NIOCORP DEVELOPMENTS LTD

NB
Country: United StatesPrice: $2.77Market Cap: $405.7M

Investment snapshot

0%positive consensus
Scored 1d ago

Positive

0

BUY / PASS

Neutral / negative

2 / 14

NEUTRAL / FAIL

Median fair value

—

No comparable estimates

Models with upside

0 / 17

Positive margin of safety

Key risk

No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

Framework analysis

VerdictMeaning
BUYPositive purchase signal: the framework's buy requirements are met.
PASSThe company clears the framework's checklist or screen, but the framework does not produce a buy signal. For valuation frameworks this often means margin of safety is missing, insufficient, or unavailable; some screen-only frameworks have no intrinsic-value BUY state.
NEUTRALNeither a positive nor negative conclusion. It does not mean to hold an existing position.
FAILThe company does not clear the framework's requirements.
RankedRanked strategies do not use PASS: selected cohort is BUY, outside the cohort is FAIL, and unranked is NEUTRAL.

Current investor scores use trailing 12-month flows and the latest balance sheet where supported. Multi-year and EPS tests retain annual history; each framework shows its financial basis below. Intrinsic values use annual financials.

MetricGraham

Defensive Value

Buffett

Quality Compounder

Lynch

GARP

Greenblatt

Magic Formula

Piotroski

F-Score

Dreman

Contrarian Value

Munger

Quality Focus

Pabrai

Dhandho Framework

Akre

Three-Legged Stool

Marks

Risk-Aware Value

Ackman

Activist Value

Templeton

Global Bargain Hunter

Sleep

Scale Economies Shared

Asness

Systematic Factors

Neff

Low-P/E Total Return

Schloss

Asset-Value Discipline

O'Shaughnessy

Systematic Factor Composite

VerdictFAILFAILFAILNot rankedFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILFAILNEUTRALFAILFAILNEUTRAL
Score
AnalysisChecking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…Checking access…
Intrinsic Value (annual)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Margin of SafetyN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Financial Basis

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2025-09-11

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2025-09-11

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2025-09-11

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2025-09-11

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Qualitative assessment · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2025-09-11

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-09-11

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-09-11

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Market data at 2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2025-09-11

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Qualitative assessment

Latest source filing: 2025-09-11

Score computed: 2026-11-14

TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01 · Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025

Latest source filing: 2025-09-11

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · Balance sheet at 2026-09-30

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Annual history · FY 2025 · TTM ended 2026-09-30 · Price history 2025-01-01–2026-11-01

Latest source filing: 2026-11-05

Score computed: 2026-11-14

Where It Passes

    Where It Falls Short

    • Profitability0% pass✓ 1✗ 34▾

      No clean pass — all 16 investors flag at least one profitability criterion

      Positive EPS (10 years)7/13 years positive
      ✗GrahamPositive EPS every year for 10 years
      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)-386.1%
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Net Income Positive (10+ years)0/13 years positive
      ✗BuffettPositive every year for 10+ years
      ROE (up to 5-year arithmetic mean)-283.0%
      ✗Buffett> 15% arithmetic mean (app rule)
      Operating Margin (10-yr trend)
      ✗BuffettStable or rising over 10 years
      Free Cash Flow Proxy
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      Earnings Variance (10-yr CoV)N/A (negative mean EPS)
      ✗BuffettCoV < 0.3
      Retained Earnings Effectiveness
      ✗Buffett$1 retained -> > $1 market value created
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      ROE-0.4%
      ✗Lynch> 15%
      EBIT / Enterprise Value
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=None, ROC=None
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Net Income / Total Assets-41.04%
      ✗PiotroskiROA > 0
      ROA Change YoY-41.04% -> -41.04% (delta: +0.00%)
      ✗PiotroskiCurrent ROA > Prior ROA
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-24.33%, ROA=-41.04%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Gross Margin Change YoY
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Pre-Tax Income / Revenue
      ✗Dreman>= 8%
      Net Income / Shareholders' Equity-0.4%
      ✗Dreman> 12%
      Margin of SafetyP/B=7.6x
      ✗PabraiP/B < 1.5 or P/E < 15
      Return on Equity-438.9% (3-yr avg)
      ✗AkreROE > 20% (3-year avg)
      Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Positive Net Income Frequency0/12 years positive
      ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      Operating Income / Revenue
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      Net Income / Shareholders Equity-0.4%
      ✗Ackman>= 15%
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Operating Margin Trend
      ✗TempletonNon-negative operating-margin trend over 3 years
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      Net income / market capitalization-0.42%; #3299/6340 (top 52.0%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Gross profit / total assets
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Net income / positive book equity-0.39%; #2944/5226 (top 56.3%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Negative 5-year standard deviation of ROA-0.5850; #5036/5884 (top 85.6%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR-22.2% over 5 years
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
      Positive Diluted-EPS Years5/8 years positive
      ✗Schloss>= 70% positive over 5-10 observed years (app rule)
    • Valuation0% pass✓ 2✗ 26▾

