KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.

KREF
About the company

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc., a mortgage real estate investment trust, focuses primarily on originating and acquiring transitional senior loans secured by commercial real estate (CRE) assets in the United States. It engages in the origination and purchase of credit investments related to CRE, including leveraged and unleveraged commercial real estate loans.

Country: United StatesPrice: $5.42Market Cap: $310.6M

Investment snapshot

12%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

2

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

3 / 11

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$17.82

+228.8% vs price

Models with upside

2 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

Models split on KREF at $5.42 — fair values range $2.40–$46.09

Key risk

No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILNot rankedPASSFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILNEUTRALFAILNEUTRALFAILBUYNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/A+88.2%N/AN/AN/AN/A+69.6%N/AN/A-125.8%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-02-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-02-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-02-03

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-10-28

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Valuation models67% pass✓ 2✗ 1▾

    Models split on KREF at $5.42 — fair values range $2.40–$46.09

    Greenblatt fair value$46.09
    ✓Greenblatt+88.2% margin vs $5.42
    Akre fair value$17.82
    ✓Akre+69.6% margin vs $5.42
    Templeton fair value$2.40
    ✗Templeton-125.8% margin vs $5.42

Where It Falls Short

  • Valuation0% pass✓ 8✗ 17▾

    No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

    Price / FFO per ShareN/A (non-positive FFO)
    ✗Graham<= 15x✗Dreman< 12x✗Ackman<= 25
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    EBIT / Enterprise Value30.9%
    ✓Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=30.9%, ROC=None
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Price / (CFO / Shares)4.8x
    ✓Dreman< 8x
    Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-12.7%
    ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/FFO or FFO YieldFFO Yield=-14.3%
    ✗PabraiP/FFO < 15 or FFO Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=0.3x
    ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / EPS
    ✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price vs. Trailing Low100% of trailing low ($5.42)
    ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Price / Book Value per Share0.3x
    ✓Templeton< 1.5x✓SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Net income / market capitalization-64.28%; #5181/6340 (top 81.7%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+2.9306; #466/6449 (top 7.2%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS
    ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share0.30x
    ✓SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change-2.9%
    ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-18.74%; #3905/6202 (top 63.0%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Efficiency0% pass✗ 11▾

    All 8 investors flag KREF's efficiency

    Current Ratio
    ✗Graham>= 2.0
    ROIC (3-5 yr avg)
    ✗Buffett> 10%
    ROIC - WACC
    ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
    EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)
    ✗Greenblatt> 25%
    Current Ratio Change YoY
    ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities
    ✗Dreman> 1.5
    Return on Invested Capital
    ✗Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=unavailable; FY2025: ROIC=unavailable
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROIC
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)
    ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
  • Profitability6% pass✓ 5✗ 30▾

    15 of 16 flag KREF's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +12 more

    Positive EPS (10 years)9/12 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)-130.7%
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)9/12 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)1.8%
    ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)
    ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)1.17
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE-21.9%
    ✗Lynch> 15%
    EBIT / Enterprise Value30.9%
    ✓Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=30.9%, ROC=None
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Net Income / Total Assets-0.73%
    ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY0.56% -> -0.73% (delta: -1.29%)
    ✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=1.12%, ROA=-0.73%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Gross Margin Change YoY
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue
    ✗Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-21.9%
    ✗Dreman> 12%
    Margin of Safety
    ✗PabraiP/FFO < 15
    Return on Equity-1.2% (3-yr avg)
    ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency9/11 years positive
    ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity-21.9%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR-33.3% CAGR over 4 years
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend
    ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Net income / market capitalization-64.28%; #5181/6340 (top 81.7%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Gross profit / total assets
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity-21.93%; #3735/5226 (top 71.5%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0097; #802/5884 (top 13.6%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR-34.5% over 5 years
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years8/10 years positive
    ✓Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Growth13% pass✓ 2✗ 11▾

    7 of 8 flag KREF's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +4 more

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)-130.7%
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)
    ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
    EPS Growth Direction$1.95 (2015) -> $-1.05 (2025)
    ✗DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR-22.8% CAGR over 9 years
    ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency9/11 years positive
    ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth
    ✗Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency2/5 years with positive EPS growth
    ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR-33.3% CAGR over 4 years
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR
    ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR-34.5% over 5 years
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Verdicts15% pass✓ 2✗ 11▾

    Split decision: 11 FAIL · 3 NEUTRAL · 1 PASS · 1 BUY

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (0/7)✗BuffettFAIL (0/9)✗LynchFAIL (1/7)•GreenblattNot ranked✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 4)✗DremanFAIL (3/10)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (0/6)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)✗AckmanFAIL (1/9)•TempletonNEUTRAL (5/8)✗SleepFAIL (2/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (1/6)✓SchlossBUY (5/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
  • Debt & Leverage25% pass✓ 5✗ 10▾

