Trip.com Group Ltd
TCOMAbout the company
Trip.com Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a travel service provider for accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours, in-destination, corporate travel management, and other travel-related services in China and internationally.
Investment snapshot
Positive
2
BUY / PASS
Neutral / negative
5 / 9
NEUTRAL / FAIL
Median fair value
$55.74
+27.9% vs price
Models with upside
3 / 17
Positive margin of safety
Strongest signal
10 of 12 pass — Marks and Asness object
Key risk
12 of 13 flag TCOM's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more
Framework analysis
| Verdict | Meaning |
|---|---|
| BUY | Positive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met. |
| PASS | The company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state. |
| NEUTRAL | Neither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position. |
| FAIL | The company does not clear the framework's requirements. |
| Ranked | Ranked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL. |
Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.
| Metric | Graham Defensive Value | Buffett Quality Compounder | Lynch GARP | Greenblatt Magic Formula | Piotroski F-Score | Dreman Contrarian Value | Munger Quality Focus | Pabrai Dhandho Framework | Akre Three-Legged Stool | Marks Risk-Aware Value | Ackman Activist Value | Templeton Global Bargain Hunter | Sleep Scale Economies Shared | Asness Systematic Factors | Neff Low-P/E Total Return | Schloss Asset-Value Discipline | O'Shaughnessy Systematic Factor Composite |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdict | FAIL | FAIL | NEUTRAL | BUY · Rank #264 (Top 8.5%) | NEUTRAL | NEUTRAL | PASS | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | PASS | FAIL | NEUTRAL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | NEUTRAL |
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| Intrinsic Value (annual) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | ||||
| Margin of Safety | N/A | N/A | N/A | -85.7% | N/A | N/A | +34.9% | N/A | +2.2% | N/A | +59.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Financial Basis | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-04-28 Score computed: 2026-11-14 |
Where It Passes
- Debt & Leverage83% pass✓ 13✗ 2▾
10 of 12 pass — Marks and Asness object
LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $1.6B vs NCA $6.1B✓GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current AssetsDebt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.18, IC: 18.6x✓BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5xTotal Debt / Equity0.18✓Lynch< 0.33Cash - Long-term Debt$4.1B✓LynchPositive preferredLT Debt / Total Assets Change8.30% -> 4.27%✓PiotroskiDecreased YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities1.55✓Dreman> 1.5✓SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.18✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00xDebt Levels0.18✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=18.6x, D/EBITDA=N/A (D&A unavailable)✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4xTotal Debt / Shareholders Equity0.18✓Ackman<= 1.0Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.1801; #1610/4210 (top 38.2%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section - Valuation models75% pass✓ 3✗ 1▾
Models split on TCOM at $43.58 — fair values range $23.47–$107.07
Greenblatt fair value$23.47✗Greenblatt-85.7% margin vs $43.58Munger fair value$66.91✓Munger+34.9% margin vs $43.58Akre fair value$44.58✓Akre+2.2% margin vs $43.58Ackman fair value$107.07✓Ackman+59.3% margin vs $43.58
Where It Falls Short
- Valuation8% pass✓ 4✗ 24▾
12 of 13 flag TCOM's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more
Price / 3-yr avg EPS✗Graham<= 15xPrice-to-Book Ratio✗Graham<= 1.5xP/E x P/B✗Graham<= 22.5Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)EBIT / Enterprise Value8.6%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=8.6%, ROC=56.7%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Price / EPS✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)Price / (CFO / Shares)✗Dreman< 8xPrice / Book Value per Share✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)Valuation Reasonableness✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=7.1%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%P/B or P/E vs. Historical Average✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0Discount to Intrinsic Value✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePrice / FCF per Share✗Ackman<= 25Price vs. Trailing Low113% of trailing low ($38.64)✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)Net income / market capitalization+17.34%; #317/6340 (top 5.0%)✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionPositive book equity / market capitalization+0.8897; #1701/6449 (top 26.4%)✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionPrice / Diluted EPS✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)(EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)Price / Tangible Book Value per Share✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)Book Value per Share Change✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)Revenue / market capitalization+0.3251; #3210/5247 (top 61.2%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+7.07%; #1151/4519 (top 25.5%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionTrailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-8.12%; #3318/6202 (top 53.5%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section - Profitability25% pass✓ 13✗ 22▾
12 of 16 flag TCOM's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +9 more
