Starwood Real Estate Income Trust, Inc.

SWDS
Country: United StatesPrice: $12.27Market Cap: $4.9B

Investment snapshot

12%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

2

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 12

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$10.66

-13.1% vs price

Models with upside

1 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILNot rankedPASSFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILPASSNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/A+41.0%N/AN/AN/A-2172.6%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-20

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-20

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-10-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-20

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-10-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2026-07-01–2026-10-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-20

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Price history 2026-07-01–2026-10-01 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-20

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2026-07-01–2026-10-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-12

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Profitability0% pass✓ 3✗ 32▾

      No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

      Positive EPS (10 years)0/9 years positive
      ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)0/9 years positive
      ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-9.1%
      ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)61.1% (latest)
      ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
      ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE-17.6%
      ✗Lynch> 15%
      EBIT / Enterprise Value5.8%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=5.8%, ROC=None
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Net Income / Total Assets-3.66%
      ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY-3.26% -> -3.66% (delta: -0.39%)
      ✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=1.83%, ROA=-3.66%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Gross Margin Change YoY57.6% -> 57.2%
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue
      ✗Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-17.6%
      ✗Dreman> 12%
      Margin of Safety
      ✗PabraiP/FFO < 15
      Return on Equity-13.4% (3-yr avg)
      ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency0/8 years positive
      ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Operating Income / Revenue62.4%
      ✓Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity-17.6%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend63.7% (2023) -> 61.1% (2025)
      ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 57.3% -> 57.2%, operating margin 63.7% -> 61.1%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      Net income / market capitalization-11.14%; #4226/6340 (top 66.7%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Gross profit / total assets+4.78%; #3106/3702 (top 83.9%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / positive book equity-17.55%; #3636/5226 (top 69.6%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0125; #985/5884 (top 16.7%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years0/8 years positive
      ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
    • Debt & Leverage0% pass✗ 15▾

      All 12 investors flag SWDS's debt & leverage

      LT Debt vs Net Current Assets
      ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
      Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 3.86, IC: 1.8x
      ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
      Total Debt / Equity3.86
      ✗Lynch< 0.33
      Cash - Long-term Debt$-11.8B
      ✗LynchPositive preferred
      LT Debt / Total Assets Change60.71% -> 63.21%
      ✗PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities
      ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity3.86
      ✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
      Debt Levels3.86
      ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
      Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=1.8x, D/EBITDA=7.0x
      ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
      Total Debt / Shareholders Equity3.86
      ✗Ackman<= 1.0
      Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-3.8583; #4020/4210 (top 95.5%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    • Valuation0% pass✓ 2✗ 23▾

      No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

      Price / Book Value per Share1.3x
      ✓Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
      Price / FFO per ShareN/A (non-positive FFO)
      ✗Graham<= 15x✗Dreman< 12x✗Ackman<= 25
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      EBIT / Enterprise Value5.8%
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=5.8%, ROC=None
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Price / (CFO / Shares)14.1x
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=0.3%
      ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      P/FFO or FFO YieldFFO Yield=-0.2%
      ✗PabraiP/FFO < 15 or FFO Yield > 10%
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=1.3x
      ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Price / EPS
      ✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
      Price vs. Trailing Low
      ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      Net income / market capitalization-11.14%; #4226/6340 (top 66.7%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.6346; #2404/6449 (top 37.3%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Price / Diluted EPS
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
      ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Price / Tangible Book Value per Share1.30x
      ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Book Value per Share Change-44.3%
      ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Revenue / market capitalization+0.3236; #3220/5247 (top 61.4%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Growth0% pass✓ 2✗ 11▾

      No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)
      ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
      EPS Growth Direction
      ✗DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      Positive Net Income Frequency0/8 years positive
      ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      3yr Median Revenue Growth-3.8%
      ✗Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency1/5 years with positive EPS growth
      ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 57.3% -> 57.2%, operating margin 63.7% -> 61.1%
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR39.6%
      ✓SleepCAGR > 7%
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    • Efficiency0% pass✓ 1✗ 10▾

      No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one efficiency criterion

      Current Ratio
      ✗Graham>= 2.0
      ROIC (3-5 yr avg)3.9%
      ✗Buffett> 10%
      ROIC - WACC-6.1%
      ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
      EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)
      ✗Greenblatt> 25%
      Current Ratio Change YoY
      ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.08x -> 0.08x
      ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities
      ✗Dreman> 1.5
      Return on Invested Capital5.2%
      ✗Munger> 15%
      ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=4.4%; FY2024: ROIC=4.6%; FY2025: ROIC=4.8%
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
      Reinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)
      ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROIC (5-year)0/5 years above 12% (latest 4.8%)
      ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
    • Verdicts14% pass✓ 2✗ 12▾

      Split decision: 12 FAIL · 2 PASS · 2 NEUTRAL

      Overall verdict
      ✗GrahamFAIL (1/7)✗BuffettFAIL (0/9)✗LynchFAIL (1/7)•GreenblattNot ranked✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 4)✗DremanFAIL (2/10)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (0/6)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)✗AckmanFAIL (3/9)✗TempletonFAIL (3/8)✓SleepPASS (3/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (2/6)✗SchlossFAIL (1/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
    • Cash Flow33% pass✓ 3✗ 4▾

      4 of 6 flag SWDS's cash flow — Buffett, Dreman, Neff +1 more

      Free Cash Flow Proxy
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      Operating Cash Flow$345.6M
      ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=1.83%, ROA=-3.66%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Price / (CFO / Shares)14.1x
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency8/8 years positive
      ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures
      ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Valuation models50% pass✓ 1✗ 1▾

