TELEFONICA S A
TEFOFAbout the company
Telefónica, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Spain, Brazil, Germany, and the United Kingdom. The company offers digital services for residential customers, such as entertainment, home connectivity and security; and advanced solutions for businesses and public administrations, including cloud, cybersecurity, IoT, artificial intelligence, and professional services. It also provides wholesale services to other operators; fixed and wireless telephony services.
Investment snapshot
Positive
3
BUY / PASS
Neutral / negative
4 / 9
NEUTRAL / FAIL
Median fair value
$5.50
+37.5% vs price
Models with upside
4 / 17
Positive margin of safety
Strongest signal
Models split on TEFOF at $4.00 — fair values range $0.23–$9.34
Key risk
12 of 13 flag TEFOF's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more
Framework analysis
| Verdict | Meaning |
|---|---|
| BUY | Positive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met. |
| PASS | The company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state. |
| NEUTRAL | Neither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position. |
| FAIL | The company does not clear the framework's requirements. |
| Ranked | Ranked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL. |
Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.
| Metric | Graham Defensive Value | Buffett Quality Compounder | Lynch GARP | Greenblatt Magic Formula | Piotroski F-Score | Dreman Contrarian Value | Munger Quality Focus | Pabrai Dhandho Framework | Akre Three-Legged Stool | Marks Risk-Aware Value | Ackman Activist Value | Templeton Global Bargain Hunter | Sleep Scale Economies Shared | Asness Systematic Factors | Neff Low-P/E Total Return | Schloss Asset-Value Discipline | O'Shaughnessy Systematic Factor Composite |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdict | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL · Rank #821 (Top 26.5%) | NEUTRAL | PASS | NEUTRAL | FAIL | FAIL | FAIL | PASS | BUY | FAIL | NEUTRAL | FAIL | FAIL | NEUTRAL |
| Score | |||||||||||||||||
| Analysis | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… | Checking access… |
| Intrinsic Value (annual) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |||||
| Margin of Safety | N/A | N/A | N/A | +11.1% | N/A | -1639.1% | N/A | +57.2% | +46.3% | N/A | N/A | +27.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Financial Basis | Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2024 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2024 · Market data at 2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2024 Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 | Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 Latest source filing: 2025-02-27 Score computed: 2026-11-14 |
Where It Passes
- Valuation models80% pass✓ 4✗ 1▾
Models split on TEFOF at $4.00 — fair values range $0.23–$9.34
Greenblatt fair value$4.50✓Greenblatt+11.1% margin vs $4.00Dreman fair value$0.23✗Dreman-1639.1% margin vs $4.00Pabrai fair value$9.34✓Pabrai+57.2% margin vs $4.00Akre fair value$7.45✓Akre+46.3% margin vs $4.00Templeton fair value$5.50✓Templeton+27.3% margin vs $4.00
Where It Falls Short
- Valuation8% pass✓ 9✗ 19▾
12 of 13 flag TEFOF's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more
Price / Book Value per Share1.1x✓Dreman< 1.2x✓Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)Price / 3-yr avg EPS257.1x✗Graham<= 15xPrice-to-Book Ratio1.1x✓Graham<= 1.5xP/E x P/B289.60✗Graham<= 22.5Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)EBIT / Enterprise Value10.4%✓Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=10.4%, ROC=13.0%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Price / EPS✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)Price / (CFO / Shares)2.0x✓Dreman< 8xValuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=40.1%✓MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%P/E or FCF Yield✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=1.1x✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0Discount to Intrinsic Value-1613.7% (IV=$0.23 vs Price=$4.00)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePrice / FCF per Share✗Ackman<= 25Price vs. Trailing Low107% of trailing low ($3.75)✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)Net income / market capitalization-0.23%; #3255/6340 (top 51.3%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionPositive book equity / market capitalization+0.8943; #1692/6449 (top 26.2%)✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionPrice / Diluted EPS✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)(EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)Price / Tangible Book Value per ShareN/A (non-positive TBVPS)✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)Book Value per Share Change-3.9%✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)Revenue / market capitalization+1.9097; #1129/5247 (top 21.5%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionTrailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-19.84%; #3955/6202 (top 63.8%)✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section - Profitability13% pass✓ 8✗ 27▾
14 of 16 flag TEFOF's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +11 more
Positive EPS (10 years)8/11 years positive✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 yearsEPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growthNet Income Positive (10+ years)8/11 years positive✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ yearsROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)10.9%✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)Operating Margin (10-yr trend)5.8% (latest)✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 yearsFree Cash Flow Proxy✗BuffettPositive and growingEarnings Variance (10-yr CoV)✗BuffettCoV < 0.3Retained Earnings Effectiveness✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value createdBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passROE-0.3%✗Lynch> 15%EBIT / Enterprise Value10.4%✓Greenblatt> 10%Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=10.4%, ROC=13.0%✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%Net Income / Total Assets-0.05%✗PiotroskiROA > 0ROA Change