Marqeta, Inc.

MQ
About the company

Marqeta, Inc. operates a cloud-based open API platform for card issuing and transaction processing services in the United States.

Country: United StatesPrice: $18.23Market Cap: $1.9B

Investment snapshot

0%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

0

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

4 / 12

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$1.63

-91.1% vs price

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

6 of 10 pass — Dreman, Pabrai, Ackman +1 more object

Key risk

No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILNot rankedNEUTRALFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILNEUTRALNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/A-6186.2%N/AN/AN/AN/A-187.5%-4697.4%N/AN/A-533.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-11-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-24

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-24

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-24

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-24

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-24

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-02-24

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-02-24

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-02-24

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-02-24

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-11-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-24

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Cash Flow60% pass✓ 7✗ 5▾

    6 of 10 pass — Dreman, Pabrai, Ackman +1 more object

    Free Cash Flow Proxy$11.4M
    ✓BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing$160.8M
    ✓LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$162.6M
    ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=10.66%, ROA=-0.91%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)51.8x
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=8.5%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive5/7 years FCF positive
    ✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap1.9%
    ✗Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per Share52.4x
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency5/7 years positive
    ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$160.8M
    ✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+8.50%; #939/4519 (top 20.8%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

Where It Falls Short

  • Profitability0% pass✓ 10✗ 25▾

    No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

    Net income / market capitalization+6.84%; #1212/6340 (top 19.1%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive EPS (10 years)0/8 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)1/8 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-8.0%
    ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)-7.4% (latest)
    ✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy$11.4M
    ✓BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE15.5%
    ✓Lynch> 15%
    EBIT / Enterprise Value-3.9%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-3.9%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Net Income / Total Assets-0.91%
    ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY1.86% -> -0.91% (delta: -2.78%)
    ✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=10.66%, ROA=-0.91%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Gross Margin Change YoY69.4% -> 70.0%
    ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue3.7%
    ✗Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity15.5%
    ✓Dreman> 12%
    Margin of SafetyP/B=11.1x
    ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    Return on Equity-5.7% (3-yr avg)
    ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic Value
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency1/7 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue0.5%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity15.5%
    ✓Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend-41.9% (2023) -> -7.4% (2025)
    ✓TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 48.7% -> 70.0%, operating margin -41.9% -> -7.4%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Gross profit / total assets+32.06%; #1317/3702 (top 35.6%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity+15.47%; #1116/5226 (top 21.4%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0599; #2809/5884 (top 47.7%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years
    ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Valuation0% pass✓ 2✗ 26▾

    No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

    Net income / market capitalization+6.84%; #1212/6340 (top 19.1%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Price / 3-yr avg EPS
    ✗Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Book Ratio11.1x
    ✗Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/B
    ✗Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    EBIT / Enterprise Value-3.9%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-3.9%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Price / EPS
    ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)51.8x
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    Price / Book Value per Share11.1x
    ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=0.1%
    ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=8.5%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=11.1x
    ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic Value
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per Share52.4x
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low119% of trailing low ($15.36)
    ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.4421; #3092/6449 (top 47.9%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS
    ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share15.16x
    ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change
    ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization+0.3646; #3050/5247 (top 58.1%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+8.50%; #939/4519 (top 20.8%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+18.38%; #1427/6202 (top 23.0%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Growth0% pass✓ 2✗ 11▾

    No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)
    ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
    EPS Growth Direction
    ✗DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR
    ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency1/7 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth-9.6%
    ✗Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency
    ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 48.7% -> 70.0%, operating margin -41.9% -> -7.4%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR16.6%
    ✓SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Verdicts0% pass✗ 12▾

    Split decision: 12 FAIL · 4 NEUTRAL

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)✗BuffettFAIL (2/9)✗LynchFAIL (3/7)•GreenblattNot ranked•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 6)✗DremanFAIL (3/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (1/5)✗AckmanFAIL (3/9)✗TempletonFAIL (3/8)•SleepNEUTRAL (4/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (1/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
  • Valuation models0% pass✗ 4▾

    MQ overvalued: all 4 models price fair value below $18.23 (median $1.63)

    Buffett fair value$0.29
    ✗Buffett-6186.2% margin vs $18.23
    Munger fair value$6.34
    ✗Munger-187.5% margin vs $18.23
    Pabrai fair value$0.38
    ✗Pabrai-4697.4% margin vs $18.23
    Ackman fair value$2.88
    ✗Ackman-533.0% margin vs $18.23
  • Debt & Leverage8% pass✓ 3✗ 12▾

    11 of 12 flag MQ's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +8 more

    LT Debt vs Net Current Assets
    ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    Debt/Equity & Interest Coverage
    ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity
    ✗Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt
    ✗LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%
    ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.70
    ✓Dreman> 1.5✓SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity
    ✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Debt Levels
    ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDA
    ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity
    ✗Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
  • Efficiency13% pass✓ 2✗ 9▾