      No clean pass — all 13 investors flag at least one valuation criterion

      Price / 3-yr avg EPS
      ✗Graham<= 15x
      Price-to-Book Ratio7.6x
      ✗Graham<= 1.5x
      P/E x P/B
      ✗Graham<= 22.5
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      EBIT / Enterprise Value
      ✗Greenblatt> 10%
      Earnings Yield + ROC AssessmentEY=None, ROC=None
      ✗GreenblattBoth EY > 10% and ROC > 25%
      Price / EPS
      ✗Dreman< 12x✗Templeton< 12x (fixed ceiling; proxy for the market's cheapest 40%)
      Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      Price / Book Value per Share7.6x
      ✗Dreman< 1.2x✗Templeton< 1.5x✗SchlossP/B <= 0.80x (app cutoff)
      Valuation ReasonablenessOE Yield=-8.3%
      ✗MungerP/E < 25 or Owner Earnings Yield > 5%
      P/E or FCF Yield
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      P/B or P/E vs. Historical AverageP/B=7.6x
      ✗MarksP/E < 15 or P/B < 2.0
      Discount to Intrinsic ValueN/A (negative normalized EPS)
      ✗Marks>= 20% below intrinsic value
      Price / FCF per Share
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Price vs. Trailing Low143% of trailing low ($1.94)
      ✗Templeton<= 120% of trailing low (certified split-adjusted live window)
      Net income / market capitalization-0.42%; #3299/6340 (top 52.0%)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Positive book equity / market capitalization+1.0774; #1352/6449 (top 21.0%)
      ✓AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
      Price / Diluted EPS
      ✗NeffP/E <= 15x (app proxy for a P/E 40%-60% below the market)
      (EPS CAGR % + Dividend Yield %) / P/E
      ✗Neff> 0.7 (Neff's published traditional edge)
      Price / Tangible Book Value per Share7.60x
      ✗SchlossP/TBV <= 1.00x (app cutoff)
      Book Value per Share Change+606.8%
      ✓SchlossLatest BVPS >= earliest BVPS over >= 3 years (app rule)
      Revenue / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
      Trailing six-month price return through the evaluation date-51.99%; #5204/6202 (top 83.9%)
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Cash Flow0% pass✓ 1✗ 11▾

      No clean pass — all 10 investors flag at least one cash flow criterion

      Free Cash Flow Proxy
      ✗BuffettPositive and growing
      FCF Positive and Growing$-11.0M
      ✗LynchPositive and growing
      Operating Cash Flow$-10.7M
      ✗PiotroskiCFO > 0
      (CFO / Total Assets) vs ROACFO/Assets=-24.33%, ROA=-41.04%
      ✓PiotroskiCFO/Assets > ROA
      Price / (CFO / Shares)N/A (negative CFPS)
      ✗Dreman< 8x
      P/E or FCF Yield
      ✗PabraiP/E < 15 or FCF Yield > 10%
      FCF Positive0/2 years FCF positive
      ✗MarksPositive FCF in majority of recent years
      (OCF - CapEx) / Market Cap
      ✗Ackman>= 4%
      Price / FCF per Share
      ✗Ackman<= 25
      Positive Operating Cash Flow frequency0/12 years positive
      ✗SleepPositive OCF in >= 70% of available years
      Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures
      ✗Neff> $0 (app proxy for a strong fundamental case)
      (Operating cash flow - capex) / market capitalization
      ✗OshaughnessyTop 10% of eligible cross-section
    • Growth0% pass✓ 1✗ 12▾

