Trip.com Group Ltd

TCOM
About the company

Trip.com Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a travel service provider for accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours, in-destination, corporate travel management, and other travel-related services in China and internationally.

Country: SingaporePrice: $43.58Market Cap: $27.4B

Investment snapshot

18%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

2

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

5 / 9

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$55.74

+27.9% vs price

Models with upside

3 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

10 of 12 pass — Marks and Asness object

Key risk

12 of 13 flag TCOM's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILNEUTRALBUY · Rank #264 (Top 8.5%)NEUTRALNEUTRALPASSFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/A-85.7%N/AN/A+34.9%N/A+2.2%N/A+59.3%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Debt & Leverage83% pass✓ 13✗ 2▾

    10 of 12 pass — Marks and Asness object

    LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $1.6B vs NCA $6.1B
    ✓GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.18, IC: 18.6x
    ✓BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity0.18
    ✓Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt$4.1B
    ✓LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change8.30% -> 4.27%
    ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.55
    ✓Dreman> 1.5✓SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.18
    ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Debt Levels0.18
    ✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=18.6x, D/EBITDA=N/A (D&A unavailable)
    ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.18
    ✓Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.1801; #1610/4210 (top 38.2%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
  • Valuation models75% pass✓ 3✗ 1▾

    Models split on TCOM at $43.58 — fair values range $23.47–$107.07

    Greenblatt fair value$23.47
    ✗Greenblatt-85.7% margin vs $43.58
    Munger fair value$66.91
    ✓Munger+34.9% margin vs $43.58
    Akre fair value$44.58
    ✓Akre+2.2% margin vs $43.58
    Ackman fair value$107.07
    ✓Ackman+59.3% margin vs $43.58

Where It Falls Short

  • Valuation8% pass✓ 4✗ 24▾

    12 of 13 flag TCOM's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more

    Price / 3-yr avg EPS
    ✗Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Book Ratio
    ✗Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/B
    ✗Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    EBIT / Enterprise Value8.6%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=8.6%, ROC=56.7%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Price / EPS
    ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    Price / Book Value per Share
    ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Valuation Reasonableness
    ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=7.1%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical Average
    ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic Value
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per Share
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low113% of trailing low ($38.64)
    ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Net income / market capitalization+17.34%; #317/6340 (top 5.0%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.8897; #1701/6449 (top 26.4%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS
    ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share
    ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change
    ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization+0.3251; #3210/5247 (top 61.2%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+7.07%; #1151/4519 (top 25.5%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-8.12%; #3318/6202 (top 53.5%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Profitability25% pass✓ 13✗ 22▾

    12 of 16 flag TCOM's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +9 more

    Positive EPS (10 years)3/18 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)15/18 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)8.1%
    ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)25.3% (latest)
    ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR49.3%
    ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE19.5%
    ✓Lynch> 15%
    EBIT / Enterprise Value8.6%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=8.6%, ROC=56.7%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Net Income / Total Assets12.45%
    ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY7.04% -> 12.45% (delta: +5.42%)
    ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=5.38%, ROA=12.45%
    ✗PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Gross Margin Change YoY81.3% -> 80.6%
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue62.2%
    ✓Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity19.5%
    ✓Dreman> 12%
    Margin of Safety
    ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    Return on Equity13.2% (3-yr avg)
    ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic Value
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency15/18 years positive
    ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue25.3%
    ✓Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity19.5%
    ✓Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend25.4% (2023) -> 25.3% (2025)
    ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 81.8% -> 80.6%, operating margin 25.4% -> 25.3%
    ✓SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Net income / market capitalization+17.34%; #317/6340 (top 5.0%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Gross profit / total assets+18.81%; #2132/3702 (top 57.6%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity+19.49%; #814/5226 (top 15.6%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0460; #2469/5884 (top 42.0%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years
    ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Verdicts25% pass✓ 3✗ 9▾

    Split decision: 9 FAIL · 5 NEUTRAL · 2 PASS

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (2/9)✗BuffettFAIL (1/9)•LynchNEUTRAL (5/7)✓GreenblattRank #264•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 6)•DremanNEUTRAL (7/11)✓MungerPASS (2/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (2/6)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)✓AckmanPASS (5/9)✗TempletonFAIL (3/8)•SleepNEUTRAL (4/6)✗AsnessFAIL (Rank #794/2370 (Top 33.5%))✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (2/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
  • Cash Flow30% pass✓ 4✗ 8▾

    7 of 10 flag TCOM's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Piotroski +4 more

    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing$1.9B
    ✗LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$2.1B
    ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=5.38%, ROA=12.45%
    ✗PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=7.1%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive16/18 years FCF positive
    ✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap
    ✗Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per Share
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency17/18 years positive
    ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$1.9B
    ✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+7.07%; #1151/4519 (top 25.5%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Growth38% pass✓ 8✗ 5▾

