SNDL Inc.

SNDL
About the company

SNDL Inc. engages in the production, distribution, and sale of cannabis products for the adult-use market in Canada and internationally. It operates through four segments: Liquor Retail, Cannabis Retail, Cannabis Operations, and Investments.

Country: CanadaPrice: $1.37Market Cap: $335.3M

Investment snapshot

18%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

3

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

4 / 9

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$1.31

-4.7% vs price

Models with upside

2 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

7 of 10 pass — Marks, Sleep and Oshaughnessy object

Key risk

15 of 16 flag SNDL's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +12 more

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILFAIL · Rank #1942 (Top 62.7%)NEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILPASSPASSPASSNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/A-77.9%N/AN/AN/AN/A+25.5%-270.3%N/AN/A+59.3%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Cash Flow70% pass✓ 9✗ 3▾

    7 of 10 pass — Marks, Sleep and Oshaughnessy object

    Free Cash Flow Proxy$17.1M
    ✓BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing$42.4M
    ✓LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$51.8M
    ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=5.31%, ROA=-1.18%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)7.0x
    ✓Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=12.7%
    ✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive2/8 years FCF positive
    ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap11.8%
    ✓Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per Share8.5x
    ✓Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency2/8 years positive
    ✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$42.4M
    ✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+12.65%; #521/4519 (top 11.5%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

Where It Falls Short

  • Profitability6% pass✓ 7✗ 28▾

    15 of 16 flag SNDL's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +12 more

    Positive EPS (10 years)0/10 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)0/10 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-13.4%
    ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)-0.7% (latest)
    ✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy$17.1M
    ✓BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)N/A (negative mean EPS)
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE-1.4%
    ✗Lynch> 15%
    EBIT / Enterprise Value-3.1%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-3.1%, ROC=-2.5%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Net Income / Total Assets-1.18%
    ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY-7.03% -> -1.18% (delta: +5.85%)
    ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=5.31%, ROA=-1.18%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Gross Margin Change YoY26.1% -> 27.3%
    ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue-1.7%
    ✗Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-1.4%
    ✗Dreman> 12%
    Margin of SafetyP/B=0.4x
    ✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    Return on Equity-8.0% (3-yr avg)
    ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency0/8 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue-0.7%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity-1.4%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend-18.0% (2023) -> -0.7% (2025)
    ✓TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 20.9% -> 27.3%, operating margin -18.0% -> -0.7%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Net income / market capitalization-3.43%; #3716/6340 (top 58.6%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Gross profit / total assets+19.36%; #2086/3702 (top 56.3%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity-1.43%; #3012/5226 (top 57.6%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0701; #3025/5884 (top 51.4%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years0/7 years positive
    ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Debt & Leverage8% pass✓ 3✗ 12▾

    11 of 12 flag SNDL's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +8 more

    LT Debt vs Net Current Assets
    ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    Debt/Equity & Interest Coverage
    ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity
    ✗Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt
    ✗LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%
    ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities4.88
    ✓Dreman> 1.5✓SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity
    ✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Debt Levels
    ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-0.9x, D/EBITDA=N/A
    ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity
    ✗Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
  • Growth13% pass✓ 4✗ 9▾

    7 of 8 flag SNDL's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +4 more

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: 3.9% vs Rev: 7.7%
    ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
    EPS Growth Direction$-0.18 (2017) -> $-0.04 (2025)
    ✗DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR
    ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency0/8 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth7.7%
    ✓Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency3/3 years with positive EPS growth
    ✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 20.9% -> 27.3%, operating margin -18.0% -> -0.7%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR70.6%
    ✓SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Valuation15% pass✓ 11✗ 17▾

    11 of 13 flag SNDL's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +8 more

    Price / 3-yr avg EPS
    ✗Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Book Ratio0.4x
    ✓Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/B
    ✗Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    EBIT / Enterprise Value-3.1%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-3.1%, ROC=-2.5%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Price / EPS
    ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)7.0x
    ✓Dreman< 8x
    Price / Book Value per Share0.4x
    ✓Dreman< 1.2x✓Templeton< 1.5x✓SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=4.7%
    ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=12.7%
    ✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=0.4x
    ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per Share8.5x
    ✓Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low113% of trailing low ($1.21)
    ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Net income / market capitalization-3.43%; #3716/6340 (top 58.6%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+2.3978; #573/6449 (top 8.9%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS
    ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share0.54x
    ✓SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change-25.5%
    ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization+2.0608; #1060/5247 (top 20.2%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+12.65%; #521/4519 (top 11.5%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-3.52%; #3046/6202 (top 49.1%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Verdicts23% pass✓ 3✗ 10▾

    Split decision: 9 FAIL · 4 NEUTRAL · 3 PASS

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (3/9)✗BuffettFAIL (2/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)✗GreenblattRank #1942•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 6)✗DremanFAIL (3/11)✗MungerFAIL (0/4)•PabraiNEUTRAL (2/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (1/5)✓AckmanPASS (5/9)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)✓SleepPASS (3/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (3/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
  • Efficiency25% pass✓ 3✗ 8▾

