Weave Communications, Inc.

Where It Passes

Where It Falls Short

• Profitability0% pass✓ 6✗ 29▾

  No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

  Positive EPS (10 years)0/8 years positive

  ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years

  EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)

  ✗Graham>= 33% growth

  Net Income Positive (10+ years)0/8 years positive

  ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years

  ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-44.3%

  ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)

  Operating Margin (10-yr trend)-12.8% (latest)

  ✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 years

  Free Cash Flow Proxy$-18.9M

  ✗BuffettPositive and growing

  Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)N/A (negative mean EPS)

  ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3

  Retained Earnings Effectiveness

  ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created

  Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)

  ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)

  3-5 Year EPS CAGR

  ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass

  ROE-24.2%

  ✗Lynch> 15%

  EBIT / Enterprise Value-5.7%

  ✗Greenblatt> 10%

  Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-5.7%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)

  ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%

  Net Income / Total Assets-13.49%

  ✗PiotroskiROA > 0

  ROA Change YoY-15.00% -> -13.49% (delta: +1.52%)

  ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA

  (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=8.43%, ROA=-13.49%

  ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA

  Gross Margin Change YoY71.4% -> 72.1%

  ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY

  Pre-Tax Income / Revenue-12.6%

  ✗Dreman>= 8%

  Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-24.2%

  ✗Dreman> 12%

  Margin of SafetyP/B=7.1x

  ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15

  Return on Equity-38.6% (3-yr avg)

  ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)

  Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)

  ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value

  Positive Net Income Frequency0/7 years positive

  ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years

  Operating Income / Revenue-8.3%

  ✗Ackman>= 15%

  Net Income / Shareholders Equity-24.2%

  ✗Ackman>= 15%

  5-Year EPS CAGR

  ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)

  Operating Margin Trend-20.2% (2023) -> -12.8% (2025)

  ✓TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years

  Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 68.1% -> 72.1%, operating margin -20.2% -> -12.8%

  ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding

  Net income / market capitalization-3.53%; #3729/6340 (top 58.8%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

  Gross profit / total assets+89.46%; #184/3702 (top 5.0%)

  ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

  Net income / positive book equity-24.18%; #3780/5226 (top 72.3%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

  Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0559; #2716/5884 (top 46.2%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

  3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR

  ✗Neff7%-20% annualized

  Positive Diluted-EPS Years0/7 years positive

  ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
• Valuation0% pass✗ 28▾

  All 13 investors flag WEAV's valuation

  Price / 3-yr avg EPS

  ✗Graham<= 15x

  Price-to-Book Ratio7.1x

  ✗Graham<= 1.5x

  P/E x P/B

  ✗Graham<= 22.5

  Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)

  ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)

  EBIT / Enterprise Value-5.7%

  ✗Greenblatt> 10%

  Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-5.7%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)

  ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%

  Price / EPS

  ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)

  Price / (CFO / Shares)33.1x

  ✗Dreman< 8x

  Price / Book Value per Share7.1x

  ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)

  Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-3.2%

  ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%

  P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=2.6%

  ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%

  P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=7.1x

  ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0

  Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)

  ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value

  Price / FCF per Share38.4x

  ✗Ackman<= 25

  Price vs. Trailing Low160% of trailing low ($4.62)

  ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)

  Net income / market capitalization-3.53%; #3729/6340 (top 58.8%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

  Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.1462; #4491/6449 (top 69.6%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

  Price / Diluted EPS

  ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)

  (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E

  ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)

  Price / Tangible Book Value per Share12.69x

  ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)

  Book Value per Share Change

  ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)

  Revenue / market capitalization+0.4435; #2792/5247 (top 53.2%)

  ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

  (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+2.46%; #2168/4519 (top 48.0%)

  ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

  Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+50.51%; #642/6202 (top 10.4%)

  ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
• Efficiency0% pass✓ 1✗ 10▾

