MOLSON COORS BEVERAGE CO

TAP

Molson Coors Beverage Company manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells beer and other malt beverage products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers flavored malt beverages including hard seltzers, craft, spirits, and ready to drink beverages. The company also provides non-alcoholic beverages including premium mixers and energy drinks.

About the company

Country: United StatesPrice: $40.84Market Cap: $7.6B

Investment snapshot

24%positive consensus

Scored 1d ago

Positive

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 10

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$55.49

+35.9% vs price

Models with upside

3 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

8 of 10 pass — Buffett and Lynch object

Key risk

No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one efficiency criterion

Framework analysis

Verdict	Meaning
BUY	Positive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASS	The company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRAL	Neither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAIL	The company does not clear the framework's requirements.
Ranked	Ranked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

Metric	Graham Defensive Value	Buffett Quality Compounder	Lynch GARP	Greenblatt Magic Formula	Piotroski F-Score	Dreman Contrarian Value	Munger Quality Focus	Pabrai Dhandho Framework	Akre Three-Legged Stool	Marks Risk-Aware Value	Ackman Activist Value	Templeton Global Bargain Hunter	Sleep Scale Economies Shared	Asness Systematic Factors	Neff Low-P/E Total Return	Schloss Asset-Value Discipline	O'Shaughnessy Systematic Factor Composite
Verdict	FAIL	FAIL	FAIL	FAIL · Rank #2482 (Top 80.1%)	PASS	PASS	FAIL	NEUTRAL	FAIL	FAIL	PASS	NEUTRAL	PASS	FAIL	FAIL	FAIL	FAIL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)	N/A	N/A	N/A		N/A	N/A		N/A		N/A		N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Margin of Safety	N/A	N/A	N/A	-261.4%	N/A	N/A	+22.0%	N/A	+32.3%	N/A	+30.3%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Financial Basis	Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-18 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-18 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-18 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-18 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-02-18 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-02-18 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-18 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14	Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-02-18 Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

Cash Flow80% pass✓ 10✗ 2▾
8 of 10 pass — Buffett and Lynch object
Free Cash Flow Proxy$-2.1B
✗BuffettPositive and growing
FCF Positive and Growing$1.1B
✗LynchPositive and growing
Operating Cash Flow$1.8B
✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=7.85%, ROA=-9.41%
✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
Price / (CFO / Shares)4.6x
✓Dreman< 8x
P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=14.1%
✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
FCF Positive18/18 years FCF positive
✓MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap13.1%
✓Ackman>= 4%
Price / FCF per Share7.6x
✓Ackman<= 25
Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency18/18 years positive
✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$1.1B
✓Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+14.11%; #450/4519 (top 10.0%)
✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Valuation models75% pass✓ 3✗ 1▾
Models split on TAP at $40.84 — fair values range $11.30–$60.36
Greenblatt fair value$11.30
✗Greenblatt-261.4% margin vs $40.84
Munger fair value$52.38
✓Munger+22.0% margin vs $40.84
Akre fair value$60.36
✓Akre+32.3% margin vs $40.84
Ackman fair value$58.60
✓Ackman+30.3% margin vs $40.84

