AIFU Inc.

AIFU
About the company

AIFU Inc., through its subsidiary, distributes insurance products in China. The company provides life and health insurance products, such as individual whole life, individual health, individual annuity, individual term life, individual endowment life, and participating insurance products; and non-life insurance products primarily includes individual accident, travel, homeowner, indemnity medical, commercial property, cargo, hull, liability, construction and erection, and extended warranty insurance products.

Country: Cayman IslandsPrice: $9.50Market Cap: $590.2M

Investment snapshot

19%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

3

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 11

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$0.65

-93.2% vs price

Models with upside

4 / 16

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

AIFU undervalued: all 4 models price fair value above $9.50 (median $0.65)

Key risk

No clean pass — all 12 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILPASSFAILFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/AN/A+33.1%N/AN/A+96.5%+19.5%N/A+12.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Valuation models100% pass✓ 4▾

    AIFU undervalued: all 4 models price fair value above $9.50 (median $0.65)

    Dreman fair value$0.71
    ✓Dreman+33.1% margin vs $9.50
    Akre fair value$13.72
    ✓Akre+96.5% margin vs $9.50
    Marks fair value$0.59
    ✓Marks+19.5% margin vs $9.50
    Templeton fair value$0.54
    ✓Templeton+12.0% margin vs $9.50
  • Debt & Leverage55% pass✓ 8✗ 5▾

    6 of 11 pass — Buffett, Lynch, Marks +2 more object

    Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.12, IC: -10.3x
    ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity0.12
    ✓Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt
    ✗LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%
    ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.12
    ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Debt Levels0.12
    ✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-10.3x, D/EBITDA=N/A
    ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.12
    ✓Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.1170; #1355/4210 (top 32.2%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.18x
    ✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)

Where It Falls Short

  • Valuation0% pass✓ 4✗ 22▾

    No clean pass — all 12 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

    Price / 3-yr avg EPS10.1x
    ✓Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Book Ratio
    ✗Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/B
    ✗Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    Price / EPS
    ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    Price / Book Value per Share
    ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Valuation Reasonableness
    ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-0.5%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical Average
    ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic Value32.7% (IV=$0.71 vs Price=$0.47)
    ✓Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per Share
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low100% of trailing low ($0.47)
    ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Net income / market capitalization-55.10%; #5101/6340 (top 80.5%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.1159; #4660/6449 (top 72.3%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS
    ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share
    ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change+25.4%
    ✓SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization+0.1348; #4139/5247 (top 78.9%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-0.47%; #2608/4519 (top 57.7%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-61.38%; #5432/6202 (top 87.6%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Profitability20% pass✓ 7✗ 25▾

    12 of 15 flag AIFU's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +9 more

    Positive EPS (10 years)16/18 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)-1.0%
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)16/18 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-84.9%
    ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)-7.0% (latest)
    ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy$-325.0M
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)0.83
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR19.2%
    ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE-475.5%
    ✗Lynch> 15%
    Net Income / Total Assets-148.90%
    ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY10.96% -> -148.90% (delta: -159.86%)
    ✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-1.06%, ROA=-148.90%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue-408.4%
    ✗Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-475.5%
    ✗Dreman> 12%
    Margin of Safety
    ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    Return on Equity-148.0% (3-yr avg)
    ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic Value32.7% (IV=$0.71 vs Price=$0.47)
    ✓Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency16/18 years positive
    ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue-7.0%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity-475.5%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR10.9% CAGR over 4 years
    ✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend6.4% (2023) -> -7.0% (2025)
    ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue flat/down, operating margin 6.4% -> -7.0%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Net income / market capitalization-55.10%; #5101/6340 (top 80.5%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Gross profit / total assets
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity-475.50%; #5067/5226 (top 97.0%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.6250; #5072/5884 (top 86.2%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR19.2% over 5 years
    ✓Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years9/9 years positive
    ✓Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Cash Flow20% pass✓ 3✗ 9▾

    8 of 10 flag AIFU's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Piotroski +5 more

    Free Cash Flow Proxy$-325.0M
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing$-2.8M
    ✗LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$-2.3M
    ✗PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-1.06%, ROA=-148.90%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-0.5%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive17/18 years FCF positive
    ✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap
    ✗Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per Share
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency17/18 years positive
    ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$-2.8M
    ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-0.47%; #2608/4519 (top 57.7%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Verdicts21% pass✓ 3✗ 11▾

    Split decision: 11 FAIL · 3 PASS · 2 NEUTRAL

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (1/7)✗BuffettFAIL (0/7)✗LynchFAIL (2/6)✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 3)✗DremanFAIL (2/10)✓MungerPASS (2/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (2/6)✗MarksFAIL (3/5)✗AckmanFAIL (2/9)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)✗SleepFAIL (2/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (1/6)✗SchlossFAIL (3/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
  • Efficiency25% pass✓ 1✗ 4▾