Positive EPS (10 years)3/18 years positive✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 yearsEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growthNet Income Positive (10+ years)15/18 years positive✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ yearsROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)8.1%✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)Operating Margin (10-yr trend)25.3% (latest)✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 yearsFree Cash Flow Proxy✗BuffettPositive and growingEarnings Variance (10-yr CoV)✗BuffettCoV < 0.3Retained Earnings Effectiveness✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value createdBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR49.3%✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passROE19.5%✓Lynch> 15%EBIT / Enterprise Value8.6%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=8.6%, ROC=56.7%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Net Income / Total Assets12.45%✓PiotroskiROA > 0ROA Change YoY7.04% -> 12.45% (delta: +5.42%)✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=5.38%, ROA=12.45%✗PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAGross Margin Change YoY81.3% -> 80.6%✗PiotroskiImproved YoYPre-Tax Income / Revenue62.2%✓Dreman>= 8%Net Income / Shareholders' Equity19.5%✓Dreman> 12%Margin of Safety✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15Return on Equity13.2% (3-yr avg)✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)Discount to Intrinsic Value✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePositive Net Income Frequency15/18 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsOperating Income / Revenue25.3%✓Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Shareholders Equity19.5%✓Ackman>= 15%5-Year EPS CAGR✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Operating Margin Trend25.4% (2023) -> 25.3% (2025)✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 yearsRevenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 81.8% -> 80.6%, operating margin 25.4% -> 25.3%✓SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holdingNet income / market capitalization+17.34%; #317/6340 (top 5.0%)✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionGross profit / total assets+18.81%; #2132/3702 (top 57.6%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNet income / positive book equity+19.49%; #814/5226 (top 15.6%)✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNegative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0460; #2469/5884 (top 42.0%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR✗Neff7%-20% annualizedPositive Diluted-EPS Years✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule) - Verdicts25% pass✓ 3✗ 9▾
Split decision: 9 FAIL · 5 NEUTRAL · 2 PASS
Overall verdict✗GrahamFAIL (2/9)✗BuffettFAIL (1/9)•LynchNEUTRAL (5/7)✓GreenblattRank #264•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 6)•DremanNEUTRAL (7/11)✓MungerPASS (2/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (2/6)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)✓AckmanPASS (5/9)✗TempletonFAIL (3/8)•SleepNEUTRAL (4/6)✗AsnessFAIL (Rank #794/2370 (Top 33.5%))✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (2/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked) - Cash Flow30% pass✓ 4✗ 8▾
7 of 10 flag TCOM's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Piotroski +4 more
Free Cash Flow Proxy✗BuffettPositive and growingFCF Positive and Growing$1.9B✗LynchPositive and growingOperating Cash Flow$2.1B✓PiotroskiCFO > 0(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=5.38%, ROA=12.45%✗PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAPrice / (CFO / Shares)✗Dreman< 8xP/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=7.1%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%FCF Positive16/18 years FCF positive✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap✗Ackman>= 4%Price / FCF per Share✗Ackman<= 25Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency17/18 years positive✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available yearsOperating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$1.9B✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+7.07%; #1151/4519 (top 25.5%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section - Growth38% pass✓ 8✗ 5▾
5 of 8 flag TCOM's growth — Graham, Lynch, Ackman +2 more
EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growthBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR49.3%✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passInventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growthEPS Growth Direction$1.89 (2008) -> $4.22 (2010)✓DremanPositive over recent yearsEPS CAGR49.3% CAGR over 2 years✓Dreman> 5% annualizedPositive Net Income Frequency15/18 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years3yr Median Revenue Growth22.2%✓Ackman>= 5%Positive EPS Growth Frequency✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years5-Year EPS CAGR✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 81.8% -> 80.6%, operating margin 25.4% -> 25.3%✓SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding5-year Revenue CAGR26.0%✓SleepCAGR > 7%3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR✗Neff7%-20% annualized - Efficiency38% pass✓ 4✗ 7▾
5 of 8 flag TCOM's efficiency — Graham, Buffett, Munger +2 more
Current Ratio1.55✗Graham>= 2.0ROIC (3-5 yr avg)4.5%✗Buffett> 10%ROIC - WACC-5.5%✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)56.7%✓Greenblatt> 25%Current Ratio Change YoY1.51 -> 1.55✓PiotroskiIncreased YoYRevenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.22x -> 0.23x✓PiotroskiImproved YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities1.55✓Dreman> 1.5Return on Invested Capital6.2%✗Munger> 15%ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=5.4%; FY2024: ROIC=6.2%; FY2025: ROIC=6.2%✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in eachReinvestment Rate x ROIC5.9% (RR=96% x ROIC=6.2%)✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%ROIC (5-year)0/5 years above 12% (latest 6.2%)✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
Business & financials
Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.
