Lithium Argentina AG

LAR
About the company

Lithium Argentina AG, a resource company, engages in the operation and development of lithium projects in Argentina. It owns interests in the Cauchari-Olaroz project located in Jujuy province; and the Pastos Grandes project located in Salta Province of Argentina. The company was formerly known as Lithium Americas (Argentina) Corp. and changed its name to Lithium Argentina AG in January 2025.

Country: SwitzerlandPrice: $3.68Market Cap: $604.3M

Investment snapshot

0%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

0

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 14

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

$14.54

+295.0% vs price

Models with upside

3 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Strongest signal

Models split on LAR at $3.68 — fair values range $0.09–$37.30

Key risk

No clean pass — all 10 investors flag at least one cash flow criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILNot rankedFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/A-3988.9%N/A+90.1%N/AN/AN/A+62.3%N/A+81.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-03-23

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

  • Valuation models75% pass✓ 3✗ 1▾

    Models split on LAR at $3.68 — fair values range $0.09–$37.30

    Greenblatt fair value$0.09
    ✗Greenblatt-3988.9% margin vs $3.68
    Dreman fair value$37.30
    ✓Dreman+90.1% margin vs $3.68
    Marks fair value$9.75
    ✓Marks+62.3% margin vs $3.68
    Templeton fair value$19.32
    ✓Templeton+81.0% margin vs $3.68

Where It Falls Short

  • Cash Flow0% pass✓ 1✗ 11▾

    No clean pass — all 10 investors flag at least one cash flow criterion

    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    FCF Positive and Growing$-30.0M
    ✗LynchPositive and growing
    Operating Cash Flow$-30.0M
    ✗PiotroskiCFO > 0
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-2.72%, ROA=-6.86%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-5.0%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    FCF Positive0/9 years FCF positive
    ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
    (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap-5.0%
    ✗Ackman>= 4%
    Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency0/9 years positive
    ✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
    Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures$-30.0M
    ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-4.96%; #2978/4519 (top 65.9%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
  • Growth0% pass✓ 1✗ 12▾

    No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)
    ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
    EPS Growth Direction$-0.44 (2017) -> $-0.47 (2025)
    ✗DremanPositive over recent years
    EPS CAGR
    ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
    Positive Net Income Frequency2/9 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    3yr Median Revenue Growth
    ✗Ackman>= 5%
    Positive EPS Growth Frequency2/5 years with positive EPS growth
    ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    5-year Revenue CAGR
    ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR94.5% over 4 years
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
  • Efficiency0% pass✗ 11▾

    All 8 investors flag LAR's efficiency

    Current Ratio0.30
    ✗Graham>= 2.0
    ROIC (3-5 yr avg)
    ✗Buffett> 10%
    ROIC - WACC
    ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
    EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)N/A (invested capital <= 0)
    ✗Greenblatt> 25%
    Current Ratio Change YoY0.49 -> 0.30
    ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
    Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.30
    ✗Dreman> 1.5
    Return on Invested Capital
    ✗Munger> 15%
    ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=unavailable; FY2025: ROIC=unavailable
    ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
    Reinvestment Rate x ROIC
    ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
    ROIC (5-year)
    ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years
  • Verdicts0% pass✗ 14▾

    Split decision: 14 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL

    Overall verdict
    ✗GrahamFAIL (3/9)✗BuffettFAIL (1/9)✗LynchFAIL (1/7)•GreenblattNot ranked✗PiotroskiFAIL (F-Score 2)✗DremanFAIL (1/11)✗MungerFAIL (0/4)✗PabraiFAIL (1/3)✗AkreFAIL (1/6)✗MarksFAIL (2/5)✗AckmanFAIL (0/9)✗TempletonFAIL (2/8)✗SleepFAIL (1/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (0/6)✗SchlossFAIL (3/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
  • Debt & Leverage8% pass✓ 1✗ 14▾

