SNDL Inc.
SNDLAbout the company
SNDL Inc. engages in the production, distribution, and sale of cannabis products for the adult-use market in Canada and internationally. It operates through four segments: Liquor Retail, Cannabis Retail, Cannabis Operations, and Investments.
Investment snapshot
Positive
3
BUY / PASS
Neutral / negative
4 / 9
NEUTRAL / FAIL
Median fair value
$1.31
-4.7% vs price
Models with upside
2 / 17
Positive margin of safety
Strongest signal
7 of 10 pass — Marks, Sleep and Oshaughnessy object
Key risk
15 of 16 flag SNDL's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +12 more
Framework analysis
| Verdict | Meaning |
|---|---|
| BUY | Positive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met. |
| PASS | The company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state. |
| NEUTRAL | Neither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position. |
| FAIL | The company does not clear the framework's requirements. |
| Ranked | Ranked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL. |
Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.
| Metric | Graham Defensive Value | Buffett Quality Compounder | Lynch GARP | Greenblatt Magic Formula | Piotroski F-Score | Dreman Contrarian Value | Munger Quality Focus | Pabrai Dhandho Framework | Akre Three-Legged Stool | Marks Risk-Aware Value | Ackman Activist Value | Templeton Global Bargain Hunter | Sleep Scale Economies Shared | Asness Systematic Factors | Neff Low-P/E Total Return | Schloss Asset-Value Discipline | O'Shaughnessy Systematic Factor Composite |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdict | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL · Rank #1942 (Top 62.7%) | NEUTRAL | FAIL | FAIL | NEUTRAL | FAIL | FAIL | PASS | PASS | PASS | NEUTRAL | FAIL | FAIL | NEUTRAL |
| Score | |||||||||||||||||
| Analysis | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… |
| Intrinsic Value (annual) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | ||||
| Margin of Safety | N/A | -77.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | +25.5% | -270.3% | N/A | N/A | +59.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Financial Basis | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-03-12 Score computed: 2026-11-14 |
Where It Passes
- Cash Flow70% pass✓ 9✗ 3▾
7 of 10 pass — Marks, Sleep and Oshaughnessy object
Free Cash Flow Proxy$17.1M✓BuffettPositive and growingFCF Positive and Growing$42.4M✓LynchPositive and growingOperating Cash Flow$51.8M✓PiotroskiCFO > 0(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=5.31%, ROA=-1.18%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAPrice / (CFO / Shares)7.0x✓Dreman< 8xP/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=12.7%✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%FCF Positive2/8 years FCF positive✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap11.8%✓Ackman>= 4%Price / FCF per Share8.5x✓Ackman<= 25Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency2/8 years positive✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available yearsOperating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$42.4M✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+12.65%; #521/4519 (top 11.5%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Where It Falls Short
- Profitability6% pass✓ 7✗ 28▾
15 of 16 flag SNDL's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +12 more
Positive EPS (10 years)0/10 years positive✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 yearsEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)✗Graham>= 33% growthNet Income Positive (10+ years)0/10 years positive✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ yearsROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-13.4%✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)Operating Margin (10-yr trend)-0.7% (latest)✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 yearsFree Cash Flow Proxy$17.1M✓BuffettPositive and growingEarnings Variance (10-yr CoV)N/A (negative mean EPS)✗BuffettCoV < 0.3Retained Earnings Effectiveness✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value createdBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passROE-1.4%✗Lynch> 15%EBIT / Enterprise Value-3.1%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-3.1%, ROC=-2.5%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Net Income / Total Assets-1.18%✗PiotroskiROA > 0ROA Change YoY-7.03% -> -1.18% (delta: +5.85%)✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=5.31%, ROA=-1.18%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAGross Margin Change YoY26.1% -> 27.3%✓PiotroskiImproved YoYPre-Tax Income / Revenue-1.7%✗Dreman>= 8%Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-1.4%✗Dreman> 12%Margin of SafetyP/B=0.4x✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15Return on Equity-8.0% (3-yr avg)✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePositive Net Income Frequency0/8 years positive✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsOperating Income / Revenue-0.7%✗Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Shareholders Equity-1.4%✗Ackman>= 15%5-Year EPS CAGR✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Operating Margin Trend-18.0% (2023) -> -0.7% (2025)✓TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 yearsRevenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 20.9% -> 27.3%, operating margin -18.0% -> -0.7%✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holdingNet income / market capitalization-3.43%; #3716/6340 (top 58.6%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionGross profit / total assets+19.36%; #2086/3702 (top 56.3%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNet income / positive book equity-1.43%; #3012/5226 (top 57.6%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNegative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0701; #3025/5884 (top 51.4%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR✗Neff7%-20% annualizedPositive Diluted-EPS Years0/7 years positive✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule) - Debt & Leverage8% pass✓ 3✗ 12▾
