MINISO Group Holding Ltd

MNSO

MINISO Group Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of design-led lifestyle and pop toy products in Mainland China, the rest of Asia, North and Latin America, Europe, and internationally.

About the company

Country: Cayman IslandsPrice: $11.21Market Cap: $3.3B

Investment snapshot

59%positive consensus

Scored 1d ago

Positive

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

3 / 4

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$2.71

-75.8% vs price

Models with upside

3 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

All 12 investors pass MNSO's debt & leverage

Key risk

8 of 10 flag MNSO's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Piotroski +5 more

Framework analysis

Verdict	Meaning
BUY	Positive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASS	The company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRAL	Neither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAIL	The company does not clear the framework's requirements.
Ranked	Ranked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

Metric	Graham Defensive Value	Buffett Quality Compounder	Lynch GARP	Greenblatt Magic Formula	Piotroski F-Score	Dreman Contrarian Value	Munger Quality Focus	Pabrai Dhandho Framework	Akre Three-Legged Stool	Marks Risk-Aware Value	Ackman Activist Value	Templeton Global Bargain Hunter	Sleep Scale Economies Shared	Asness Systematic Factors	Neff Low-P/E Total Return	Schloss Asset-Value Discipline	O'Shaughnessy Systematic Factor Composite
Verdict	PASS	PASS	FAIL	BUY · Rank #21 (Top 0.7%)	PASS	BUY	BUY	NEUTRAL	FAIL	FAIL	PASS	PASS	PASS	NEUTRAL	PASS	FAIL	NEUTRAL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)		N/A	N/A		N/A		N/A				N/A		N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Margin of Safety	-3.4%	N/A	N/A	-16.8%	N/A	+22.6%	N/A	+37.4%	+16.8%	-283.9%	N/A	-98.8%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Financial Basis	Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2024 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2024 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2025-04-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

Debt & Leverage100% pass✓ 15▾
All 12 investors pass MNSO's debt & leverage
LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $0.6M vs NCA $812.3M
✓GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.06, IC: 35.7x
✓BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
Total Debt / Equity0.06
✓Lynch< 0.33
Cash - Long-term Debt$866.5M
✓LynchPositive preferred
LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.05% -> 0.02%
✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
Current Assets / Current Liabilities2.04
✓Dreman> 1.5✓SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.06
✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
Debt Levels0.06
✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=35.7x, D/EBITDA=0.1x
✓MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.06
✓Ackman<= 1.0
Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.0554; #1041/4210 (top 24.7%)
✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Verdicts71% pass✓ 10✗ 4▾
Split decision: 7 PASS · 4 FAIL · 3 NEUTRAL · 2 BUY
Overall verdict
✓GrahamPASS (4/9)✓BuffettPASS (4/9)✗LynchFAIL (3/7)✓GreenblattRank #21✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 4)✓DremanBUY (9/11)✓MungerBUY (4/4)•PabraiNEUTRAL (2/3)✗AkreFAIL (2/6)✗MarksFAIL (3/5)✓AckmanPASS (5/9)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)✓SleepPASS (3/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✓NeffPASS (4/6)✗SchlossFAIL (3/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
Efficiency63% pass✓ 7✗ 4▾
5 of 8 pass — Piotroski, Akre and Sleep object
Current Ratio2.04
✓Graham>= 2.0
ROIC (3-5 yr avg)57.1%
✓Buffett> 10%
ROIC - WACC+47.1%
✓BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)206.7%
✓Greenblatt> 25%
Current Ratio Change YoY2.34 -> 2.04
✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY
✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
Current Assets / Current Liabilities2.04
✓Dreman> 1.5
Return on Invested Capital24.1%
✓Munger> 15%
ROIC (high and growing)FY2022: ROIC=19.7%; FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=24.1%
✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
Reinvestment Rate x ROIC12.6% (RR=52% x ROIC=24.1%)
✓AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
ROIC (5-year)2/4 years above 12% (latest 24.1%)
✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years