      No clean pass — all 8 investors flag at least one growth criterion

      EPS Growth (3-yr avg, 10-yr window)-386.1%
      ✗Graham>= 33% growth
      Basic earnings-growth PEG (dividends excluded)
      ✗Lynch< 1.0 (ideally < 0.5)
      3-5 Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Lynch15-30% (Fast Grower); > 0% to pass
      Inventory Growth vs Revenue GrowthN/A (no inventory)
      ✓LynchInventory growth < Revenue growth
      EPS Growth Direction$0.17 (2014) -> $-0.36 (2025)
      ✗DremanPositive over recent years
      EPS CAGR-30.0% CAGR over 6 years
      ✗Dreman> 5% annualized
      Positive Net Income Frequency0/12 years positive
      ✗MarksPositive net income in >= 7 of last 10 years
      3yr Median Revenue Growth
      ✗Ackman>= 5%
      Positive EPS Growth Frequency0/2 years with positive EPS growth
      ✗AckmanPositive EPS growth in >= 3 of last 5 years
      5-Year EPS CAGR
      ✗Templeton> 0% (5-year EPS CAGR)
      Revenue growth vs. gross and operating margin trend
      ✗SleepRevenue rising; gross margin flat or falling; operating margin holding
      5-year Revenue CAGR
      ✗SleepCAGR > 7%
      3-5 Year Diluted EPS CAGR-22.2% over 5 years
      ✗Neff7%-20% annualized
    • Verdicts0% pass✗ 14▾

      Split decision: 14 FAIL · 2 NEUTRAL

      Overall verdict
      ✗GrahamFAIL (1/9)✗BuffettFAIL (0/9)✗LynchFAIL (1/7)•GreenblattNot ranked✗PiotroskiFAIL (F-Score 2)✗DremanFAIL (1/11)✗MungerFAIL (0/4)✗PabraiFAIL (0/3)✗AkreFAIL (0/6)✗MarksFAIL (0/5)✗AckmanFAIL (0/9)✗TempletonFAIL (1/8)✗SleepFAIL (0/6)•AsnessNEUTRAL (Not ranked)✗NeffFAIL (0/6)✗SchlossFAIL (2/7)•OshaughnessyNEUTRAL (Not ranked)
    • Debt & Leverage8% pass✓ 3✗ 12▾

      11 of 12 flag NB's debt & leverage — Graham, Buffett, Lynch +8 more

      LT Debt vs Net Current Assets
      ✗GrahamLT Debt <= Net Current Assets
      Debt/Equity & Interest Coverage
      ✗BuffettD/E < 0.5 AND Interest Coverage > 5x
      Total Debt / Equity
      ✗Lynch< 0.33
      Cash - Long-term Debt
      ✗LynchPositive preferred
      LT Debt / Total Assets Change0.00% -> 0.00%
      ✓PiotroskiDecreased YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities30.19
      ✓Dreman> 1.5✓SchlossCurrent ratio >= 1.50x (app cutoff)
      Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity
      ✗Dreman< 0.8✗Templeton< 1.0 (fixed cap; proxy for below-sector-median leverage)✗SchlossD/E < 1.00x
      Debt Levels
      ✗MungerDebt/Equity < 0.5✗AkreDebt/Equity < 0.3
      Interest Coverage & Debt/EBITDA
      ✗MarksInterest Coverage > 3x; Debt/EBITDA < 4x
      Total Debt / Shareholders Equity
      ✗Ackman<= 1.0
      Negative debt-to-equity (higher means less debt)
      ✗AsnessTop 30% of eligible cross-section
    • Efficiency25% pass✓ 2✗ 9▾

      6 of 8 flag NB's efficiency — Buffett, Greenblatt, Piotroski +3 more

      Current Ratio30.19
      ✓Graham>= 2.0
      ROIC (3-5 yr avg)
      ✗Buffett> 10%
      ROIC - WACC
      ✗BuffettPositive (WACC = 10%)
      EBIT / (NWC + Net Fixed Assets)
      ✗Greenblatt> 25%
      Current Ratio Change YoY14.12 -> 14.12
      ✗PiotroskiIncreased YoY
      Revenue / Total Assets Change YoY
      ✗PiotroskiImproved YoY
      Current Assets / Current Liabilities30.19
      ✓Dreman> 1.5
      Return on Invested Capital
      ✗Munger> 15%
      ROIC (high and growing)FY2023: ROIC=unavailable; FY2024: ROIC=unavailable; FY2025: ROIC=unavailable
      ✗AkreLatest 3 consecutive FYs: ROIC > 15% in each
      Reinvestment Rate x ROIC
      ✗AkreReinvestment Rate * ROIC > 10%
      ROIC (5-year)
      ✗SleepROIC > 12% in a majority of years

    Business & financials

    Financial snapshot: annual FY 2025. Current investor scores may use newer quarterly data.