Where It Falls Short

Efficiency0% pass✓ 1✗ 10▾
No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one efficiency criterion
Current Ratio0.86
✗Graham>= 2.0
ROIC (3-5 yr avg)1.7%
✗Buffett> 10%
ROIC - WACC-8.3%
✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)-59.4%
✗Greenblatt> 25%
Current Ratio Change YoY0.94 -> 0.55
✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.53x -> 0.57x
✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.86
✗Dreman> 1.5
Return on Invested Capital-11.2%
✗Munger> 15%
ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=5.9%; FY2024: ROIC=7.2%; FY2025: ROIC=-11.2%
✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
Reinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)
✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
ROIC (5-year)0/5 years above 12% (latest -11.2%)
✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
Profitability6% pass✓ 3✗ 32▾
15 of 16 flag TAP's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +12 more
Positive EPS (10 years)12/18 years positive
✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
✗Graham>= 33% growth
Net Income Positive (10+ years)15/18 years positive
✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)0.2%
✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
Operating Margin (10-yr trend)-17.9% (latest)
✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
Free Cash Flow Proxy$-2.1B
✗BuffettPositive and growing
Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
Retained Earnings Effectiveness
✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
3-5 Year EPS CAGR
✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
ROE-20.9%
✗Lynch> 15%
EBIT / Enterprise Value-18.0%
✗Greenblatt> 10%
Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-18.0%, ROC=-59.4%
✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
Net Income / Total Assets-9.41%
✗PiotroskiROA > 0
ROA Change YoY4.31% -> -9.41% (delta: -13.72%)
✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=7.85%, ROA=-9.41%
✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
Gross Margin Change YoY33.0% -> 32.8%
✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
Pre-Tax Income / Revenue-19.3%
✗Dreman>= 8%
Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-20.9%
✗Dreman> 12%
Margin of SafetyP/B=0.8x
✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
Return on Equity-1.7% (3-yr avg)
✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
Positive Net Income Frequency15/18 years positive
✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
Operating Income / Revenue-17.9%
✗Ackman>= 15%
Net Income / Shareholders Equity-20.9%
✗Ackman>= 15%
5-Year EPS CAGR
✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
Operating Margin Trend10.4% (2023) -> -17.9% (2025)
✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 31.5% -> 32.8%, operating margin 10.4% -> -17.9%
✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
Net income / market capitalization-28.26%; #4764/6340 (top 75.1%)
✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Gross profit / total assets+18.80%; #2134/3702 (top 57.6%)
✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Net income / positive book equity-20.91%; #3708/5226 (top 71.0%)
✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0516; #2621/5884 (top 44.5%)
✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
✗Neff7%-20% annualized
Positive Diluted-EPS Years4/6 years positive
✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
Growth13% pass✓ 1✗ 12▾
7 of 8 flag TAP's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +4 more
EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
✗Graham>= 33% growth
Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
3-5 Year EPS CAGR
✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: -1.6% vs Rev: -5.1%
✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
EPS Growth Direction
✗DremanPositive over recent years
EPS CAGR
✗Dreman> 5% annualized
Positive Net Income Frequency15/18 years positive
✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
3yr Median Revenue Growth-1.1%
✗Ackman>= 5%
Positive EPS Growth Frequency2/3 years with positive EPS growth
✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
5-Year EPS CAGR
✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendgross margin 31.5% -> 32.8%, operating margin 10.4% -> -17.9%
✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
5-year Revenue CAGR2.2%
✗SleepCAGR > 7%
3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR
✗Neff7%-20% annualized
Valuation15% pass✓ 11✗ 17▾
11 of 13 flag TAP's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +8 more
Price / 3-yr avg EPS
✗Graham<= 15x
Price-to-Book Ratio0.8x
✓Graham<= 1.5x
P/E x P/B
✗Graham<= 22.5
Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
EBIT / Enterprise Value-18.0%
✗Greenblatt> 10%
Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-18.0%, ROC=-59.4%
✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
Price / EPS
✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
Price / (CFO / Shares)4.6x
✓Dreman< 8x
Price / Book Value per Share0.8x
✓Dreman< 1.2x✓Templeton< 1.5x✓SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-26.4%
✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=14.1%
✓PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=0.8x
✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
Price / FCF per Share7.6x
✓Ackman<= 25
Price vs. Trailing Low113% of trailing low ($36.01)
✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
Net income / market capitalization-28.26%; #4764/6340 (top 75.1%)
✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Positive book equity / market capitalization+1.3539; #1041/6449 (top 16.1%)
✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Price / Diluted EPS
✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
(EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
Price / Tangible Book Value per ShareN/A (non-positive TBVPS)
✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
Book Value per Share Change-9.9%
✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
Revenue / market capitalization+1.7227; #1205/5247 (top 23.0%)
✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization+14.11%; #450/4519 (top 10.0%)
✓OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date+3.31%; #2280/6202 (top 36.8%)
✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
Debt & Leverage25% pass✓ 5✗ 10▾
9 of 12 flag TAP's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +6 more
LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $5.7B vs NCA $-478.8M
✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.62, IC: -9.7x
✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
Total Debt / Equity0.59
✗Lynch< 0.33
Cash - Long-term Debt$-5.1B
✗LynchPositive preferred
LT Debt / Total Assets Change23.46% -> 17.00%
✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.86
✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.59
✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
Debt Levels0.59
✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-9.7x, D/EBITDA=N/A
✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.59
✓Ackman<= 1.0
Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.5850; #2631/4210 (top 62.5%)
✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Verdicts27% pass✓ 4✗ 11▾
Split decision: 10 FAIL · 4 PASS · 2 NEUTRAL
Overall verdict
✗GrahamFAIL (3/9)✗BuffettFAIL (0/9)✗LynchFAIL (0/7)✗GreenblattRank #2482✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 5)✓DremanPASS (5/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)•PabraiNEUTRAL (2/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (3/5)✓AckmanPASS (5/9)•TempletonNEUTRAL (5/8)✓SleepPASS (3/6)✗AsnessFAIL (Rank #1687/2370 (Top 71.2%))✗NeffFAIL (3/6)✗SchlossFAIL (3/7)✗OshaughnessyFAIL (Rank #272/963 (Top 28.2%))

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Beer & Liquor

SIC Sector: Food Products

Size: Mid Cap($7.6B)

Revenue: $13.0B-5.1% YoY

Net Income: $2.1B-290.6% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin-17.9%

Return on Equity-20.9%

Debt / Equity0.62

Current Ratio0.55

EPS (Diluted)$-10.75+22.4% 1y

Buybacks (1y)$647.9M

Buybacks (2y)$1.3B

Shares Retired5.1% / 8.4% 2y

Similar Companies

BUDAnheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV

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DEODIAGEO PLC

$56.6B

Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2025

Retired 5.1% of shares last year, 8.4% over two.

