KINGSWAY Corp

KWY
Country: United StatesPrice: $9.01Market Cap: $260.7M

Investment snapshot

6%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

1

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 13

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$1.85

-79.5% vs price

Models with upside

0 / 16

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

No clean pass — all 15 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILPASSFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/AN/A-1538.2%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A-186.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Profitability0% pass✓ 4✗ 28▾

      No clean pass — all 15 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

      Positive EPS (10 years)4/16 years positive
      ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)5/16 years positive
      ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-154.7%
      ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)-1.8% (latest)
      ✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy$6.1M
      ✓BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
      ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE-69.3%
      ✗Lynch> 15%
      Net Income / Total Assets-4.43%
      ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY-4.44% -> -4.43% (delta: +0.02%)
      ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-0.00%, ROA=-4.43%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue-5.3%
      ✗Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-69.3%
      ✗Dreman> 12%
      Margin of SafetyP/B=17.0x
      ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
      Return on Equity-26.5% (3-yr avg)
      ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-1538.2% (IV=$0.55 vs Price=$9.01)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency5/15 years positive
      ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Operating Income / Revenue0.7%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity-69.3%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend0.9% (2023) -> -1.8% (2025)
      ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin 0.9% -> -1.8%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      Net income / market capitalization-2.63%; #3643/6340 (top 57.5%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Gross profit / total assets
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / positive book equity-69.32%; #4398/5226 (top 84.2%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0631; #2876/5884 (top 48.9%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years3/10 years positive
      ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
    • Valuation0% pass✓ 1✗ 25▾

      No clean pass — all 12 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

      Price / 3-yr avg EPS245.7x
      ✗Graham<= 15x
      Price-to-Book Ratio17.0x
      ✗Graham<= 1.5x
      P/E x P/B4,178.1
      ✗Graham<= 22.5
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      Price / EPS
      ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
      Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      Price / Book Value per Share17.0x
      ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
      Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-0.4%
      ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      P/E or FCF Yield
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=17.0x
      ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic Value-1538.2% (IV=$0.55 vs Price=$9.01)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Price / FCF per Share
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Price vs. Trailing Low116% of trailing low ($7.77)
      ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      Net income / market capitalization-2.63%; #3643/6340 (top 57.5%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.0379; #5060/6449 (top 78.5%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Price / Diluted EPS
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
      ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Price / Tangible Book Value per ShareN/A (non-positive TBVPS)
      ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Book Value per Share Change
      ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Revenue / market capitalization+0.5977; #2384/5247 (top 45.4%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-9.81%; #3423/6202 (top 55.2%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Growth0% pass✓ 2✗ 10▾

      No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      EPS Growth Direction
      ✗DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      Positive Net Income Frequency5/15 years positive
      ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      3yr Median Revenue Growth10.7%
      ✓Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency2/5 years with positive EPS growth
      ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin 0.9% -> -1.8%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR17.2%
      ✓SleepCAGR > 7%
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    • Efficiency0% pass✗ 5▾

      All 4 investors flag KWY's efficiency

      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.59x -> 0.58x
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Return on Invested Capital3.1%
      ✗Munger> 15%
      ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=1.0%; FY2024: ROIC=2.6%; FY2025: ROIC=-2.2%
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
      Reinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)
      ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROIC (5-year)0/5 years above 12% (latest -2.2%)
      ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
    • Valuation models0% pass✗ 2▾

      KWY overvalued: all 2 models price fair value below $9.01 (median $1.85)

      Dreman fair value$0.55
      ✗Dreman-1538.2% margin vs $9.01
      Templeton fair value$3.15
      ✗Templeton-186.0% margin vs $9.01
    • Verdicts7% pass✓ 1✗ 13▾

      Split decision: 13 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL · 1 PASS

      Overall verdict
      ✗GrahamFAIL (1/7)✗BuffettFAIL (2/7)✗LynchFAIL (0/6)✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 3)✗DremanFAIL (0/10)✗MungerFAIL (0/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (0/6)✗MarksFAIL (0/5)✗AckmanFAIL (2/9)✗TempletonFAIL (2/8)✗SleepFAIL (1/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (1/6)✗SchlossFAIL (0/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
    • Debt & Leverage9% pass✓ 1✗ 12▾

      10 of 11 flag KWY's debt & leverage — Buffett, Lynch, Dreman +7 more

      Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 1.82, IC: 0.2x
      ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
      Total Debt / Equity1.82
      ✗Lynch< 0.33
      Cash - Long-term Debt$-42.4M
      ✗LynchPositive preferred
      LT Debt / Total Assets Change30.83% -> 30.55%
      ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity1.82
      ✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
      Debt Levels1.82
      ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
      Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-0.4x, D/EBITDA=10.4x
      ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
      Total Debt / Shareholders Equity1.82
      ✗Ackman<= 1.0
      Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-1.8214; #3726/4210 (top 88.5%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.92x
      ✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    • Cash Flow10% pass✓ 2✗ 10▾

      9 of 10 flag KWY's cash flow — Lynch, Piotroski, Dreman +6 more

      Free Cash Flow Proxy$6.1M
      ✓BuffettPositive and growing
      FCF Positive and Growing$-6.7M
      ✗LynchPositive and growing
      Operating Cash Flow$-0.0M
      ✗PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-0.00%, ROA=-4.43%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      P/E or FCF Yield
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      FCF Positive1/8 years FCF positive
      ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
      (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap
      ✗Ackman>= 4%
      Price / FCF per Share
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency3/15 years positive
      ✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures
      ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