      Models split on SWDS at $12.27 — fair values range $0.54–$20.78

      Greenblatt fair value$20.78
      ✓Greenblatt+41.0% margin vs $12.27
      Pabrai fair value$0.54
      ✗Pabrai-2172.6% margin vs $12.27

    Business & financials

    Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

    Company Profile

    Industry: Trading
    SIC Sector: Holding & Investment Offices
    Size: Mid Cap($4.9B)
    Revenue: $1.6B-6.3% YoY
    Net Income: $691.6M-1.0% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin61.1%
    Return on Equity-17.8%
    Debt / Equity3.08
    Current Ratio--
    EPS (Diluted)$-1.74
    Buybacks (1y)$472.9M
    Buybacks (2y)$1.5B
    Shares Retired1.0% / 7.7% 2y
    Sector-adjusted criteria: REIT

    Depreciation distorts REIT earnings and book value, so FFO-based criteria replace P/E and free-cash-flow tests, and P/B tests are omitted.

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2025

    Retired 1.0% of shares last year, 7.7% over two.

    Buybacks
    $472.9M
    Dividends
    $341.8M

    Company Financials

    Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

    TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

    The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.

    MetricTTM · 2026-09-30

    2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: revenue, net income, operating income, ebit, interest expense, operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, dividends paid, buybacks, re sale gains.

    Q3 FY 2026

    2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, dividends paid, buybacks.

    Q2 FY 2026

    2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, dividends paid, buybacks.

    Q1 FY 2026

    2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31

    Sources
    FY 2025
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2026-03-20
    FY 2024
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2025-03-21
    FY 2023
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2024-03-21
    FY 2022
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2023-03-17
    FY 2021
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2022-03-28
    Market Cap$4.9Bcurrent------$4.9Best.--------
    Revenue$1.6B↓2%$396.5M↑1%$398.0M↑1%$392.3M↓2%$1.6B↓6%$1.7B↓4%$1.8B↑11%$1.6B↑146%$642.9M
    Operating Income$985.9M$241.9M↑3%$252.2M↑4%$249.4M↑1%$965.5M↓8%$1.1B↓6%$1.1B↑7%$1.0B↑137%$438.8M
    Net Income-$543.5M↑20%-$134.4M↑20%-$144.2M↑26%-$112.9M↑36%-$691.6M↓1%-$684.9M↓5%-$649.7M↓889%-$65.7M↑78%-$302.3M
    EPS (Diluted)--$-0.42$-0.37↑24%$-0.29↑34%$-1.74↓4%$-1.68↓21%$-1.39↓893%$-0.14↑91%$-1.49
    Gross Margin————57.2%↓1%57.6%↑1%57.3%↓3%58.8%↓4%61.3%
    Operating Margin62.4%↑2%61.0%↑3%63.4%↑3%63.6%↑3%61.1%↓2%62.5%↓2%63.7%↓3%65.9%↓3%68.3%
    ROE-17.6%↓9%———-17.8%↓35%-13.2%↓44%-9.2%↓1307%-0.7%↑86%-4.6%
    Total Debt$11.9B$11.9B$12.0B$12.0B$12.0B↓6%$12.7B↓2%$13.0B↓9%$14.4B↑27%$11.3B
    Shareholders' Equity$3.1B↓27%$3.1B↓27%$3.3B↓27%$3.6B↓27%$3.9B↓25%$5.2B↓27%$7.1B↓30%$10.1B↑52%$6.6B
    Current Ratio—————————
    Debt / Equity3.86↑36%3.86↑36%3.61↑39%3.34↑37%3.08↑25%2.45↑34%1.84↑29%1.42↓16%1.70
    Operating Cash Flow$284.8M↓24%$75.3M↓24%$106.0M↓6%$54.2M↓36%$345.6M↓19%$429.2M↓23%$556.6M↓6%$594.9M↑155%$233.1M
    Free Cash Flow------------------

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Trading

    SWDS vs Peers — Financial Grading

    Revenue$1.6BMedian
    Net Income$691.6MBottom 25%
    ROE-17.8%Bottom 25%
    D/E3.08Bottom 25%
    Op. Margin61.1%Top 25%
    Curr. Ratio—
    CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
    REALTY INCOME CORPO$56.1B$58.82$5.7B$1.1B2.7%0.6316.8%—2/71/93/70/3F-Score 64/10
    Ventas, Inc.VTR$47.0B$88.92$5.8B$261.5M2.1%1.043.5%—2/71/92/70/3F-Score 62/10
    RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INCRJF$32.4B$168.64$15.9B$2.1B17.1%0.28——3/93/93/71/3F-Score 64/11
    ROYAL GOLD INCRGLD$21.7B$256.89$1.0B$466.3M6.5%0.1361.9%3.124/92/94/70/3F-Score 44/11
    iShares Ethereum Trust ETFETHA$19.4B$44.02—$2.3B——————————
    KIMCO REALTY CORPKIM$17.0B$25.55$2.1B$584.7M5.6%0.7436.0%—3/72/94/70/3F-Score 75/10
    LandBridge Co LLCLB$5.6B$73.15$199.1M$30.1M8.9%1.6559.5%4.872/93/92/70/3F-Score 63/11
    Digital Turbine, Inc.APPS$927.6M$7.61$565.3M$37.7M-19.6%1.886.0%1.161/92/92/71/3F-Score 70/11