Serve Robotics Inc. /DE/

SERV
About the company

Serve Robotics Inc. designs, develops, and operates low-emission robots that serve people in public and commercial spaces for food delivery activity in the United States. It builds self-driving delivery robots. Serve Robotics Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.

Country: United StatesPrice: $2.62Market Cap: $229.4M

Investment snapshot

0%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

0

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

3 / 13

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

—

No comparable estimates

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

8 of 12 pass — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +1 more object

Key risk

No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILFAIL · Rank #2744 (Top 88.6%)FAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILFAILNEUTRALNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 vs 2025-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Debt & Leverage67% pass✓ 11✗ 4▾

    8 of 12 pass — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +1 more object

    LT Debt vs Net Current Assets
    ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.00, IC: -219337.0x
    ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity0
    ✓Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt
    ✗LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%
    ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities10.85
    ✓Dreman> 1.5✓SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0
    ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Debt Levels0
    ✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-503.4x, D/EBITDA=0.0x (no debt)
    ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0
    ✓Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.0000; #1/4210 (top 0.0%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

Where It Falls Short

  • Valuation0% pass✓ 8✗ 20▾

    No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

    Price / 3-yr avg EPS
    ✗Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Book Ratio0.6x
    ✓Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/B
    ✗Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    EBIT / Enterprise Value-91.6%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-91.6%, ROC=-66.9%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Price / EPS
    ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    Price / Book Value per Share0.6x
    ✓Dreman< 1.2x✓Templeton< 1.5x✓SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-65.8%
    ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-51.3%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=0.6x
    ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low100% of trailing low ($2.62)
    ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Net income / market capitalization-90.07%; #5346/6340 (top 84.3%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+1.3305; #1064/6449 (top 16.5%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS
    ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share0.65x
    ✓SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change
    ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization+0.0433; #4615/5247 (top 88.0%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-77.33%; #3991/4519 (top 88.3%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-72.22%; #5703/6202 (top 92.0%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Cash Flow0% pass✓ 1✗ 11▾

    No clean pass — all 10 investors flag at least one cash flow criterion

    Free Cash Flow Proxy$-115.6M
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing$-177.4M
    ✗LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$-80.2M
    ✗PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-21.82%, ROA=-27.56%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-51.3%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive0/4 years FCF positive
    ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap-89.5%
    ✗Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency0/5 years positive
    ✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$-177.4M
    ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-77.33%; #3991/4519 (top 88.3%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Growth0% pass✓ 2✗ 11▾

    No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: -100.0% vs Rev: 46.2%
    ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
    EPS Growth Direction$-0.01 (2021) -> $-1.63 (2025)
    ✗DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR
    ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency0/5 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth92.5%
    ✓Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency1/4 years with positive EPS growth
    ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin -733.7% -> -580.2%, operating margin -9987.0% -> -4253.8%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR
    ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Verdicts0% pass✗ 14▾

    Split decision: 13 FAIL · 3 NEUTRAL

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (2/9)✗BuffettFAIL (1/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)✗GreenblattRank #2744✗PiotroskiFAIL (F-Score 3)✗DremanFAIL (3/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (1/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (1/5)✗AckmanFAIL (2/9)•TempletonNEUTRAL (5/8)✗SleepFAIL (0/6)✗AsnessFAIL (Rank #2168/2370 (Top 91.5%))✗NeffFAIL (1/6)•SchlossNEUTRAL (4/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
  • Profitability6% pass✓ 5✗ 30▾

    15 of 16 flag SERV's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +12 more

    Positive EPS (10 years)0/6 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)0/6 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-19.8%
    ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)-4253.8% (latest)
    ✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy$-115.6M
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)N/A (negative mean EPS)
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE-67.7%
    ✗Lynch> 15%
    EBIT / Enterprise Value-91.6%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-91.6%, ROC=-66.9%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Net Income / Total Assets-27.56%
    ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY-28.07% -> -27.56% (delta: +0.51%)
    ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-21.82%, ROA=-27.56%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Gross Margin Change YoY-4.1% -> -580.2%
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue-3961.4%
    ✗Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-67.7%
    ✗Dreman> 12%
    Margin of SafetyP/B=0.6x
    ✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    Return on Equity-19.8% (3-yr avg)
    ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency0/5 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue-2206.8%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity-67.7%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend-9987.0% (2023) -> -4253.8% (2025)
    ✓TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin -733.7% -> -580.2%, operating margin -9987.0% -> -4253.8%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Net income / market capitalization-90.07%; #5346/6340 (top 84.3%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Gross profit / total assets-9.66%; #3639/3702 (top 98.3%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity-67.70%; #4380/5226 (top 83.8%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-79.4960; #5808/5884 (top 98.7%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years0/5 years positive
    ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Efficiency25% pass✓ 2✗ 9▾

