Gelteq Ltd

Where It Passes

Where It Falls Short

• Valuation0% pass✓ 7✗ 21▾

  No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

  Price / 3-yr avg EPS

  ✗Graham<= 15x

  Price-to-Book Ratio0.3x

  ✓Graham<= 1.5x

  P/E x P/B

  ✗Graham<= 22.5

  Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)

  ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)

  EBIT / Enterprise Value-54.4%

  ✗Greenblatt> 10%

  Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-54.4%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)

  ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%

  Price / EPS

  ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)

  Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)

  ✗Dreman< 8x

  Price / Book Value per Share0.3x

  ✓Dreman< 1.2x✓Templeton< 1.5x✓SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)

  Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-100.6%

  ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%

  P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-88.6%

  ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%

  P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=0.3x

  ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0

  Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)

  ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value

  Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)

  ✗Ackman<= 25

  Price vs. Trailing Low100% of trailing low ($0.38)

  ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)

  Net income / market capitalization-106.58%; #5414/6340 (top 85.4%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

  Positive book equity / market capitalization+2.5348; #540/6449 (top 8.4%)

  ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

  Price / Diluted EPS

  ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)

  (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E

  ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)

  Price / Tangible Book Value per ShareN/A (non-positive TBVPS)

  ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)

  Book Value per Share Change

  ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)

  Revenue / market capitalization+0.0266; #4715/5247 (top 89.9%)

  ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

  (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-88.61%; #4034/4519 (top 89.3%)

  ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

  Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-45.40%; #4995/6202 (top 80.5%)

  ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
• Cash Flow0% pass✓ 1✗ 11▾

  No clean pass — all 10 investors flag at least one cash flow criterion

  Free Cash Flow Proxy$-3.5M

  ✗BuffettPositive and growing

  FCF Positive and Growing$-3.6M

  ✗LynchPositive and growing

  Operating Cash Flow$-3.6M

  ✗PiotroskiCFO > 0

  (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-25.71%, ROA=-30.94%

  ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA

  Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)

  ✗Dreman< 8x

  P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-88.6%

  ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%

  FCF Positive0/3 years FCF positive

  ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years

  (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap-102.4%

  ✗Ackman>= 4%

  Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)

  ✗Ackman<= 25

  Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency0/3 years positive

  ✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years

  Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$-3.6M

  ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)

  (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-88.61%; #4034/4519 (top 89.3%)

  ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
• Growth0% pass✓ 3✗ 10▾

  No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

  EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)

  ✗Graham>= 33% growth

  Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)

  ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)

  3-5 Year EPS CAGR

  ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass

  Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)

  ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth

  EPS Growth Direction$-0.29 (2022) -> $-0.47 (2024)

  ✗DremanPositive over recent years

  EPS CAGR

  ✗Dreman> 5% annualized

  Positive Net Income Frequency0/3 years positive

  ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years

  3yr Median Revenue Growth43.1%

  ✓Ackman>= 5%

  Positive EPS Growth Frequency0/2 years with positive EPS growth

  ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years

  5-Year EPS CAGR

  ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)

  Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin -3885.3% -> -3317.7%

  ✓SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding

  5-year Revenue CAGR

  ✗SleepCAGR > 7%

  3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR

  ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
• Efficiency0% pass✓ 1✗ 10▾

  No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one efficiency criterion

  Current Ratio0.27

  ✗Graham>= 2.0

  ROIC (3-5 yr avg)-15.4%

  ✗Buffett> 10%

  ROIC - WACC-25.4%

  ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)

  EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)N/A (invested capital <= 0)

  ✗Greenblatt> 25%

  Current Ratio Change YoY0.08 -> 0.27

  ✓PiotroskiIncreased YoY

  Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY

  ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY

  Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.27

  ✗Dreman> 1.5

  Return on Invested Capital-21.7%

  ✗Munger> 15%

  ROIC (high and growing)FY2022: ROIC=-11.6%; FY2023: ROIC=-12.3%; FY2024: ROIC=-21.7%

  ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each

  Reinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)

  ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%

  ROIC (5-year)0/3 years above 12% (latest -21.7%)

  ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
• Verdicts7% pass✓ 1✗ 14▾

  Split decision: 14 FAIL · 1 PASS · 1 NEUTRAL

  Overall verdict

  ✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)✗BuffettFAIL (0/9)✗LynchFAIL (3/7)•GreenblattNot ranked✗PiotroskiFAIL (F-Score 3)✗DremanFAIL (2/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (1/3)✗AkreFAIL (2/6)✗MarksFAIL (1/5)✗AckmanFAIL (2/9)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)✗SleepFAIL (1/6)✗AsnessFAIL (Rank #2014/2370 (Top 85.0%))✗NeffFAIL (0/6)✗SchlossFAIL (2/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
• Profitability13% pass✓ 3✗ 32▾

  14 of 16 flag GELS's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +11 more

  Positive EPS (10 years)0/4 years positive

  ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years

  EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)

  ✗Graham>= 33% growth

  Net Income Positive (10+ years)0/4 years positive

  ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years

  ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-28.1%

  ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)

  Operating Margin (10-yr trend)

  ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years

  Free Cash Flow Proxy$-3.5M

  ✗BuffettPositive and growing

  Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)

  ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3

  Retained Earnings Effectiveness

  ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created

  Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)

  ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)

  3-5 Year EPS CAGR

  ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass

  ROE-42.0%

  ✗Lynch> 15%

  EBIT / Enterprise Value-54.4%

  ✗Greenblatt> 10%

  Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-54.4%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)

  ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%

  Net Income / Total Assets-30.94%

  ✗PiotroskiROA > 0

  ROA Change YoY-17.08% -> -30.94% (delta: -13.86%)

  ✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA

  (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-25.71%, ROA=-30.94%

  ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA

  Gross Margin Change YoY

  ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY

  Pre-Tax Income / Revenue-4011.9%

  ✗Dreman>= 8%

  Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-42.0%

  ✗Dreman> 12%

  Margin of SafetyP/B=0.3x

  ✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15

  Return on Equity-28.1% (3-yr avg)

  ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)

  Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)

  ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value

  Positive Net Income Frequency0/3 years positive

  ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years

  Operating Income / Revenue-3317.7%

  ✗Ackman>= 15%

  Net Income / Shareholders Equity-42.0%

  ✗Ackman>= 15%

  5-Year EPS CAGR

  ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)

  Operating Margin Trend

  ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years

  Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin -3885.3% -> -3317.7%

  ✓SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding

  Net income / market capitalization-106.58%; #5414/6340 (top 85.4%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

  Gross profit / total assets+0.23%; #3431/3702 (top 92.7%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

  Net income / positive book equity-42.05%; #4111/5226 (top 78.7%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

  Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0691; #2998/5884 (top 51.0%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

  3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR

  ✗Neff7%-20% annualized

  Positive Diluted-EPS Years

  ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
• Debt & Leverage50% pass✓ 9✗ 6▾

  6 of 12 pass — Graham, Buffett, Dreman +3 more object

  LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $0.0M vs NCA $-2.7M

  ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets

  Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.27, IC: -2.9x

  ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x

  Total Debt / Equity0.27

  ✓Lynch< 0.33

  Cash - Long-term Debt$0.2M

  ✓LynchPositive preferred

  LT Debt / Total Assets Change8.48% -> 0.06%

  ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY

  Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.27

  ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)

  Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.27

  ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x

  Debt Levels0.27

  ✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3

  Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-2.9x, D/EBITDA=N/A

  ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x

  Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.27

  ✓Ackman<= 1.0

  Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.2668; #1906/4210 (top 45.3%)

  ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section