COCA COLA FEMSA SAB DE CV

KOF
About the company

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. The company offers sparkling beverages, including colas and flavored sparkling beverages; waters; and other non-carbonated beverages, including tea, sports drinks, energy drinks, fruit-based beverages, juice, coffee, milk, value-added dairy, and plant-based drinks.

Country: MexicoPrice: $120.63Market Cap: $25.3B

Investment snapshot

24%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

3

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 11

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$0.85

-99.3% vs price

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILBUY · Rank #442 (Top 14.3%)NEUTRALFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILPASSBUYFAILNEUTRALFAIL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of Safety-14978.7%-29322.0%N/A-12871.0%N/A-12336.1%-20005.0%-21441.1%-13303.3%N/A-6215.7%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-04-10

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Valuation0% pass✓ 2✗ 26▾

      No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

      Net income / market capitalization+4.54%; #1834/6340 (top 28.9%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Price / 3-yr avg EPS1857.3x
      ✗Graham<= 15x
      Price-to-Book Ratio291.6x
      ✗Graham<= 1.5x
      P/E x P/B541,666.9
      ✗Graham<= 22.5
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      EBIT / Enterprise Value7.4%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=7.4%, ROC=41.6%
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Price / EPS1765.2x
      ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
      Price / (CFO / Shares)985.6x
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      Price / Book Value per Share291.6x
      ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
      Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=1765.2x, OE Yield=0.0%
      ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      P/E or FCF YieldP/E=1765.2x, FCF Yield=3.5%
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=1765.2x, P/B=291.6x
      ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-12282.1% (IV=$0.97 vs Price=$120.63)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Price / FCF per Share2261.3x
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Price vs. Trailing Low154% of trailing low ($78.49)
      ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.2743; #3812/6449 (top 59.1%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Price / Diluted EPS1765.2x
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
      ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Price / Tangible Book Value per Share291.64x
      ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Book Value per Share Change+36.2%
      ✓SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Revenue / market capitalization+0.5351; #2544/5247 (top 48.5%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+3.54%; #1919/4519 (top 42.5%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+12.15%; #1742/6202 (top 28.1%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Valuation models0% pass✗ 8▾

      KOF overvalued: all 8 models price fair value below $120.63 (median $0.85)

      Graham fair value$0.80
      ✗Graham-14978.7% margin vs $120.63
      Buffett fair value$0.41
      ✗Buffett-29322.0% margin vs $120.63
      Greenblatt fair value$0.93
      ✗Greenblatt-12871.0% margin vs $120.63
      Dreman fair value$0.97
      ✗Dreman-12336.1% margin vs $120.63
      Munger fair value$0.60
      ✗Munger-20005.0% margin vs $120.63
      Pabrai fair value$0.56
      ✗Pabrai-21441.1% margin vs $120.63
      Akre fair value$0.90
      ✗Akre-13303.3% margin vs $120.63
      Ackman fair value$1.91
      ✗Ackman-6215.7% margin vs $120.63
    • Growth13% pass✓ 3✗ 10▾

      7 of 8 flag KOF's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +4 more

      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: -2.8% vs Rev: -2.9%
      ✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
      EPS Growth Direction
      ✗DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      Positive Net Income Frequency9/10 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      3yr Median Revenue Growth22.3%
      ✓Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency
      ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR10.9%
      ✓SleepCAGR > 7%
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    • Efficiency13% pass✓ 2✗ 9▾

      7 of 8 flag KOF's efficiency — Graham, Buffett, Piotroski +4 more

      Current Ratio1.12
      ✗Graham>= 2.0
      ROIC (3-5 yr avg)
      ✗Buffett> 10%
      ROIC - WACC
      ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
      EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)41.6%
      ✓Greenblatt> 25%
      Current Ratio Change YoY1.23 -> 1.12
      ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.87x -> 0.91x
      ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.12
      ✗Dreman> 1.5
      Return on Invested Capital
      ✗Munger> 15%
      ROIC (high and growing)FY2022: ROIC=unavailable; FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=unavailable
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
      Reinvestment Rate x ROIC
      ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROIC (5-year)
      ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
    • Profitability19% pass✓ 13✗ 22▾