    Business & financials

    Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

    Company Profile

    Industry: Insurance
    SIC Sector: Insurance Carriers
    Size: Micro Cap($260.7M)
    Revenue: $135.0M+23.4% YoY
    Net Income: $10.3M-23.6% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin-1.8%
    Return on Equity-67.6%
    Debt / Equity4.66
    Current Ratio--
    EPS (Diluted)$-0.43−9.2% 1y
    Buybacks (1y)$345.0K
    Buybacks (2y)$2.8M
    Shares Retired−5.5% / −5.6% 2y
    Sector-adjusted criteria: Insurer

    Insurers file unclassified balance sheets with no inventory or current accounts, so those criteria are omitted rather than failed for missing data. Return-on-invested-capital tests are omitted too: float funds the balance sheet but never appears in invested capital, and the portfolio it is invested in would be subtracted as spare cash. Debt tests are kept — an insurer’s borrowings are real leverage on top of underwriting.

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2025

    Issued 5.5% of shares last year, 5.6% issued over two.

    Buybacks
    $345.0K
    Dividends
    —

    What drove EPS

    A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

    FY23
    −9.2% = 59.4% + −43.0%
    Earnings Fewer shares More shares

    The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.

    Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

    Company Financials

    Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

    TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

    The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.

    MetricTTM · 2026-09-30

    2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: revenue, net income, operating income, ebit, pre tax income, interest expense, operating cash flow, buybacks, capex.

    Q3 FY 2026

    2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, buybacks.

    Q2 FY 2026

    2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, capex, buybacks.

    Q1 FY 2026

    2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31

    Sources
    FY 2025
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2026-03-12
    FY 2024
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2026-03-12
    FY 2023
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2024-03-05
    FY 2022
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2023-03-08
    FY 2021
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2022-02-28
    Market Cap$260.7Mcurrent------$384.2Mest.$219.8Mest.$237.7Mest.$192.5Mest.$119.0Mest.
    Revenue$155.8M↑24%$38.9M↑5%$39.4M↑28%$39.0M↑37%$135.0M↑23%$109.4M↑6%$103.2M↑11%$93.3M↑19%$78.4M
    Operating Income$1.1M↑221%$427.0K↑149%-$109.0K↑90%$485.0K↑168%-$2.4M↓211%$2.2M↑127%$954.0K↑127%-$3.6M↓654%-$474.0K
    Net Income-$6.8M↑32%-$3.1M↓31%$157.0K↑105%-$2.3M↑27%-$10.3M↓24%-$8.3M↓135%$24.0M↑59%$15.1M↑710%$1.9M
    EPS (Diluted)--$-0.10$-0.03↑77%$-0.10↑23%$-0.43↓23%$-0.35↓139%$0.89↓9%$0.98↑2550%$-0.04
    Gross Margin—41.7%43.4%44.5%—————
    Operating Margin0.7%↑198%1.1%↑147%-0.3%↑92%1.2%↑149%-1.8%↓190%2.0%↑114%0.9%↑124%-3.8%↓534%-0.6%
    ROE-69.3%↓14%———-67.6%↑31%-98.6%↓214%86.7%↓10%96.1%↑396%-32.5%
    Total Debt$18.0M↓75%$18.0M↓75%$22.9M↓61%$55.3M↓7%$70.7M↑23%$57.5M↑30%$44.4M↓56%$102.1M↑8%$94.1M
    Shareholders' Equity$9.9M↓41%$9.9M↓41%$12.8M↓26%$13.2M↑141%$15.2M↑80%$8.4M↓70%$27.7M↑77%$15.7M↑374%-$5.7M
    Current Ratio0.920.920.870.92—————
    Debt / Equity1.82↓57%1.82↓57%1.78↓47%4.21↓61%4.66↓32%6.84↑327%1.60↓75%6.51↑140%-16.44
    Operating Cash Flow$5.3M↑5368%$4.1M↑178%$1.2M↑257%-$8.0K↑100%-$3.0K↓100%$1.1M↑104%-$26.2M↓80%-$14.6M↓147%-$5.9M
    Free Cash Flow----$754.0K-$398.0K---------$6.7M

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Insurance

    KWY vs Peers — Financial Grading

    Revenue$135.0MBottom 25%
    Net Income$10.3MBottom 25%
    ROE-67.6%Bottom 25%
    D/E4.66Bottom 25%
    Op. Margin-1.8%Bottom 25%
    Curr. Ratio—
    CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchPiotroskiDreman
    UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCUNH$365.1B$407.46$447.6B$12.1B12.0%0.784.2%0.793/74/72/6F-Score 63/10
    PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/PGR$136.6B$235.78$87.7B$11.3B37.3%0.23——2/72/74/6F-Score 68/10
    MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES, INC.MRSH$98.8B$207.78$27.0B$4.2B27.2%1.2823.1%1.103/73/72/6F-Score 65/10
    CHINA LIFE INSURANCE CO LTDCILJF$85.1B$3.01——————5/71/73/6F-Score 55/10
    Aon plcAON$71.8B$338.31$17.2B$3.7B39.5%1.6325.3%1.112/74/73/6F-Score 63/10
    HUMANA INCHUM$54.0B$450.00$129.7B$1.2B6.7%0.702.1%2.003/72/71/6F-Score 44/10
    SUN LIFE FINANCIAL INCSLF$40.5B$72.93$30.6B$2.6B14.5%0.33——3/73/72/6F-Score 66/10
    HARTFORD INSURANCE GROUP, INC.HIG$36.8B$137.48$28.4B$3.8B20.2%0.23——3/73/74/6F-Score 78/10