Buybacks: $647.9M
Dividends: $376.3M

What drove EPS

A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

FY24

22.4% = 18.3% + 3.5%

Earnings Fewer shares More shares

The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.

Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.

Metric	TTM · 2025-12-31 2025-01-01 – 2025-12-31 Sources · derived quarter values 10-Q · 2025-05-08 10-Q · 2025-08-05 10-Q · 2025-11-04 10-K · 2026-02-18 Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, dividends paid, buybacks, revenue, net income, operating income, gross profit, ebit, pre tax income, interest expense, depreciation amortization, capex.	Q3 FY 2026 2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30 Sources · derived quarter values 10-Q · 2026-11-05 Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, capex, dividends paid, buybacks.	Q2 FY 2026 2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30 Sources 10-Q · 2026-08-06	FY 2025 Sources 10-K · 2026-02-18	FY 2024 Sources 10-K · 2025-02-18	FY 2023 Sources 10-K · 2024-02-20	FY 2022 Sources 10-K · 2023-02-21	FY 2021 Sources 10-K · 2022-02-23
Market Cap	$7.6Bcurrent	--	--	$9.6Best.	$11.5Best.	$12.3Best.	$10.1Best.	$9.0Best.
Revenue	$13.0B↓5%	$3.4B↓2%	$3.6B↓4%	$13.0B↓5%	$13.7B↓1%	$13.9B↑8%	$12.8B↑3%	$12.4B
Operating Income	-$2.3B↓233%	$390.6M↑111%	$331.9M↓43%	-$2.3B↓233%	$1.8B↑22%	$1.4B↑813%	$157.5M↓89%	$1.5B
Net Income	-$2.1B↓291%	$271.5M↑109%	$231.7M↓46%	-$2.1B↓291%	$1.1B↑18%	$948.9M↑641%	-$175.3M↓117%	$1.0B
EPS (Diluted)	--	$1.45↑110%	$1.23↓42%	$-10.75↓301%	$5.35↑22%	$4.37↑640%	$-0.81	--
Gross Margin	32.8%↓1%	30.3%↓10%	29.5%↓14%	32.8%↓1%	33.0%↑5%	31.5%↑10%	28.5%↓12%	32.6%
Operating Margin	-17.9%↓240%	11.5%↑112%	9.2%↓41%	-17.9%↓240%	12.8%↑23%	10.4%↑742%	1.2%↓89%	11.7%
ROE	-20.9%↓344%	—	—	-20.9%↓344%	8.6%↑19%	7.2%↑621%	-1.4%↓118%	7.5%
Total Debt	$6.3B↑2%	$6.0B↓5%	$7.7B↑22%	$6.3B↑2%	$6.1B↓1%	$6.2B↓5%	$6.6B↓8%	$7.2B
Shareholders' Equity	$10.2B↓22%	$10.2B↓1%	$10.1B↓25%	$10.2B↓22%	$13.1B↓1%	$13.2B↑4%	$12.7B↓5%	$13.4B
Current Ratio	0.55↓41%	0.86↑42%	0.88↓7%	0.55↓41%	0.94↑34%	0.70↓11%	0.78↑2%	0.77
Debt / Equity	0.62↑31%	0.59↓4%	0.76↑62%	0.62↑31%	0.47	0.47↓9%	0.52↓3%	0.53
Operating Cash Flow	$1.8B↓7%	$460.0M↓25%	--	$1.8B↓7%	$1.9B↓8%	$2.1B↑38%	$1.5B↓5%	$1.6B
Free Cash Flow	$1.1B↓14%	$326.2M↓32%	--	$1.1B↓14%	$1.2B↓12%	$1.4B↑67%	$840.6M↓20%	$1.1B

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Beer & Liquor

TAP vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$13.0BBottom 25%

Net Income$2.1BBottom 25%

ROE-20.9%Bottom 25%

D/E0.62Top 25%

Op. Margin-17.9%Bottom 25%

Curr. Ratio0.55Bottom 25%

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PEPSICO INCPEP	$198.2B	$145.44	$93.9B	$8.2B	40.4%	2.41	12.2%	0.85	4/9	6/9	3/7	1/3	F-Score 5	6/11
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AMBEV S.A.ABEV	$42.5B	$2.76	$16.1B	$2.8B	17.6%	0.04	26.4%	0.96	1/9	5/9	6/7	3/3	F-Score 6	4/11
CONSTELLATION BRANDS, INC.STZ	$24.6B	$145.61	$9.1B	$1.7B	20.9%	1.27	29.8%	1.08	1/9	2/9	2/7	1/3	F-Score 5	5/11
BROWN FORMAN CORPBF-B	$14.1B	$30.65	$3.9B	$715.0M	17.8%	0.61	25.5%	3.24	5/9	6/9	2/7	1/3	F-Score 7	5/11