Marpai, Inc.
MRAIAbout the company
Marpai, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a technology-driven healthcare payer company in the United States. The company provides third-party administrator and value-oriented health plan services to employers that directly pay for employee health benefits.
Investment snapshot
Positive
0
BUY / PASS
Neutral / negative
2 / 14
NEUTRAL / FAIL
Median fair value
—
No comparable estimates
Models with upside
0 / 17
Positive margin of safety
Key risk
No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion
Framework analysis
| Verdict | Meaning |
|---|---|
| BUY | Positive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met. |
| PASS | The company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state. |
| NEUTRAL | Neither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position. |
| FAIL | The company does not clear the framework's requirements. |
| Ranked | Ranked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL. |
Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.
| Metric | Graham Defensive Value | Buffett Quality Compounder | Lynch GARP | Greenblatt Magic Formula | Piotroski F-Score | Dreman Contrarian Value | Munger Quality Focus | Pabrai Dhandho Framework | Akre Three-Legged Stool | Marks Risk-Aware Value | Ackman Activist Value | Templeton Global Bargain Hunter | Sleep Scale Economies Shared | Asness Systematic Factors | Neff Low-P/E Total Return | Schloss Asset-Value Discipline | O'Shaughnessy Systematic Factor Composite |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdict | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | Not ranked | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | NEUTRAL | FAIL | FAIL | NEUTRAL |
| Score | |||||||||||||||||
| Analysis | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… |
| Intrinsic Value (annual) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Margin of Safety | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Financial Basis | TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-11-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-25 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-25 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-11-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-25 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-11-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-11-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-03-25 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-11-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-25 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-11-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 |
Where It Passes
Where It Falls Short
- Profitability0% pass✓ 5✗ 30▾
No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion
Positive EPS (10 years)0/7 years positive✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 yearsEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)✗Graham>= 33% growthNet Income Positive (10+ years)0/7 years positive✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ yearsROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-242.6%✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)Operating Margin (10-yr trend)-74.9% (latest)✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 yearsFree Cash Flow Proxy$-23.3M✗BuffettPositive and growingEarnings Variance (10-yr CoV)N/A (negative mean EPS)✗BuffettCoV < 0.3Retained Earnings Effectiveness✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value createdBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passROEN/A (negative equity)✗Lynch> 15%EBIT / Enterprise Value-19.1%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-19.1%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Net Income / Total Assets-151.87%✗PiotroskiROA > 0ROA Change YoY-171.52% -> -151.87% (delta: +19.65%)✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-68.35%, ROA=-151.87%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAGross Margin Change YoY32.3% -> 26.4%✗PiotroskiImproved YoYPre-Tax Income / Revenue-98.0%✗Dreman>= 8%Net Income / Shareholders' Equity✗Dreman> 12%Margin of Safety✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15Return on Equity-242.6% (3-yr avg)✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePositive Net Income Frequency0/6 years positive✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsOperating Income / Revenue-78.4%✗Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Shareholders Equity✗Ackman>= 15%5-Year EPS CAGR✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Operating Margin Trend-75.3% (2023) -> -74.9% (2025)✓TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 yearsRevenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 34.8% -> 26.4%, operating margin -75.3% -> -74.9%✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holdingNet income / market capitalization-32.38%; #4844/6340 (top 76.4%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionGross profit / total assets+43.84%; #834/3702 (top 22.5%)✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNet income / positive book equity✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNegative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.5324; #4971/5884 (top 84.5%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR✗Neff7%-20% annualizedPositive Diluted-EPS Years0/6 years positive✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule) - Valuation0% pass✓ 1✗ 27▾
No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion
