ORANGE

FNCTF
About the company

Orange S.A. operates as a telecommunications operator in France and internationally. The company offers mobile services, such as voice, SMS, and data; and fixed broadband and narrowband services, as well as B2B fixed solutions and network services, including voice and data services. It also sells handsets, broadband equipment, connected devices, and accessories.

Country: FrancePrice: $17.68Market Cap: $46.9B

Investment snapshot

12%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

2

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

5 / 9

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$13.64

-22.9% vs price

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

FNCTF overvalued: all 8 models price fair value below $17.68 (median $13.64)

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILFAIL · Rank #621 (Top 20.1%)NEUTRALFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILFAILPASSNEUTRALPASSNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of Safety-5.6%N/A-228.6%-32.4%N/A-105.6%N/A-214.6%-10.2%-26.9%N/A-18.7%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2023

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2023

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2023

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2023

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2023

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2023 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2023

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2023

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2023 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2023 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2023 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2023 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2023 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2023 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2023

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2023

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2023 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2024-03-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Valuation models0% pass✗ 8▾

      FNCTF overvalued: all 8 models price fair value below $17.68 (median $13.64)

      Graham fair value$16.75
      ✗Graham-5.6% margin vs $17.68
      Lynch fair value$5.38
      ✗Lynch-228.6% margin vs $17.68
      Greenblatt fair value$13.35
      ✗Greenblatt-32.4% margin vs $17.68
      Dreman fair value$8.60
      ✗Dreman-105.6% margin vs $17.68
      Pabrai fair value$5.62
      ✗Pabrai-214.6% margin vs $17.68
      Akre fair value$16.04
      ✗Akre-10.2% margin vs $17.68
      Marks fair value$13.93
      ✗Marks-26.9% margin vs $17.68
      Templeton fair value$14.89
      ✗Templeton-18.7% margin vs $17.68
    • Valuation8% pass✓ 7✗ 21▾

      12 of 13 flag FNCTF's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more

      Price / Book Value per Share1.3x
      ✗Dreman< 1.2x✓Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
      Net income / market capitalization+5.76%; #1479/6340 (top 23.3%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Price / 3-yr avg EPS30.8x
      ✗Graham<= 15x
      Price-to-Book Ratio1.3x
      ✓Graham<= 1.5x
      P/E x P/B41.10
      ✗Graham<= 22.5
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)3.29
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      EBIT / Enterprise Value10.4%
      ✓Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=10.4%, ROC=20.0%
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Price / EPS18.8x
      ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
      Price / (CFO / Shares)3.5x
      ✓Dreman< 8x
      Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=18.8x
      ✓MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      P/E or FCF YieldP/E=18.8x
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=18.8x, P/B=1.3x
      ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-105.3% (IV=$8.61 vs Price=$17.68)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Price / FCF per Share
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Price vs. Trailing Low159% of trailing low ($11.12)
      ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.7514; #2052/6449 (top 31.8%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Price / Diluted EPS18.8x
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E0.59
      ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Price / Tangible Book Value per ShareN/A (non-positive TBVPS)
      ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Book Value per Share Change-0.4%
      ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Revenue / market capitalization+1.0418; #1732/5247 (top 33.0%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-14.80%; #3702/6202 (top 59.7%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Efficiency13% pass✓ 3✗ 8▾

      7 of 8 flag FNCTF's efficiency — Graham, Greenblatt, Piotroski +4 more

      Current Ratio0.83
      ✗Graham>= 2.0
      ROIC (3-5 yr avg)10.2%
      ✓Buffett> 10%
      ROIC - WACC+0.2%
      ✓BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
      EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)20.0%
      ✗Greenblatt> 25%
      Current Ratio Change YoY0.92 -> 0.83
      ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.40x -> 0.40x
      ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.83
      ✗Dreman> 1.5
      Return on Invested Capital9.7%
      ✗Munger> 15%
      ROIC (high and growing)FY2021: ROIC=4.9%; FY2022: ROIC=9.4%; FY2023: ROIC=9.7%
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
      Reinvestment Rate x ROIC0.8% (RR=8% x ROIC=9.7%)
      ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROIC (5-year)1/5 years above 12% (latest 9.7%)
      ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
    • Verdicts17% pass✓ 2✗ 10▾

