NewcelX Ltd.

NCEL
About the company

NewcelX Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing transformative stem-cell-derived therapies for Diabetes.

Country: SwitzerlandPrice: $2.61Market Cap: $15.1M

Investment snapshot

12%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

2

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

3 / 11

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$18.59

+612.1% vs price

Models with upside

2 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

NCEL undervalued: all 2 models price fair value above $2.61 (median $18.59)

Key risk

No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILNot rankedPASSFAILPASSNEUTRALFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of Safety+69.5%N/AN/AN/AN/A+90.9%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-04-29

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Valuation models100% pass✓ 2▾

    NCEL undervalued: all 2 models price fair value above $2.61 (median $18.59)

    Graham fair value$8.57
    ✓Graham+69.5% margin vs $2.61
    Dreman fair value$28.60
    ✓Dreman+90.9% margin vs $2.61

Where It Falls Short

  • Growth0% pass✓ 3✗ 10▾

    No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 1.2x (growth N/A)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)
    ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
    EPS Growth Direction$-0.41 (2020) -> $2.16 (2025)
    ✓DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR
    ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency0/8 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth
    ✗Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency3/5 years with positive EPS growth
    ✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR
    ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Efficiency0% pass✓ 1✗ 10▾

    No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one efficiency criterion

    Current Ratio0.76
    ✗Graham>= 2.0
    ROIC (3-5 yr avg)-27.6%
    ✗Buffett> 10%
    ROIC - WACC-37.6%
    ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
    EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)N/A (invested capital <= 0)
    ✗Greenblatt> 25%
    Current Ratio Change YoY0.09 -> 0.76
    ✓PiotroskiIncreased YoY
    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.76
    ✗Dreman> 1.5
    Return on Invested Capital-21.2%
    ✗Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=-758.6%; FY2024: ROIC=unavailable; FY2025: ROIC=-21.2%
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)0/4 years above 12% (latest -21.2%)
    ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
  • Profitability6% pass✓ 3✗ 32▾

    15 of 16 flag NCEL's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +12 more

    Positive EPS (10 years)1/9 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)0/9 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-5726.0%
    ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)
    ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy$-8.3M
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)N/A (negative mean EPS)
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 1.2x (growth N/A)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE-114.5%
    ✗Lynch> 15%
    EBIT / Enterprise Value-16.9%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-16.9%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Net Income / Total Assets-72.52%
    ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY-797.01% -> -72.52% (delta: +724.49%)
    ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-24.17%, ROA=-72.52%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Gross Margin Change YoY
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue
    ✗Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-114.5%
    ✗Dreman> 12%
    Margin of SafetyP/E=1.2x, P/B=1.7x
    ✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    Return on Equity-5726.0% (3-yr avg)
    ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency0/8 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity-114.5%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend
    ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Net income / market capitalization-55.06%; #5099/6340 (top 80.4%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Gross profit / total assets
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity-114.48%; #4656/5226 (top 89.1%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-2.5913; #5501/5884 (top 93.5%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years1/6 years positive
    ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Cash Flow10% pass✓ 2✗ 10▾

    9 of 10 flag NCEL's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Piotroski +6 more

    Free Cash Flow Proxy$-8.3M
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing$-2.8M
    ✗LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$-2.8M
    ✗PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-24.17%, ROA=-72.52%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF YieldP/E=1.2x, FCF Yield=-18.4%
    ✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive0/4 years FCF positive
    ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap-22.2%
    ✗Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency0/8 years positive
    ✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$-2.8M
    ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-18.40%; #3488/4519 (top 77.2%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Valuation15% pass✓ 6✗ 22▾

    11 of 13 flag NCEL's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +8 more

    Price / 3-yr avg EPS
    ✗Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Book Ratio1.7x
    ✗Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/B
    ✗Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)P/E 1.2x (growth N/A)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    EBIT / Enterprise Value-16.9%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-16.9%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Price / EPS1.2x
    ✓Dreman< 12x✓Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    Price / Book Value per Share1.7x
    ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Valuation ReasonablenessP/E=1.2x, OE Yield=-65.9%
    ✓MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF YieldP/E=1.2x, FCF Yield=-18.4%
    ✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/E=1.2x, P/B=1.7x
    ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low137% of trailing low ($1.90)
    ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Net income / market capitalization-55.06%; #5099/6340 (top 80.4%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.4809; #2956/6449 (top 45.8%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS1.2x
    ✓NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share2.27x
    ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change
    ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-18.40%; #3488/4519 (top 77.2%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+4.82%; #2177/6202 (top 35.1%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Verdicts15% pass✓ 2✗ 11▾

