AYTU BIOPHARMA, INC

Where It Passes

Where It Falls Short

• Valuation0% pass✓ 7✗ 21▾

  No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

  Price / Book Value per Share0.9x

  ✓Dreman< 1.2x✓Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)

  Price / 3-yr avg EPS

  ✗Graham<= 15x

  Price-to-Book Ratio0.9x

  ✓Graham<= 1.5x

  P/E x P/B

  ✗Graham<= 22.5

  Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)

  ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)

  EBIT / Enterprise Value-208.3%

  ✗Greenblatt> 10%

  Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-208.3%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)

  ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%

  Price / EPS

  ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)

  Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)

  ✗Dreman< 8x

  Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-77.0%

  ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%

  P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-11.2%

  ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%

  P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=0.9x

  ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0

  Discount to Intrinsic Value

  ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value

  Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)

  ✗Ackman<= 25

  Price vs. Trailing Low148% of trailing low ($1.20)

  ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)

  Net income / market capitalization-73.68%; #5245/6340 (top 82.7%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

  Positive book equity / market capitalization+1.8236; #737/6449 (top 11.4%)

  ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

  Price / Diluted EPS

  ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)

  (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E

  ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)

  Price / Tangible Book Value per Share0.93x

  ✓SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)

  Book Value per Share Change

  ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)

  Revenue / market capitalization+2.9763; #815/5247 (top 15.5%)

  ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

  (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+16.81%; #354/4519 (top 7.8%)

  ✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

  Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-30.20%; #4431/6202 (top 71.4%)

  ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
• Growth0% pass✓ 1✗ 12▾

  No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

  EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)

  ✗Graham>= 33% growth

  Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)

  ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)

  3-5 Year EPS CAGR

  ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass

  Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: -40.0% vs Rev: -13.3%

  ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth

  EPS Growth Direction$-0.03 (2011) -> $-5.11 (2022)

  ✗DremanPositive over recent years

  EPS CAGR

  ✗Dreman> 5% annualized

  Positive Net Income Frequency0/18 years positive

  ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years

  3yr Median Revenue Growth0.0%

  ✗Ackman>= 5%

  Positive EPS Growth Frequency0/2 years with positive EPS growth

  ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years

  5-Year EPS CAGR

  ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)

  Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 75.3% -> 69.0%, operating margin -2.4% -> -11.8%

  ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding

  5-year Revenue CAGR0.2%

  ✗SleepCAGR > 7%

  3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR

  ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
• Efficiency0% pass✗ 11▾

  All 8 investors flag AYTU's efficiency

  Current Ratio1.13

  ✗Graham>= 2.0

  ROIC (3-5 yr avg)-376.9%

  ✗Buffett> 10%

  ROIC - WACC-386.9%

  ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)

  EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)N/A (invested capital <= 0)

  ✗Greenblatt> 25%

  Current Ratio Change YoY1.26 -> 1.26

  ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY

  Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.53x -> 0.53x

  ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY

  Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.13

  ✗Dreman> 1.5

  Return on Invested Capital-14.2%

  ✗Munger> 15%

  ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=-3.1%; FY2024: ROIC=-19.5%; FY2025: ROIC=-19.5%

  ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each

  Reinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)

  ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%

  ROIC (5-year)0/5 years above 12% (latest -19.5%)

  ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
• Verdicts0% pass✗ 15▾

  Split decision: 15 FAIL · 1 NEUTRAL

  Overall verdict

  ✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)✗BuffettFAIL (1/9)✗LynchFAIL (3/7)•GreenblattNot ranked✗PiotroskiFAIL (F-Score 2)✗DremanFAIL (2/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (1/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (1/5)✗AckmanFAIL (3/9)✗TempletonFAIL (3/8)✗SleepFAIL (1/6)✗AsnessFAIL (Rank #1700/2370 (Top 71.7%))✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (2/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
• Profitability6% pass✓ 3✗ 32▾