    6 of 8 flag SNDL's efficiency — Buffett, Greenblatt, Piotroski +3 more

    Current Ratio4.88
    ✓Graham>= 2.0
    ROIC (3-5 yr avg)-45.0%
    ✗Buffett> 10%
    ROIC - WACC-55.0%
    ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
    EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)-2.5%
    ✗Greenblatt> 25%
    Current Ratio Change YoY5.10 -> 4.88
    ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.68x -> 0.71x
    ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities4.88
    ✓Dreman> 1.5
    Return on Invested Capital
    ✗Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=unavailable; FY2025: ROIC=unavailable
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROIC
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)
    ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
  • Valuation models50% pass✓ 2✗ 2▾

    Models split on SNDL at $1.37 — fair values range $0.37–$3.37

    Buffett fair value$0.77
    ✗Buffett-77.9% margin vs $1.37
    Munger fair value$1.84
    ✓Munger+25.5% margin vs $1.37
    Pabrai fair value$0.37
    ✗Pabrai-270.3% margin vs $1.37
    Ackman fair value$3.37
    ✓Ackman+59.3% margin vs $1.37

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Pharmaceutical Products
SIC Sector: Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals
Size: Small Cap($335.3M)
Revenue: $691.1M+7.7% YoY
Net Income: $11.5M+82.6% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin-0.7%
Return on Equity-1.4%
Debt / Equity--
Current Ratio4.88
EPS (Diluted)$-0.04
Buybacks (1y)$11.2M
Buybacks (2y)$20.4M
Shares Retired−0.1% / −0.2% 2y

Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2025

Issued 0.1% of shares last year, 0.2% issued over two.

Buybacks
$11.2M
Dividends
—

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

MetricFY 2025
Sources
  • 40-F · 2026-03-12
FY 2024
Sources
  • 40-F · 2025-03-18
FY 2023
Sources
  • 40-F · 2024-03-21
FY 2022
Sources
  • 20-F · 2023-04-24
FY 2021
Sources
  • 20-F · 2022-04-28
Market Cap$335.3Mcurrent$457.7Mest.$349.5Mest.$540.9Mest.--
Revenue$691.1M↑8%$641.4M↓7%$687.1M↑31%$525.5M↑1093%$44.0M
Operating Income-$4.6M↑94%-$72.3M↑41%-$123.3M↑52%-$256.6M↓143%-$105.4M
Net Income-$11.5M↑83%-$66.1M↑49%-$130.5M↑47%-$247.3M↓39%-$178.1M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.04↑83%$-0.25↑50%$-0.51↑53%$-1.08--
Gross Margin27.3%↑5%26.1%↑25%20.9%↑6%19.7%↑223%-16.0%
Operating Margin-0.7%↑94%-11.3%↑37%-18.0%↑63%-48.8%↑80%-239.4%
ROE-1.4%↑83%-8.4%↑41%-14.2%↑44%-25.6%↓50%-17.1%
Total Debt----------
Shareholders' Equity$804.1M↑2%$789.8M↓14%$916.2M↓5%$964.1M↓8%$1.0B
Current Ratio4.88↓4%5.10↑29%3.94↓30%5.61↓49%11.06
Debt / Equity—————
Operating Cash Flow$51.8M↑35%$38.3M↑404%-$12.6M↓154%-$5.0M↑96%-$122.2M
Free Cash Flow$42.4M↑32%$32.3M↑274%-$18.5M↓44%-$12.8M↑90%-$125.2M

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Pharmaceutical Products

SNDL vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$691.1MBottom 25%
Net Income$11.5MBottom 25%
ROE-1.4%Bottom 25%
D/E—
Op. Margin-0.7%Median
Curr. Ratio4.88Top 25%
CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
Merck & Co., Inc.MRK$364.3B$147.76$65.0B$18.3B34.7%0.94—1.542/95/94/70/3F-Score 41/11
ABBOTT LABORATORIESABT$188.0B$108.52$44.3B$6.5B12.5%0.2518.2%1.583/94/92/71/3F-Score 53/11
BRISTOL MYERS SQUIBB COBMY$129.7B$63.43$48.2B$7.1B38.2%2.4419.4%1.262/91/93/71/3F-Score 85/11
BIO-TECHNE CorpTECH$11.4B$72.80$1.2B$73.4M3.8%—8.4%3.464/93/93/70/3F-Score 54/11
REPLIGEN CORPRGEN$10.7B$167.79$738.3M$48.9M2.3%0.267.5%8.373/92/93/70/3F-Score 75/11
IONIS PHARMACEUTICALS INCIONS$4.8B$29.06$943.7M$381.4M-78.0%3.60-40.4%3.833/91/91/70/3F-Score 43/11
NEOGEN CORPNEOG$2.5B$11.23$870.4M$7.9M-0.4%0.76-2.5%3.823/91/92/70/3F-Score 64/11
Pharvaris N.V.PHVS$2.4B$33.36—$206.4M-64.8%0.00——0/90/92/70/3F-Score 22/11