YoY-0.86% -> -0.05% (delta: +0.81%)✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=10.94%, ROA=-0.05%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAGross Margin Change YoY✗PiotroskiImproved YoYPre-Tax Income / Revenue1.3%✗Dreman>= 8%Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-0.3%✗Dreman> 12%Margin of SafetyP/B=1.1x✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15Return on Equity1.2% (3-yr avg)✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)Discount to Intrinsic Value-1613.7% (IV=$0.23 vs Price=$4.00)✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic valuePositive Net Income Frequency8/10 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 yearsOperating Income / Revenue5.8%✗Ackman>= 15%Net Income / Shareholders Equity-0.3%✗Ackman>= 15%5-Year EPS CAGR20.2% CAGR over 3 years✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Operating Margin Trend10.1% (2022) -> 5.8% (2024)✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 yearsRevenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin 10.1% -> 5.8%✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holdingNet income / market capitalization-0.23%; #3255/6340 (top 51.3%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-sectionGross profit / total assets✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNet income / positive book equity-0.25%; #2936/5226 (top 56.2%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-sectionNegative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0291; #1868/5884 (top 31.7%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR-13.2% over 5 years✗Neff7%-20% annualizedPositive Diluted-EPS Years8/10 years positive✓Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule) - Efficiency13% pass✓ 3✗ 8▾
7 of 8 flag TEFOF's efficiency — Graham, Greenblatt, Piotroski +4 more
Current Ratio0.87✗Graham>= 2.0ROIC (3-5 yr avg)12.0%✓Buffett> 10%ROIC - WACC+2.0%✓BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)13.0%✗Greenblatt> 25%Current Ratio Change YoY0.89 -> 0.87✗PiotroskiIncreased YoYRevenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.39x -> 0.41x✓PiotroskiImproved YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities0.87✗Dreman> 1.5Return on Invested Capital6.8%✗Munger> 15%ROIC (high and growing)FY2022: ROIC=9.5%; FY2023: ROIC=6.7%; FY2024: ROIC=6.8%✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in eachReinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%ROIC (5-year)1/5 years above 12% (latest 6.8%)✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years - Verdicts23% pass✓ 3✗ 10▾
Split decision: 9 FAIL · 4 NEUTRAL · 2 PASS · 1 BUY
Overall verdict✗GrahamFAIL (2/9)✗BuffettFAIL (3/9)✗LynchFAIL (1/7)✗GreenblattRank #821•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 6)✓DremanPASS (5/11)•MungerNEUTRAL (3/4)✗PabraiFAIL (1/3)✗AkreFAIL (0/6)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)✓AckmanPASS (4/9)✓TempletonBUY (6/8)✗SleepFAIL (2/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (1/6)✗SchlossFAIL (3/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked) - Growth25% pass✓ 3✗ 10▾
6 of 8 flag TEFOF's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +3 more
EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)✗Graham>= 33% growthBasic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)3-5 Year EPS CAGR✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to passInventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: -3.5% vs Rev: -4.4%✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growthEPS Growth Direction✗DremanPositive over recent yearsEPS CAGR✗Dreman> 5% annualizedPositive Net Income Frequency8/10 years positive✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years3yr Median Revenue Growth-4.1%✗Ackman>= 5%Positive EPS Growth Frequency3/5 years with positive EPS growth✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years5-Year EPS CAGR20.2% CAGR over 3 years✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin 10.1% -> 5.8%✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding5-year Revenue CAGR-4.5%✗SleepCAGR > 7%3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR-13.2% over 5 years✗Neff7%-20% annualized - Cash Flow30% pass✓ 4✗ 8▾
7 of 10 flag TEFOF's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Pabrai +4 more
Free Cash Flow Proxy✗BuffettPositive and growingFCF Positive and Growing✗LynchPositive and growingOperating Cash Flow$11.4B✓PiotroskiCFO > 0(CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=10.94%, ROA=-0.05%✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROAPrice / (CFO / Shares)2.0x✓Dreman< 8xP/E or FCF Yield✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%FCF Positive✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years(OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap✗Ackman>= 4%Price / FCF per Share✗Ackman<= 25Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency10/10 years positive✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available yearsOperating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)(Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section - Debt & Leverage33% pass✓ 7✗ 8▾
8 of 12 flag TEFOF's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +5 more
Debt Levels0.43✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $1.0B vs NCA $-3.5B✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current AssetsDebt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.43, IC: 0.8x✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5xTotal Debt / Equity0.43✗Lynch< 0.33Cash - Long-term Debt$6.1B✓LynchPositive preferredLT Debt / Total Assets Change1.13% -> 1.00%✓PiotroskiDecreased YoYCurrent Assets / Current Liabilities0.87✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.43✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00xInterest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=0.8x, D/EBITDA=0.7x✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4xTotal Debt / Shareholders Equity0.43✓Ackman<= 1.0Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.4292; #2313/4210 (top 54.9%)✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
Business & financials
Financial snapshot: annual FY 2024. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.