Price / 3-yr avg EPS✗Graham<= 15xPrice-to-Book Ratio✗Graham<= 1.5xP/E x P/B✗Graham<= 22.5Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)EBIT / Enterprise Value-19.1%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-19.1%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Price / EPS✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)✗Dreman< 8xPrice / Book Value per ShareN/A (negative BVPS)✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-35.1%✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%P/E or FCF Yield✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%P/B or P/E vs. Historical Average✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePrice / FCF per Share✗Ackman<= 25Price vs. Trailing Low738% of trailing low ($0.26)✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)Net income / market capitalization-32.38%; #4844/6340 (top 76.4%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionPositive book equity / market capitalization-0.5778; #5968/6449 (top 92.5%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionPrice / Diluted EPS✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)(EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)Price / Tangible Book Value per ShareN/A (non-positive TBVPS)✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)Book Value per Share Change✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)Revenue / market capitalization+0.3304; #3181/5247 (top 60.6%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionTrailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+638.46%; #66/6202 (top 1.1%)✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section - Cash Flow0% pass✓ 1✗ 11▾
No clean pass — all 10 investors flag at least one cash flow criterion
Free Cash Flow Proxy$-23.3M✗BuffettPositive and growingFCF Positive and Growing$-35.6M✗LynchPositive and growingOperating Cash Flow$-7.5M✗PiotroskiCFO > 0(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-68.35%, ROA=-151.87%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAPrice / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)✗Dreman< 8xP/E or FCF Yield✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%FCF Positive0/3 years FCF positive✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap✗Ackman>= 4%Price / FCF per Share✗Ackman<= 25Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency0/6 years positive✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available yearsOperating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section - Growth0% pass✓ 2✗ 11▾
No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion
EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)✗Graham>= 33% growthBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passInventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growthEPS Growth Direction$-1.60 (2020) -> $-0.95 (2025)✗DremanPositive over recent yearsEPS CAGR✗Dreman> 5% annualizedPositive Net Income Frequency0/6 years positive✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years3yr Median Revenue Growth-24.2%✗Ackman>= 5%Positive EPS Growth Frequency4/5 years with positive EPS growth✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years5-Year EPS CAGR✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 34.8% -> 26.4%, operating margin -75.3% -> -74.9%✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding5-year Revenue CAGR✗SleepCAGR > 7%3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR✗Neff7%-20% annualized - Efficiency0% pass✗ 11▾
All 8 investors flag MRAI's efficiency
Current Ratio0.65✗Graham>= 2.0ROIC (3-5 yr avg)-204.8%✗Buffett> 10%ROIC - WACC-214.8%✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)N/A (invested capital <= 0)✗Greenblatt> 25%Current Ratio Change YoY0.63 -> 0.40✗PiotroskiIncreased YoYRevenue / Total Assets Change YoY2.19x -> 1.66x✗PiotroskiImproved YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities0.65✗Dreman> 1.5Return on Invested CapitalN/A (non-positive invested capital)✗Munger> 15%ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=-370.7%; FY2024: ROIC=unavailable; FY2025: ROIC=unavailable✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in eachReinvestment Rate x ROIC✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%ROIC (5-year)0/3 years above 12% (latest -370.7%)✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years - Verdicts0% pass✗ 14▾
Split decision: 14 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL
Overall verdict✗GrahamFAIL (0/9)✗BuffettFAIL (1/9)✗LynchFAIL (1/7)•GreenblattNot ranked✗PiotroskiFAIL (F-Score 3)✗DremanFAIL (0/11)✗MungerFAIL (0/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (0/6)✗MarksFAIL (0/5)✗AckmanFAIL (2/9)✗TempletonFAIL (2/8)✗SleepFAIL (0/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (1/6)✗SchlossFAIL (0/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked) - Debt & Leverage8% pass✓ 1✗ 14▾
11 of 12 flag MRAI's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +8 more
LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $18.8M vs NCA $-5.5M✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current AssetsDebt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: N/A (negative equity), IC: -8.4x✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5xTotal Debt / EquityN/A (negative equity)✗Lynch< 0.33Cash - Long-term Debt$-18.4M✗LynchPositive preferredLT Debt / Total Assets Change138.13% -> 104.56%✓PiotroskiDecreased YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities0.65✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00xDebt LevelsN/A (non-positive equity)✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-8.4x, D/EBITDA=N/A✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4xTotal Debt / Shareholders Equity✗Ackman<= 1.0Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Business & financials
Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.
Company Profile
Financial Snapshot
Shareholder Return
Fiscal 2025
Issued 68.8% of shares last year.
- Buybacks
- —
- Dividends
- —
Company Financials
Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years
TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.
The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.
