BrightSpire Capital, Inc.

BRSP
About the company

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. operates as a commercial real estate (CRE) credit real estate investment trust in the United States and Norway. It operates through Senior and Mezzanine Loans and Preferred Equity; Net Leased and Other Real Estate; and Corporate and Other segments. The company focuses on originating, acquiring, financing, and managing a diversified portfolio of CRE debt investments consisting of senior mortgage loans, mezzanine loans, preferred equity investments, net leased real estate and other real estate properties, and CRE debt securities.

Country: United StatesPrice: $3.21Market Cap: $400.2M

Investment snapshot

12%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

2

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 12

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$2.89

-9.8% vs price

Models with upside

1 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILNot rankedPASSFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/A+37.3%N/AN/AN/A-379.1%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-18

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-18

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-18

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-18

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-02-18

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-02-18

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-18

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Profitability0% pass✓ 5✗ 30▾

      No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

      Net income / market capitalization+4.77%; #1755/6340 (top 27.7%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Positive EPS (10 years)3/11 years positive
      ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)3/11 years positive
      ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-4.2%
      ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)21.0% (latest)
      ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
      ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE2.2%
      ✗Lynch> 15%
      EBIT / Enterprise Value2.5%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=2.5%, ROC=None
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Net Income / Total Assets-0.87%
      ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY-3.54% -> -0.87% (delta: +2.67%)
      ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=2.05%, ROA=-0.87%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Gross Margin Change YoY
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue-18.2%
      ✗Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity2.2%
      ✗Dreman> 12%
      Margin of SafetyP/FFO=99.9x
      ✗PabraiP/FFO < 15
      Return on Equity-5.7% (3-yr avg)
      ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency3/10 years positive
      ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Operating Income / Revenue21.0%
      ✓Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity2.2%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend38.1% (2023) -> 21.0% (2025)
      ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue flat/down, operating margin 38.1% -> 21.0%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      Gross profit / total assets
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / positive book equity+2.16%; #2749/5226 (top 52.6%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0150; #1153/5884 (top 19.6%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years3/10 years positive
      ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
    • Debt & Leverage0% pass✗ 15▾

      All 12 investors flag BRSP's debt & leverage

      LT Debt vs Net Current Assets
      ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
      Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 2.63, IC: 2.9x
      ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
      Total Debt / Equity2.98
      ✗Lynch< 0.33
      Cash - Long-term Debt$-2.6B
      ✗LynchPositive preferred
      LT Debt / Total Assets Change66.91% -> 69.27%
      ✗PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities
      ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity2.98
      ✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
      Debt Levels2.98
      ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
      Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=2.9x, D/EBITDA=23.4x
      ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
      Total Debt / Shareholders Equity2.98
      ✗Ackman<= 1.0
      Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-2.9822; #3931/4210 (top 93.4%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    • Growth0% pass✓ 2✗ 11▾

      No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)
      ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
      EPS Growth Direction
      ✗DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      Positive Net Income Frequency3/10 years positive
      ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      3yr Median Revenue Growth-7.9%
      ✗Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency3/5 years with positive EPS growth
      ✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue flat/down, operating margin 38.1% -> 21.0%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR2.6%
      ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    • Efficiency0% pass✗ 11▾

      All 8 investors flag BRSP's efficiency

      Current Ratio
      ✗Graham>= 2.0
      ROIC (3-5 yr avg)1.4%
      ✗Buffett> 10%
      ROIC - WACC-8.6%
      ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
      EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)
      ✗Greenblatt> 25%
      Current Ratio Change YoY
      ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.10x -> 0.09x
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities
      ✗Dreman> 1.5
      Return on Invested Capital1.6%
      ✗Munger> 15%
      ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=3.1%; FY2024: ROIC=0.4%; FY2025: ROIC=1.6%
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
      Reinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)
      ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROIC (5-year)0/5 years above 12% (latest 1.6%)
      ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
    • Valuation8% pass✓ 8✗ 17▾

      12 of 13 flag BRSP's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more

      Net income / market capitalization+4.77%; #1755/6340 (top 27.7%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Price / FFO per Share99.9x
      ✗Graham<= 15x✗Dreman< 12x✗Ackman<= 25
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      EBIT / Enterprise Value2.5%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=2.5%, ROC=None
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Price / (CFO / Shares)5.6x
      ✓Dreman< 8x
      Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=1.3%
      ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      P/FFO or FFO YieldP/FFO=99.9x, FFO Yield=1.0%
      ✗PabraiP/FFO < 15 or FFO Yield > 10%
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=0.4x
      ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Price / EPS
      ✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
      Price vs. Trailing Low100% of trailing low ($3.21)
      ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      Price / Book Value per Share0.4x
      ✓Templeton< 1.5x✓SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
      Positive book equity / market capitalization+2.2066; #618/6449 (top 9.6%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Price / Diluted EPS
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
      ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Price / Tangible Book Value per Share0.43x
      ✓SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Book Value per Share Change-42.9%
      ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Revenue / market capitalization+0.8476; #1962/5247 (top 37.4%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-44.85%; #4977/6202 (top 80.2%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Verdicts14% pass✓ 2✗ 12▾

      Split decision: 12 FAIL · 2 PASS · 2 NEUTRAL

      Overall verdict
      ✗GrahamFAIL (1/7)✗BuffettFAIL (0/9)✗LynchFAIL (1/7)•GreenblattNot ranked✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 4)✗DremanFAIL (2/10)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (0/6)✗MarksFAIL (1/5)✗AckmanFAIL (3/9)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)✗SleepFAIL (2/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (3/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
    • Cash Flow50% pass✓ 4✗ 3▾