    11 of 12 flag LAR's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +8 more

    LT Debt vs Net Current Assets
    ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
    Debt/Equity & Interest Coverage
    ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
    Total Debt / Equity
    ✗Lynch< 0.33
    Cash - Long-term Debt
    ✗LynchPositive preferred
    LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%
    ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
    Current Assets / Current Liabilities0.30
    ✗Dreman> 1.5✗SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
    Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity
    ✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
    Debt Levels
    ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
    Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDAIC=-1.4x, D/EBITDA=N/A (D&A unavailable)
    ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
    Total Debt / Shareholders Equity
    ✗Ackman<= 1.0
    Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
  • Profitability13% pass✓ 5✗ 30▾

    14 of 16 flag LAR's profitability — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +11 more

    Positive EPS (10 years)2/11 years positive
    ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
    EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)N/A (negative base EPS)
    ✗Graham>= 33% growth
    Net Income Positive (10+ years)2/11 years positive
    ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
    ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)24.9%
    ✓Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
    Operating Margin (10-yr trend)
    ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
    Free Cash Flow Proxy
    ✗BuffettPositive and growing
    Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)4.04
    ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
    Retained Earnings Effectiveness
    ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    3-5 Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
    ROE-9.8%
    ✗Lynch> 15%
    EBIT / Enterprise Value-7.4%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-7.4%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Net Income / Total Assets-6.86%
    ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
    ROA Change YoY-1.35% -> -6.86% (delta: -5.51%)
    ✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
    (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-2.72%, ROA=-6.86%
    ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
    Gross Margin Change YoY
    ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
    Pre-Tax Income / Revenue
    ✗Dreman>= 8%
    Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-9.8%
    ✗Dreman> 12%
    Margin of SafetyP/B=0.8x
    ✓PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
    Return on Equity47.9% (3-yr avg)
    ✓AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
    Discount to Intrinsic Value90.1% (IV=$37.30 vs Price=$3.68)
    ✓Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Positive Net Income Frequency2/9 years positive
    ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
    Operating Income / Revenue
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    Net Income / Shareholders Equity-9.8%
    ✗Ackman>= 15%
    5-Year EPS CAGR
    ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
    Operating Margin Trend
    ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
    Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
    ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
    Net income / market capitalization-12.49%; #4287/6340 (top 67.6%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Gross profit / total assets
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Net income / positive book equity-9.83%; #3405/5226 (top 65.2%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.5112; #4948/5884 (top 84.1%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR94.5% over 4 years
    ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    Positive Diluted-EPS Years2/9 years positive
    ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
  • Valuation23% pass✓ 11✗ 17▾

    10 of 13 flag LAR's valuation — Lynch, Greenblatt, Dreman +7 more

    Price / 3-yr avg EPS1.5x
    ✓Graham<= 15x
    Price-to-Book Ratio0.8x
    ✓Graham<= 1.5x
    P/E x P/B1.20
    ✓Graham<= 22.5
    Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
    ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
    EBIT / Enterprise Value-7.4%
    ✗Greenblatt> 10%
    Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=-7.4%, ROC=N/A (invested capital <= 0)
    ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
    Price / EPS
    ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
    Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
    ✗Dreman< 8x
    Price / Book Value per Share0.8x
    ✓Dreman< 1.2x✓Templeton< 1.5x✓SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
    Valuation Reasonableness
    ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
    P/E or FCF YieldFCF Yield=-5.0%
    ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
    P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=0.8x
    ✓MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
    Discount to Intrinsic Value90.1% (IV=$37.30 vs Price=$3.68)
    ✓Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
    Price / FCF per ShareN/A (negative FCF)
    ✗Ackman<= 25
    Price vs. Trailing Low213% of trailing low ($1.73)
    ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
    Net income / market capitalization-12.49%; #4287/6340 (top 67.6%)
    ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Positive book equity / market capitalization+1.2708; #1118/6449 (top 17.3%)
    ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    Price / Diluted EPS
    ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
    (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
    ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
    Price / Tangible Book Value per Share0.78x
    ✓SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
    Book Value per Share Change+150.7%
    ✓SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
    Revenue / market capitalization
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization-4.96%; #2978/4519 (top 65.9%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-50.07%; #5161/6202 (top 83.2%)
    ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section

