TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO LTD

TSM
Price: $398.73Market Cap: $2.07T

Investment snapshot

29%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

5

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

8 / 3

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$18.41

-95.4% vs price

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

All 8 investors pass TSM's efficiency

Key risk

Split decision: 8 NEUTRAL · 3 PASS · 3 FAIL · 2 BUY

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictPASSPASSNEUTRALFAIL · Rank #1247 (Top 40.3%)NEUTRALNEUTRALNEUTRALFAILBUYFAILNEUTRALPASSNEUTRALBUYFAILNEUTRALNEUTRAL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of Safety-3120.8%-1495.6%-1088.5%-3571.5%N/A-2065.8%-1212.9%-4088.3%-640.9%-3528.1%-986.8%-2451.1%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-04-17

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Efficiency100% pass✓ 11▾

    All 8 investors pass TSM's efficiency

    Current Ratio2.36
    ✓Graham>= 2.0
    ROIC (3-5 yr avg)43.5%
    ✓Buffett> 10%
    ROIC - WACC+33.5%
    ✓BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
    EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)45.7%
    ✓Greenblatt> 25%
    Current Ratio Change YoY2.33 -> 2.36
    ✓PiotroskiIncreased YoY
    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.39x -> 0.43x
    ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities2.36
    ✓Dreman> 1.5
    Return on Invested Capital24.4%
    ✓Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2022: ROIC=30.2%; FY2023: ROIC=21.0%; FY2024: ROIC=24.4%
    ✓AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROIC16.8% (RR=69% x ROIC=24.4%)
    ✓AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)5/5 years above 12% (latest 24.4%)
    ✓SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
  • Debt & Leverage83% pass✓ 13✗ 2▾

    10 of 12 pass — Piotroski and Marks object

    LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $971.4M vs NCA $54.3B
    ✓GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.01, IC: 126.0x
    ✓BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity0.01
    ✓Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt$63.8B
    ✓LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.08% -> 0.48%
    ✗PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities2.36
    ✓Dreman> 1.5✓SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.01
    ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Debt Levels0.01
    ✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=126.0x, D/EBITDA=N/A (D&A unavailable)
    ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.01
    ✓Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.0075; #568/4210 (top 13.5%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
  • Growth63% pass✓ 10✗ 3▾

    5 of 8 pass — Lynch, Sleep and Neff object

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)222.3%
    ✓Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)11.88
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR24.6%
    ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: 7.5% vs Rev: 25.5%
    ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
    EPS Growth Direction$0.37 (2015) -> $1.36 (2024)
    ✓DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR15.8% CAGR over 9 years
    ✓Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency10/10 years positive
    ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth25.5%
    ✓Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency4/5 years with positive EPS growth
    ✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR24.6% CAGR over 5 years
    ✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 59.6% -> 56.1%, operating margin 49.5% -> 45.7%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR20.0%
    ✓SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR24.6% over 5 years
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Verdicts56% pass✓ 5✗ 4▾

    Split decision: 8 NEUTRAL · 3 PASS · 3 FAIL · 2 BUY

    Overall verdict
    ✓GrahamPASS (4/9)✓BuffettPASS (5/9)•LynchNEUTRAL (6/7)✗GreenblattRank #1247•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 7)•DremanNEUTRAL (7/11)•MungerNEUTRAL (3/4)✗PabraiFAIL (1/3)✓AkreBUY (5/6)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)•AckmanNEUTRAL (7/9)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)•SleepNEUTRAL (4/6)✓AsnessBUY (Rank #434/2370 (Top 18.3%))✗NeffFAIL (3/6)•SchlossNEUTRAL (5/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)