11 of 12 flag SNDL's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +8 more
LT Debt vs Net Current Assets✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current AssetsDebt/Equity & Interest Coverage✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5xTotal Debt / Equity✗Lynch< 0.33Cash - Long-term Debt✗LynchPositive preferredLT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%✓PiotroskiDecreased YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities4.88✓Dreman> 1.5✓SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00xDebt Levels✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-0.9x, D/EBITDA=N/A✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4xTotal Debt / Shareholders Equity✗Ackman<= 1.0Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section - Growth13% pass✓ 4✗ 9▾
7 of 8 flag SNDL's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +4 more
EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)✗Graham>= 33% growthBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passInventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: 3.9% vs Rev: 7.7%✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growthEPS Growth Direction$-0.18 (2017) -> $-0.04 (2025)✗DremanPositive over recent yearsEPS CAGR✗Dreman> 5% annualizedPositive Net Income Frequency0/8 years positive✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years3yr Median Revenue Growth7.7%✓Ackman>= 5%Positive EPS Growth Frequency3/3 years with positive EPS growth✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years5-Year EPS CAGR✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 20.9% -> 27.3%, operating margin -18.0% -> -0.7%✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding5-year Revenue CAGR70.6%✓SleepCAGR > 7%3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR✗Neff7%-20% annualized - Valuation15% pass✓ 11✗ 17▾
11 of 13 flag SNDL's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +8 more
Price / 3-yr avg EPS✗Graham<= 15xPrice-to-Book Ratio0.4x✓Graham<= 1.5xP/E x P/B✗Graham<= 22.5Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)EBIT / Enterprise Value-3.1%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-3.1%, ROC=-2.5%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Price / EPS✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)Price / (CFO / Shares)7.0x✓Dreman< 8xPrice / Book Value per Share0.4x✓Dreman< 1.2x✓Templeton< 1.5x✓SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=4.7%✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=12.7%✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=0.4x✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePrice / FCF per Share8.5x✓Ackman<= 25Price vs. Trailing Low113% of trailing low ($1.21)✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)Net income / market capitalization-3.43%; #3716/6340 (top 58.6%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionPositive book equity / market capitalization+2.3978; #573/6449 (top 8.9%)✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionPrice / Diluted EPS✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)(EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)Price / Tangible Book Value per Share0.54x✓SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)Book Value per Share Change-25.5%✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)Revenue / market capitalization+2.0608; #1060/5247 (top 20.2%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+12.65%; #521/4519 (top 11.5%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionTrailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-3.52%; #3046/6202 (top 49.1%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section - Verdicts23% pass✓ 3✗ 10▾
Split decision: 9 FAIL · 4 NEUTRAL · 3 PASS
Overall verdict✗GrahamFAIL (3/9)✗BuffettFAIL (2/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)✗GreenblattRank #1942•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 6)✗DremanFAIL (3/11)✗MungerFAIL (0/4)•PabraiNEUTRAL (2/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (1/5)✓AckmanPASS (5/9)✓TempletonPASS (4/8)✓SleepPASS (3/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (3/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked) - Efficiency25% pass✓ 3✗ 8▾
6 of 8 flag SNDL's efficiency — Buffett, Greenblatt, Piotroski +3 more
Current Ratio4.88✓Graham>= 2.0ROIC (3-5 yr avg)-45.0%✗Buffett> 10%ROIC - WACC-55.0%✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)-2.5%✗Greenblatt> 25%Current Ratio Change YoY5.10 -> 4.88✗PiotroskiIncreased YoYRevenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.68x -> 0.71x✓PiotroskiImproved YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities4.88✓Dreman> 1.5Return on Invested Capital✗Munger> 15%ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=unavailable; FY2025: ROIC=unavailable✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in eachReinvestment Rate x ROIC✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%ROIC (5-year)✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years - Valuation models50% pass✓ 2✗ 2▾
Models split on SNDL at $1.37 — fair values range $0.37–$3.37
Buffett fair value$0.77✗Buffett-77.9% margin vs $1.37Munger fair value$1.84✓Munger+25.5% margin vs $1.37Pabrai fair value$0.37✗Pabrai-270.3% margin vs $1.37Ackman fair value$3.37✓Ackman+59.3% margin vs $1.37
Business & financials
Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.