    Split decision: 11 FAIL · 3 NEUTRAL · 2 PASS

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (0/9)✗BuffettFAIL (0/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)•GreenblattNot ranked✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 4)✗DremanFAIL (3/11)✓MungerPASS (2/4)•PabraiNEUTRAL (2/3)✗AkreFAIL (0/6)✗MarksFAIL (1/5)✗AckmanFAIL (2/9)✗TempletonFAIL (3/8)✗SleepFAIL (0/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (1/6)✗SchlossFAIL (1/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
  • Debt & Leverage33% pass✓ 7✗ 8▾

    8 of 12 flag NCEL's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +5 more

    Debt Levels0.32
    ✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    LT Debt vs Net Current Assets
    ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.32, IC: -128.1x
    ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity0.32
    ✓Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt
    ✗LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%
    ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.76
    ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.32
    ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-128.1x, D/EBITDA=N/A
    ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.32
    ✓Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.3161; #2042/4210 (top 48.5%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Pharmaceutical Products
SIC Sector: Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals
Size: Micro Cap($15.1M)
Revenue: N/A
Net Income: $8.3M-15.3% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin--
Return on Equity-114.5%
Debt / Equity0.32
Current Ratio0.76
EPS (Diluted)$2.16

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

MetricFY 2025
Sources
  • 20-F · 2026-04-29
FY 2024
Sources
  • 20-F · 2025-05-16
FY 2023
Sources
  • 20-F · 2026-04-29
FY 2022
Sources
  • 20-F · 2023-05-05
FY 2021
Sources
  • 20-F · 2022-03-24
Market Cap$15.1Mcurrent$78.7Mest.--$16.9Best.$2.5Best.
Revenue----------
Operating Income-$2.6M↓24%-$2.1M↑31%-$3.0M↑81%-$15.5M↓31%-$11.9M
Net Income-$8.3M↓15%-$7.2M↓116%-$3.3M↑80%-$16.5M↓38%-$11.9M
EPS (Diluted)$2.16↑182%$-2.63↓722%$-0.32↑62%$-0.84↑16%$-1.00
Gross Margin—————
Operating Margin—————
ROE-114.5%↓227%90.0%↓68%278.4%↑102%-14861.0%↓575%-2202.5%
Total Debt$2.3M↑40%$1.6M↑9%$1.5M↑182%$535.0K↓64%$1.5M
Shareholders' Equity$7.3M↑191%-$8.0M↓568%-$1.2M↓1178%$111.0K↓80%$542.4K
Current Ratio0.76↑765%0.09↓62%0.23↓92%2.75↑16%2.38
Debt / Equity0.32↑254%-0.21↑84%-1.26↓126%4.82↑77%2.72
Operating Cash Flow-$2.8M↓159%-$1.1M↑69%-$3.4M↑75%-$13.9M↑7%-$14.9M
Free Cash Flow-$2.8M↓159%-$1.1M↑69%-$3.5M---$15.0M

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Pharmaceutical Products

NCEL vs Peers — Financial Grading

RevenueN/A
Net Income$8.3MBottom 25%
ROE-114.5%Bottom 25%
D/E0.32Median
Op. Margin—
Curr. Ratio0.76Bottom 25%
CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
Merck & Co., Inc.MRK$364.3B$147.76$65.0B$18.3B34.7%0.94—1.542/95/94/70/3F-Score 41/11
ABBOTT LABORATORIESABT$188.0B$108.52$44.3B$6.5B12.5%0.2518.2%1.583/94/92/71/3F-Score 53/11
BRISTOL MYERS SQUIBB COBMY$129.7B$63.43$48.2B$7.1B38.2%2.4419.4%1.262/91/93/71/3F-Score 85/11
BIO-TECHNE CorpTECH$11.4B$72.80$1.2B$73.4M3.8%—8.4%3.464/93/93/70/3F-Score 54/11
REPLIGEN CORPRGEN$10.7B$167.79$738.3M$48.9M2.3%0.267.5%8.373/92/93/70/3F-Score 75/11
IONIS PHARMACEUTICALS INCIONS$4.8B$29.06$943.7M$381.4M-78.0%3.60-40.4%3.833/91/91/70/3F-Score 43/11
NEOGEN CORPNEOG$2.5B$11.23$870.4M$7.9M-0.4%0.76-2.5%3.823/91/92/70/3F-Score 64/11
Pharvaris N.V.PHVS$2.4B$33.36—$206.4M-64.8%0.00——0/90/92/70/3F-Score 22/11