Vaxcyte, Inc.
PCVXAbout the company
Vaxcyte, Inc., a clinical-stage vaccine innovation company, develops conjugate and novel protein vaccines to prevent or treat bacterial infectious diseases. Its lead vaccine candidate is VAX-24, a 24-valent carrier-sparing investigational pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) for the prevention of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in infants.
Investment snapshot
Positive
0
BUY / PASS
Neutral / negative
2 / 14
NEUTRAL / FAIL
Median fair value
—
No comparable estimates
Models with upside
0 / 17
Positive margin of safety
Strongest signal
8 of 12 pass — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +1 more object
Key risk
No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion
Framework analysis
| Verdict | Meaning |
|---|---|
| BUY | Positive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met. |
| PASS | The company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state. |
| NEUTRAL | Neither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position. |
| FAIL | The company does not clear the framework's requirements. |
| Ranked | Ranked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL. |
Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.
| Metric | Graham Defensive Value | Buffett Quality Compounder | Lynch GARP | Greenblatt Magic Formula | Piotroski F-Score | Dreman Contrarian Value | Munger Quality Focus | Pabrai Dhandho Framework | Akre Three-Legged Stool | Marks Risk-Aware Value | Ackman Activist Value | Templeton Global Bargain Hunter | Sleep Scale Economies Shared | Asness Systematic Factors | Neff Low-P/E Total Return | Schloss Asset-Value Discipline | O'Shaughnessy Systematic Factor Composite |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdict | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL · Rank #2378 (Top 76.8%) | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | NEUTRAL | FAIL | FAIL | NEUTRAL |
| Score | |||||||||||||||||
| Analysis | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… |
| Intrinsic Value (annual) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Margin of Safety | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Financial Basis | Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-04 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 vs 2025-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-04 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-11-04 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-04 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-04 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-02-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-11-04 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-04 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-02-24 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-11-04 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-04 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-04 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-11-04 Score computed: 2026-11-14 |
Where It Passes
- Debt & Leverage67% pass✓ 11✗ 4▾
8 of 12 pass — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +1 more object
LT Debt vs Net Current Assets✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current AssetsDebt/Equity & Interest Coverage✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5xTotal Debt / Equity0.04✓Lynch< 0.33Cash - Long-term Debt✗LynchPositive preferredLT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%✓PiotroskiDecreased YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities4.56✓Dreman> 1.5✓SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.04✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00xDebt Levels0.04✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDA✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4xTotal Debt / Shareholders Equity0.04✓Ackman<= 1.0Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.0433; #967/4210 (top 23.0%)✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Where It Falls Short
- Profitability0% pass✓ 1✗ 34▾
No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion
Positive EPS (10 years)0/9 years positive✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 yearsEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growthNet Income Positive (10+ years)0/9 years positive✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ yearsROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-26.7%✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)Operating Margin (10-yr trend)✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 yearsFree Cash Flow Proxy$-763.9M✗BuffettPositive and growingEarnings Variance (10-yr CoV)✗BuffettCoV < 0.3Retained Earnings Effectiveness✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value createdBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passROE-46.1%✗Lynch> 15%EBIT / Enterprise Value-9.4%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-9.4%, ROC=-61.4%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Net Income / Total Assets-25.53%✗PiotroskiROA > 0ROA Change YoY-13.21% -> -25.53% (delta: -12.32%)✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-21.83%, ROA=-25.53%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAGross Margin Change YoY✗PiotroskiImproved YoYPre-Tax Income / Revenue✗Dreman>= 8%Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-46.1%✗Dreman> 12%Margin of SafetyP/B=3.1x✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15Return on Equity-25.0% (3-yr avg)✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePositive Net Income Frequency0/8 years positive✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsOperating Income / Revenue✗Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Shareholders Equity-46.1%✗Ackman>= 15%5-Year EPS CAGR✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Operating Margin Trend✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 yearsRevenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holdingNet income / market capitalization-11.45%; #4244/6340 (top 66.9%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionGross profit / total assets✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNet income / positive book equity-46.14%; #4163/5226 (top 79.7%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNegative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0616; #2848/5884 (top 48.4%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR✗Neff7%-20% annualizedPositive Diluted-EPS Years0/8 years positive✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule) - Valuation0% pass✓ 1✗ 27▾