      13 of 16 flag KOF's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +10 more

      Net income / market capitalization+4.54%; #1834/6340 (top 28.9%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Positive EPS (10 years)8/11 years positive
      ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)9/11 years positive
      ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)13.8%
      ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)
      ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy$577.3M
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
      ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE16.5%
      ✓Lynch> 15%
      EBIT / Enterprise Value7.4%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=7.4%, ROC=41.6%
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Net Income / Total Assets7.70%
      ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY7.14% -> 7.70% (delta: +0.56%)
      ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=13.78%, ROA=7.70%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Gross Margin Change YoY46.8% -> 46.0%
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue13.0%
      ✓Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity16.5%
      ✓Dreman> 12%
      Margin of SafetyP/E=1765.2x, P/B=291.6x
      ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
      Return on Equity15.7% (3-yr avg)
      ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-12282.1% (IV=$0.97 vs Price=$120.63)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency9/10 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Operating Income / Revenue
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity16.5%
      ✓Ackman>= 15%
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend
      ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      Gross profit / total assets+41.80%; #902/3702 (top 24.4%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / positive book equity+16.54%; #1026/5226 (top 19.6%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0134; #1040/5884 (top 17.7%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years8/9 years positive
      ✓Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
    • Verdicts27% pass✓ 4✗ 11▾

      Split decision: 11 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL · 2 PASS · 1 BUY

      Overall verdict
      ✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)✗BuffettFAIL (0/9)✗LynchFAIL (1/7)✓GreenblattRank #442•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 7)✗DremanFAIL (4/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (3/5)✓AckmanPASS (5/9)✗TempletonFAIL (3/8)✓SleepPASS (3/6)✓AsnessBUY (Rank #171/2370 (Top 7.2%))✗NeffFAIL (3/6)•SchlossNEUTRAL (4/7)✗OshaughnessyFAIL (Rank #429/963 (Top 44.5%))
    • Debt & Leverage33% pass✓ 6✗ 9▾

      8 of 12 flag KOF's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +5 more

      LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $3.4B vs NCA $385.9M
      ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
      Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.50, IC: 5.8x
      ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
      Total Debt / Equity0.50
      ✗Lynch< 0.33
      Cash - Long-term Debt$-3.3B
      ✗LynchPositive preferred
      LT Debt / Total Assets Change23.79% -> 22.85%
      ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.12
      ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.50
      ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
      Debt Levels0.50
      ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
      Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=5.8x, D/EBITDA=1.3x
      ✓MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
      Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.50
      ✓Ackman<= 1.0
      Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.5008; #2467/4210 (top 58.6%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    • Cash Flow40% pass✓ 5✗ 7▾

      6 of 10 flag KOF's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Dreman +3 more

      Free Cash Flow Proxy$577.3M
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      FCF Positive and Growing$896.6M
      ✗LynchPositive and growing
      Operating Cash Flow$2.1B
      ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=13.78%, ROA=7.70%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Price / (CFO / Shares)985.6x
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      P/E or FCF YieldP/E=1765.2x, FCF Yield=3.5%
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      FCF Positive9/9 years FCF positive
      ✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
      (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap0.0%
      ✗Ackman>= 4%
      Price / FCF per Share2261.3x
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency9/9 years positive
      ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$896.6M
      ✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+3.54%; #1919/4519 (top 42.5%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

    Business & financials

    Financial snapshot: annual FY 2024. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

    Company Profile

    Industry: Candy & Soda
    SIC Sector: Food Products
    Size: Large Cap($25.3B)
    Revenue: $13.6B-2.9% YoY
    Net Income: $1.2B-0.2% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin--
    Return on Equity16.5%
    Debt / Equity0.50
    Current Ratio1.12
    EPS (Diluted)$0.07−0.1% 1y
    Shares Retired0.0% / 0.0% 2y

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2024

    Retired 0.0% of shares last year, 0.0% over two.