  15 of 16 flag AYTU's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +12 more

  Positive EPS (10 years)0/19 years positive

  ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years

  EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)

  ✗Graham>= 33% growth

  Net Income Positive (10+ years)0/19 years positive

  ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years

  ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-97.8%

  ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)

  Operating Margin (10-yr trend)-11.8% (latest)

  ✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 years

  Free Cash Flow Proxy$-13.6M

  ✗BuffettPositive and growing

  Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)N/A (negative mean EPS)

  ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3

  Retained Earnings Effectiveness

  ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created

  Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)

  ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)

  3-5 Year EPS CAGR

  ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass

  ROE-40.4%

  ✗Lynch> 15%

  EBIT / Enterprise Value-208.3%

  ✗Greenblatt> 10%

  Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-208.3%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)

  ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%

  Net Income / Total Assets-10.92%

  ✗PiotroskiROA > 0

  ROA Change YoY-10.92% -> -10.92% (delta: +0.00%)

  ✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA

  (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-1.56%, ROA=-10.92%

  ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA

  Gross Margin Change YoY69.0% -> 69.0%

  ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY

  Pre-Tax Income / Revenue-24.7%

  ✗Dreman>= 8%

  Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-40.4%

  ✗Dreman> 12%

  Margin of SafetyP/B=0.9x

  ✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15

  Return on Equity-66.7% (3-yr avg)

  ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)

  Discount to Intrinsic Value

  ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value

  Positive Net Income Frequency0/18 years positive

  ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years

  Operating Income / Revenue-14.4%

  ✗Ackman>= 15%

  Net Income / Shareholders Equity-40.4%

  ✗Ackman>= 15%

  5-Year EPS CAGR

  ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)

  Operating Margin Trend-2.4% (2023) -> -11.8% (2025)

  ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years

  Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 75.3% -> 69.0%, operating margin -2.4% -> -11.8%

  ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding

  Net income / market capitalization-73.68%; #5245/6340 (top 82.7%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

  Gross profit / total assets+35.06%; #1159/3702 (top 31.3%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

  Net income / positive book equity-40.40%; #4088/5226 (top 78.2%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

  Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.2686; #4517/5884 (top 76.8%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

  3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR

  ✗Neff7%-20% annualized

  Positive Diluted-EPS Years0/7 years positive

  ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
• Cash Flow20% pass✓ 4✗ 8▾

  8 of 10 flag AYTU's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Piotroski +5 more

  Free Cash Flow Proxy$-13.6M

  ✗BuffettPositive and growing

  FCF Positive and Growing$-2.2M

  ✗LynchPositive and growing

  Operating Cash Flow$-1.9M

  ✗PiotroskiCFO > 0

  (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-1.56%, ROA=-10.92%

  ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA

  Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)

  ✗Dreman< 8x

  P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-11.2%

  ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%

  FCF Positive0/12 years FCF positive

  ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years

  (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap18.4%

  ✓Ackman>= 4%

  Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)

  ✗Ackman<= 25

  Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency0/15 years positive

  ✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years

  Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$3.3M

  ✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)

  (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+16.81%; #354/4519 (top 7.8%)

  ✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
• Debt & Leverage42% pass✓ 8✗ 7▾

  7 of 12 flag AYTU's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Dreman +4 more

  Debt Levels0.31

  ✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3

  LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $9.1M vs NCA $7.1M

  ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets

  Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.31, IC: -4.4x

  ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x

  Total Debt / Equity0.31

  ✓Lynch< 0.33

  Cash - Long-term Debt$17.2M

  ✓LynchPositive preferred

  LT Debt / Total Assets Change8.77% -> 8.77%

  ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY

  Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.13

  ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)

  Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.31

  ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x

  Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-2.8x, D/EBITDA=N/A

  ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x

  Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.31

  ✓Ackman<= 1.0

  Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.3107; #2030/4210 (top 48.2%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section