No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion
Price / 3-yr avg EPS✗Graham<= 15xPrice-to-Book Ratio3.1x✗Graham<= 1.5xP/E x P/B✗Graham<= 22.5Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)EBIT / Enterprise Value-9.4%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-9.4%, ROC=-61.4%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Price / EPS✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)✗Dreman< 8xPrice / Book Value per Share3.1x✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-9.2%✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-6.7%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=3.1x✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePrice / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)✗Ackman<= 25Price vs. Trailing Low206% of trailing low ($30.79)✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)Net income / market capitalization-11.45%; #4244/6340 (top 66.9%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionPositive book equity / market capitalization+0.2481; #3932/6449 (top 61.0%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionPrice / Diluted EPS✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)(EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)Price / Tangible Book Value per Share3.09x✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)Book Value per Share Change+204.1%✓SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)Revenue / market capitalization✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-9.71%; #3223/4519 (top 71.3%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionTrailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+10.71%; #1823/6202 (top 29.4%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section - Cash Flow0% pass✓ 1✗ 11▾
No clean pass — all 10 investors flag at least one cash flow criterion
Free Cash Flow Proxy$-763.9M✗BuffettPositive and growingFCF Positive and Growing$-974.4M✗LynchPositive and growingOperating Cash Flow$-655.6M✗PiotroskiCFO > 0(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-21.83%, ROA=-25.53%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAPrice / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)✗Dreman< 8xP/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-6.7%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%FCF Positive0/8 years FCF positive✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap-11.7%✗Ackman>= 4%Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)✗Ackman<= 25Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency0/8 years positive✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available yearsOperating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$-974.4M✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-9.71%; #3223/4519 (top 71.3%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section - Growth0% pass✓ 1✗ 12▾
No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion
EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growthBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passInventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growthEPS Growth Direction✗DremanPositive over recent yearsEPS CAGR✗Dreman> 5% annualizedPositive Net Income Frequency0/8 years positive✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years3yr Median Revenue Growth✗Ackman>= 5%Positive EPS Growth Frequency✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years5-Year EPS CAGR✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding5-year Revenue CAGR✗SleepCAGR > 7%3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR✗Neff7%-20% annualized - Verdicts0% pass✗ 15▾
Split decision: 14 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL
Overall verdict✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)✗BuffettFAIL (0/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)✗GreenblattRank #2378✗PiotroskiFAIL (F-Score 2)✗DremanFAIL (3/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (0/5)✗AckmanFAIL (2/9)✗TempletonFAIL (2/8)✗SleepFAIL (0/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (0/6)✗SchlossFAIL (3/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked) - Efficiency25% pass✓ 2✗ 9▾
6 of 8 flag PCVX's efficiency — Buffett, Greenblatt, Piotroski +3 more
Current Ratio4.56✓Graham>= 2.0ROIC (3-5 yr avg)✗Buffett> 10%ROIC - WACC✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)-61.4%✗Greenblatt> 25%Current Ratio Change YoY12.75 -> 7.91✗PiotroskiIncreased YoYRevenue / Total Assets Change YoY✗PiotroskiImproved YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities4.56✓Dreman> 1.5Return on Invested Capital-37.5%✗Munger> 15%ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=unavailable; FY2025: ROIC=unavailable✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in eachReinvestment Rate x ROIC✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%ROIC (5-year)✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
Business & financials
Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.
Company Profile
Financial Snapshot
Shareholder Return
Fiscal 2025
Issued 4.9% of shares last year, 37.4% issued over two.
- Buybacks
- —
- Dividends
- —
Company Financials
Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years
TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.
