Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.
TECXAbout the company
Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery and development of therapeutic proteins and antibodies to modulate the activity of G protein coupled receptors (GPCRs). It develops GEODe technology platform to enable the discovery and development of GPCR-targeted biologic medicines.
Investment snapshot
Positive
1
BUY / PASS
Neutral / negative
2 / 13
NEUTRAL / FAIL
Median fair value
—
No comparable estimates
Models with upside
0 / 17
Positive margin of safety
Strongest signal
8 of 12 pass — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +1 more object
Key risk
No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion
Framework analysis
| Verdict | Meaning |
|---|---|
| BUY | Positive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met. |
| PASS | The company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state. |
| NEUTRAL | Neither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position. |
| FAIL | The company does not clear the framework's requirements. |
| Ranked | Ranked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL. |
Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.
| Metric | Graham Defensive Value | Buffett Quality Compounder | Lynch GARP | Greenblatt Magic Formula | Piotroski F-Score | Dreman Contrarian Value | Munger Quality Focus | Pabrai Dhandho Framework | Akre Three-Legged Stool | Marks Risk-Aware Value | Ackman Activist Value | Templeton Global Bargain Hunter | Sleep Scale Economies Shared | Asness Systematic Factors | Neff Low-P/E Total Return | Schloss Asset-Value Discipline | O'Shaughnessy Systematic Factor Composite |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdict | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | Not ranked | PASS | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | NEUTRAL | FAIL | FAIL | NEUTRAL |
| Score | |||||||||||||||||
| Analysis | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… |
| Intrinsic Value (annual) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Margin of Safety | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Financial Basis | Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 vs 2025-09-30 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2026-02-26 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Annual history · FY 2025 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2026-11-05 Score computed: 2026-11-14 |
Where It Passes
- Debt & Leverage67% pass✓ 11✗ 4▾
8 of 12 pass — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +1 more object
LT Debt vs Net Current Assets✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current AssetsDebt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.00, IC: -3216.4x✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5xTotal Debt / Equity0✓Lynch< 0.33Cash - Long-term Debt✗LynchPositive preferredLT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%✓PiotroskiDecreased YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities19.71✓Dreman> 1.5✓SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00xDebt Levels0✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✓AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-3216.4x, D/EBITDA=N/A✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4xTotal Debt / Shareholders Equity0✓Ackman<= 1.0Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.0004; #325/4210 (top 7.7%)✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Where It Falls Short
- Profitability0% pass✓ 2✗ 33▾
No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion
Positive EPS (10 years)1/10 years positive✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 yearsEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)✗Graham>= 33% growthNet Income Positive (10+ years)0/10 years positive✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ yearsROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-45.5%✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)Operating Margin (10-yr trend)✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 yearsFree Cash Flow Proxy$-73.0M✗BuffettPositive and growingEarnings Variance (10-yr CoV)N/A (negative mean EPS)✗BuffettCoV < 0.3Retained Earnings Effectiveness✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value createdBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passROE-38.4%✗Lynch> 15%EBIT / Enterprise Value-52.6%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-52.6%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Net Income / Total Assets-28.41%✗PiotroskiROA > 0ROA Change YoY-37.92% -> -28.41% (delta: +9.51%)✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-23.02%, ROA=-28.41%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAGross Margin Change YoY✗PiotroskiImproved YoYPre-Tax Income / Revenue✗Dreman>= 8%Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-38.4%✗Dreman> 12%Margin of SafetyP/B=1.6x✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15Return on Equity-47.0% (3-yr avg)✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePositive Net Income Frequency0/9 years positive✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsOperating Income / Revenue✗Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Shareholders Equity-38.4%✗Ackman>= 15%5-Year EPS CAGR✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Operating Margin Trend✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 yearsRevenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holdingNet income / market capitalization-21.32%; #4599/6340 (top 72.5%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionGross profit / total assets✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNet income / positive book equity-38.42%; #4056/5226 (top 77.6%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNegative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.3275; #4659/5884 (top 79.2%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR✗Neff7%-20% annualizedPositive Diluted-EPS Years1/9 years positive✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule) - Valuation0% pass✓ 1✗ 27▾