    6 of 8 flag SERV's efficiency — Buffett, Greenblatt, Piotroski +3 more

    Current Ratio10.85
    ✓Graham>= 2.0
    ROIC (3-5 yr avg)-124.6%
    ✗Buffett> 10%
    ROIC - WACC-134.6%
    ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
    EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)-66.9%
    ✗Greenblatt> 25%
    Current Ratio Change YoY18.40 -> 18.13
    ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.01x -> 0.01x
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities10.85
    ✓Dreman> 1.5
    Return on Invested Capital-56.8%
    ✗Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=-22.9%; FY2025: ROIC=-25.4%
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)0/3 years above 12% (latest -25.4%)
    ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Machinery
SIC Sector: Industrial Machinery & Computing
Size: Micro Cap($229.4M)
Revenue: $2.7M+46.2% YoY
Net Income: $101.4M-158.6% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin-4253.8%
Return on Equity-28.9%
Debt / Equity0.00
Current Ratio18.13
EPS (Diluted)$-1.63
Shares Retired−47.6%

Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2025

Issued 47.6% of shares last year.

Buybacks
—
Dividends
—

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.

MetricTTM · 2026-09-30

2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: revenue, net income, operating income, gross profit, ebit, interest expense, operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex.

Q3 FY 2026

2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, capex.

Q2 FY 2026

2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, capex.

Q1 FY 2026

2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31

Sources
FY 2025
Sources
  • 10-K · 2026-03-12
FY 2024
Sources
  • 10-K · 2025-03-06
FY 2023
Sources
  • 10-K · 2025-03-06
FY 2022
Sources
  • 10-K · 2023-03-31
FY 2021
Sources
  • 10-K · 2022-03-31
Market Cap$229.4Mcurrent------$789.4Mest.$850.9Mest.$126.2Mest.----
Revenue$9.9M↑411%$2.8M↑313%$3.2M↑404%$3.0M↑577%$2.7M↑46%$1.8M↑774%$207.5K↑92%$107.8K--
Operating Income-$219.3M↓155%-$61.2M↓76%-$66.1M↓192%-$51.8M↓245%-$112.8M↓195%-$38.3M↓85%-$20.7M↑1%-$21.0M↓38257%-$54.6K
Net Income-$206.6M↓158%-$59.2M↓79%-$64.1M↓208%-$49.0M↓271%-$101.4M↓159%-$39.2M↓58%-$24.8M↓14%-$21.9M↓39908%-$54.6K
EPS (Diluted)--$-0.68↓26%$-0.80↓122%$-0.65↓183%$-1.63↓52%$-1.07↑39%$-1.75↓17400%$-0.01$-0.01
Gross Margin-322.1%↑33%-266.5%↑58%-271.1%↑39%-301.6%↑10%-580.2%↓13926%-4.1%↑99%-733.7%↑24%-965.1%—
Operating Margin-2206.8%↑50%-2158.3%↑57%-2040.3%↑42%-1735.3%↑49%-4253.8%↓101%-2111.9%↑79%-9987.0%↑49%-19433.5%—
ROE-67.7%↓140%———-28.9%↑3%-29.8%↓105%615.1%↑250%175.5%↑26833%-0.7%
Total Debt$0$0$0$0$0↓100%$564.0K↓54%$1.2M↓44%$2.2M↑3309%$65.0K
Shareholders' Equity$305.2M↑8%$305.2M↑8%$351.8M↑70%$317.8M↑51%$350.7M↑166%$131.7M↑3364%-$4.0M↑68%-$12.5M↓250%$8.3M
Current Ratio10.85↓37%10.85↓37%12.83↓61%10.19↓73%18.13↓1%18.40↑7755%0.23↓73%0.88↑23496%0.00
Debt / Equity0.000.000.000.000.00↓100%0.00↑101%-0.31↓72%-0.18↓2378%0.01
Operating Cash Flow-$153.2M↓169%-$38.8M↓54%-$43.3M↓171%-$41.4M↓338%-$80.2M↓272%-$21.5M↓35%-$16.0M↑25%-$21.4M↓41357%-$51.6K
Free Cash Flow-$177.4M↓115%-$44.1M↓21%-$44.3M↓101%-$42.9M↓232%-$117.6M↓270%-$31.8M↓99%-$16.0M↑36%-$25.0M--

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Machinery

SERV vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$2.7MBottom 25%
Net Income$101.4MBottom 25%
ROE-28.9%Bottom 25%
D/E0.00Top 25%
Op. Margin-4253.8%Bottom 25%
Curr. Ratio18.13Top 25%
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