Company Profile
Financial Snapshot
Shareholder Return
Fiscal 2024
Retired 1.4% of shares last year, 1.8% over two.
- Buybacks
- $150.9M
- Dividends
- $2.0B
What drove EPS
A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.
The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.
Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.
Company Financials
Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years
TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.
| Metric | FY 2024Sources
| FY 2023Sources
| FY 2022Sources
| FY 2021Sources
| FY 2020Sources
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $22.5Bcurrent | $20.4Best. | $18.3Best. | $20.6Best. | $17.3Best. |
| Revenue | $43.0B↓4% | $45.0B↑6% | $42.6B↓4% | $44.5B↓16% | $53.0B |
| Operating Income | $2.5B↓13% | $2.9B↓34% | $4.3B↓72% | $15.4B↑202% | $5.1B |
| Net Income | -$51.0M↑95% | -$987.3M↓146% | $2.1B↓77% | $9.2B↑374% | $1.9B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.06↑72% | $-0.22↓167% | $0.33↓79% | $1.55↑426% | $0.30 |
| Gross Margin | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating Margin | 5.8%↓9% | 6.4%↓37% | 10.1%↓71% | 34.6%↑260% | 9.6% |
| ROE | -0.3%↑94% | -4.1%↓151% | 8.0%↓78% | 36.6%↑160% | 14.1% |
| Total Debt | $8.6B↓13% | $9.9B↑7% | $9.3B↓73% | $34.4B↓28% | $47.8B |
| Shareholders' Equity | $20.1B↓17% | $24.2B↓10% | $26.7B↑6% | $25.1B↑82% | $13.8B |
| Current Ratio | 0.87↓2% | 0.89↓9% | 0.98 | 0.98↓18% | 1.20 |
| Debt / Equity | 0.43↑5% | 0.41↑18% | 0.35↓75% | 1.37↓61% | 3.46 |
| Operating Cash Flow | $11.4B↓11% | $12.9B↑3% | $12.5B↑8% | $11.6B↓28% | $16.2B |
| Free Cash Flow | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Score history
Historical Score Timeline
Industry peers
Industry Peers
Similar companies in Communication
TEFOF vs Peers — Financial Grading
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Revenue | Net Income | ROE | D/E | Op. Margin | Curr. Ratio | Graham | Buffett | Lynch | Greenblatt | Piotroski | Dreman |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INCVZ | $192.1B | $46.36 | $138.2B | $17.2B | 16.2% | 1.50 | 21.2% | 0.91 | 4/9 | 3/9 | 2/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 5 | 6/11 |
| AT&T INC.T | $149.4B | $22.18 | $125.6B | $22.0B | 17.4% | 1.08 | 19.2% | 0.91 | 5/9 | 2/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 | 6/11 |
| NIPPON TELEGRAPH & TELEPHONE CORPNTTYY | $85.0B | $26.32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2/9 | 1/9 | 2/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 7 | 6/11 |
| AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV/AMX | $76.0B | $25.47 | $42.1B | $1.1B | 6.2% | 1.54 | 20.7% | 0.72 | 1/9 | 5/9 | 1/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 6 | 2/11 |
| VODAFONE GROUP PUBLIC LTD COVOD | $35.6B | $15.37 | $40.5B | $4.5B | -7.9% | 1.01 | -1.1% | — | 1/9 | 2/9 | 0/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 5 | 2/11 |
| CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS, INC. /MO/CHTR | $24.8B | $138.39 | $54.8B | $5.0B | 31.1% | 5.90 | 23.6% | 0.39 | 4/9 | 3/9 | 3/7 | 0/3 | F-Score 6 | 5/11 |
| BCE INCBCE | $20.0B | $21.43 | $17.9B | $4.8B | 28.3% | 1.52 | — | 0.58 | 4/9 | 1/9 | 5/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 6 | 9/11 |
| ROGERS COMMUNICATIONS INCRCI | $18.0B | $33.24 | $15.9B | $5.0B | 38.8% | 2.25 | 45.2% | 0.61 | 5/9 | 5/9 | 5/7 | 1/3 | F-Score 4 | 8/11 |