CTO Realty Growth, Inc.

CTO
About the company

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust. The firm owns and operates a portfolio of high-quality, retail-based properties located primarily in higher growth markets in the United States. CTO also externally manages and owns a meaningful interest in Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc., a publicly traded net lease REIT. CTO Realty Growth, Inc.

Country: United StatesPrice: $20.32Market Cap: $787.6M

Investment snapshot

0%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

0

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 14

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

—

No comparable estimates

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

All 12 investors flag CTO's debt & leverage

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILNot rankedNEUTRALFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-10-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-19

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-19

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-10-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-19

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-10-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-10-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-02-19

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-10-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-19

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-10-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Debt & Leverage0% pass✗ 15▾

      All 12 investors flag CTO's debt & leverage

      LT Debt vs Net Current Assets
      ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
      Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 1.05, IC: 2.1x
      ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
      Total Debt / Equity1.05
      ✗Lynch< 0.33
      Cash - Long-term Debt$-708.8M
      ✗LynchPositive preferred
      LT Debt / Total Assets Change43.92% -> 48.77%
      ✗PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities
      ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity1.05
      ✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
      Debt Levels1.05
      ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
      Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=2.1x, D/EBITDA=5.6x
      ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
      Total Debt / Shareholders Equity1.05
      ✗Ackman<= 1.0
      Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-1.0533; #3273/4210 (top 77.7%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    • Efficiency0% pass✓ 1✗ 10▾

      No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one efficiency criterion

      Current Ratio
      ✗Graham>= 2.0
      ROIC (3-5 yr avg)1.9%
      ✗Buffett> 10%
      ROIC - WACC-8.1%
      ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
      EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)
      ✗Greenblatt> 25%
      Current Ratio Change YoY
      ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.11x -> 0.12x
      ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities
      ✗Dreman> 1.5
      Return on Invested Capital3.6%
      ✗Munger> 15%
      ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=2.2%; FY2024: ROIC=1.2%; FY2025: ROIC=2.3%
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
      Reinvestment Rate x ROIC0.0% (RR=0% x ROIC=3.6%)
      ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROIC (5-year)0/5 years above 12% (latest 2.3%)
      ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
    • Verdicts0% pass✗ 14▾

      Split decision: 14 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL

      Overall verdict
      ✗GrahamFAIL (2/7)✗BuffettFAIL (1/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)•GreenblattNot ranked•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 6)✗DremanFAIL (2/10)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (0/6)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)✗AckmanFAIL (3/9)✗TempletonFAIL (2/8)✗SleepFAIL (2/6)✗AsnessFAIL (Rank #942/2370 (Top 39.7%))✗NeffFAIL (1/6)✗SchlossFAIL (2/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
    • Valuation8% pass✓ 2✗ 23▾

      12 of 13 flag CTO's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more

      Net income / market capitalization+5.65%; #1509/6340 (top 23.8%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Price / FFO per Share
      ✗Graham<= 15x✗Dreman< 12x✗Ackman<= 25
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      EBIT / Enterprise Value2.4%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=2.4%, ROC=None
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Price / (CFO / Shares)
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=254.0x
      ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      P/FFO or FFO YieldFFO Yield=8.9%
      ✗PabraiP/FFO < 15 or FFO Yield > 10%
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=254.0x
      ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic Value
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Price / EPS254.0x
      ✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
      Price vs. Trailing Low125% of trailing low ($16.30)
      ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      Price / Book Value per Share
      ✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
      Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.8651; #1762/6449 (top 27.3%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Price / Diluted EPS254.0x
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
      ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Price / Tangible Book Value per Share
      ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Book Value per Share Change
      ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Revenue / market capitalization+0.2162; #3700/5247 (top 70.5%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-1.12%; #2867/6202 (top 46.2%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Profitability13% pass✓ 11✗ 24▾

      14 of 16 flag CTO's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +11 more

      Net income / market capitalization+5.65%; #1509/6340 (top 23.8%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Positive EPS (10 years)17/24 years positive
      ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)20/24 years positive
      ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)2.0%
      ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)22.7% (latest)
      ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy$3.2M
      ✓BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
      ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE6.5%
      ✗Lynch> 15%
      EBIT / Enterprise Value2.4%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=2.4%, ROC=None
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Net Income / Total Assets0.80%
      ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY-0.17% -> 0.80% (delta: +0.96%)
      ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=5.11%, ROA=0.80%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Gross Margin Change YoY73.3% -> 74.6%
      ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue26.5%
      ✓Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity6.5%
      ✗Dreman> 12%
      Margin of Safety
      ✗PabraiP/FFO < 15
      Return on Equity0.9% (3-yr avg)
      ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Discount to Intrinsic Value
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency20/23 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Operating Income / Revenue37.5%
      ✓Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity6.5%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend24.3% (2023) -> 22.7% (2025)
      ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 72.3% -> 74.6%, operating margin 24.3% -> 22.7%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      Gross profit / total assets+8.55%; #2902/3702 (top 78.4%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / positive book equity+6.53%; #2280/5226 (top 43.6%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0152; #1164/5884 (top 19.8%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years8/10 years positive
      ✓Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
    • Growth13% pass✓ 4✗ 9▾

      7 of 8 flag CTO's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +4 more

      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)
      ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
      EPS Growth Direction
      ✗DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      Positive Net Income Frequency20/23 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      3yr Median Revenue Growth20.1%
      ✓Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency
      ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 72.3% -> 74.6%, operating margin 24.3% -> 22.7%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR21.5%
      ✓SleepCAGR > 7%
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    • Cash Flow50% pass✓ 4✗ 3▾

