓66%	-23.2%↓29%	-18.0%
Total Debt	$4.2B↑28%	$3.3B↑3%	$3.2B↑32%	$2.4B↓16%	$2.8B
Shareholders' Equity	-$2.7B↓19%	-$2.3B↓19%	-$1.9B↓21%	-$1.6B↓9%	-$1.5B
Current Ratio	0.98↑1%	0.97	0.97↓11%	1.09↓15%	1.27
Debt / Equity	-1.53↓8%	-1.42↑13%	-1.62↓9%	-1.48↑23%	-1.92
Operating Cash Flow	$898.0M↑24%	$724.0M↓19%	$893.0M↑38%	$646.0M↑2%	$636.0M
Free Cash Flow	$870.0M↑25%	$695.0M↓20%	$865.0M↑46%	$592.0M↓4%	$619.0M

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Restaurants, Hotels, Motels

IHG vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$5.2BBottom 25%

Net Income$758.0MBottom 25%

ROE-27.7%Bottom 25%

D/E-1.53Median

Op. Margin23.1%Median

Curr. Ratio0.98Top 25%

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MCDONALDS CORPMCD	$192.0B	$271.97	$26.9B	$8.6B	-478.1%	-22.72	46.1%	0.95	2/9	6/9	2/7	1/3	F-Score 5	4/11
STARBUCKS CORPSBUX	$121.4B	$106.44	$37.2B	$1.9B	-22.9%	-1.99	7.9%	0.72	2/9	6/9	2/7	1/3	F-Score 5	2/11
MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL INC /MD/MAR	$109.0B	$423.16	$26.2B	$2.6B	-69.0%	-4.30	15.8%	0.43	2/9	4/9	4/7	1/3	F-Score 7	2/11
YUM BRANDS INCYUM	$43.3B	$161.33	$8.2B	$1.6B	-21.3%	-1.63	31.3%	1.35	2/9	5/9	3/7	1/3	F-Score 5	2/11
DARDEN RESTAURANTS INCDRI	$25.9B	$228.74	$13.2B	$1.2B	54.7%	1.09	12.0%	0.31	3/9	5/9	3/7	1/3	F-Score 7	5/11
Hyatt Hotels CorpH	$17.5B	$187.70	$7.1B	$52.0M	-1.6%	1.28	—	0.75	2/9	1/9	2/7	1/3	F-Score 4	2/11
Yum China Holdings, Inc.YUMC	$17.1B	$50.86	$11.8B	$929.0M	17.3%	0.02	10.9%	1.05	2/9	4/9	4/7	1/3	F-Score 7	6/11
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.TXRH	$12.2B	$185.98	$5.9B	$414.3M	28.4%	—	8.1%	0.50	2/9	4/9	7/7	1/3	F-Score 5	3/11