    7 of 8 flag MQ's efficiency — Graham, Buffett, Greenblatt +4 more

    Current Ratio1.70
    ✗Graham>= 2.0
    ROIC (3-5 yr avg)
    ✗Buffett> 10%
    ROIC - WACC
    ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
    EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)N/A (invested capital <= 0)
    ✗Greenblatt> 25%
    Current Ratio Change YoY3.37 -> 1.65
    ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.35x -> 0.41x
    ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.70
    ✓Dreman> 1.5
    Return on Invested Capital
    ✗Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=unavailable; FY2025: ROIC=unavailable
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROIC
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)
    ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Business Services
Size: Small Cap($1.9B)
Revenue: $624.9M+23.3% YoY
Net Income: $13.9M-151.0% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin-7.4%
Return on Equity-1.8%
Debt / Equity--
Current Ratio1.65
Buybacks (1y)$391.4M
Buybacks (2y)$545.8M
Shares Retired10.9% / 13.2% 2y

Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2025

Retired 10.9% of shares last year, 13.2% over two.

Buybacks
$391.4M
Dividends
—

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.

MetricTTM · 2026-09-30

2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: revenue, net income, operating income, gross profit, ebit, pre tax income, operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, buybacks, capex.

Q3 FY 2026

2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, capex, buybacks.

Q2 FY 2026

2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, capex, buybacks.

Q1 FY 2026

2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31

Sources
FY 2025
Sources
  • 10-K · 2026-02-24
FY 2024
Sources
  • 10-K · 2025-02-26
FY 2023
Sources
  • 10-K · 2024-02-28
FY 2022
Sources
  • 10-K · 2023-02-28
FY 2021
Sources
  • 10-K · 2022-03-11
Market Cap$1.9Bcurrent------$1.9Best.$2.0Best.$3.2Best.$3.6Best.$4.3Best.
Revenue$690.1M↑17%$176.2M↑8%$176.0M↑17%$165.8M↑19%$624.9M↑23%$507.0M↓25%$676.2M↓10%$748.2M↑45%$517.2M
Operating Income$3.7M↑105%$6.3M↑161%$3.6M↑139%$2.1M↑111%-$46.4M↓90%-$24.5M↑91%-$283.0M↓35%-$209.8M↓30%-$162.0M
Net Income$129.4M↑426%$115.4M↑3285%$7.6M↑1270%$7.8M↑195%-$13.9M↓151%$27.3M↑112%-$223.0M↓21%-$184.8M↓13%-$163.9M
EPS (Diluted)------------------
Gross Margin69.8%↓1%69.3%↓1%69.2%70.9%70.0%↑1%69.4%↑42%48.7%↑14%42.8%↓5%44.8%
Operating Margin0.5%↑104%3.6%↑156%2.1%↑134%1.3%↑109%-7.4%↓54%-4.8%↑88%-41.9%↓49%-28.0%↑10%-31.3%
ROE15.5%↑427%———-1.8%↓173%2.5%↑114%-17.9%↓43%-12.5%↓20%-10.4%
Total Debt------------------
Shareholders' Equity$836.7M$836.7M$715.6M↓15%$742.3M↓25%$762.0M↓30%$1.1B↓13%$1.2B↓16%$1.5B↓6%$1.6B
Current Ratio1.70↓10%1.70↓10%1.66↓39%1.65↓48%1.65↓51%3.37↓18%4.13↓33%6.17↓18%7.56
Debt / Equity—————————
Operating Cash Flow$139.5M↑4%$26.3M↓70%$63.2M↑404%-$3.4M↓134%$162.6M↑180%$58.2M↑176%$21.1M↑263%-$13.0M↓123%$57.0M
Free Cash Flow--$26.0M↓70%$63.0M↑416%-$4.6M↓153%$160.8M↑188%$55.8M↑174%$20.3M↑233%-$15.3M↓128%$54.2M

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Business Services

MQ vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$624.9MBottom 25%
Net Income$13.9MMedian
ROE-1.8%Bottom 25%
D/E—
Op. Margin-7.4%Bottom 25%
Curr. Ratio1.65Median
CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING INCADP$122.3B$309.93$21.9B$4.4B73.2%0.8224.2%1.054/95/93/70/3F-Score 65/11
ELECTRONIC ARTS INC.EA$52.9B$209.70$7.5B$887.0M13.1%0.2215.4%1.051/94/94/70/3F-Score 66/11
Rubrik, Inc.RBRK$22.6B$109.88$1.3B$348.8M67.1%—-26.2%1.691/90/92/70/3F-Score 62/11
AECOMACM$9.1B$70.50$16.1B$561.8M22.5%1.096.4%1.141/93/93/71/3F-Score 82/11
COMMVAULT SYSTEMS INCCVLT$6.2B$152.07$1.2B$70.7M942.8%—6.3%1.951/92/94/70/3F-Score 66/11
WPP plcWPP$6.0B$27.79$18.2B$289.5M-8.5%1.942.8%0.891/92/91/70/3F-Score 32/11
VARONIS SYSTEMS INCVRNS$5.6B$48.94$623.5M$129.3M-21.6%0.76-23.5%1.971/90/91/70/3F-Score 51/11
ROBERT HALF INC.RHI$4.3B$42.00$5.4B$133.0M10.4%—1.4%1.532/95/91/70/3F-Score 52/11