GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.

GHG
About the company

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd., through its subsidiaries, develops leased-and-operated, and franchised-and-managed hotels and restaurants in the People's Republic of China. It engages in the food manufacturing business; and provision of information technology services. The company's wholesale business includes sale of prepared meals and frozen foods to supermarkets, distributors, and restaurant franchisees. It operates under the GreenTree, Da Niang, and Lu Gang or Bellagio brand names. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Country: Cayman IslandsPrice: $1.01Market Cap: $101.9M

Investment snapshot

18%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

3

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

1 / 12

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$7.52

+644.6% vs price

Models with upside

1 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

10 of 12 pass — Piotroski and Asness object

Key risk

15 of 16 flag GHG's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +12 more

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILNot rankedPASSFAILPASSFAILFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILFAILFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+86.6%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-30

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Debt & Leverage83% pass✓ 13✗ 2▾

    10 of 12 pass — Piotroski and Asness object

    LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $36.6M vs NCA $102.3M
    ✓GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.16, IC: 7.4x
    ✓BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity0.16
    ✓Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt$199.5M
    ✓LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change5.19% -> 5.35%
    ✗PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.61
    ✓Dreman> 1.5✓SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.16
    ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Debt Levels0.16
    ✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=7.4x, D/EBITDA=1.9x
    ✓MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.16
    ✓Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.1625; #1544/4210 (top 36.7%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

Where It Falls Short

  • Profitability6% pass✓ 8✗ 27▾

    15 of 16 flag GHG's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +12 more

    Positive EPS (10 years)2/11 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)9/11 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)3.0%
    ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)5.2% (latest)
    ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy$-2.1M
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR19.1%
    ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE10.6%
    ✗Lynch> 15%
    EBIT / Enterprise ValueN/A (EV <= 0)
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=N/A (EV <= 0), ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Net Income / Total Assets3.48%
    ✓PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY2.22% -> 3.48% (delta: +1.26%)
    ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=5.88%, ROA=3.48%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Gross Margin Change YoY38.8% -> 34.9%
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue18.7%
    ✓Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity10.6%
    ✗Dreman> 12%
    Margin of Safety
    ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    Return on Equity12.3% (3-yr avg)
    ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic Value
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency9/10 years positive
    ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue5.2%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity10.6%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend20.6% (2023) -> 5.2% (2025)
    ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 41.8% -> 34.9%, operating margin 20.6% -> 5.2%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Net income / market capitalization+23.39%; #236/6340 (top 3.7%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Gross profit / total assets+8.00%; #2934/3702 (top 79.3%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity+10.58%; #1718/5226 (top 32.9%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0445; #2424/5884 (top 41.2%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years
    ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Valuation8% pass✓ 4✗ 24▾

    12 of 13 flag GHG's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more

    Price / 3-yr avg EPS
    ✗Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Book Ratio
    ✗Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/B
    ✗Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    EBIT / Enterprise ValueN/A (EV <= 0)
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=N/A (EV <= 0), ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Price / EPS
    ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    Price / Book Value per Share
    ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Valuation Reasonableness
    ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=2.8%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical Average
    ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic Value
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per Share
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low107% of trailing low ($0.94)
    ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Net income / market capitalization+23.39%; #236/6340 (top 3.7%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+2.2113; #615/6449 (top 9.5%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS
    ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share
    ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change
    ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization+1.5392; #1300/5247 (top 24.8%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+2.82%; #2077/4519 (top 46.0%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-19.84%; #3956/6202 (top 63.8%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Growth13% pass✓ 3✗ 10▾

    7 of 8 flag GHG's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +4 more

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR19.1%
    ✓Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: -25.4% vs Rev: -14.8%
    ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
    EPS Growth Direction
    ✗DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR
    ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency9/10 years positive
    ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth-14.8%
    ✗Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency
    ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 41.8% -> 34.9%, operating margin 20.6% -> 5.2%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR1.9%
    ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Verdicts20% pass✓ 3✗ 12▾

    Split decision: 12 FAIL · 3 PASS · 1 NEUTRAL

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (2/9)✗BuffettFAIL (3/9)✗LynchFAIL (4/7)•GreenblattNot ranked✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 5)✗DremanFAIL (4/11)✓MungerPASS (2/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (3/5)✗AckmanFAIL (2/9)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)✗SleepFAIL (1/6)✗AsnessFAIL (Rank #1179/2370 (Top 49.7%))✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (3/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
  • Efficiency25% pass✓ 4✗ 7▾