    Company Profile

    Industry: Non-Metallic Mining
    SIC Sector: Metal Mining
    Size: Small Cap($405.7M)
    Revenue: N/A
    Net Income: $18.0M+0.0% YoY

    Financial Snapshot

    Operating Margin--
    Return on Equity-63.5%
    Debt / Equity--
    Current Ratio14.12
    EPS (Diluted)$-0.36
    Shares Retired−32.9% / −104.3% 2y

    Shareholder Return

    Fiscal 2025

    Issued 32.9% of shares last year, 104.3% issued over two.

    Buybacks
    —
    Dividends
    —

    Company Financials

    Latest TTM and quarters alongside annual years

    TTM sums four consecutive quarters and uses the latest quarter-end balances. Quarter columns show three-month results; annual columns show full-year totals. Growth compares the same period a year earlier. EPS is not added for TTM; full-year ratios are blank for quarters.

    The latest annual period end is unavailable. Showing the latest fiscal cycle’s quarters; quarter and annual columns may overlap. Quarterly shows the full quarter history.

    MetricTTM · 2026-09-30

    2025-10-01 – 2026-09-30

    Sources · derived quarter values

    Derived from cumulative filings: operating cash flow, net income, interest expense.

    Q1 FY 2027

    2026-07-01 – 2026-09-30

    Sources
    FY 2025
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2025-09-11
    FY 2024
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2025-09-11
    FY 2023
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2024-09-23
    FY 2022
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2023-10-06
    FY 2021
    Sources
    • 10-K · 2021-09-08
    Market Cap$405.7Mcurrent--$458.8Mest.$139.8Mest.$118.8Mest.----
    Revenue--------------
    Operating Income--------------
    Net Income-$1.7M↑97%$4.2M↑110%-$18.0M-$18.0M↓51%-$11.9M↑70%-$40.3M↓270%-$10.9M
    EPS (Diluted)--$0.01$-0.36$-0.36↓16%$-0.31----
    Gross Margin———————
    Operating Margin———————
    ROE-0.4%↑99%—-63.5%-63.5%↑95%-1189.8%↓424%367.5%↑696%-61.6%
    Total Debt------$504↓100%$7.1M↓33%$10.6M--
    Shareholders' Equity$437.1M↑189%$437.1M↑189%$28.3M$28.3M↑2732%$1.0M↑109%-$11.0M↓162%$17.7M
    Current Ratio30.19↓27%30.19↓27%14.1214.12↑5671%0.24↓77%1.05↓7%1.12
    Debt / Equity———0.00↓100%7.09↑836%-0.96—
    Operating Cash Flow-$15.4M↑7%-$6.2M↑7%-$10.7M-$10.7M↑9%-$11.7M↑32%-$17.3M↓181%-$6.2M
    Free Cash Flow--------------

    Score history

    Historical Score Timeline

    Industry peers

    Industry Peers

    Similar companies in Non-Metallic Mining

    NB vs Peers — Financial Grading

    RevenueN/A
    Net Income$18.0MBottom 25%
    ROE-63.5%Bottom 25%
    D/E—
    Op. Margin—
    Curr. Ratio14.12Top 25%
    CompanyMarket CapPriceRevenueNet IncomeROED/EOp. MarginCurr. RatioGrahamBuffettLynchGreenblattPiotroskiDreman
    BHP Group LtdBHP$202.0B$79.49$51.3B$9.0B18.9%0.4538.0%1.461/96/92/71/3F-Score 57/11
    SOUTHERN COPPER CORP/SCCO$140.0B$164.08$13.4B$4.3B39.4%0.6152.2%3.894/95/94/71/3F-Score 75/11
    FREEPORT-MCMORAN INCFCX$85.0B$59.24$25.9B$4.2B22.0%0.5025.2%2.292/95/93/70/3F-Score 57/11
    Vale S.A.VALE$47.7B$11.22$38.4B$2.4B7.0%0.0215.4%1.151/94/92/71/3F-Score 34/11
    MARTIN MARIETTA MATERIALS INCMLM$36.5B$513.61$6.2B$1.1B11.3%0.5323.4%3.574/93/91/70/3F-Score 87/11
    Vulcan Materials COVMC$35.8B$278.63$7.9B$1.1B12.6%0.5120.4%2.692/92/92/70/3F-Score 95/11
    CAMECO CORPCCJ$30.8B$70.73$2.5B$430.5M8.5%0.1417.8%2.473/93/95/70/3F-Score 86/11
    TECK RESOURCES LTDTECK$29.6B$60.19$7.9B$1.0B5.6%0.1620.9%2.543/92/92/70/3F-Score 84/11