Company Profile
Financial Snapshot
Shareholder Return
Fiscal 2025
Issued 0.1% of shares last year, 0.2% issued over two.
- Buybacks
- $11.2M
- Dividends
- —
Company Financials
Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years
TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.
| Metric | FY 2025Sources
| FY 2024Sources
| FY 2023Sources
| FY 2022Sources
| FY 2021Sources
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $335.3Mcurrent | $457.7Mest. | $349.5Mest. | $540.9Mest. | -- |
| Revenue | $691.1M↑8% | $641.4M↓7% | $687.1M↑31% | $525.5M↑1093% | $44.0M |
| Operating Income | -$4.6M↑94% | -$72.3M↑41% | -$123.3M↑52% | -$256.6M↓143% | -$105.4M |
| Net Income | -$11.5M↑83% | -$66.1M↑49% | -$130.5M↑47% | -$247.3M↓39% | -$178.1M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.04↑83% | $-0.25↑50% | $-0.51↑53% | $-1.08 | -- |
| Gross Margin | 27.3%↑5% | 26.1%↑25% | 20.9%↑6% | 19.7%↑223% | -16.0% |
| Operating Margin | -0.7%↑94% | -11.3%↑37% | -18.0%↑63% | -48.8%↑80% | -239.4% |
| ROE | -1.4%↑83% | -8.4%↑41% | -14.2%↑44% | -25.6%↓50% | -17.1% |
| Total Debt | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Shareholders' Equity | $804.1M↑2% | $789.8M↓14% | $916.2M↓5% | $964.1M↓8% | $1.0B |
| Current Ratio | 4.88↓4% | 5.10↑29% | 3.94↓30% | 5.61↓49% | 11.06 |
| Debt / Equity | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating Cash Flow | $51.8M↑35% | $38.3M↑404% | -$12.6M↓154% | -$5.0M↑96% | -$122.2M |
| Free Cash Flow | $42.4M↑32% | $32.3M↑274% | -$18.5M↓44% | -$12.8M↑90% | -$125.2M |
Score history
Historical Score Timeline
Industry peers
Industry Peers
Similar companies in Pharmaceutical Products
SNDL vs Peers — Financial Grading
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Revenue | Net Income | ROE | D/E | Op. Margin | Curr. Ratio | Graham | Buffett | Lynch | Greenblatt | Piotroski | Dreman |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merck & Co., Inc.MRK | $364.3B | $147.76 | $65.0B | $18.3B | 34.7% | 0.94 | — | 1.54 | 2/9 | 5/9 | 4/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 | 1/11 |
| ABBOTT LABORATORIESABT | $188.0B | $108.52 | $44.3B | $6.5B | 12.5% | 0.25 | 18.2% | 1.58 | 3/9 | 4/9 | 2/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 5 | 3/11 |
| BRISTOL MYERS SQUIBB COBMY | $129.7B | $63.43 | $48.2B | $7.1B | 38.2% | 2.44 | 19.4% | 1.26 | 2/9 | 1/9 | 3/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 8 | 5/11 |
| BIO-TECHNE CorpTECH | $11.4B | $72.80 | $1.2B | $73.4M | 3.8% | — | 8.4% | 3.46 | 4/9 | 3/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 5 | 4/11 |
| REPLIGEN CORPRGEN | $10.7B | $167.79 | $738.3M | $48.9M | 2.3% | 0.26 | 7.5% | 8.37 | 3/9 | 2/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 7 | 5/11 |
| IONIS PHARMACEUTICALS INCIONS | $4.8B | $29.06 | $943.7M | $381.4M | -78.0% | 3.60 | -40.4% | 3.83 | 3/9 | 1/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 | 3/11 |
| NEOGEN CORPNEOG | $2.5B | $11.23 | $870.4M | $7.9M | -0.4% | 0.76 | -2.5% | 3.82 | 3/9 | 1/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 | 4/11 |
| Pharvaris N.V.PHVS | $2.4B | $33.36 | — | $206.4M | -64.8% | 0.00 | — | — | 0/9 | 0/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 2 | 2/11 |