      3 of 6 pass — Dreman, Neff and Oshaughnessy object

      Free Cash Flow Proxy$3.2M
      ✓BuffettPositive and growing
      Operating Cash Flow$64.6M
      ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=5.11%, ROA=0.80%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Price / (CFO / Shares)
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency18/21 years positive
      ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures
      ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

    Business & financials

    Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

    Company Profile

    Industry: Trading
    SIC Sector: Holding & Investment Offices
    Size: Small Cap($787.6M)
    Revenue: $149.5M+20.1% YoY
    Net Income: $10.1M+613.6% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin22.7%
    Return on Equity1.8%
    Debt / Equity1.09
    Current Ratio--
    EPS (Diluted)$0.08
    Buybacks (1y)$9.4M
    Buybacks (2y)$10.0M
    Sector-adjusted criteria: REIT

    Depreciation distorts REIT earnings and book value, so FFO-based criteria replace P/E and free-cash-flow tests, and P/B tests are omitted.

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2025

    Share retirement not available for this company.

    Buybacks
    $9.4M
    Dividends
    $49.0M

    Company Financials

    Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

    TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

    The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.

    MetricTTM · 2026-09-30

    2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: revenue, net income, operating income, gross profit, ebit, pre tax income, interest expense, operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, dividends paid, buybacks.

    Q3 FY 2026

    2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow.

    Q2 FY 2026

    2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow.

    Q1 FY 2026

    2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31

    Sources
    FY 2025
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2026-02-19
    FY 2024
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2025-02-20
    FY 2023
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2024-02-22
    FY 2022
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2023-02-23
    FY 2021
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2022-02-24
    Market Cap$787.6Mcurrent----------$306.8Mest.$336.4Mest.$80.0Mest.
    Revenue$170.3M↑16%$46.9M↑24%$43.8M↑16%$41.2M↑15%$149.5M↑20%$124.5M↑14%$109.1M↑33%$82.3M↑17%$70.3M
    Operating Income$63.9M↑3170%$11.6M↑15%$13.3M↑205%$10.3M↑31%$34.0M↑93%$17.6M↓34%$26.5M↑148%$10.7M↓54%$23.3M
    Net Income$44.5M↑233%-$5.2M↓277%$15.1M↑165%$6.2M↑174%$10.1M↑614%-$2.0M↓136%$5.5M↑75%$3.2M↓89%$29.9M
    EPS (Diluted)--$-0.19↓733%$0.38↑149%$0.13↑1200%$0.08↑123%$-0.35↓1267%$0.03↑133%$-0.09↓102%$4.69
    Gross Margin75.1%75.3%74.6%↑2%75.3%74.6%↑2%73.3%↑1%72.3%72.2%↑6%68.1%
    Operating Margin37.5%↑2749%24.7%↓7%30.2%↑190%25.0%↑14%22.7%↑61%14.1%↓42%24.3%↑87%13.0%↓61%33.2%
    ROE6.5%↑209%———1.8%↑655%-0.3%↓127%1.2%↑93%0.6%↓91%7.0%
    Total Debt$717.6M↑19%$717.6M↑19%$658.7M↑9%$649.5M↑8%$616.3M↑19%$519.0M↑5%$495.4M↑11%$445.6M↑60%$278.3M
    Shareholders' Equity$681.3M↑22%$681.3M↑22%$663.2M↑16%$575.4M↓3%$567.3M↓7%$612.8M↑34%$457.5M↓9%$504.8M↑17%$430.5M
    Current Ratio—————————
    Debt / Equity1.05↓3%1.05↓3%0.99↓6%1.13↑11%1.09↑28%0.85↓22%1.08↑23%0.88↑37%0.65
    Operating Cash Flow$66.0M↓19%$24.6M↓4%$20.0M↓9%$14.6M↑42%$64.6M↑8%$59.9M↑29%$46.3M↓17%$56.1M↑103%$27.6M
    Free Cash Flow---------------$329.1M↓44%-$229.3M

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Trading

    CTO vs Peers — Financial Grading

    Revenue$149.5MBottom 25%
    Net Income$10.1MBottom 25%
    ROE1.8%Bottom 25%
    D/E1.09Median
    Op. Margin22.7%Median
    Curr. Ratio—
    CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
    REALTY INCOME CORPO$56.1B$58.82$5.7B$1.1B2.7%0.6316.8%—2/71/93/70/3F-Score 64/10
    Ventas, Inc.VTR$47.0B$88.92$5.8B$261.5M2.1%1.043.5%—2/71/92/70/3F-Score 62/10
    RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INCRJF$32.4B$168.64$15.9B$2.1B17.1%0.28——3/93/93/71/3F-Score 64/11
    ROYAL GOLD INCRGLD$21.7B$256.89$1.0B$466.3M6.5%0.1361.9%3.124/92/94/70/3F-Score 44/11
    iShares Ethereum Trust ETFETHA$19.4B$44.02—$2.3B——————————
    KIMCO REALTY CORPKIM$17.0B$25.55$2.1B$584.7M5.6%0.7436.0%—3/72/94/70/3F-Score 75/10
    LandBridge Co LLCLB$5.6B$73.15$199.1M$30.1M8.9%1.6559.5%4.872/93/92/70/3F-Score 63/11
    Digital Turbine, Inc.APPS$927.6M$7.61$565.3M$37.7M-19.6%1.886.0%1.161/92/92/71/3F-Score 70/11