    9 of 12 flag KREF's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +6 more

    LT Debt vs Net Current Assets
    ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.54, IC: 0.8x
    ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity0.69
    ✗Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt
    ✗LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%
    ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities
    ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.69
    ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Debt Levels0.69
    ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=0.8x, D/EBITDA=2.4x
    ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.69
    ✓Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.6912; #2825/4210 (top 67.1%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
  • Cash Flow50% pass✓ 4✗ 3▾

    3 of 6 pass — Buffett, Neff and Oshaughnessy object

    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$72.3M
    ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=1.12%, ROA=-0.73%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)4.8x
    ✓Dreman< 8x
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency11/11 years positive
    ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures
    ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Trading
SIC Sector: Holding & Investment Offices
Size: Small Cap($310.6M)
Revenue: N/A
Net Income: $47.1M-232.2% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin--
Return on Equity-4.0%
Debt / Equity0.54
Current Ratio--
EPS (Diluted)$-1.05−89.6% 1y
Buybacks (1y)$43.4M
Buybacks (2y)$53.4M
Shares Retired6.3% / 7.1% 2y
Sector-adjusted criteria: REIT

Depreciation distorts REIT earnings and book value, so FFO-based criteria replace P/E and free-cash-flow tests, and P/B tests are omitted.

Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2025

Retired 6.3% of shares last year, 7.1% over two.

Buybacks
$43.4M
Dividends
$66.9M

What drove EPS

A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

FY22
−89.6% = −72.2% + −62.5%
Earnings Fewer shares More shares

The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.

Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.

MetricTTM · 2026-09-30

2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, dividends paid, buybacks.

Q3 FY 2026

2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, dividends paid, buybacks.

Q2 FY 2026

2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30

Sources · derived quarter values

Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, dividends paid, buybacks.

Q1 FY 2026

2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31

Sources
FY 2025
Sources
  • 10-K · 2026-02-03
FY 2024
Sources
  • 10-K · 2025-02-03
FY 2023
Sources
  • 10-K · 2024-02-06
FY 2022
Sources
  • 10-K · 2023-02-07
FY 2021
Sources
  • 10-K · 2022-02-08
Market Cap$310.6Mcurrent------$533.0Mest.$685.8Mest.$653.0Mest.$735.6Mest.$791.5Mest.
Revenue------------------
Operating Income------------------
Net Income-$199.7M↓35939%-$919.0K↓107%-$116.4M↓291%-$56.1M↓1055%-$47.1M↓232%$35.6M↑215%-$30.9M↓181%$38.1M↓72%$137.2M
EPS (Diluted)--$-0.11↓192%$-1.95↓268%$-0.96↓540%$-1.05↓653%$0.19↑124%$-0.78↓439%$0.23↓90%$2.21
Gross Margin—————————
Operating Margin—————————
ROE-21.9%↓48590%———-4.0%↓252%2.6%↑220%-2.2%↓191%2.4%↓76%10.1%
Total Debt$629.2M↓1%$629.2M↓1%$630.4M↑18%$631.5M↑18%$632.5M↑89%$333.9M$0↓100%$143.2M↑1%$141.9M
Shareholders' Equity$910.2M↓26%$910.2M↓26%$931.8M↓25%$1.1B↓16%$1.2B↓13%$1.3B↓4%$1.4B↓11%$1.6B↑15%$1.4B
Current Ratio—————————
Debt / Equity0.69↑34%0.69↑34%0.68↑57%0.58↑41%0.54↑117%0.250.00↓100%0.09↓13%0.10
Operating Cash Flow$47.0M↓36%$2.5M↓86%$14.6M↓31%$13.1M↓17%$72.3M↓45%$132.6M↓15%$155.7M↑10%$141.1M↑13%$124.8M
Free Cash Flow------------------

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Trading

KREF vs Peers — Financial Grading

RevenueN/A
Net Income$47.1MBottom 25%
ROE-4.0%Bottom 25%
D/E0.54Median
Op. Margin—
Curr. Ratio—
CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
REALTY INCOME CORPO$56.1B$58.82$5.7B$1.1B2.7%0.6316.8%—2/71/93/70/3F-Score 64/10
Ventas, Inc.VTR$47.0B$88.92$5.8B$261.5M2.1%1.043.5%—2/71/92/70/3F-Score 62/10
RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INCRJF$32.4B$168.64$15.9B$2.1B17.1%0.28——3/93/93/71/3F-Score 64/11
ROYAL GOLD INCRGLD$21.7B$256.89$1.0B$466.3M6.5%0.1361.9%3.124/92/94/70/3F-Score 44/11
iShares Ethereum Trust ETFETHA$19.4B$44.02—$2.3B——————————
KIMCO REALTY CORPKIM$17.0B$25.55$2.1B$584.7M5.6%0.7436.0%—3/72/94/70/3F-Score 75/10
LandBridge Co LLCLB$5.6B$73.15$199.1M$30.1M8.9%1.6559.5%4.872/93/92/70/3F-Score 63/11
Digital Turbine, Inc.APPS$927.6M$7.61$565.3M$37.7M-19.6%1.886.0%1.161/92/92/71/3F-Score 70/11