    6 of 8 flag GHG's efficiency — Graham, Greenblatt, Piotroski +3 more

    Current Ratio1.61
    ✗Graham>= 2.0
    ROIC (3-5 yr avg)18.3%
    ✓Buffett> 10%
    ROIC - WACC+8.3%
    ✓BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
    EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)N/A (invested capital <= 0)
    ✗Greenblatt> 25%
    Current Ratio Change YoY1.57 -> 1.61
    ✓PiotroskiIncreased YoY
    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.27x -> 0.23x
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities1.61
    ✓Dreman> 1.5
    Return on Invested Capital2.4%
    ✗Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=17.7%; FY2024: ROIC=7.5%; FY2025: ROIC=2.4%
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROIC1.8% (RR=74% x ROIC=2.4%)
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)1/5 years above 12% (latest 2.4%)
    ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
  • Cash Flow40% pass✓ 5✗ 7▾

    6 of 10 flag GHG's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Dreman +3 more

    Free Cash Flow Proxy$-2.1M
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing$2.9M
    ✗LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$40.2M
    ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=5.88%, ROA=3.48%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=2.8%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive10/10 years FCF positive
    ✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap
    ✗Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per Share
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency10/10 years positive
    ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$2.9M
    ✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+2.82%; #2077/4519 (top 46.0%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Restaurants, Hotels, Motels
SIC Sector: Hotels & Lodging
Size: Micro Cap($101.9M)
Revenue: $156.9M-14.8% YoY
Net Income: $23.8M+58.2% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin5.2%
Return on Equity10.6%
Debt / Equity0.16
Current Ratio1.61
Buybacks (1y)$761
Buybacks (2y)$50.8K

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Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2025

Share retirement not available for this company.

Buybacks
$761
Dividends
$6.1M

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

MetricFY 2025
Sources
  • 20-F · 2026-04-30
FY 2024
Sources
  • 20-F · 2025-04-30
FY 2023
Sources
  • 20-F · 2024-04-30
FY 2022
Sources
  • 20-F · 2024-04-30
FY 2021
Sources
  • 20-F · 2024-04-30
Market Cap$101.9Mcurrent--------
Revenue$156.9M↓15%$184.1M↓20%$229.0M↑9%$211.0M↓32%$309.8M
Operating Income$8.1M↓64%$22.2M↓53%$47.2M↑168%-$69.9M↓443%$20.3M
Net Income$23.8M↑58%$15.1M↓60%$37.9M↑162%-$61.1M↓537%$14.0M
EPS (Diluted)----------
Gross Margin34.9%↓10%38.8%↓7%41.8%↑52%27.4%↓18%33.3%
Operating Margin5.2%↓57%12.1%↓42%20.6%↑162%-33.1%↓604%6.6%
ROE10.6%↑40%7.5%↓60%18.7%↑171%-26.4%↓652%4.8%
Total Debt$36.6M↑4%$35.2M↑338%$8.0M↓81%$43.3M↓22%$55.4M
Shareholders' Equity$225.3M↑13%$199.9M↓2%$202.9M↓12%$231.5M↓21%$292.5M
Current Ratio1.61↑2%1.57↑30%1.21↑3%1.18↓20%1.47
Debt / Equity0.16↓8%0.18↑345%0.04↓79%0.19↓1%0.19
Operating Cash Flow$40.2M↓21%$51.2M↓20%$64.0M↑51%$42.3M↓29%$59.7M
Free Cash Flow$2.9M↓93%$40.3M↓22%$51.7M↑71%$30.3M↑937%$2.9M

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Restaurants, Hotels, Motels

GHG vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$156.9MBottom 25%
Net Income$23.8MBottom 25%
ROE10.6%Top 25%
D/E0.16Bottom 25%
Op. Margin5.2%Bottom 25%
Curr. Ratio1.61Top 25%
CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
MCDONALDS CORPMCD$192.0B$271.97$26.9B$8.6B-478.1%-22.7246.1%0.952/96/92/71/3F-Score 54/11
STARBUCKS CORPSBUX$121.4B$106.44$37.2B$1.9B-22.9%-1.997.9%0.722/96/92/71/3F-Score 52/11
MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL INC /MD/MAR$109.0B$423.16$26.2B$2.6B-69.0%-4.3015.8%0.432/94/94/71/3F-Score 72/11
YUM BRANDS INCYUM$43.3B$161.33$8.2B$1.6B-21.3%-1.6331.3%1.352/95/93/71/3F-Score 52/11
INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC /NEW/IHG$26.2B$179.93$5.2B$758.0M-27.7%-1.5323.1%0.981/92/92/71/3F-Score 72/11
DARDEN RESTAURANTS INCDRI$25.9B$228.74$13.2B$1.2B54.7%1.0912.0%0.313/95/93/71/3F-Score 75/11
Hyatt Hotels CorpH$17.5B$187.70$7.1B$52.0M-1.6%1.28—0.752/91/92/71/3F-Score 42/11
Yum China Holdings, Inc.YUMC$17.1B$50.86$11.8B$929.0M17.3%0.0210.9%1.052/94/94/71/3F-Score 76/11