Business & financials

Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

Company Profile

Industry: Non-Metallic Mining
SIC Sector: Metal Mining
Size: Small Cap($604.3M)
Revenue: N/A
Net Income: $75.4M-395.3% YoY

Financial Snapshot

Operating Margin--
Return on Equity-9.8%
Debt / Equity--
Current Ratio0.30
EPS (Diluted)$-0.47
Shares Retired−0.3% / −1.1% 2y

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Shareholder Return

Fiscal 2025

Issued 0.3% of shares last year, 1.1% issued over two.

Buybacks
—
Dividends
—

Company Financials

Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

MetricFY 2025
Sources
  • 20-F · 2026-03-23
FY 2024
Sources
  • 20-F · 2025-03-31
FY 2023
Sources
  • 40-F · 2024-03-21
FY 2022
Sources
  • 40-F · 2023-04-03
FY 2021
Sources
  • 40-F · 2022-03-18
Market Cap$604.3Mcurrent$421.0Mest.$713.4Mest.$1.4Best.$1.3Best.
Revenue----------
Operating Income----------
Net Income-$75.4M↓395%-$15.2M↓101%$1.3B↑1477%-$93.6M↓143%-$38.5M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.47↓422%$-0.09↓101%$8.02↑1246%$-0.70↓119%$-0.32
Gross Margin—————
Operating Margin—————
ROE-9.8%↓434%-1.8%↓101%155.4%↑1402%-11.9%↓66%-7.2%
Total Debt------$3.1M↓89%$28.8M
Shareholders' Equity$767.9M↓7%$828.3M$828.9M↑6%$784.0M↑46%$536.3M
Current Ratio0.30↓38%0.49↓21%0.62↓61%1.59↓98%64.51
Debt / Equity———0.00↓93%0.05
Operating Cash Flow-$30.0M↓37%-$21.8M↑63%-$59.0M↑10%-$65.2M↓23%-$53.2M
Free Cash Flow-$30.0M↓31%-$22.8M↑65%-$64.3M↑2%-$65.4M↓22%-$53.8M

Score history

Historical Score Timeline

Industry peers

Industry Peers

Similar companies in Non-Metallic Mining

LAR vs Peers — Financial Grading

RevenueN/A
Net Income$75.4MBottom 25%
ROE-9.8%Bottom 25%
D/E—
Op. Margin—
Curr. Ratio0.30Bottom 25%
CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
BHP Group LtdBHP$202.0B$79.49$51.3B$9.0B18.9%0.4538.0%1.461/96/92/71/3F-Score 57/11
SOUTHERN COPPER CORP/SCCO$140.0B$164.08$13.4B$4.3B39.4%0.6152.2%3.894/95/94/71/3F-Score 75/11
FREEPORT-MCMORAN INCFCX$85.0B$59.24$25.9B$4.2B22.0%0.5025.2%2.292/95/93/70/3F-Score 57/11
Vale S.A.VALE$47.7B$11.22$38.4B$2.4B7.0%0.0215.4%1.151/94/92/71/3F-Score 34/11
MARTIN MARIETTA MATERIALS INCMLM$36.5B$513.61$6.2B$1.1B11.3%0.5323.4%3.574/93/91/70/3F-Score 87/11
Vulcan Materials COVMC$35.8B$278.63$7.9B$1.1B12.6%0.5120.4%2.692/92/92/70/3F-Score 95/11
CAMECO CORPCCJ$30.8B$70.73$2.5B$430.5M8.5%0.1417.8%2.473/93/95/70/3F-Score 86/11
TECK RESOURCES LTDTECK$29.6B$60.19$7.9B$1.0B5.6%0.1620.9%2.543/92/92/70/3F-Score 84/11