Athene Holding Ltd.

ATH-PA
About the company

Athene Holding Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in providing financial services, such as issuing, reinsuring, and acquiring retirement savings products for individuals and institutions in the United States and internationally. It offers fixed indexed, fixed rate, registered index-linked, private placement variable, income riders to fixed, payout, and group annuities.

Country: United StatesPrice: $22.33Market Cap: N/A

Investment snapshot

13%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

2

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 12

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$240055.27

+1074934.8% vs price

Models with upside

2 / 16

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

ATH-PA undervalued: all 2 models price fair value above $22.33 (median $240055.27)

Key risk

No clean pass — all 12 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+100.0%+100.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-25

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-25

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-25

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-02-25

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-02-25

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-25

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-02-25

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Valuation models100% pass✓ 2▾

    ATH-PA undervalued: all 2 models price fair value above $22.33 (median $240055.27)

    Pabrai fair value$217473.75
    ✓Pabrai+100.0% margin vs $22.33
    Akre fair value$262636.79
    ✓Akre+100.0% margin vs $22.33

Where It Falls Short

  • Valuation0% pass✓ 1✗ 25▾

    No clean pass — all 12 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

    Price / 3-yr avg EPS
    ✗Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Book Ratio
    ✗Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/B
    ✗Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    Price / EPS
    ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    Price / Book Value per Share
    ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Valuation Reasonableness
    ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF Yield
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical Average
    ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic Value
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per Share
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low100% of trailing low ($22.33)
    ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Net income / market capitalization
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive book equity / market capitalization
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS
    ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share
    ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change
    ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-9.19%; #3388/6202 (top 54.6%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Profitability7% pass✓ 5✗ 27▾

    14 of 15 flag ATH-PA's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +11 more

    Positive EPS (10 years)0/13 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)11/13 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)9.3%
    ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)
    ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE-11.5%
    ✗Lynch> 15%
    Net Income / Total Assets0.61%
    ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY0.95% -> 0.61% (delta: -0.34%)
    ✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=1.17%, ROA=0.61%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue7.2%
    ✗Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-11.5%
    ✗Dreman> 12%
    Margin of Safety
    ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    Return on Equity22.7% (3-yr avg)
    ✓AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic Value
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency11/12 years positive
    ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity-11.5%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend
    ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Net income / market capitalization
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Gross profit / total assets
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity-11.55%; #3460/5226 (top 66.2%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0103; #844/5884 (top 14.3%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years
    ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Growth13% pass✓ 3✗ 9▾

    7 of 8 flag ATH-PA's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +4 more

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    EPS Growth Direction
    ✗DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR
    ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency11/12 years positive
    ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth24.1%
    ✓Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency
    ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR11.7%
    ✓SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Verdicts14% pass✓ 2✗ 12▾

    Split decision: 12 FAIL · 2 PASS · 2 NEUTRAL

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (1/7)✗BuffettFAIL (1/7)✗LynchFAIL (1/6)✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 4)✗DremanFAIL (1/10)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (1/5)✗AckmanFAIL (3/9)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)✗SleepFAIL (2/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (1/6)✗SchlossFAIL (2/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
  • Cash Flow20% pass✓ 3✗ 9▾

    8 of 10 flag ATH-PA's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Dreman +5 more

    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing
    ✗LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$5.2B
    ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=1.17%, ROA=0.61%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF Yield
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive
    ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap
    ✗Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per Share
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency12/12 years positive
    ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures
    ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Efficiency25% pass✓ 1✗ 4▾

    3 of 4 flag ATH-PA's efficiency — Munger, Akre and Sleep

    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.06x -> 0.06x
    ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Return on Invested Capital
    ✗Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=unavailable; FY2025: ROIC=unavailable
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROIC
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)
    ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
  • Debt & Leverage36% pass✓ 6✗ 7▾

    7 of 11 flag ATH-PA's debt & leverage — Lynch, Piotroski, Munger +4 more

    Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.38, IC: 8.4x
    ✓BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity0.66
    ✗Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt$8.7B
    ✓LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change1.74% -> 1.77%
    ✗PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.66
    ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Debt Levels0.66
    ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=8.4x, D/EBITDA=N/A (D&A unavailable)
    ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.66
    ✓Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.6570; #2758/4210 (top 65.5%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities
    ✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Insurance
SIC Sector: Insurance Carriers
Size: Micro Cap(N/A)
Revenue: $25.7B+24.1% YoY
Net Income: $2.7B-21.7% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin--
Return on Equity13.2%
Debt / Equity0.38
Current Ratio--
Buybacks (1y)$600.0M
Sector-adjusted criteria: Insurer