    Buybacks
    —
    Dividends
    $623.8M

    What drove EPS

    A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

    FY21
    48.2% = 48.2% + 0.0%
    FY22
    27.8% = 27.4% + 0.3%
    FY23
    17.8% = 17.8% + 0.0%
    FY24
    −0.1% = −0.2% + 0.1%
    Earnings Fewer shares More shares

    Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

    Company Financials

    Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

    TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

    MetricFY 2024
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2025-04-10
    FY 2023
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2024-04-12
    FY 2022
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2023-04-17
    FY 2021
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2022-04-11
    FY 2020
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2021-04-08
    Market Cap$25.3Bcurrent$1.5Test.$1.1Test.$752.6Best.$590.6Best.
    Revenue$13.6B↓3%$14.0B↑23%$11.3B↑22%$9.3B$9.2B
    Operating Income----------
    Net Income$1.2B$1.2B↑18%$978.2M↑27%$767.8M↑48%$518.2M
    EPS (Diluted)$0.07$0.07↑18%$0.06↑28%$0.05↑48%$0.03
    Gross Margin46.0%↓2%46.8%↑3%45.5%↓3%46.8%↑4%45.1%
    Operating Margin—————
    ROE16.5%↑8%15.4%↑1%15.2%↑17%12.9%↑47%8.8%
    Total Debt$3.5B↓9%$3.8B↑7%$3.6B↓12%$4.1B↓3%$4.2B
    Shareholders' Equity$7.0B↓7%$7.5B↑16%$6.4B↑8%$5.9B↑1%$5.9B
    Current Ratio1.12↓9%1.23↓10%1.37↓21%1.74↑3%1.69
    Debt / Equity0.50↓2%0.51↓8%0.56↓19%0.69↓4%0.72
    Operating Cash Flow$2.1B↓18%$2.5B↑37%$1.8B↑14%$1.6B↓9%$1.8B
    Free Cash Flow$896.6M↓33%$1.3B↑39%$962.9M↓16%$1.1B↓11%$1.3B

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Candy & Soda

    KOF vs Peers — Financial Grading

    Revenue$13.6BTop 25%
    Net Income$1.2BMedian
    ROE16.5%Median
    D/E0.50Median
    Op. Margin—
    Curr. Ratio1.12Bottom 25%
    CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
    Monster Beverage CorpMNST$90.9B$46.46$8.3B$1.9B23.1%—29.2%3.702/96/92/71/3F-Score 66/11
    COCA-COLA EUROPACIFIC PARTNERS plcCCEP$52.0B$118.57$24.6B$2.3B24.8%1.3013.4%0.801/91/95/70/3F-Score 73/11
    MEXICAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT INCFMX$44.9B$131.91$37.9B$2.0B13.5%0.49—1.691/91/90/71/3F-Score 45/11
    Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.COKE$14.3B$214.34$7.2B$570.6M-77.1%-3.7713.2%1.262/95/91/71/3F-Score 52/11
    Celsius Holdings, Inc.CELH$8.1B$32.42$2.5B$108.0M9.1%0.575.6%1.682/92/94/71/3F-Score 47/11
    ANDINA BOTTLING CO INCAKO-A$4.0B$25.29$3.7B$298.6M23.2%——1.412/93/94/73/3F-Score 77/11
    NATIONAL BEVERAGE CORPFIZZ$3.5B$37.23$1.2B$183.6M28.9%—19.5%4.392/95/92/71/3F-Score 65/11
    Zevia PBCZVIA$78.0M$1.08$161.3M$9.9M-19.4%0.00-7.3%2.082/91/92/70/3F-Score 52/11