Where It Falls Short

  • Valuation0% pass✓ 1✗ 27▾

    No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

    Price / 3-yr avg EPS324.9x
    ✗Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Book Ratio79.8x
    ✗Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/B25,931.1
    ✗Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)11.88
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    EBIT / Enterprise Value2.0%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=2.0%, ROC=45.7%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Price / EPS292.4x
    ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)185.5x
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    Price / Book Value per Share79.8x
    ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=292.4x
    ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF YieldP/E=292.4x, FCF Yield=1.3%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=292.4x, P/B=79.8x
    ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic Value-2066.0% (IV=$18.41 vs Price=$398.73)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per Share389.3x
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low240% of trailing low ($166.00)
    ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Net income / market capitalization+1.71%; #2801/6340 (top 44.2%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.0626; #4934/6449 (top 76.5%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS292.4x
    ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E0.08
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share79.81x
    ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change+141.4%
    ✓SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization+0.0427; #4622/5247 (top 88.1%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+1.28%; #2357/4519 (top 52.2%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-4.71%; #3111/6202 (top 50.2%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Valuation models0% pass✗ 11▾

    TSM overvalued: all 11 models price fair value below $398.73 (median $18.41)

    Graham fair value$12.38
    ✗Graham-3120.8% margin vs $398.73
    Buffett fair value$24.99
    ✗Buffett-1495.6% margin vs $398.73
    Lynch fair value$33.55
    ✗Lynch-1088.5% margin vs $398.73
    Greenblatt fair value$10.86
    ✗Greenblatt-3571.5% margin vs $398.73
    Dreman fair value$18.41
    ✗Dreman-2065.8% margin vs $398.73
    Munger fair value$30.37
    ✗Munger-1212.9% margin vs $398.73
    Pabrai fair value$9.52
    ✗Pabrai-4088.3% margin vs $398.73
    Akre fair value$53.82
    ✗Akre-640.9% margin vs $398.73
    Marks fair value$10.99
    ✗Marks-3528.1% margin vs $398.73
    Ackman fair value$36.69
    ✗Ackman-986.8% margin vs $398.73
    Templeton fair value$15.63
    ✗Templeton-2451.1% margin vs $398.73
  • Profitability31% pass✓ 19✗ 16▾

    11 of 16 flag TSM's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +8 more

    Positive EPS (10 years)10/11 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)222.3%
    ✓Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)10/11 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)28.3%
    ✓Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)45.7% (latest)
    ✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)0.49
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)11.88
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR24.6%
    ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE27.3%
    ✓Lynch> 15%
    EBIT / Enterprise Value2.0%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=2.0%, ROC=45.7%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Net Income / Total Assets17.31%
    ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY15.40% -> 17.31% (delta: +1.91%)
    ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=27.29%, ROA=17.31%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Gross Margin Change YoY54.4% -> 56.1%
    ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue48.6%
    ✓Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity27.3%
    ✓Dreman> 12%
    Margin of SafetyP/E=292.4x, P/B=79.8x
    ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    Return on Equity28.8% (3-yr avg)
    ✓AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic Value-2066.0% (IV=$18.41 vs Price=$398.73)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency10/10 years positive
    ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue45.7%
    ✓Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity27.3%
    ✓Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR24.6% CAGR over 5 years
    ✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend49.5% (2022) -> 45.7% (2024)
    ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 59.6% -> 56.1%, operating margin 49.5% -> 45.7%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Net income / market capitalization+1.71%; #2801/6340 (top 44.2%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Gross profit / total assets+24.27%; #1773/3702 (top 47.9%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity+27.29%; #521/5226 (top 10.0%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0169; #1270/5884 (top 21.6%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR24.6% over 5 years
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years10/10 years positive
    ✓Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Cash Flow50% pass✓ 6✗ 6▾

    5 of 10 pass — Buffett, Dreman, Pabrai +2 more object

    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing$26.6B
    ✓LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$55.7B
    ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=27.29%, ROA=17.31%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)185.5x
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF YieldP/E=292.4x, FCF Yield=1.3%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive10/10 years FCF positive
    ✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap0.3%
    ✗Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per Share389.3x
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency10/10 years positive
    ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$26.6B
    ✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+1.28%; #2357/4519 (top 52.2%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2024. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Electronic Equipment
SIC Sector: Electronic & Electrical Equipment
Size: Mega Cap($2.07T)
Revenue: $88.3B+25.5% YoY
Net Income: $35.4B+27.4% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin45.7%
Return on Equity27.3%
Debt / Equity0.01
Current Ratio2.36
EPS (Diluted)$1.36+27.4% 1y
Shares Retired−0.0% / −0.0% 2y

Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2024

Issued 0.0% of shares last year, 0.0% issued over two.

