XCF Global, Inc.

SAFX
About the company

XCF Global, Inc. manufactures and sells renewable fuels in the United States. It develops and operates clean fuel production facilities to produce clean-burning and sustainable biofuels, sustainable aviation fuels, and renewable diesel and naphtha products; and sells environmental credits. XCF Global, Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Country: United StatesPrice: $0.07Market Cap: $43.5M

Investment snapshot

12%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

2

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

3 / 11

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$1.96

+2622.2% vs price

Models with upside

5 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

SAFX undervalued: all 5 models price fair value above $0.07 (median $1.96)

Key risk

All 12 investors flag SAFX's debt & leverage

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILFAIL · Rank #2688 (Top 86.8%)FAILFAILPASSNEUTRALFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of Safety+95.1%N/AN/AN/AN/A+99.1%N/A+95.6%+96.3%+99.1%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

TTM ended 2026-06-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-08-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30 · TTM ended 2026-06-30

Latest source filing: 2026-08-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-06-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-08-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-06-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30

Latest source filing: 2026-08-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30

Latest source filing: 2026-08-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-06-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-08-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30

Latest source filing: 2026-08-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-06-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-08-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-31

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-06-30

Latest source filing: 2026-08-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-06-30 · Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-08-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Valuation models100% pass✓ 5▾

    SAFX undervalued: all 5 models price fair value above $0.07 (median $1.96)

    Graham fair value$1.46
    ✓Graham+95.1% margin vs $0.07
    Dreman fair value$7.80
    ✓Dreman+99.1% margin vs $0.07
    Pabrai fair value$1.64
    ✓Pabrai+95.6% margin vs $0.07
    Akre fair value$1.96
    ✓Akre+96.3% margin vs $0.07
    Marks fair value$7.80
    ✓Marks+99.1% margin vs $0.07

Where It Falls Short

  • Debt & Leverage0% pass✗ 15▾

    All 12 investors flag SAFX's debt & leverage

    LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $124.0M vs NCA $-221.4M
    ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.06, IC: N/A
    ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity6.90
    ✗Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt$-123.9M
    ✗LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 29.56%
    ✗PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.05
    ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity6.90
    ✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Debt Levels6.90
    ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDA
    ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity6.90
    ✗Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-6.8975; #4112/4210 (top 97.7%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
  • Growth0% pass✗ 13▾

    All 8 investors flag SAFX's growth

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 0.1x (growth N/A)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    Inventory Growth vs Revenue Growth
    ✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
    EPS Growth Direction
    ✗DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR
    ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency1/2 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth
    ✗Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency
    ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR
    ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Efficiency0% pass✓ 1✗ 10▾

    No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one efficiency criterion

    Current Ratio0.05
    ✗Graham>= 2.0
    ROIC (3-5 yr avg)-72.2%
    ✗Buffett> 10%
    ROIC - WACC-82.2%
    ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
    EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)-40.2%
    ✗Greenblatt> 25%
    Current Ratio Change YoY0.01 -> 0.11
    ✓PiotroskiIncreased YoY
    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.00x -> 0.00x
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.05
    ✗Dreman> 1.5
    Return on Invested Capital-11.7%
    ✗Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=-9.6%; FY2025: ROIC=-134.3%
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROIC-134.3% (RR=100% x ROIC=-134.3%)
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)0/2 years above 12% (latest -134.3%)
    ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
  • Cash Flow10% pass✓ 1✗ 11▾

    9 of 10 flag SAFX's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Piotroski +6 more

    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing$-39.8M
    ✗LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$-17.9M
    ✗PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-4.26%, ROA=17.64%
    ✗PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF YieldP/E=0.1x
    ✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive0/1 years FCF positive
    ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap
    ✗Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per Share
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency0/2 years positive
    ✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures
    ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Profitability13% pass✓ 6✗ 29▾

    14 of 16 flag SAFX's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +11 more

    Positive EPS (10 years)1/3 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)1/3 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)69.2%
    ✓Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)
    ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 0.1x (growth N/A)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE-163.0%
    ✗Lynch> 15%
    EBIT / Enterprise Value-148.8%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-148.8%, ROC=-40.2%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Net Income / Total Assets17.64%
    ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY-6.80% -> 17.64% (delta: +24.44%)
    ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-4.26%, ROA=17.64%
    ✗PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Gross Margin Change YoY
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue
    ✗Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-163.0%
    ✗Dreman> 12%
    Margin of SafetyP/E=0.1x, P/B=0.4x
    ✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    Return on Equity69.2% (3-yr avg)
    ✓AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic Value99.1% (IV=$7.80 vs Price=$0.07)
    ✓Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency1/2 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue-286.0%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity-163.0%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend
    ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Net income / market capitalization-139.67%; #5548/6340 (top 87.5%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Gross profit / total assets-0.61%; #3545/3702 (top 95.8%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity-162.98%; #4803/5226 (top 91.9%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years
    ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Verdicts14% pass✓ 2✗ 12▾