    3 of 4 flag AIFU's efficiency — Munger, Akre and Sleep

    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.32x -> 0.36x
    ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Return on Invested Capital-5.8%
    ✗Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=6.2%; FY2024: ROIC=-13.2%; FY2025: ROIC=-5.8%
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)0/4 years above 12% (latest -5.8%)
    ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
  • Growth38% pass✓ 5✗ 7▾

    5 of 8 flag AIFU's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +2 more

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)-1.0%
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR19.2%
    ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    EPS Growth Direction$0.03 (2008) -> $0.06 (2024)
    ✓DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR4.0% CAGR over 16 years
    ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency16/18 years positive
    ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth-53.0%
    ✗Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency2/4 years with positive EPS growth
    ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR10.9% CAGR over 4 years
    ✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue flat/down, operating margin 6.4% -> -7.0%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR-30.7%
    ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR19.2% over 5 years
    ✓Neff7%-20% annualized

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Insurance
SIC Sector: Insurance Agents & Brokers
Size: Small Cap($590.2M)
Revenue: $79.6M-56.4% YoY
Net Income: $325.2M-621.7% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin-7.0%
Return on Equity-475.5%
Debt / Equity0.12
Current Ratio1.18
Sector-adjusted criteria: Insurer

Insurers file unclassified balance sheets with no inventory or current accounts, so those criteria are omitted rather than failed for missing data. Return-on-invested-capital tests are omitted too: float funds the balance sheet but never appears in invested capital, and the portfolio it is invested in would be subtracted as spare cash. Debt tests are kept — an insurer’s borrowings are real leverage on top of underwriting.

Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2025

Share retirement not available for this company.

Buybacks
—
Dividends
—

What drove EPS

A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

FY22
−64.2% = −63.4% + −2.1%
FY23
183.0% = 174.1% + 3.3%
FY24
57.3% = 58.0% + −0.4%
Earnings Fewer shares More shares

The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.

Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

MetricFY 2025
Sources
  • 20-F · 2026-04-28
FY 2024
Sources
  • 20-F · 2025-04-25
FY 2023
Sources
  • 20-F · 2024-04-29
FY 2022
Sources
  • 20-F · 2023-04-25
FY 2021
Sources
  • 20-F · 2022-04-29
Market Cap$590.2Mcurrent$8.1Best.$132.9Best.$166.5Best.$145.9Best.
Revenue$79.6M↓56%$182.5M↓53%$388.4M↓3%$399.5M↓22%$513.3M
Operating Income-$5.6M↑91%-$61.3M↓347%$24.8M↑3%$24.2M↓49%$47.4M
Net Income-$325.2M↓622%$62.3M↑58%$39.5M↑174%$14.4M↓63%$39.4M
EPS (Diluted)--$0.06↑57%$0.04↑183%$0.01↓64%$0.04
Gross Margin—————
Operating Margin-7.0%↑79%-33.6%↓625%6.4%↑5%6.1%↓34%9.2%
ROE-475.5%↓2762%17.9%↑32%13.5%↑119%6.2%↓55%13.7%
Total Debt$8.0M↓57%$18.5M↓20%$23.1M↑351%$5.1M--
Shareholders' Equity$68.4M↓80%$348.9M↑20%$291.4M↑25%$233.1M↓19%$288.4M
Current Ratio1.18↓53%2.50↑8%2.32↓4%2.41↓3%2.49
Debt / Equity0.12↑121%0.05↓33%0.08↑261%0.02—
Operating Cash Flow-$2.3M↓112%$19.6M↑37%$14.3M↓28%$19.8M$19.8M
Free Cash Flow-$2.8M↓115%$18.4M↑47%$12.5M↑45%$8.6M↓42%$15.0M

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Insurance

AIFU vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$79.6MBottom 25%
Net Income$325.2MBottom 25%
ROE-475.5%Bottom 25%
D/E0.12Top 25%
Op. Margin-7.0%Bottom 25%
Curr. Ratio1.18Top 25%
CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchPiotroskiDreman
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCUNH$365.1B$407.46$447.6B$12.1B12.0%0.784.2%0.793/74/72/6F-Score 63/10
PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/PGR$136.6B$235.78$87.7B$11.3B37.3%0.23——2/72/74/6F-Score 68/10
MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES, INC.MRSH$98.8B$207.78$27.0B$4.2B27.2%1.2823.1%1.103/73/72/6F-Score 65/10
CHINA LIFE INSURANCE CO LTDCILJF$85.1B$3.01——————5/71/73/6F-Score 55/10
Aon plcAON$71.8B$338.31$17.2B$3.7B39.5%1.6325.3%1.112/74/73/6F-Score 63/10
HUMANA INCHUM$54.0B$450.00$129.7B$1.2B6.7%0.702.1%2.003/72/71/6F-Score 44/10
SUN LIFE FINANCIAL INCSLF$40.5B$72.93$30.6B$2.6B14.5%0.33——3/73/72/6F-Score 66/10
HARTFORD INSURANCE GROUP, INC.HIG$36.8B$137.48$28.4B$3.8B20.2%0.23——3/73/74/6F-Score 78/10