Buybacks
—
Dividends
$11.1B

What drove EPS

A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

FY21
17.7% = 17.7% + −0.0%
FY22
51.1% = 51.1% + 0.0%
FY23
−14.3% = −14.3% + 0.0%
FY24
27.4% = 27.4% + −0.0%
Earnings Fewer shares More shares

Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

MetricFY 2024
Sources
  • 20-F · 2025-04-17
FY 2023
Sources
  • 20-F · 2024-04-18
FY 2022
Sources
  • 20-F · 2023-04-20
FY 2021
Sources
  • 20-F · 2022-04-14
FY 2020
Sources
  • 20-F · 2021-04-16
Market Cap$2.1Tcurrent$2.8Test.$2.3Test.$3.0Test.$2.9Test.
Revenue$88.3B↑25%$70.4B↓5%$73.8B↑29%$57.4B↑20%$47.7B
Operating Income$40.4B↑34%$30.0B↓18%$36.5B↑56%$23.5B↑16%$20.2B
Net Income$35.4B↑27%$27.7B↓14%$32.4B↑51%$21.4B↑18%$18.2B
EPS (Diluted)$1.36↑27%$1.07↓14%$1.25↑51%$0.83↑18%$0.70
Gross Margin56.1%↑3%54.4%↓9%59.6%↑15%51.6%↓3%53.1%
Operating Margin45.7%↑7%42.6%↓14%49.5%↑21%40.9%↓3%42.3%
ROE27.3%↑10%24.8%↓27%34.2%↑24%27.6%↓1%27.8%
Total Debt$970.8M↓5%$1.0B↓3%$1.1B↓75%$4.3B↑33%$3.2B
Shareholders' Equity$129.6B↑16%$111.7B↑18%$94.6B↑22%$77.7B↑19%$65.4B
Current Ratio2.36↑1%2.33↑12%2.08↓2%2.12↑23%1.73
Debt / Equity0.01↓18%0.01↓18%0.01↓80%0.06↑11%0.05
Operating Cash Flow$55.7B↑38%$40.5B↓23%$52.5B↑31%$40.2B↑37%$29.3B
Free Cash Flow$26.6B↑179%$9.5B↓45%$17.2B↑74%$9.9B↓12%$11.2B

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Electronic Equipment

TSM vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$88.3BTop 25%
Net Income$35.4BTop 25%
ROE27.3%Median
D/E0.01Top 25%
Op. Margin45.7%Top 25%
Curr. Ratio2.36Top 25%
CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
NVIDIA CORPNVDA$3.93T$162.85$215.9B$120.1B76.3%0.0560.4%3.913/96/93/71/3F-Score 45/11
INTEL CORPINTC$317.1B$59.66$52.9B$267.0M-0.2%0.41-4.2%2.023/90/91/70/3F-Score 63/11
TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INCTXN$277.4B$303.60$17.7B$5.0B30.7%0.8634.1%4.356/95/93/71/3F-Score 77/11
ANALOG DEVICES INCADI$192.8B$397.97$11.0B$2.3B6.7%0.2426.6%2.192/93/94/71/3F-Score 84/11
Motorola Solutions, Inc.MSI$87.8B$531.20$11.7B$2.2B89.4%3.4925.6%1.042/94/93/71/3F-Score 65/11
L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES, INC. /DE/LHX$50.7B$272.35—$1.6B8.2%0.57—1.192/92/93/71/3F-Score 73/11
NOKIA CORPNOK$45.7B$8.07$23.4B$764.7M3.1%0.164.4%1.582/91/93/71/3F-Score 53/11
ERICSSON LM TELEPHONE COERIC$34.2B$10.56$25.7B$3.1B26.0%0.3016.3%1.292/95/95/73/3F-Score 77/11