| Metric | TTM · 2026-09-30 2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30 Sources · derived quarter valuesDerived from cumulative filings: revenue, net income, operating income, ebit, pre tax income, interest expense, operating cash flow, depreciation amortization. | Q3 FY 2026 2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30 Sources · derived quarter valuesDerived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization. | Q2 FY 2026 2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30 Sources · derived quarter valuesDerived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization. | Q1 FY 2026 2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31 Sources | FY 2025Sources
| FY 2024Sources
| FY 2023Sources
| FY 2022Sources
| FY 2021Sources
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $51.5Mcurrent | -- | -- | -- | $18.9Mest. | $14.2Mest. | $9.7Mest. | $78.2Mest. | $93.5Mest. |
| Revenue | $17.0M↓18% | $4.4M↑10% | $4.2M↓11% | $4.4M↓18% | $18.1M↓36% | $28.2M↓24% | $37.2M↑53% | $24.3M↑71% | $14.2M |
| Operating Income | -$13.3M↓18% | -$2.5M↑10% | -$3.4M↑5% | -$2.5M↓10% | -$13.6M↑39% | -$22.1M↑21% | -$28.0M↓4% | -$27.0M↓70% | -$15.9M |
| Net Income | -$16.7M↓38% | -$3.3M↑6% | -$4.6M↓5% | -$3.2M↓4% | -$16.6M↑25% | -$22.1M↑23% | -$28.8M↓9% | -$26.5M↓66% | -$16.0M |
| EPS (Diluted) | -- | $-0.13↑35% | $-0.18↑36% | $-0.13↑38% | $-0.95↑51% | $-1.92↑54% | $-4.14↓216% | $-1.31↑18% | $-1.59 |
| Gross Margin | — | — | — | — | 26.4%↓18% | 32.3%↓7% | 34.8%↑17% | 29.6%↑7% | 27.7% |
| Operating Margin | -78.4%↓43% | -56.6%↑17% | -82.4%↓6% | -55.9%↓35% | -74.9%↑4% | -78.4%↓4% | -75.3%↑32% | -110.7%↑1% | -111.5% |
| ROE | 56.0%↑55% | — | — | — | 50.9%↓36% | 79.7%↓63% | 214.0%↑150% | -431.4%↓702% | -53.8% |
| Total Debt | $20.8M↑10% | $20.8M↑10% | $20.7M↑12% | $19.9M↑10% | $19.4M↑61% | $12.0M↓38% | $19.4M↓4% | $20.2M | $0 |
| Shareholders' Equity | -$29.8M↑11% | -$29.8M↑11% | -$38.9M↓20% | -$35.2M↓17% | -$32.6M↓18% | -$27.7M↓106% | -$13.4M↓319% | $6.1M↓79% | $29.7M |
| Current Ratio | 0.65↑23% | 0.65↑23% | 0.38↓27% | 0.38↓41% | 0.40↓36% | 0.63↓24% | 0.82↓46% | 1.53↓37% | 2.42 |
| Debt / Equity | -0.70↓23% | -0.70↓23% | -0.53↑7% | -0.56↑6% | -0.60↓37% | -0.43↑70% | -1.44↓144% | 3.29 | 0.00 |
| Operating Cash Flow | -$16.3M↓115% | -$7.0M↓1201% | -$4.1M↓28% | -$477.0K↓315% | -$7.5M↑51% | -$15.2M↑4% | -$15.7M↑55% | -$35.2M↓226% | -$10.8M |
| Free Cash Flow | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -$35.6M↓222% | -$11.1M |
Score history
Historical Score Timeline
Industry peers
Industry Peers
Similar companies in Healthcare
MRAI vs Peers — Financial Grading
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Revenue | Net Income | ROE | D/E | Op. Margin | Curr. Ratio | Graham | Buffett | Lynch | Greenblatt | Piotroski | Dreman |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HCA Healthcare, Inc.HCA | $104.2B | $499.05 | $75.6B | $6.8B | -112.6% | -7.71 | 13.0% | 0.97 | 1/9 | 5/9 | 3/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 6 | 4/11 |
| TENET HEALTHCARE CORPTHC | $22.8B | $286.03 | $21.3B | $2.4B | 56.1% | 3.12 | 16.5% | 1.76 | 1/9 | 4/9 | 3/7 | 3/3 | F-Score 6 | 5/11 |
| Guardant Health, Inc.GH | $20.5B | $151.70 | $982.0M | $416.3M | 419.2% | -15.14 | -44.5% | 4.84 | 2/9 | 1/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 5 | 2/11 |
| EXACT SCIENCES CORPEXAS | $20.0B | $104.91 | $3.2B | $207.9M | -8.7% | 0.00 | -6.4% | 2.43 | 2/9 | 1/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 7 | 3/11 |
| Fresenius Medical Care AGFMS | $11.4B | $22.03 | $23.1B | $1.1B | 7.4% | 0.81 | 9.3% | 1.26 | 5/9 | 2/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 8 | 5/11 |
| UNIVERSAL HEALTH SERVICES INCUHS | $11.2B | $194.07 | $17.4B | $1.5B | 20.5% | 0.65 | 11.5% | 1.05 | 4/9 | 6/9 | 5/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 7 | 6/11 |
| DAVITA INC.DVA | $11.0B | $174.56 | $13.6B | $746.8M | -114.7% | -15.78 | 15.0% | 1.29 | 1/9 | 4/9 | 2/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 7 | 3/11 |
| CHEMED CORPCHE | $7.1B | $548.20 | $2.5B | $265.2M | 27.1% | — | 13.4% | 1.05 | 4/9 | 7/9 | 3/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 6 | 6/11 |