      3 of 6 pass — Buffett, Neff and Oshaughnessy object

      Free Cash Flow Proxy
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      Operating Cash Flow$73.0M
      ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=2.05%, ROA=-0.87%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Price / (CFO / Shares)5.6x
      ✓Dreman< 8x
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency9/10 years positive
      ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures
      ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Valuation models50% pass✓ 1✗ 1▾

      Models split on BRSP at $3.21 — fair values range $0.67–$5.12

      Greenblatt fair value$5.12
      ✓Greenblatt+37.3% margin vs $3.21
      Pabrai fair value$0.67
      ✗Pabrai-379.1% margin vs $3.21

    Business & financials

    Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

    Company Profile

    Industry: Trading
    SIC Sector: Holding & Investment Offices
    Size: Small Cap($400.2M)
    Revenue: $330.6M-7.9% YoY
    Net Income: $31.1M+76.4% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin21.0%
    Return on Equity-3.3%
    Debt / Equity2.63
    Current Ratio--
    EPS (Diluted)$-0.26
    Buybacks (1y)$10.9M
    Buybacks (2y)$17.5M
    Shares Retired0.4% / 0.1% 2y
    Sector-adjusted criteria: REIT

    Depreciation distorts REIT earnings and book value, so FFO-based criteria replace P/E and free-cash-flow tests, and P/B tests are omitted.

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2025

    Retired 0.4% of shares last year, 0.1% over two.

    Buybacks
    $10.9M
    Dividends
    $83.0M

    Company Financials

    Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

    TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

    The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.

    MetricTTM · 2026-09-30

    2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: revenue, net income, interest expense, operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, dividends paid, buybacks, re sale gains.

    Q3 FY 2026

    2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, dividends paid, buybacks, re sale gains.

    Q2 FY 2026

    2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, dividends paid, re sale gains.

    Q1 FY 2026

    2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31

    Sources
    FY 2025
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2026-02-18
    FY 2024
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2025-02-19
    FY 2023
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2024-02-21
    FY 2022
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2023-02-21
    FY 2021
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2022-02-22
    Market Cap$400.2Mcurrent------$737.1Mest.$620.1Mest.$695.7Mest.$667.8Mest.$734.8Mest.
    Revenue$339.2M↑3%$87.4M↑4%$83.5M↓3%$85.1M↑10%$330.6M↓8%$358.8M↓14%$415.1M↑14%$364.6M↑88%$194.3M
    Operating Income--------$69.3M↑260%$19.2M↓88%$158.1M↑1%$155.8M↑303%-$76.7M
    Net Income$19.1M↑152%$46.9M↑4670%-$18.3M↑21%$4.8M↓9%-$31.1M↑76%-$132.0M↓749%-$15.5M↓134%$45.8M↑145%-$101.0M
    EPS (Diluted)--$0.37$-0.15↑21%$0.03↓25%$-0.26↑75%$-1.05↓775%$-0.12↓135%$0.34↑143%$-0.79
    Gross Margin—————————
    Operating Margin————21.0%↑291%5.4%↓86%38.1%↓11%42.7%↑208%-39.5%
    ROE2.2%↑158%———-3.3%↑74%-12.6%↓934%-1.2%↓137%3.3%↑148%-6.9%
    Total Debt$2.6B↑21%$2.6B↑21%$2.7B↑22%$2.6B↑11%$2.5B↓1%$2.5B↓8%$2.7B↓14%$3.2B$3.2B
    Shareholders' Equity$883.1M↓10%$883.1M↓10%$863.0M↓13%$917.9M↓11%$938.4M↓10%$1.0B↓18%$1.3B↓8%$1.4B↓5%$1.5B
    Current Ratio—————————
    Debt / Equity2.98↑34%2.98↑34%3.18↑40%2.82↑25%2.63↑11%2.38↑12%2.13↓7%2.28↑5%2.18
    Operating Cash Flow$72.2M↓12%$16.6M↓44%$29.4M↑69%$10.9M↑4%$73.0M↓29%$103.4M↓25%$137.6M↑10%$125.3M↑689%-$21.3M
    Free Cash Flow------------------

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Trading

    BRSP vs Peers — Financial Grading

    Revenue$330.6MBottom 25%
    Net Income$31.1MBottom 25%
    ROE-3.3%Bottom 25%
    D/E2.63Bottom 25%
    Op. Margin21.0%Median
    Curr. Ratio—
    CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
    REALTY INCOME CORPO$56.1B$58.82$5.7B$1.1B2.7%0.6316.8%—2/71/93/70/3F-Score 64/10
    Ventas, Inc.VTR$47.0B$88.92$5.8B$261.5M2.1%1.043.5%—2/71/92/70/3F-Score 62/10
    RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INCRJF$32.4B$168.64$15.9B$2.1B17.1%0.28——3/93/93/71/3F-Score 64/11
    ROYAL GOLD INCRGLD$21.7B$256.89$1.0B$466.3M6.5%0.1361.9%3.124/92/94/70/3F-Score 44/11
    iShares Ethereum Trust ETFETHA$19.4B$44.02—$2.3B——————————
    KIMCO REALTY CORPKIM$17.0B$25.55$2.1B$584.7M5.6%0.7436.0%—3/72/94/70/3F-Score 75/10
    LandBridge Co LLCLB$5.6B$73.15$199.1M$30.1M8.9%1.6559.5%4.872/93/92/70/3F-Score 63/11
    Digital Turbine, Inc.APPS$927.6M$7.61$565.3M$37.7M-19.6%1.886.0%1.161/92/92/71/3F-Score 70/11