TELEFONICA S A

TEFOF
About the company

Telefónica, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Spain, Brazil, Germany, and the United Kingdom. The company offers digital services for residential customers, such as entertainment, home connectivity and security; and advanced solutions for businesses and public administrations, including cloud, cybersecurity, IoT, artificial intelligence, and professional services. It also provides wholesale services to other operators; fixed and wireless telephony services.

Country: SpainPrice: $4.00Market Cap: $22.5B

Investment snapshot

18%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

3

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

4 / 9

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$5.50

+37.5% vs price

Models with upside

4 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

Models split on TEFOF at $4.00 — fair values range $0.23–$9.34

Key risk

12 of 13 flag TEFOF's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILFAIL · Rank #821 (Top 26.5%)NEUTRALPASSNEUTRALFAILFAILFAILPASSBUYFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
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Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/A+11.1%N/A-1639.1%N/A+57.2%+46.3%N/AN/A+27.3%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2024 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-02-27

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Valuation models80% pass✓ 4✗ 1▾

    Models split on TEFOF at $4.00 — fair values range $0.23–$9.34

    Greenblatt fair value$4.50
    ✓Greenblatt+11.1% margin vs $4.00
    Dreman fair value$0.23
    ✗Dreman-1639.1% margin vs $4.00
    Pabrai fair value$9.34
    ✓Pabrai+57.2% margin vs $4.00
    Akre fair value$7.45
    ✓Akre+46.3% margin vs $4.00
    Templeton fair value$5.50
    ✓Templeton+27.3% margin vs $4.00

Where It Falls Short

  • Valuation8% pass✓ 9✗ 19▾

    12 of 13 flag TEFOF's valuation — Graham, Lynch, Greenblatt +9 more

    Price / Book Value per Share1.1x
    ✓Dreman< 1.2x✓Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Price / 3-yr avg EPS257.1x
    ✗Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Book Ratio1.1x
    ✓Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/B289.60
    ✗Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    EBIT / Enterprise Value10.4%
    ✓Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=10.4%, ROC=13.0%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Price / EPS
    ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)2.0x
    ✓Dreman< 8x
    Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=40.1%
    ✓MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF Yield
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=1.1x
    ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic Value-1613.7% (IV=$0.23 vs Price=$4.00)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per Share
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low107% of trailing low ($3.75)
    ✓Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Net income / market capitalization-0.23%; #3255/6340 (top 51.3%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+0.8943; #1692/6449 (top 26.2%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS
    ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per ShareN/A (non-positive TBVPS)
    ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change-3.9%
    ✗SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization+1.9097; #1129/5247 (top 21.5%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-19.84%; #3955/6202 (top 63.8%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Profitability13% pass✓ 8✗ 27▾

    14 of 16 flag TEFOF's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +11 more

    Positive EPS (10 years)8/11 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)8/11 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)10.9%
    ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)5.8% (latest)
    ✓BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE-0.3%
    ✗Lynch> 15%
    EBIT / Enterprise Value10.4%
    ✓Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=10.4%, ROC=13.0%
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Net Income / Total Assets-0.05%
    ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY-0.86% -> -0.05% (delta: +0.81%)
    ✓PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=10.94%, ROA=-0.05%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Gross Margin Change YoY
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue1.3%
    ✗Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-0.3%
    ✗Dreman> 12%
    Margin of SafetyP/B=1.1x
    ✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    Return on Equity1.2% (3-yr avg)
    ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic Value-1613.7% (IV=$0.23 vs Price=$4.00)
    ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency8/10 years positive
    ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue5.8%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity-0.3%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR20.2% CAGR over 3 years
    ✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend10.1% (2022) -> 5.8% (2024)
    ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin 10.1% -> 5.8%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Net income / market capitalization-0.23%; #3255/6340 (top 51.3%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Gross profit / total assets
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity-0.25%; #2936/5226 (top 56.2%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.0291; #1868/5884 (top 31.7%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR-13.2% over 5 years
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years8/10 years positive
    ✓Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Efficiency13% pass✓ 3✗ 8▾

    7 of 8 flag TEFOF's efficiency — Graham, Greenblatt, Piotroski +4 more

    Current Ratio0.87
    ✗Graham>= 2.0
    ROIC (3-5 yr avg)12.0%
    ✓Buffett> 10%
    ROIC - WACC+2.0%
    ✓BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
    EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)13.0%
    ✗Greenblatt> 25%
    Current Ratio Change YoY0.89 -> 0.87
    ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY0.39x -> 0.41x
    ✓PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.87
    ✗Dreman> 1.5
    Return on Invested Capital6.8%
    ✗Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2022: ROIC=9.5%; FY2023: ROIC=6.7%; FY2024: ROIC=6.8%
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROICN/A (non-positive net income)
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)1/5 years above 12% (latest 6.8%)
    ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
  • Verdicts23% pass✓ 3✗ 10▾

    Split decision: 9 FAIL · 4 NEUTRAL · 2 PASS · 1 BUY

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (2/9)✗BuffettFAIL (3/9)✗LynchFAIL (1/7)✗GreenblattRank #821•PiotroskiNEUTRAL (F-Score 6)✓DremanPASS (5/11)•MungerNEUTRAL (3/4)✗PabraiFAIL (1/3)✗AkreFAIL (0/6)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)✓AckmanPASS (4/9)✓TempletonBUY (6/8)✗SleepFAIL (2/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (1/6)✗SchlossFAIL (3/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
  • Growth25% pass✓ 3✗ 10▾