Where It Falls Short

Cash Flow20% pass✓ 3✗ 9▾
8 of 10 flag MNSO's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Piotroski +5 more
Free Cash Flow Proxy
✗BuffettPositive and growing
FCF Positive and Growing
✗LynchPositive and growing
Operating Cash Flow$297.1M
✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=11.97%, ROA=14.45%
✗PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
Price / (CFO / Shares)11.8x
✗Dreman< 8x
P/E or FCF YieldP/E=9.7x
✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
FCF Positive
✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap
✗Ackman>= 4%
Price / FCF per Share
✗Ackman<= 25
Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency6/6 years positive
✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures
✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Growth25% pass✓ 5✗ 8▾
6 of 8 flag MNSO's growth — Graham, Lynch, Marks +3 more
EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)
✗Graham>= 33% growth
Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 9.7x (growth N/A)
✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
3-5 Year EPS CAGR
✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
Inventory Growth vs Revenue Growth
✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
EPS Growth Direction$-0.05 (2018) -> $0.29 (2024)
✓DremanPositive over recent years
EPS CAGR54.8% CAGR over 3 years
✓Dreman> 5% annualized
Positive Net Income Frequency3/6 years positive
✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
3yr Median Revenue Growth13.2%
✓Ackman>= 5%
Positive EPS Growth Frequency2/3 years with positive EPS growth
✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
5-Year EPS CAGR54.8% CAGR over 3 years
✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 38.7% -> 44.9%, operating margin 19.4% -> 19.5%
✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
5-year Revenue CAGR12.9%
✓SleepCAGR > 7%
3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR54.8% over 3 years
✗Neff7%-20% annualized
Profitability31% pass✓ 16✗ 19▾
11 of 16 flag MNSO's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +8 more
Positive EPS (10 years)3/8 years positive
✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)
✗Graham>= 33% growth
Net Income Positive (10+ years)3/8 years positive
✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)8.3%
✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
Operating Margin (10-yr trend)19.5% (latest)
✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
Free Cash Flow Proxy
✗BuffettPositive and growing
Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)3.22
✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
Retained Earnings Effectiveness
✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 9.7x (growth N/A)
✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
3-5 Year EPS CAGR
✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
ROE25.4%
✓Lynch> 15%
EBIT / Enterprise Value18.3%
✓Greenblatt> 10%
Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=18.3%, ROC=206.7%
✓GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
Net Income / Total Assets14.45%
✓PiotroskiROA > 0
ROA Change YoY
✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=11.97%, ROA=14.45%
✗PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
Gross Margin Change YoY
✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
Pre-Tax Income / Revenue19.7%
✓Dreman>= 8%
Net Income / Shareholders' Equity25.4%
✓Dreman> 12%
Margin of SafetyP/E=9.7x, P/B=2.5x
✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
Return on Equity18.1% (3-yr avg)
✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
Discount to Intrinsic Value22.5% (IV=$3.62 vs Price=$2.80)
✓Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
Positive Net Income Frequency3/6 years positive
✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
Operating Income / Revenue19.5%
✓Ackman>= 15%
Net Income / Shareholders Equity25.4%
✓Ackman>= 15%
5-Year EPS CAGR54.8% CAGR over 3 years
✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
Operating Margin Trend
✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 38.7% -> 44.9%, operating margin 19.4% -> 19.5%
✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
Net income / market capitalization+10.97%; #566/6340 (top 8.9%)
✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Gross profit / total assets+42.15%; #893/3702 (top 24.1%)
✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Net income / positive book equity+25.38%; #576/5226 (top 11.0%)
✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.1105; #3604/5884 (top 61.3%)
✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR54.8% over 3 years
✗Neff7%-20% annualized
Positive Diluted-EPS Years3/6 years positive
✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
Valuation38% pass✓ 13✗ 15▾
8 of 13 flag MNSO's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +5 more
Price / 3-yr avg EPS11.6x
✓Graham<= 15x
Price-to-Book Ratio2.5x
✗Graham<= 1.5x
P/E x P/B28.80
✗Graham<= 22.5
Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 9.7x (growth N/A)
✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
EBIT / Enterprise Value18.3%
✓Greenblatt> 10%
Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=18.3%, ROC=206.7%
✓GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
Price / EPS9.7x
✓Dreman< 12x✓Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
Price / (CFO / Shares)11.8x
✗Dreman< 8x
Price / Book Value per Share2.5x
✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=9.7x, OE Yield=13.4%
✓MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
P/E or FCF YieldP/E=9.7x
✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=9.7x, P/B=2.5x
✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
Discount to Intrinsic Value22.5% (IV=$3.62 vs Price=$2.80)
✓Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
Price / FCF per Share
✗Ackman<= 25
Price vs. Trailing Low
✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
Net income / market capitalization+10.97%; #566/6340 (top 8.9%)
✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.4322; #3131/6449 (top 48.6%)
✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Price / Diluted EPS9.7x
✓NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
(EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E6.12
✓Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
Price / Tangible Book Value per Share2.49x
✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
Book Value per Share Change
✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
Revenue / market capitalization+0.7120; #2181/5247 (top 41.6%)
✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date
✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Valuation models43% pass✓ 3✗ 4▾
Models split on MNSO at $11.21 — fair values range $0.73–$4.48
Graham fair value$2.71
✗Graham-3.4% margin vs $11.21
Greenblatt fair value$2.40
✗Greenblatt-16.8% margin vs $11.21
Dreman fair value$3.62
✓Dreman+22.6% margin vs $11.21
Pabrai fair value$4.48
✓Pabrai+37.4% margin vs $11.21
Akre fair value$3.37
✓Akre+16.8% margin vs $11.21
Marks fair value$0.73
✗Marks-283.9% margin vs $11.21
Templeton fair value$1.41
✗Templeton-98.8% margin vs $11.21

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2024. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Retail

SIC Sector: General Merchandise Stores

Size: Mid Cap($3.3B)

Revenue: $2.3B

Net Income: $358.7M

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin19.5%

Return on Equity25.4%

Debt / Equity0.06

Current Ratio2.04

EPS (Diluted)$0.29+150.5% 1y

Buybacks (1y)$42.9M

Shares Retired1.1% / 1.1% 2y

Similar Companies

COSTCOSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW

$490.2B

HDHOME DEPOT, INC.