  No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one efficiency criterion

  Current Ratio1.25

  ✗Graham>= 2.0

  ROIC (3-5 yr avg)-88.1%

  ✗Buffett> 10%

  ROIC - WACC-98.1%

  ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)

  EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)N/A (invested capital <= 0)

  ✗Greenblatt> 25%

  Current Ratio Change YoY1.58 -> 1.24

  ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY

  Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY1.08x -> 1.15x

  ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY

  Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.25

  ✗Dreman> 1.5

  Return on Invested Capital-17.1%

  ✗Munger> 15%

  ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=-31.9%; FY2024: ROIC=-31.0%; FY2025: ROIC=-25.4%

  ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each

  Reinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)

  ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%

  ROIC (5-year)0/5 years above 12% (latest -25.4%)

  ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
• Valuation models0% pass✗ 2▾

  WEAV overvalued: all 2 models price fair value below $7.39 (median $5.21)

  Munger fair value$3.51

  ✗Munger-110.5% margin vs $7.39

  Ackman fair value$6.90

  ✗Ackman-7.1% margin vs $7.39
• Verdicts7% pass✓ 1✗ 13▾

  Split decision: 13 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL · 1 PASS

  Overall verdict

  ✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)✗BuffettFAIL (1/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)•GreenblattNot ranked•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 6)✗DremanFAIL (1/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (2/6)✗MarksFAIL (0/5)✓AckmanPASS (4/9)✗TempletonFAIL (3/8)✗SleepFAIL (2/6)✗AsnessFAIL (Rank #1521/2370 (Top 64.2%))✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (1/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
• Growth13% pass✓ 4✗ 9▾

  7 of 8 flag WEAV's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +4 more

  EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)

  ✗Graham>= 33% growth

  Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)

  ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)

  3-5 Year EPS CAGR

  ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass

  Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)

  ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth

  EPS Growth Direction$-3.30 (2019) -> $-0.37 (2025)

  ✗DremanPositive over recent years

  EPS CAGR

  ✗Dreman> 5% annualized

  Positive Net Income Frequency0/7 years positive

  ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years

  3yr Median Revenue Growth19.9%

  ✓Ackman>= 5%

  Positive EPS Growth Frequency5/5 years with positive EPS growth

  ✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years

  5-Year EPS CAGR

  ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)

  Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 68.1% -> 72.1%, operating margin -20.2% -> -12.8%

  ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding

  5-year Revenue CAGR24.5%

  ✓SleepCAGR > 7%

  3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR

  ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
• Cash Flow20% pass✓ 3✗ 9▾

  8 of 10 flag WEAV's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Dreman +5 more

  Free Cash Flow Proxy$-18.9M

  ✗BuffettPositive and growing

  FCF Positive and Growing$14.3M

  ✗LynchPositive and growing

  Operating Cash Flow$17.5M

  ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0

  (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=8.43%, ROA=-13.49%

  ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA

  Price / (CFO / Shares)33.1x

  ✗Dreman< 8x

  P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=2.6%

  ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%

  FCF Positive3/7 years FCF positive

  ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years

  (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap2.5%

  ✗Ackman>= 4%

  Price / FCF per Share38.4x

  ✗Ackman<= 25

  Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency3/7 years positive

  ✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years

  Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$14.3M

  ✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)

  (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+2.46%; #2168/4519 (top 48.0%)

  ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
• Debt & Leverage42% pass✓ 8✗ 7▾

  7 of 12 flag WEAV's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +4 more

  LT Debt vs Net Current Assets

  ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets

  Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.17, IC: -13.8x

  ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x

  Total Debt / Equity0.17

  ✓Lynch< 0.33

  Cash - Long-term Debt

  ✗LynchPositive preferred

  LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%

  ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY

  Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.25

  ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)

  Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.17

  ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x

  Debt Levels0.17

  ✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3

  Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-13.8x, D/EBITDA=N/A

  ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x

  Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.17

  ✓Ackman<= 1.0

  Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.1703; #1573/4210 (top 37.4%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section