      Split decision: 9 FAIL · 5 NEUTRAL · 2 PASS

      Overall verdict
      ✗GrahamFAIL (2/9)✗BuffettFAIL (2/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)✗GreenblattRank #621•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 7)✗DremanFAIL (4/11)•MungerNEUTRAL (3/4)✗PabraiFAIL (1/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)✓AckmanPASS (4/9)•TempletonNEUTRAL (6/8)✓SleepPASS (3/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (3/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
    • Profitability25% pass✓ 13✗ 22▾

      12 of 16 flag FNCTF's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +9 more

      Net income / market capitalization+5.76%; #1479/6340 (top 23.3%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Positive EPS (10 years)9/10 years positive
      ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)-43.5%
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)9/10 years positive
      ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)7.7%
      ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)11.3% (latest)
      ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)0.55
      ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)3.29
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR5.7%
      ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE7.7%
      ✗Lynch> 15%
      EBIT / Enterprise Value10.4%
      ✓Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=10.4%, ROC=20.0%
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Net Income / Total Assets2.22%
      ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY1.96% -> 2.22% (delta: +0.26%)
      ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=10.95%, ROA=2.22%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Gross Margin Change YoY
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue
      ✗Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity7.7%
      ✗Dreman> 12%
      Margin of SafetyP/E=18.8x, P/B=1.3x
      ✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
      Return on Equity5.0% (3-yr avg)
      ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-105.3% (IV=$8.61 vs Price=$17.68)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency9/9 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Operating Income / Revenue11.3%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity7.7%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      5-Year EPS CAGR5.7% CAGR over 5 years
      ✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend5.9% (2021) -> 11.3% (2023)
      ✓TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin 5.9% -> 11.3%
      ✓SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      Gross profit / total assets
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / positive book equity+7.67%; #2141/5226 (top 41.0%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0138; #1067/5884 (top 18.1%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR5.7% over 5 years
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years9/9 years positive
      ✓Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
    • Growth25% pass✓ 5✗ 8▾

      6 of 8 flag FNCTF's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +3 more

      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)-43.5%
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)3.29
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR5.7%
      ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: 14.1% vs Rev: 5.4%
      ✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
      EPS Growth Direction$0.97 (2015) -> $0.94 (2023)
      ✗DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR-0.4% CAGR over 8 years
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      Positive Net Income Frequency9/9 years positive
      ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      3yr Median Revenue Growth-3.8%
      ✗Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency4/5 years with positive EPS growth
      ✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      5-Year EPS CAGR5.7% CAGR over 5 years
      ✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin 5.9% -> 11.3%
      ✓SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR0.5%
      ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR5.7% over 5 years
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    • Cash Flow30% pass✓ 4✗ 8▾

      7 of 10 flag FNCTF's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Pabrai +4 more

      Free Cash Flow Proxy
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      FCF Positive and Growing
      ✗LynchPositive and growing
      Operating Cash Flow$13.3B
      ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=10.95%, ROA=2.22%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Price / (CFO / Shares)3.5x
      ✓Dreman< 8x
      P/E or FCF YieldP/E=18.8x
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      FCF Positive
      ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
      (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap
      ✗Ackman>= 4%
      Price / FCF per Share
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency9/9 years positive
      ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures
      ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Debt & Leverage42% pass✓ 8✗ 7▾

      7 of 12 flag FNCTF's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +4 more

      LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $33.8B vs NCA $-5.8B
      ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
      Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.27, IC: N/A
      ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
      Total Debt / Equity0.27
      ✓Lynch< 0.33
      Cash - Long-term Debt$-30.4B
      ✗LynchPositive preferred
      LT Debt / Total Assets Change29.12% -> 27.75%
      ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.83
      ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.27
      ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
      Debt Levels0.27
      ✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
      Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDA
      ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
      Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.27
      ✓Ackman<= 1.0
      Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.2692; #1916/4210 (top 45.5%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

    Business & financials

    Financial snapshot: annual FY 2023. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

    Company Profile

    Industry: Communication
    SIC Sector: Communications
    Size: Large Cap($46.9B)
    Revenue: $48.8B+5.4% YoY
    Net Income: $2.7B+18.0% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin11.3%
    Return on Equity7.7%
    Debt / Equity0.27
    Current Ratio0.83
    EPS (Diluted)$0.94+20.9% 1y
    Shares Retired0.0% / 0.0% 2y

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2023

    Retired 0.0% of shares last year, 0.0% over two.