$347.9B

TJXTJX COMPANIES INC /DE/

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FASTFASTENAL CO

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Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2024

Retired 1.1% of shares last year, 1.1% over two.

Buybacks: $42.9M
Dividends: $170.5M

What drove EPS

A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

FY22

150.5% = 156.1% + −2.2%

Earnings Fewer shares More shares

The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.

Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

Metric	FY 2024 Sources 20-F · 2025-04-24	FY 2023 Sources 20-F · 2024-04-16	FY 2022 Sources 20-F · 2023-10-19	FY 2021 Sources 20-F · 2022-10-19	FY 2020 Sources 20-F · 2021-09-17
Market Cap	$3.3Bcurrent	$21.4Best.	$19.2Best.	$12.4Best.	$38.0Best.
Revenue	$2.3B	--	$1.6B↑5%	$1.5B↑7%	$1.4B
Operating Income	$454.3M	--	$306.5M↑133%	$131.6M↑112%	$62.0M
Net Income	$358.7M	--	$243.9M↑156%	$95.3M↑144%	-$218.9M
EPS (Diluted)	$0.29	--	$0.19↑151%	$0.08↑143%	$-0.18
Gross Margin	44.9%	—	38.7%↑27%	30.4%↑14%	26.8%
Operating Margin	19.5%	—	19.4%↑122%	8.7%↑98%	4.4%
ROE	25.4%	—	19.9%↑119%	9.1%↑143%	-21.2%
Total Debt	$78.3M↑7564%	$1.0M↑3%	$994.9K↓4%	$1.0M↓67%	$3.2M
Shareholders' Equity	$1.4B↑10%	$1.3B↑5%	$1.2B↑17%	$1.0B↑2%	$1.0B
Current Ratio	2.04↓13%	2.34↓8%	2.55↑20%	2.13↓19%	2.64
Debt / Equity	0.06↑6895%	0.00↓2%	0.00↓18%	0.00↓68%	0.00
Operating Cash Flow	$297.1M	--	$229.7M↑9%	$209.9M↑48%	$141.8M
Free Cash Flow	--	--	--	--	--

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Retail

MNSO vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$2.3BBottom 25%

Net Income$358.7MBottom 25%

ROE25.4%Median

D/E0.06Median

Op. Margin19.5%Top 25%

Curr. Ratio2.04Top 25%

Company	Market Cap	Price	Revenue	Net Income	ROE	D/E	Op. Margin	Curr. Ratio	Graham	Buffett	Lynch	Greenblatt	Piotroski	Dreman
COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEWCOST	$490.2B	$1106.21	$275.2B	$8.1B	27.8%	0.20	3.8%	1.03	2/9	5/9	6/7	1/3	F-Score 6	3/11
HOME DEPOT, INC.HD	$347.9B	$348.69	$164.7B	$14.2B	110.5%	4.00	12.7%	1.06	3/9	5/9	3/7	1/3	F-Score 4	3/11
TJX COMPANIES INC /DE/TJX	$148.4B	$134.37	$60.4B	$5.5B	53.9%	0.28	—	1.14	3/9	6/9	7/7	1/3	F-Score 7	4/11
FASTENAL COFAST	$63.3B	$55.19	$8.2B	$1.3B	31.9%	0.03	20.2%	4.85	4/9	7/9	5/7	1/3	F-Score 7	5/11
AUTOZONE INCAZO	$52.5B	$3259.70	$18.9B	$2.5B	-73.2%	-2.61	19.1%	0.88	3/9	6/9	2/7	1/3	F-Score 6	4/11
KROGER COKR	$41.8B	$70.80	$147.6B	$1.0B	17.1%	2.68	1.3%	0.80	3/9	4/9	3/7	0/3	F-Score 7	3/11
WILLIAMS SONOMA INCWSM	$29.9B	$254.05	$7.8B	$1.1B	52.3%	—	18.1%	1.39	3/9	6/9	3/7	1/3	F-Score 5	3/11
CASEYS GENERAL STORES INCCASY	$26.3B	$712.08	$17.6B	$714.4M	18.1%	0.62	—	1.01	3/9	3/9	2/7	0/3	F-Score 9	3/11