    6 of 8 flag TEFOF's growth — Graham, Lynch, Dreman +3 more

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthInv: -3.5% vs Rev: -4.4%
    ✗LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
    EPS Growth Direction
    ✗DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR
    ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency8/10 years positive
    ✓MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth-4.1%
    ✗Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency3/5 years with positive EPS growth
    ✓AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR20.2% CAGR over 3 years
    ✓Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trendrevenue up, operating margin 10.1% -> 5.8%
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR-4.5%
    ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR-13.2% over 5 years
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Cash Flow30% pass✓ 4✗ 8▾

    7 of 10 flag TEFOF's cash flow — Buffett, Lynch, Pabrai +4 more

    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing
    ✗LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$11.4B
    ✓PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=10.94%, ROA=-0.05%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)2.0x
    ✓Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF Yield
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive
    ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap
    ✗Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per Share
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency10/10 years positive
    ✓SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures
    ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Debt & Leverage33% pass✓ 7✗ 8▾

    8 of 12 flag TEFOF's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +5 more

    Debt Levels0.43
    ✓MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    LT Debt vs Net Current AssetsLT Debt $1.0B vs NCA $-3.5B
    ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    Debt/Equity & Interest CoverageD/E: 0.43, IC: 0.8x
    ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity0.43
    ✗Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt$6.1B
    ✓LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change1.13% -> 1.00%
    ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.87
    ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity0.43
    ✓Dreman< 0.8✓Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✓SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=0.8x, D/EBITDA=0.7x
    ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity0.43
    ✓Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)-0.4292; #2313/4210 (top 54.9%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2024. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Communication
SIC Sector: Communications
Size: Large Cap($22.5B)
Revenue: $43.0B-4.4% YoY
Net Income: $51.0M+94.8% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin5.8%
Return on Equity-0.3%
Debt / Equity0.43
Current Ratio0.87
EPS (Diluted)$-0.06−78.7% 1y
Buybacks (1y)$150.9M
Buybacks (2y)$397.7M
Shares Retired1.4% / 1.8% 2y

Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2024

Retired 1.4% of shares last year, 1.8% over two.

Buybacks
$150.9M
Dividends
$2.0B

What drove EPS

A buyback raises earnings per share without the company earning more. This splits each year's change into the two.

FY21
425.6% = 373.6% + 11.0%
FY22
−78.7% = −76.7% + −8.4%
Earnings Fewer shares More shares

The two parts do not sum exactly to the total — the difference is the cross-term, plus preferred capital where the company has any. It is left visible rather than distributed into the other two.

Share count is the denominator the filer used for diluted EPS, recovered as net income ÷ EPS — not the balance-sheet count, which is a point-in-time figure and would put the timing difference into this split. Years with a loss are omitted: a smaller share count makes a loss per share larger, so the decomposition inverts.

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

MetricFY 2024
Sources
  • 20-F · 2025-02-27
FY 2023
Sources
  • 20-F · 2024-02-23
FY 2022
Sources
  • 20-F · 2023-02-23
FY 2021
Sources
  • 20-F · 2022-02-25
FY 2020
Sources
  • 20-F · 2021-02-25
Market Cap$22.5Bcurrent$20.4Best.$18.3Best.$20.6Best.$17.3Best.
Revenue$43.0B↓4%$45.0B↑6%$42.6B↓4%$44.5B↓16%$53.0B
Operating Income$2.5B↓13%$2.9B↓34%$4.3B↓72%$15.4B↑202%$5.1B
Net Income-$51.0M↑95%-$987.3M↓146%$2.1B↓77%$9.2B↑374%$1.9B
EPS (Diluted)$-0.06↑72%$-0.22↓167%$0.33↓79%$1.55↑426%$0.30
Gross Margin—————
Operating Margin5.8%↓9%6.4%↓37%10.1%↓71%34.6%↑260%9.6%
ROE-0.3%↑94%-4.1%↓151%8.0%↓78%36.6%↑160%14.1%
Total Debt$8.6B↓13%$9.9B↑7%$9.3B↓73%$34.4B↓28%$47.8B
Shareholders' Equity$20.1B↓17%$24.2B↓10%$26.7B↑6%$25.1B↑82%$13.8B
Current Ratio0.87↓2%0.89↓9%0.980.98↓18%1.20
Debt / Equity0.43↑5%0.41↑18%0.35↓75%1.37↓61%3.46
Operating Cash Flow$11.4B↓11%$12.9B↑3%$12.5B↑8%$11.6B↓28%$16.2B
Free Cash Flow----------

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Communication

TEFOF vs Peers — Financial Grading

Revenue$43.0BMedian
Net Income$51.0MBottom 25%
ROE-0.3%Bottom 25%
D/E0.43Top 25%
Op. Margin5.8%Bottom 25%
Curr. Ratio0.87Median
CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INCVZ$192.1B$46.36$138.2B$17.2B16.2%1.5021.2%0.914/93/92/71/3F-Score 56/11
AT&T INC.T$149.4B$22.18$125.6B$22.0B17.4%1.0819.2%0.915/92/93/70/3F-Score 66/11
NIPPON TELEGRAPH & TELEPHONE CORPNTTYY$85.0B$26.32——————2/91/92/71/3F-Score 76/11
AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV/AMX$76.0B$25.47$42.1B$1.1B6.2%1.5420.7%0.721/95/91/71/3F-Score 62/11
VODAFONE GROUP PUBLIC LTD COVOD$35.6B$15.37$40.5B$4.5B-7.9%1.01-1.1%—1/92/90/70/3F-Score 52/11
CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS, INC. /MO/CHTR$24.8B$138.39$54.8B$5.0B31.1%5.9023.6%0.394/93/93/70/3F-Score 65/11
BCE INCBCE$20.0B$21.43$17.9B$4.8B28.3%1.52—0.584/91/95/71/3F-Score 69/11
ROGERS COMMUNICATIONS INCRCI$18.0B$33.24$15.9B$5.0B38.8%2.2545.2%0.615/95/95/71/3F-Score 48/11