    Buybacks
    —
    Dividends
    $2.5B

    What drove EPS

    A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

    FY20
    84.1% = 76.2% + 4.4%
    FY21
    −99.8% = −95.6% + −96.4%
    FY22
    23178.5% = 767.0% + 2584.9%
    FY23
    20.9% = 18.0% + 2.4%
    Earnings Fewer shares More shares

    The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.

    Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

    Company Financials

    Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

    TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

    MetricFY 2023
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2024-03-29
    FY 2022
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2023-03-30
    FY 2021
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2022-04-01
    FY 2020
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2021-03-18
    FY 2019
    Sources
    • 20-F · 2020-04-21
    Market Cap$46.9Bcurrent$22.2Best.$22.9Best.$21.8Best.$24.3Best.
    Revenue$48.8B↑5%$46.3B↓4%$48.2B↓7%$52.0B↑10%$47.3B
    Operating Income$5.5B↑7%$5.1B↑79%$2.9B↓58%$6.8B↑2%$6.6B
    Net Income$2.7B↑18%$2.3B↑767%$263.9M↓96%$5.9B↑76%$3.4B
    EPS (Diluted)$0.94↑21%$0.78↑23179%$0.00↓100%$2.10↑84%$1.14
    Gross Margin—99.0%99.3%99.4%—
    Operating Margin11.3%↑2%11.0%↑86%5.9%↓55%13.1%↓7%14.0%
    ROE7.7%↑14%6.8%↑837%0.7%↓95%14.0%↑48%9.4%
    Total Debt$9.5B↑6%$9.0B↓2%$9.1B↑1%$9.1B↑17%$7.8B
    Shareholders' Equity$35.2B↑4%$33.9B↓7%$36.6B↓14%$42.5B↑19%$35.7B
    Current Ratio0.83↓10%0.92↓3%0.95↑7%0.89↓1%0.90
    Debt / Equity0.27↑2%0.26↑6%0.25↑17%0.21↓2%0.22
    Operating Cash Flow$13.3B↑11%$12.0B↓6%$12.7B↓19%$15.6B↑37%$11.4B
    Free Cash Flow----------

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Communication

    FNCTF vs Peers — Financial Grading

    Revenue$48.8BMedian
    Net Income$2.7BMedian
    ROE7.7%Median
    D/E0.27Top 25%
    Op. Margin11.3%Bottom 25%
    Curr. Ratio0.83Median
    CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
    VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INCVZ$192.1B$46.36$138.2B$17.2B16.2%1.5021.2%0.914/93/92/71/3F-Score 56/11
    AT&T INC.T$149.4B$22.18$125.6B$22.0B17.4%1.0819.2%0.915/92/93/70/3F-Score 66/11
    NIPPON TELEGRAPH & TELEPHONE CORPNTTYY$85.0B$26.32——————2/91/92/71/3F-Score 76/11
    AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV/AMX$76.0B$25.47$42.1B$1.1B6.2%1.5420.7%0.721/95/91/71/3F-Score 62/11
    VODAFONE GROUP PUBLIC LTD COVOD$35.6B$15.37$40.5B$4.5B-7.9%1.01-1.1%—1/92/90/70/3F-Score 52/11
    CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS, INC. /MO/CHTR$24.8B$138.39$54.8B$5.0B31.1%5.9023.6%0.394/93/93/70/3F-Score 65/11
    BCE INCBCE$20.0B$21.43$17.9B$4.8B28.3%1.52—0.584/91/95/71/3F-Score 69/11
    ROGERS COMMUNICATIONS INCRCI$18.0B$33.24$15.9B$5.0B38.8%2.2545.2%0.615/95/95/71/3F-Score 48/11