No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion
Price / 3-yr avg EPS✗Graham<= 15xPrice-to-Book Ratio1.6x✗Graham<= 1.5xP/E x P/B✗Graham<= 22.5Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)EBIT / Enterprise Value-52.6%✗Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-52.6%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Price / EPS✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)✗Dreman< 8xPrice / Book Value per Share1.6x✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-18.4%✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-14.6%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=1.6x✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePrice / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)✗Ackman<= 25Price vs. Trailing Low135% of trailing low ($15.69)✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)Net income / market capitalization-21.32%; #4599/6340 (top 72.5%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionPositive book equity / market capitalization+0.5549; #2673/6449 (top 41.4%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionPrice / Diluted EPS✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)(EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)Price / Tangible Book Value per Share1.58x✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)Book Value per Share Change✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)Revenue / market capitalization✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-16.78%; #3452/4519 (top 76.4%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionTrailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-31.18%; #4465/6202 (top 72.0%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section - Cash Flow0% pass✓ 1✗ 11▾
No clean pass — all 10 investors flag at least one cash flow criterion
Free Cash Flow Proxy$-73.0M✗BuffettPositive and growingFCF Positive and Growing$-69.3M✗LynchPositive and growingOperating Cash Flow$-60.1M✗PiotroskiCFO > 0(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-23.02%, ROA=-28.41%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAPrice / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)✗Dreman< 8xP/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-14.6%✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%FCF Positive0/9 years FCF positive✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap-17.5%✗Ackman>= 4%Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)✗Ackman<= 25Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency0/9 years positive✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available yearsOperating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$-69.3M✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-16.78%; #3452/4519 (top 76.4%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section - Growth0% pass✓ 2✗ 11▾
No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion
EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)✗Graham>= 33% growthBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passInventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growthEPS Growth Direction$-8.38 (2017) -> $-4.05 (2025)✗DremanPositive over recent yearsEPS CAGR✗Dreman> 5% annualizedPositive Net Income Frequency0/9 years positive✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years3yr Median Revenue Growth✗Ackman>= 5%Positive EPS Growth Frequency4/5 years with positive EPS growth✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years5-Year EPS CAGR✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding5-year Revenue CAGR✗SleepCAGR > 7%3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR✗Neff7%-20% annualized - Verdicts7% pass✓ 1✗ 13▾
Split decision: 13 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL · 1 PASS
Overall verdict✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)✗BuffettFAIL (0/9)✗LynchFAIL (2/7)•GreenblattNot ranked✓PiotroskiPASS (F-Score 4)✗DremanFAIL (2/11)✗MungerFAIL (1/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (1/5)✗AckmanFAIL (2/9)✗TempletonFAIL (2/8)✗SleepFAIL (0/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (0/6)✗SchlossFAIL (2/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked) - Efficiency25% pass✓ 3✗ 8▾
6 of 8 flag TECX's efficiency — Buffett, Greenblatt, Piotroski +3 more
Current Ratio19.71✓Graham>= 2.0ROIC (3-5 yr avg)-11097.3%✗Buffett> 10%ROIC - WACC-11107.3%✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)N/A (invested capital <= 0)✗Greenblatt> 25%Current Ratio Change YoY12.65 -> 26.63✓PiotroskiIncreased YoYRevenue / Total Assets Change YoY✗PiotroskiImproved YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities19.71✓Dreman> 1.5Return on Invested Capital-33.2%✗Munger> 15%ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=-32.4%; FY2025: ROIC=-26.4%✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in eachReinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%ROIC (5-year)0/3 years above 12% (latest -26.4%)✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
Business & financials
Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.
Company Profile
Financial Snapshot
Shareholder Return
Fiscal 2025
Issued 26.4% of shares last year.
- Buybacks
- —
- Dividends
- —
Company Financials
Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years
TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.
The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.