    5 of 8 flag TCOM's growth — Graham, Lynch, Ackman +2 more

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR49.3%
    ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)
    ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
    EPS Growth Direction$1.89 (2008) -> $4.22 (2010)
    ✓DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR49.3% CAGR over 2 years
    ✓Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency15/18 years positive
    ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth22.2%
    ✓Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency
    ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 81.8% -> 80.6%, operating margin 25.4% -> 25.3%
    ✓SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR26.0%
    ✓SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Efficiency38% pass✓ 4✗ 7▾

    5 of 8 flag TCOM's efficiency — Graham, Buffett, Munger +2 more

    Current Ratio1.55
    ✗Graham>= 2.0
    ROIC (3-5 yr avg)4.5%
    ✗Buffett> 10%
    ROIC - WACC-5.5%
    ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
    EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)56.7%
    ✓Greenblatt> 25%
    Current Ratio Change YoY1.51 -> 1.55
    ✓PiotroskiIncreased YoY
    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.22x -> 0.23x
    ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.55
    ✓Dreman> 1.5
    Return on Invested Capital6.2%
    ✗Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=5.4%; FY2024: ROIC=6.2%; FY2025: ROIC=6.2%
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROIC5.9% (RR=96% x ROIC=6.2%)
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)0/5 years above 12% (latest 6.2%)
    ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Business Services
Size: Large Cap($27.4B)
Revenue: $8.9B+22.2% YoY
Net Income: $4.8B+103.5% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin25.3%
Return on Equity19.5%
Debt / Equity0.18
Current Ratio1.55
Buybacks (1y)$628.4M
Buybacks (2y)$926.0M

Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2025

Share retirement not available for this company.

Buybacks
$628.4M
Dividends
$203.4M

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

MetricFY 2025
Sources
  • 20-F · 2026-04-28
FY 2024
Sources
  • 20-F · 2025-04-11
FY 2023
Sources
  • 20-F · 2024-04-29
FY 2022
Sources
  • 20-F · 2023-03-27
FY 2021
Sources
  • 20-F · 2022-04-27
Market Cap$27.4Bcurrent--------
Revenue$8.9B↑22%$7.3B↑17%$6.3B↑118%$2.9B↓8%$3.1B
Operating Income$2.3B↑16%$1.9B↑22%$1.6B↑12508%$12.6M↑106%-$221.4M
Net Income$4.8B↑103%$2.3B↑68%$1.4B↑593%$201.5M↑333%-$86.3M
EPS (Diluted)----------
Gross Margin80.6%↓1%81.3%↓1%81.8%↑6%77.5%↑1%77.0%
Operating Margin25.3%↓5%26.6%↑5%25.4%↑5693%0.4%↑106%-7.0%
ROE19.5%↑62%12.0%↑48%8.1%↑550%1.2%↑349%-0.5%
Total Debt$4.4B↓19%$5.4B↓14%$6.3B↓4%$6.6B↓18%$8.0B
Shareholders' Equity$24.4B↑26%$19.4B↑13%$17.2B↑7%$16.1B↓6%$17.2B
Current Ratio1.55↑2%1.51↑24%1.23↑22%1.001.00
Debt / Equity0.18↓35%0.28↓24%0.37↓10%0.41↓12%0.46
Operating Cash Flow$2.1B↓24%$2.7B↓13%$3.1B↑716%$379.3M↓2%$388.4M
Free Cash Flow$1.9B↓26%$2.6B↓13%$3.0B↑878%$307.9M↑3%$299.0M

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Business Services

TCOM vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$8.9BMedian
Net Income$4.8BTop 25%
ROE19.5%Median
D/E0.18Top 25%
Op. Margin25.3%Top 25%
Curr. Ratio1.55Median
CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING INCADP$122.3B$309.93$21.9B$4.4B73.2%0.8224.2%1.054/95/93/70/3F-Score 65/11
ELECTRONIC ARTS INC.EA$52.9B$209.70$7.5B$887.0M13.1%0.2215.4%1.051/94/94/70/3F-Score 66/11
Rubrik, Inc.RBRK$22.6B$109.88$1.3B$348.8M67.1%—-26.2%1.691/90/92/70/3F-Score 62/11
AECOMACM$9.1B$70.50$16.1B$561.8M22.5%1.096.4%1.141/93/93/71/3F-Score 82/11
COMMVAULT SYSTEMS INCCVLT$6.2B$152.07$1.2B$70.7M942.8%—6.3%1.951/92/94/70/3F-Score 66/11
WPP plcWPP$6.0B$27.79$18.2B$289.5M-8.5%1.942.8%0.891/92/91/70/3F-Score 32/11
VARONIS SYSTEMS INCVRNS$5.6B$48.94$623.5M$129.3M-21.6%0.76-23.5%1.971/90/91/70/3F-Score 51/11
ROBERT HALF INC.RHI$4.3B$42.00$5.4B$133.0M10.4%—1.4%1.532/95/91/70/3F-Score 52/11