Insurers file unclassified balance sheets with no inventory or current accounts, so those criteria are omitted rather than failed for missing data. Return-on-invested-capital tests are omitted too: float funds the balance sheet but never appears in invested capital, and the portfolio it is invested in would be subtracted as spare cash. Debt tests are kept — an insurer’s borrowings are real leverage on top of underwriting.

Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2025

Share retirement not available for this company.

Buybacks
$600.0M
Dividends
$752.0M

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.

MetricTTM · 2026-09-30

2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: revenue, net income, pre tax income, operating cash flow, dividends paid, buybacks.

Q3 FY 2026

2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, dividends paid.

Q2 FY 2026

2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, dividends paid.

Q1 FY 2026

2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31

Sources
FY 2025
Sources
  • 10-K · 2026-02-25
FY 2024
Sources
  • 10-K · 2025-02-24
FY 2023
Sources
  • 10-K · 2024-02-27
FY 2022
Sources
  • 10-K · 2023-03-01
FY 2021
Sources
  • 10-K · 2022-02-25
Market Cap------------------
Revenue$24.0B↑13%$3.1B↓62%$9.2B↑71%$3.7B↓12%$25.7B↑24%$20.7B↓27%$28.2B↑270%$7.6B↓71%$26.3B
Operating Income------------------
Net Income-$1.5B↓148%-$1.1B↓189%$989.0M↑113%-$1.9B↓517%$2.7B↓22%$3.5B↓26%$4.7B↑260%-$2.9B↓175%$3.9B
EPS (Diluted)------------------
Gross Margin—————————
Operating Margin—————————
ROE-11.5%↓174%———13.2%↓37%21.2%↓37%33.7%↑183%-40.7%↓312%19.2%
Total Debt$8.8B↑12%$8.8B↑12%$7.8B$7.8B↑24%$7.8B↑24%$6.3B↑50%$4.2B↑15%$3.7B↑23%$3.0B
Shareholders' Equity$13.4B↓34%$13.4B↓34%$18.6B↑2%$17.8B↑2%$20.5B↑25%$16.4B↑18%$13.8B↑93%$7.2B↓64%$20.1B
Current Ratio—————————
Debt / Equity0.66↑71%0.66↑71%0.42↓3%0.44↑22%0.38↓1%0.39↑27%0.30↓40%0.51↑247%0.15
Operating Cash Flow$6.5B↑160%$827.0M↑30%$1.8B↑70%$835.0M↑96%$5.2B↑175%$1.9B↓62%$5.0B↓20%$6.3B↓39%$10.3B
Free Cash Flow------------------

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Insurance

ATH-PA vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$25.7BBottom 25%
Net Income$2.7BMedian
ROE13.2%Median
D/E0.38Median
Op. Margin—
Curr. Ratio—
CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchPiotroskiDreman
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCUNH$365.1B$407.46$447.6B$12.1B12.0%0.784.2%0.793/74/72/6F-Score 63/10
PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/PGR$136.6B$235.78$87.7B$11.3B37.3%0.23——2/72/74/6F-Score 68/10
MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES, INC.MRSH$98.8B$207.78$27.0B$4.2B27.2%1.2823.1%1.103/73/72/6F-Score 65/10
CHINA LIFE INSURANCE CO LTDCILJF$85.1B$3.01——————5/71/73/6F-Score 55/10
Aon plcAON$71.8B$338.31$17.2B$3.7B39.5%1.6325.3%1.112/74/73/6F-Score 63/10
HUMANA INCHUM$54.0B$450.00$129.7B$1.2B6.7%0.702.1%2.003/72/71/6F-Score 44/10
SUN LIFE FINANCIAL INCSLF$40.5B$72.93$30.6B$2.6B14.5%0.33——3/73/72/6F-Score 66/10
HARTFORD INSURANCE GROUP, INC.HIG$36.8B$137.48$28.4B$3.8B20.2%0.23——3/73/74/6F-Score 78/10