    Split decision: 11 FAIL · 3 NEUTRAL · 2 PASS

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (3/9)✗BuffettFAIL (1/9)✗LynchFAIL (0/7)✗GreenblattRank #2688✗PiotroskiFAIL (F-Score 3)✗DremanFAIL (2/11)✓MungerPASS (2/4)•PabraiNEUTRAL (2/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)✗AckmanFAIL (0/9)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)✗SleepFAIL (0/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (1/6)✗SchlossFAIL (2/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
  • Valuation38% pass✓ 16✗ 12▾

    8 of 13 flag SAFX's valuation — Lynch, Greenblatt, Dreman +5 more

    Price / 3-yr avg EPS0.1x
    ✓Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Book Ratio0.4x
    ✓Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/B0.10
    ✓Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 0.1x (growth N/A)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    EBIT / Enterprise Value-148.8%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-148.8%, ROC=-40.2%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Price / EPS0.1x
    ✓Dreman< 12x✓Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    Price / Book Value per Share0.4x
    ✓Dreman< 1.2x✓Templeton< 1.5x✓SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=0.1x
    ✓MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF YieldP/E=0.1x
    ✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=0.1x, P/B=0.4x
    ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic Value99.1% (IV=$7.80 vs Price=$0.07)
    ✓Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per Share
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low100% of trailing low ($0.07)
    ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Net income / market capitalization-139.67%; #5548/6340 (top 87.5%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.8570; #1785/6449 (top 27.7%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS0.1x
    ✓NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share0.39x
    ✓SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change
    ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization+0.3513; #3109/5247 (top 59.3%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-91.17%; #6007/6202 (top 96.9%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Chemicals
SIC Sector: Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals
Size: Micro Cap($43.5M)
Revenue: $0.00
Net Income: $74.0M+407.0% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin--
Return on Equity196.5%
Debt / Equity0.06
Current Ratio0.11
EPS (Diluted)$0.52

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.

MetricTTM · 2026-06-30

2025-07-01 – 2026-06-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, revenue, net income, operating income, gross profit, ebit.

Q2 FY 2026

2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow.

Q1 FY 2026

2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31

Sources
FY 2025
Sources
  • 10-K · 2026-03-31
FY 2024
Sources
  • 10-K · 2026-03-31
FY 2023
Sources
  • 10-K · 2026-03-31
Market Cap$43.5Mcurrent----$45.4Mest.$1.4Best.--
Revenue$15.3M$690.9K↓89%$348.7K$0$0--
Operating Income-$43.7M-$5.8M↑83%-$10.3M↓64108%-$67.9M↓221%-$21.2M--
Net Income-$60.7M-$14.1M↓113%-$17.8M↓291907%$74.0M↑407%-$24.1M--
EPS (Diluted)--$-0.04↓105%$-0.07↑100%$0.52----
Gross Margin-16.8%40.0%↑313%-89.5%———
Operating Margin-286.0%-833.2%↓59%-2964.7%———
ROE-163.0%——196.5%↑438%-58.2%—
Total Debt$257.1M$257.1M↑11197%$123.3M$2.3M↓98%$132.9M--
Shareholders' Equity$37.3M$37.3M↑208%$25.3M↑2071%$37.7M↓9%$41.4M↑39%$29.7M
Current Ratio0.050.05↓31%0.020.11↑1305%0.01—
Debt / Equity6.906.90↑3563%4.870.06↓98%3.21—
Operating Cash Flow-$20.0M-$6.4M↑26%-$4.3M-$17.9M↓60%-$11.1M--
Free Cash Flow---------$39.8M--

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Chemicals

SAFX vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$0.00Bottom 25%
Net Income$74.0MBottom 25%
ROE196.5%Top 25%
D/E0.06Top 25%
Op. Margin—
Curr. Ratio0.11Bottom 25%
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NEWMARKET CORPNEU$6.5B$709.19$2.7B$418.7M23.5%0.5020.0%2.534/96/92/71/3F-Score 55/11
HEXCEL CORP /DE/HXL$6.0B$79.46$1.9B$109.4M8.7%0.799.1%2.262/92/93/70/3F-Score 64/11
ICL Group Ltd.ICL$5.8B$4.52$7.2B$226.0M3.8%0.468.1%1.335/94/92/70/3F-Score 45/11
BALCHEM CORPBCPC$5.5B$173.14$1.0B$154.8M12.3%0.1320.2%2.072/94/92/71/3F-Score 95/11