Company Profile
Financial Snapshot
Shareholder Return
Fiscal 2025
Share retirement not available for this company.
- Buybacks
- $628.4M
- Dividends
- $203.4M
Company Financials
Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years
TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.
| Metric | FY 2025Sources
| FY 2024Sources
| FY 2023Sources
| FY 2022Sources
| FY 2021Sources
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $27.4Bcurrent | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Revenue | $8.9B↑22% | $7.3B↑17% | $6.3B↑118% | $2.9B↓8% | $3.1B |
| Operating Income | $2.3B↑16% | $1.9B↑22% | $1.6B↑12508% | $12.6M↑106% | -$221.4M |
| Net Income | $4.8B↑103% | $2.3B↑68% | $1.4B↑593% | $201.5M↑333% | -$86.3M |
| EPS (Diluted) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Gross Margin | 80.6%↓1% | 81.3%↓1% | 81.8%↑6% | 77.5%↑1% | 77.0% |
| Operating Margin | 25.3%↓5% | 26.6%↑5% | 25.4%↑5693% | 0.4%↑106% | -7.0% |
| ROE | 19.5%↑62% | 12.0%↑48% | 8.1%↑550% | 1.2%↑349% | -0.5% |
| Total Debt | $4.4B↓19% | $5.4B↓14% | $6.3B↓4% | $6.6B↓18% | $8.0B |
| Shareholders' Equity | $24.4B↑26% | $19.4B↑13% | $17.2B↑7% | $16.1B↓6% | $17.2B |
| Current Ratio | 1.55↑2% | 1.51↑24% | 1.23↑22% | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Debt / Equity | 0.18↓35% | 0.28↓24% | 0.37↓10% | 0.41↓12% | 0.46 |
| Operating Cash Flow | $2.1B↓24% | $2.7B↓13% | $3.1B↑716% | $379.3M↓2% | $388.4M |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.9B↓26% | $2.6B↓13% | $3.0B↑878% | $307.9M↑3% | $299.0M |
Score history
Historical Score Timeline
Industry peers
Industry Peers
Similar companies in Business Services
TCOM vs Peers — Financial Grading
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Revenue | Net Income | ROE | D/E | Op. Margin | Curr. Ratio | Graham | Buffett | Lynch | Greenblatt | Piotroski | Dreman |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING INCADP | $122.3B | $309.93 | $21.9B | $4.4B | 73.2% | 0.82 | 24.2% | 1.05 | 4/9 | 5/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 | 5/11 |
| ELECTRONIC ARTS INC.EA | $52.9B | $209.70 | $7.5B | $887.0M | 13.1% | 0.22 | 15.4% | 1.05 | 1/9 | 4/9 | 4/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 | 6/11 |
| Rubrik, Inc.RBRK | $22.6B | $109.88 | $1.3B | $348.8M | 67.1% | — | -26.2% | 1.69 | 1/9 | 0/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 | 2/11 |
| AECOMACM | $9.1B | $70.50 | $16.1B | $561.8M | 22.5% | 1.09 | 6.4% | 1.14 | 1/9 | 3/9 | 3/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 8 | 2/11 |
| COMMVAULT SYSTEMS INCCVLT | $6.2B | $152.07 | $1.2B | $70.7M | 942.8% | — | 6.3% | 1.95 | 1/9 | 2/9 | 4/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 | 6/11 |
| WPP plcWPP | $6.0B | $27.79 | $18.2B | $289.5M | -8.5% | 1.94 | 2.8% | 0.89 | 1/9 | 2/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 3 | 2/11 |
| VARONIS SYSTEMS INCVRNS | $5.6B | $48.94 | $623.5M | $129.3M | -21.6% | 0.76 | -23.5% | 1.97 | 1/9 | 0/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 5 | 1/11 |
| ROBERT HALF INC.RHI | $4.3B | $42.00 | $5.4B | $133.0M | 10.4% | — | 1.4% | 1.53 | 2/9 | 5/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 5 | 2/11 |