The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.
| Metric | TTM · 2026-09-30 2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30 Sources · derived quarter valuesDerived from cumulative filings: net income, operating income, ebit, operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex. | Q3 FY 2026 2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30 Sources · derived quarter valuesDerived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex. | Q2 FY 2026 2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30 Sources · derived quarter valuesDerived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex. | Q1 FY 2026 2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31 Sources | FY 2025Sources
| FY 2024Sources
| FY 2023Sources
| FY 2022Sources
| FY 2021Sources
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $10.0Bcurrent | -- | -- | -- | $7.0Best. | $11.0Best. | $6.8Best. | $3.6Best. | $1.0Best. |
| Revenue | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Operating Income | -$1.2B↓52% | -$308.3M↓27% | -$302.8M↓34% | -$345.9M↓91% | -$923.7M↓62% | -$569.5M↓22% | -$468.0M↓102% | -$232.3M↓124% | -$103.7M |
| Net Income | -$1.1B↓75% | -$297.1M↓40% | -$284.3M↓71% | -$320.6M↓128% | -$766.6M↓65% | -$463.9M↓15% | -$402.3M↓80% | -$223.5M↓123% | -$100.1M |
| EPS (Diluted) | -- | $-1.99↓28% | $-1.97↓61% | $-2.30↓121% | $-5.63↓48% | $-3.80↑8% | $-4.14↓20% | $-3.44↓78% | $-1.93 |
| Gross Margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating Margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ROE | -46.1%↓103% | — | — | — | -28.5%↓103% | -14.0%↑57% | -32.4%↓38% | -23.4%↑33% | -35.2% |
| Total Debt | $107.8M | $107.8M | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Shareholders' Equity | $2.5B↓14% | $2.5B↓14% | $2.8B↓10% | $3.0B↓6% | $2.7B↓19% | $3.3B↑166% | $1.2B↑30% | $953.6M↑236% | $284.0M |
| Current Ratio | 4.56↓48% | 4.56↓48% | 5.72↓48% | 7.49↓58% | 7.91↓38% | 12.75↑69% | 7.54↓68% | 23.26↑161% | 8.93 |
| Debt / Equity | 0.04 | 0.04 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating Cash Flow | -$962.0M↓77% | -$224.1M↓56% | -$232.5M↓92% | -$280.6M↓69% | -$655.6M↓45% | -$452.6M↓53% | -$296.8M↓74% | -$170.6M↓41% | -$121.4M |
| Free Cash Flow | -$974.4M↓75% | -$227.4M↓55% | -$236.8M↓93% | -$282.7M↓65% | -$669.3M↓41% | -$475.1M↓52% | -$312.9M↓77% | -$176.4M↓38% | -$127.9M |
Score history
Historical Score Timeline
Industry peers
Industry Peers
Similar companies in Pharmaceutical Products
PCVX vs Peers — Financial Grading
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Revenue | Net Income | ROE | D/E | Op. Margin | Curr. Ratio | Graham | Buffett | Lynch | Greenblatt | Piotroski | Dreman |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merck & Co., Inc.MRK | $364.3B | $147.76 | $65.0B | $18.3B | 34.7% | 0.94 | — | 1.54 | 2/9 | 5/9 | 4/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 | 1/11 |
| ABBOTT LABORATORIESABT | $188.0B | $108.52 | $44.3B | $6.5B | 12.5% | 0.25 | 18.2% | 1.58 | 3/9 | 4/9 | 2/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 5 | 3/11 |
| BRISTOL MYERS SQUIBB COBMY | $129.7B | $63.43 | $48.2B | $7.1B | 38.2% | 2.44 | 19.4% | 1.26 | 2/9 | 1/9 | 3/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 8 | 5/11 |
| BIO-TECHNE CorpTECH | $11.4B | $72.80 | $1.2B | $73.4M | 3.8% | — | 8.4% | 3.46 | 4/9 | 3/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 5 | 4/11 |
| REPLIGEN CORPRGEN | $10.7B | $167.79 | $738.3M | $48.9M | 2.3% | 0.26 | 7.5% | 8.37 | 3/9 | 2/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 7 | 5/11 |
| IONIS PHARMACEUTICALS INCIONS | $4.8B | $29.06 | $943.7M | $381.4M | -78.0% | 3.60 | -40.4% | 3.83 | 3/9 | 1/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 | 3/11 |
| NEOGEN CORPNEOG | $2.5B | $11.23 | $870.4M | $7.9M | -0.4% | 0.76 | -2.5% | 3.82 | 3/9 | 1/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 | 4/11 |
| Pharvaris N.V.PHVS | $2.4B | $33.36 | — | $206.4M | -64.8% | 0.00 | — | — | 0/9 | 0/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 2 | 2/11 |