| Metric | TTM · 2026-09-30 2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30 Sources · derived quarter valuesDerived from cumulative filings: net income, operating income, ebit, pre tax income, interest expense, operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex. | Q3 FY 2026 2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30 Sources · derived quarter valuesDerived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex. | Q2 FY 2026 2026-04-01 – 2026-06-30 Sources · derived quarter valuesDerived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, depreciation amortization, capex. | Q1 FY 2026 2026-01-01 – 2026-03-31 Sources | FY 2025Sources
| FY 2024Sources
| FY 2023Sources
| FY 2022Sources
| FY 2021Sources
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $413.3Mcurrent | -- | -- | -- | $375.3Mest. | $804.3Mest. | $675.2Mest. | $481.4Mest. | $967.7Mest. |
| Revenue | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Operating Income | -$96.5M↓26% | -$23.5M↓7% | -$24.2M↓8% | -$27.3M↓49% | -$84.0M↓45% | -$58.0M↓30% | -$44.6M↑58% | -$105.4M↑11% | -$118.8M |
| Net Income | -$88.1M↓31% | -$21.3M↓12% | -$22.3M↓12% | -$25.2M↓59% | -$74.2M↓28% | -$58.0M↓35% | -$42.8M↑60% | -$105.9M↑11% | -$119.1M |
| EPS (Diluted) | -- | $-1.08↓6% | $-1.18↓10% | $-1.34↓44% | $-4.05↑41% | $-6.83↓2630% | $0.27↑111% | $-2.42↑13% | $-2.78 |
| Gross Margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating Margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ROE | -38.4%↓53% | — | — | — | -29.5%↑28% | -41.2%↓181% | 50.6%↓78% | 231.9%↑430% | -70.3% |
| Total Debt | $100.0K↓81% | $100.0K↓81% | $186.0K↓71% | $282.0K↓63% | $387.0K↓56% | $876.0K↑84% | $475.0K↓97% | $15.0M | $15.0M |
| Shareholders' Equity | $229.3M↓14% | $229.3M↓14% | $223.8M↓21% | $230.4M↓23% | $251.3M↑79% | $140.8M↑266% | -$84.6M↓85% | -$45.7M↓127% | $169.5M |
| Current Ratio | 19.71↓32% | 19.71↓32% | 22.29↓13% | 18.51↓19% | 26.63↑110% | 12.65↑1575% | 0.76↓90% | 7.62↓26% | 10.27 |
| Debt / Equity | 0.00↓77% | 0.00↓77% | 0.00↓63% | 0.00↓51% | 0.00↓75% | 0.01↑211% | -0.01↑98% | -0.33↓471% | 0.09 |
| Operating Cash Flow | -$69.2M↓11% | -$14.9M↑16% | -$21.5M↓46% | -$18.4M↓41% | -$60.1M↓2% | -$59.1M↓45% | -$40.7M↑58% | -$97.2M↑1% | -$98.0M |
| Free Cash Flow | -$69.3M↓11% | -$14.9M↑17% | -$21.5M↓46% | -$18.4M↓41% | -$60.3M↓2% | -$59.2M↓45% | -$41.0M↑58% | -$97.5M↑3% | -$100.5M |
Score history
Historical Score Timeline
Industry peers
Industry Peers
Similar companies in Pharmaceutical Products
TECX vs Peers — Financial Grading
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Revenue | Net Income | ROE | D/E | Op. Margin | Curr. Ratio | Graham | Buffett | Lynch | Greenblatt | Piotroski | Dreman |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merck & Co., Inc.MRK | $364.3B | $147.76 | $65.0B | $18.3B | 34.7% | 0.94 | — | 1.54 | 2/9 | 5/9 | 4/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 | 1/11 |
| ABBOTT LABORATORIESABT | $188.0B | $108.52 | $44.3B | $6.5B | 12.5% | 0.25 | 18.2% | 1.58 | 3/9 | 4/9 | 2/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 5 | 3/11 |
| BRISTOL MYERS SQUIBB COBMY | $129.7B | $63.43 | $48.2B | $7.1B | 38.2% | 2.44 | 19.4% | 1.26 | 2/9 | 1/9 | 3/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 8 | 5/11 |
| BIO-TECHNE CorpTECH | $11.4B | $72.80 | $1.2B | $73.4M | 3.8% | — | 8.4% | 3.46 | 4/9 | 3/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 5 | 4/11 |
| REPLIGEN CORPRGEN | $10.7B | $167.79 | $738.3M | $48.9M | 2.3% | 0.26 | 7.5% | 8.37 | 3/9 | 2/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 7 | 5/11 |
| IONIS PHARMACEUTICALS INCIONS | $4.8B | $29.06 | $943.7M | $381.4M | -78.0% | 3.60 | -40.4% | 3.83 | 3/9 | 1/9 | 1/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 4 | 3/11 |
| NEOGEN CORPNEOG | $2.5B | $11.23 | $870.4M | $7.9M | -0.4% | 0.76 | -2.5% | 3.82 | 3/9 | 1/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 | 4/11 |
| Pharvaris N.V.PHVS | $2.4B | $33.36 | — | $206.4M | -64.8% | 0.00 | — | — | 0/9 | 0/9 | 2/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 2 | 2/11 |